608
FNAK79 PAFG 101438
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELEPHANT FIRE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
638 AM AKDT THU JUL 10 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SOME SHOWERS LINGER IN THE AREA OF THE FIRE THIS MORNING, BUT
CHANCES OF ADDITIONAL WETTING RAINS IS QUITE LOW. THESE SHOWERS
WILL FADE THROUGH THE DAY BECOMING ISOLATED BY THIS AFTERNOON. A
GENERAL WARMING AND DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
LEAVING VERY LITTLE CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AFTER TODAY.
HIGHS NEAR 60 TODAY RISE INTO THE UPPER 60S FRIDAY AND INTO THE
LOWER 70S FOR THE WEEKEND. MINIMUM RHS WILL FALL FROM NEAR 60 TODAY
INTO THE 30S FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. VALLEY WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WIND DIRECTIONS WILL BE LARGELY TERRAIN
DRIVEN OVERNIGHT AND IN THE MORNINGS. RIDGETOP WINDS WILL SHIFT
NORTH TONIGHT AND THEN MORE WESTERLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. NO
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG IN THE
MORNING. HAZE THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...9AM.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). HAZE.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....9PM AS A WEAK INVERSION ALOFT NEAR THE RIDGETOP.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). HAZE.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...10AM.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HAZE. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT
WINDS.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...STOKES
REQUESTED BY...TANANA ZONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517267.6/AFG
.DELDT 07/10/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL EBUTT23@GMAIL.COM,TSHIELDS@BLM.GOV,AKYFDC@FIRENET.GOV,DBLOEMKE@BLM.GOV
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