378  
FNAK79 PAFG 051422  
FWSAFG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LUSH FIRE...BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK  
622 AM AKDT SAT JUL 5 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON JULY 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
HOT AND DRY AGAIN TODAY WITH INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON.  
THIS WILL BRING NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE LUSH FIRE TODAY. EXPECT  
THE STRONGEST WINDS FROM 1800-2200 THIS EVENING. A PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS SUNDAY  
WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND MORE THUNDERSTORMS INBOUND. WIDELY SCATTERED  
THUNDERSTORMS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BRING THE THREAT OF GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.  
STORMS WILL PRODUCE RAINFALL, BUT AMOUNTS WILL BE LIMITED. TEMPERATURES DROP  
SIGNIFICANTLY BY TUESDAY WITH COOLER AND DAMPER CONDITIONS EXPECTED, THOUGH  
CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF WETTING RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED THIS NEXT WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). HAZE AND AREAS OF SMOKE.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...SHALLOW INVERSION BURNING OFF AROUND 0900.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). HAZE AND AREAS OF  
SMOKE.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 11 MPH.  
INVERSION SETUP.....SHALLOW INVERSION SETTING UP AROUND 2300.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). HAZE AND AREAS OF  
SMOKE THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS  
AND WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......WIDELY SCT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......VARIABLE WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...SHALLOW INVERSION BURNING OFF AROUND 1000.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  
HAZE AND AREAS OF SMOKE. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
 
COOLER. HAZE AND AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE EVENING. WIDESPREAD  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN  
THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
7 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...CHRIEST  
REQUESTED BY...ECHO CUNNINGHAM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2517123.3/AFG  
.DELDT 07/05/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ACUNNINGHAM@BLM.GOV  
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