536
FNAK79 PAFG 051354
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRCH LAKE FIRE...ALASKA DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
554 AM AKDT SAT JUL 5 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0529 AKDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HOT, DRY, AND BREEZY AGAIN TODAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN
PLACE. A PATTERN CHANGE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BRING
MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES, HIGHER RHS AND A CHANCE OF PRECIP AS EARLY
AS SUNDAY NIGHT. THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS IS
INCREASING FOR SUNDAY EVENING AND MONDAY, SO KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR THE LATEST
SPOT FORECAST.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE
MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...SHALLOW INVERSION BREAKING AROUND 0900.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). SMOKE OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................3 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....AROUND 2200.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SMOKE THROUGH THE
DAY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 1000.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS. HAZE AND SMOKE. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
HAZE AND SMOKE IN THE EVENING. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...CHRIEST
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN QUIMBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2500000.0/AFG
.DELDT 07/05/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TORREY.SHORT@ALASKA.GOV,COLTEN.HINES98@GMAIL.COM,BRYAN_QUIMBY@FWS.GOV,BRITTANY.STILLIE@ALASKA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page