816
FNAK79 PAFG 051327
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR 355 FORTYMILE...BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
527 AM AKDT SAT JUL 5 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM
AKDT SUNDAY...
DISCUSSION
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR TODAY FOR HOT, DRY, AND WINDY
CONDITIONS AS A LOW LEVEL JET OF EASTERLY WINDS INCREASES THROUGH THE DAY
AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. EXPECT EAST WINDS TO PEAK AROUND 2000 THIS EVENING
BUT PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT. A PATTERN CHANGE MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BRING
MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES BY TUESDAY, HIGHER RHS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP AS EARLY
AS SUNDAY NIGHT. THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS IS
INCREASING FOR SUNDAY EVENING AND MONDAY, SO KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR THE LATEST
SPOT FORECAST.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). HAZE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 0900.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). HAZE THROUGH THE
NIGHT. AREAS OF SMOKE OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....SHALLOW INVERSION SETTING UP AROUND 2200.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). HAZE AND AREAS OF SMOKE. VERY SLIGHT
CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM AFTER 1600.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...SHALLOW INVERSION BURNING OFF AROUND 0900.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HAZE
AND AREAS OF SMOKE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
COOLER. HAZE AND AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE EVENING. WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FORECASTER...CHRIEST
REQUESTED BY...KORY DAVIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516893.9/AFG
.DELDT 07/05/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RBRADLEY@BLM.GOV,AKYFDC@FIRENET.GOV
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