601
FNAK79 PAFG 112332
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELEPHANT FIRE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
332 PM AKDT FRI JUL 11 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 AKDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGHS
IN THE 70S WITH MINIMUM RHS IN THE MID 30S EXPECTED. THE FIRE IS
EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE THE INVERSION OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL LIMIT
OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY. THERE IS SOME ISOLATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL SUNDAY, BUT THESE ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY
ISOLATED. MORE SHOWERY CONDITIONS WITH THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED
MONDAY ALONG THE HILLS. WINDS WILL BE PRIMARILY OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST THROUGH SATURDAY THEN SHIFT MORE WESTERLY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). HAZE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....11PM, BUT EXPECTED BENEATH THE FIRE.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). HAZE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...9AM.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). HAZE.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....10PM, BUT EXPECTED BENEATH THE FIRE.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). HAZE THROUGH THE
DAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...9AM.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HAZE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
FORECASTER...STOKES
REQUESTED BY...TANANA ZONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517267.8/AFG
.DELDT 07/11/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DBLOEMKE@BLM.GOV,EBUTT23@GMAIL.COM,TSHIELDS@BLM.GOV,AKYFDC@FIRENET.GOV
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