703  
FNAK79 PAFG 111407  
FWSAFG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELEPHANT FIRE...BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK  
607 AM AKDT FRI JUL 11 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON JULY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE AREA WILL WARM AND DRY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE LOWER 70S SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. MINIMUM  
RHS FALL FROM THE UPPER 30S TODAY INTO THE MID 30S SATURDAY. WINDS  
WILL FAVOR A NORTHERLY DIRECTION TODAY AND WILL SHIFT WESTERLY  
SATURDAY. NO SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THROUGH THE  
WEEKEND. NEXT WEEK THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL RAIN AND  
COOLING NEAR THE FIRE, BUT CONFIDENCE IS STILL LOW AT THIS TIME.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). HAZE.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 8 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...10AM.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). HAZE.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.  
INVERSION SETUP.....9PM.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). HAZE.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...10AM.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
SUNDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HAZE.  
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...STOKES  
REQUESTED BY...TANANA ZONE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2517267.7/AFG  
.DELDT 07/11/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DBLOEMKE@BLM.GOV,EBUTT23@GMAIL.COM,TSHIELDS@BLM.GOV,AKYFDC@FIRENET.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab AK Page
Main Text Page