253
FNAK79 PAFG 050222
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOLDY FIRE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
622 PM AKDT FRI JUL 4 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 AKDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM AKDT
SUNDAY...
DISCUSSION
HOT AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES ON SATURDAY, WITH WINDY/GUSTY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED, ESPECIALLY AT RIDGETOP LEVEL, AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. FOR THESE HOT, DRY, AND WINDY
CONDITIONS, A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY.
HIGHER WINDS AT RIDGETOP LEVEL MAY GUST DOWN TO LOWER LEVELS AT
TIMES DURING PERIODS OF SIGNIFICANT SURFACE HEATING FROM THE SUN.
STILL-HOT BUT MOISTER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY, ALTHOUGH
IT WILL STILL BE HOT AND RELATIVELY WINDY, WITH WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE AREA ON MONDAY, WITH A
SIGNIFICANT COOLDOWN INTO THE 60S ON TUESDAY.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). HAZE AND AREAS OF
SMOKE THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8
TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...1100 AKDT.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF
SMOKE IN THE EVENING. HAZE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....0100 AKDT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). HAZE THROUGH THE
DAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......WIDELY SCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 9 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AT 9 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...1100 AKDT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HAZE IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
TUESDAY
COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
FORECASTER...SALTZMAN
REQUESTED BY...DAVE ISACKSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516753.8/AFG
.DELDT 07/04/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID_ISACKSON@FIRENET.GOV
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