259
FNAK79 PAFG 051257
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR 330 RUNT...BUREAU OF LAND MANGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
457 AM AKDT SAT JUL 5 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM
AKDT SUNDAY...
DISCUSSION
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR TODAY FOR HOT, DRY, AND WINDY
CONDITIONS AS A LOW LEVEL JET OF EASTERLY WINDS INCREASES THROUGH THE DAY
AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. EXPECT EAST WINDS TO PEAK AROUND 2000 THIS EVENING
AND SLOWLY DIMINISH THEREAFTER. A PATTERN CHANGE MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BRING
MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES BY TUESDAY, HIGHER RHS AND A CHANCE OF PRECIP AS EARLY
AS SUNDAY NIGHT. THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS IS
INCREASING FOR SUNDAY EVENING AND MONDAY, SO KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR THE LATEST
SPOT FORECAST.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). HAZE AND AREAS OF SMOKE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 0900.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE IN
THE EVENING. HAZE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 8 MPH AFTER 0200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....SHALLOW INVERSION SETTING UP AROUND 2200.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). HAZE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1600.
CWR.................3 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...SHALLOW INVERSION BURNING OFF AROUND 0900.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HAZE.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
COOLER. HAZE IN THE EVENING. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
FORECASTER...CHRIEST
REQUESTED BY...M. FISCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516551.18/AFG
.DELDT 07/05/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RBRADLEY@BLM.GOV,AKFIREBOATS@GMAIL.COM,AKYFDC@FIRENET.GOV
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