589
FNAK79 PAFG 050243
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR CARIBOU...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
643 PM AKDT FRI JUL 4 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 AKDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM AKDT
SUNDAY...
DISCUSSION
HOT AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES ON SATURDAY, WITH WINDY/GUSTY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED, ESPECIALLY AT RIDGETOP LEVEL, AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. FOR THESE HOT, DRY, AND WINDY
CONDITIONS, A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY, WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR 90 AND MIN RH VALUES IN THE LOW 20S
POSSIBLE. HIGHER WINDS AT RIDGETOP LEVEL MAY GUST DOWN TO LOWER
LEVELS AT TIMES DURING PERIODS OF SIGNIFICANT SURFACE HEATING FROM
THE SUN. STILL-HOT BUT MOISTER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY,
ALTHOUGH IT WILL STILL BE HOT AND RELATIVELY WINDY, WITH WIDELY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE AREA ON MONDAY,
WITH A SIGNIFICANT COOLDOWN INTO THE 60S ON TUESDAY.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAZE THROUGH THE DAY.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...1100 AKDT.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. HAZE THROUGH
THE NIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....0100 AKDT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). HAZE THROUGH THE
DAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......WIDELY SCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AT 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...1100 AKDT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HAZE IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
TUESDAY
COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...SALTZMAN
REQUESTED BY...DAVE ISACKSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516754.8/AFG
.DELDT 07/04/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID_ISACKSON@FIRENET.GOV
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