761  
FNAK79 PAFG 050145  
FWSAFG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 7 MILE LOOKOUT...SA GRAY IMT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK  
545 PM AKDT FRI JUL 4 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON JULY 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL TOMORROW SATURDAY BEFORE COOLER  
AND WETTER CONDITIONS ARRIVE SUNDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE  
POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND, MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY, BUT WILL LIKELY OCCUR TO THE  
EAST OF THE FIRE ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE GOING INTO  
NEXT WEEK, WHILE MIN RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND. LOWEST MIN RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED FOR TOMORROW AROUND  
35%, INCREASING TO NEARLY 60% BY MONDAY. WINDS WILL MAINLY BE OUT  
OF THE EAST/SOUTHEAST TOMORROW BEFORE SHIFTING TOWARDS THE  
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND  
OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST SUNDAY.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). HAZE THROUGH THE  
DAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH WINDS SHIFTING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 1000 AKDT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. HAZE THROUGH  
THE NIGHT.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE EVENING.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 6-12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.  
INVERSION SETUP.....AROUND 0100 AKDT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). HAZE. SCATTERED  
RAIN SHOWERS.  
CWR.................2 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 1100 AKDT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
 
NUMEROUS SHOWERS. HAZE. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
 
HAZE IN THE EVENING. CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS  
AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SANTIAGO  
REQUESTED BY...STUART COOMBS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2517353.0/AFG  
.DELDT 07/04/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL STUART.COOMBS@USDA.GOV  
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