792
FNAK79 PAFG 102326
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELEPHANT FIRE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
326 PM AKDT THU JUL 10 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 AKDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A SLIGHT WARMING AND DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH TEMPERATURES RISING TO NEAR 70 FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. MINIMUM
RHS NEAR 40 ARE EXPECTED FALLING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S SUNDAY.
NO SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TO BE EXCELLENT WITH MORNING FOG
BEING A POSSIBILITY NEAR THE VALLEY FLOOR. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE MODERATE AND MOSTLY OUT OF THE NORTH THROUGH FRIDAY. MONDAY
AND TUESDAY SEE A CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS, BUT CONFIDENCE IS
LOW AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE WARMING AND DRYING TREND WILL
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). HAZE.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....WEAK INVERSION BELOW THE FIRE BEGINS AT 9PM.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). HAZE.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 8 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...WEAK INVERSION RISES ABOVE THE FIRE AND ENDS
AROUND 10AM.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). HAZE.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....WEAK INVERSION BELOW THE FIRE BEGINS AT 9PM.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). HAZE.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...INVERSION RISES ABOVE THE FIRE AND ENDS
AROUND 11AM.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HAZE. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
FORECASTER...STOKES
REQUESTED BY...TANANA ZONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517267.6/AFG
.DELDT 07/10/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL EBUTT23@GMAIL.COM,TSHIELDS@BLM.GOV,AKYFDC@FIRENET.GOV,DBLOEMKE@BLM.GOV
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