774
FNAK79 PAFG 102237
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR 374 SHILIAK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
237 PM AKDT THU JUL 10 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 AKDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THURSDAY AFTERNOON OBSERVATIONS AROUND THE AREA HIGHLIGHT BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND RH DROPPING BELOW
60 PERCENT. THE MAX TEMPERATURE FORECASTED EARLIER TODAY OF 60
MIGHT HAVE BEEN A BOLD STATEMENT GIVEN THE OVERCAST SKIES LIKELY
OVER THE FIRE. HOWEVER, CLEAR SKIES ARE JUST EAST OF THE AREA AS
OF 1430 LOCAL TIME, SO EXPECTING TEMPS TO SHOOT UP AND RH TO
DIMINISH ONCE THE CLOUDS MOVE OUT.
STILL EXPECTING WINDS TO DECREASE OVERNIGHT, BEFORE RAMPING BACK
UP OUT OF THE NORTHWEST LATER FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THINKING SPEEDS
WILL BE 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 18 AT TIMES.TEMPERATURES
SHOULD CLIMB UP INTO THE UPPER 60S, WITH RH NEAR 40 PERCENT.
SATURDAY COULD SEE IMPROVED RH FROM SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. MORE SO
ON MONDAY/TUESDAY WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINS.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....NEAR 9PM
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 8 TO 12 GUST 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...NEAR 12PM.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 10 GUST 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....NEAR MIDNIGHT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...NEAR 9AM.
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...GALENA ZONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517259.10/AFG
.DELDT 07/10/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL AKYFDC@FIRENET.GOV
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