027
FNAK71 PAFC 291406
FWSAER
SPOT FORECAST FOR 2026 KENAI NWR PILE BURNING...US WILDLAND FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
606 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 AKDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
DISCUSSION
KENAI WILL BE ON THE FAR SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE RAIN MOVING
THROUGH THIS MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL FEATURE MOVES THROUGH TO
THE NORTH. FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE KENAI PENINSULA AND MOVE INTO THE SOUND WITH
UPPER LEVEL TROUGHS MOVING INTO THE AREA. SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY
SPILL OVER THE MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY, BUT
GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS KEEPS PRECIPITATION CLOSER TO THE
MOUNTAINS. COOL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (141-1443 M^2/S).
TIME (AKDT) 8 AM 11 AM 2 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........78 68 70 46
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
CWR.............0 0 0 0
TEMP............36 45 51 51
RH..............95 86 69 63
20 FT WIND......NE 2G6 E 3G7 E 6G8 NE 5G6
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1900 1900 1800
TRANSPORT WIND..E 3 NE 5 NE 6 NE 5
VENT (M^2/S)....141 1443 1443 1098
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (376-1098 M^2/S).
TIME (AKDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........46 26 35 66
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
CWR.............0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 41 37 35
RH..............66 85 89 88
20 FT WIND......NE 5G6 NE 3G6 E 2G5 NE 2G3
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1800 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 5 E 5 E 6 E 7
VENT (M^2/S)....1098 1098 376 376
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (376-1333 M^2/S).
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........85 89 89 89 90 90 90 93 93 93 86 86
WEATHER COV..... SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............32 32 32 34 40 42 45 46 46 46 46 46
RH..............91 90 91 89 85 79 73 68 68 68 73 74
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5
VENT (M^2/S)....376 376 376 376 133313331333133313331333847 847
FORECASTER...JONES
REQUESTED BY...DANIEL OSBORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622721.0/AER
.DELDT 09/29/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DANIEL_OSBORN@FWS.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page