826  
FNAK79 PAFG 121602  
FWSAFG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTE CRISTO CREEK...DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK  
802 AM AKDT TUE AUG 12 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0803 AKDT ON AUGUST 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE HOVERS OVER THE AREA, MOSTLY SUNNY/PARTLY  
CLOUDY CONDITIONS PREVAIL FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD  
UNTIL TROUGHING BEGINS TO BUILD BACK IN THIS AFTERNOON INTO  
TOMORROW. WINDS STAY ON THE WEAKER SIDE, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS  
REACHING AROUND 10 MPH FROM THE SOUTHEAST. MIN RH VALUES REMAIN IN  
THE LOW TO MID 40% RANGE WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.  
AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES, MORE MOISTURE AND LOWER TEMPS ARE  
EXPECTED. SATELLITE SHOWS CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST, AS WELL  
AS SOME VALLEY FOG OVER THE AREA. CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE  
WITHIN THE NEXT HALF HOUR, WITH AN INVERSION BURNOFF TIME EXPECTED  
FOR AROUND 10:30 AM.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 11 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 1030.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.  
INVERSION SETUP.....AROUND 0500.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 2300.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
THURSDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.    
FRIDAY  
 
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
 
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 8 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SRINIVASAN  
REQUESTED BY...BROOKLYN DETHERAGE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2519659.1/AFG  
.DELDT 08/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DANE.SMIGLESKI@ALASKA.GOV,AK.NFDC.DISPATCH@ALASKA.GOV  
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