527
FNAK79 PAFG 112220
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR 7 MILE LOOKOUT FIRE...SA GRAY TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
220 PM AKDT FRI JUL 11 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 AKDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERY CONDITIONS REMAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND, BUT SHOWERS BECOME
INCREASINGLY ISOLATED AFTER FRIDAY. THESE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE VERY LIGHT WITH LOW CHANCES OF WETTING RAIN. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AMONGST THE SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S RISE TO NEAR 80 SUNDAY AND WILL
REMAIN WARM THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. MINIMUM RHS WILL BE HIGHER
FOLLOWING RECENT SHOWERS IN THE LOWER 30S SATURDAY AND THEN
FALLING BACK INTO THE 20S FOR SUNDAY. SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE MONDAY WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO RAISE MINIMUM RHS INTO THE
30S AGAIN, BUT CHANCES OF WETTING RAIN REMAIN LOW. OVERNIGHT RH
RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TO BE GOOD NEAR THE BOTTOM OF THE VALLEY, BUT
WORSE ABOVE 1000 FEET. WINDS WILL BE PRIMARILY OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST ALONG NORTHERN SLOPES AND AT RIDGETOPS, BUT WILL BE MORE
CHAOTIC AND TERRAIN DRIVEN ALONG THE SOUTH ASPECTS. EXPECT SPEEDS
TO BE LOWER AROUND 5MPH OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST FOR THE LOWER AREAS
OF THE FIRE AND NEAR THE TOK RIVER.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). HAZE. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...WEAK INVERSION WILL SLOWLY LIFT THROUGH THE
MORNING AND CLEAR THE RIDGETOP AROUND 2PM.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. HAZE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....WEAK SURFACE INVERSION FORMS AROUND 5PM ONLY
AFFECTING THE LOWER PARTS OF THE VALLEY.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). HAZE THROUGH THE
DAY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
LIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...WEAK INVERSION BEGINS LIFTING AROUND 8AM AND CLEARS
THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AROUND 11AM.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HAZE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...STOKES
REQUESTED BY...JESSICA ILSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517829.0/AFG
.DELDT 07/11/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JESSICA_ILSE@FIRENET.GOV
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