725  
FNAK72 PAFC 111311  
FWSALU  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OWHAT...DIVISION OF FORESTY & FIRE PROTECTION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK  
511 AM AKDT SAT JUL 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON JULY 11.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A FRONT IS CURRENTLY PUSHING ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA,  
BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
WETTING RAINFALL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN FOR  
TODAY WILL FALL THIS MORNING, AND THEN TAPER TO SHOWERS BY THE  
AFTERNOON. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA BY LATE  
THIS EVENING, BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAINFALL TO THE REGION.  
THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE SOMEWHAT LESS MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT  
RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. OUTSIDE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS, COOL AND CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES HIGH. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DECREASE THROUGH SUNDAY, WITH  
WIND SPEEDS FALLING BELOW 10 MPH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE MORNING,  
THEN RAIN LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................65 PERCENT DECREASING TO 45 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 94 94 94 92 92  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RW RW  
CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 40 40  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 60 60 60 50 50  
TEMP............52 53 54 54 55 56 57 58 58 58 58  
RH..............96 94 91 89 87 85 83 80 78 75 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 13 13 13 16 16 16 17 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 21 21 21 26 26 26 26 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.2 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.  
CWR.................45 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10  
TO 13 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........92 93 93 93 91 91 91 90 90 90 90 90  
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 30 30  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 70 60 60 60 60 60  
TEMP............58 58 57 56 55 53 51 50 49 48 47 47  
RH..............74 73 75 76 78 82 87 91 92 92 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..17 15 15 15 10 10 10 8 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 23 23 23 18 18 18 15 15 15 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 21 21 21 16 16 16 13 13 13 10 10  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........90 88 88 88 86 86 86 83 83 83 84 84  
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 60 60  
TEMP............48 48 49 50 52 53 54 56 56 57 58 58  
RH..............93 93 91 88 85 82 79 76 72 69 67 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 10 10 10 13 13 13 13 13 13 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 3.0 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 13 13 13 12 12 12 13 13  
 
 
 
FORECASTER...MCCORMICK  
REQUESTED BY...TERESA ROSE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2616863.5/ALU  
.DELDT 07/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DOF.ACDC.DISPATCH@ALASKA.GOV  
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