299
FNAK79 PAFG 110734
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRCH LAKE FIRE...STATE OF ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1134 PM AKDT THU JUL 10 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY BUT MOST ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTHEAST OF THE FIRE. OTHERWISE EXPECT HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR 70 WITH MIN RHS AROUND 40%. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
AND FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY, THEN SHIFT WEST OVERNIGHT. RIDGETOP
WINDS WILL BE BREEZY FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT, UP TO
20 MPH AT TIMES. RIDGETOP WINDS WILL COME DOWN SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMING AND DRYING TREND TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). HAZE THROUGH THE
DAY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 4600 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...8 AM AKDT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). HAZE. ISOLATED
RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......LIGHT WINDS BECOME WEST-NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
DURING EVENING TO 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 300 FT
AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....12 AM AKDT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). HAZE. ISOLATED
RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH TURN MOSTLY
WEST 10 TO 15 MPH BY MIDDAY, THEN 5 TO 10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 5900 FT
AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...8 AM AKDT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HAZE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT
WINDS.
TUESDAY
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...BIANCO
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN QUIMBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517024.6/AFG
.DELDT 07/11/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRYAN_QUIMBY@FWS.GOV,BRITTANY.STILLIE@ALASKA.GOV,TORREY.SHORT@ALASKA.GOV,COLTEN.HINES98@GMAIL.COM
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