844
FNAK79 PAFG 120510
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRCH LAKE FIRE...STATE OF ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
910 PM AKDT FRI JUL 11 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 AKDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
RAIN SHOWERS WILL REMAIN EAST OF THE FIRE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
THEY DO MAKE A COME BACK ON SUNDAY, THOUGH WILL BE ISOLATED.
OTHERWISE, THE WARM AND DRY TREND WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S AND MIN RHS AS LOW AS 35%. WINDS WILL
BE SLIGHTLY BREEZY AT THE SURFACE, ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOONS, BUT MOST OF THE WINDS WILL BE AT RIDGETOP LEVEL,
POTENTIALLY UP TO 20 MPH AT TIMES FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). HAZE THROUGH
THE NIGHT.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH WILL INCREASE AND TURN
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....4 AM AKDT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). HAZE.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING
WEAKENING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...8 AM AKDT.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). HAZE.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WILL INCREASE
AFTER MIDNIGHT TO WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....4 AM AKDT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). HAZE. ISOLATED
RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...8 AM AKDT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HAZE. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...BIANCO
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN QUIMBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517024.8/AFG
.DELDT 07/11/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRITTANY.STILLIE@ALASKA.GOV,COLTEN.HINES98@GMAIL.COM,BRYAN_QUIMBY@FWS.GOV
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