045  
FNAK79 PAFG 221216  
FWSAFG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 2025 WOODY DEBRIS PILE YTA...BLM-AFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK  
416 AM AKDT WED OCT 22 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 AKDT ON OCTOBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL DRIVE A SERIES OF FRONTS  
OVER THE ALASKA RANGE TO FINISH OUT THE WEEK, THE FIRST BEING  
LATER TODAY WITH A QUICK SHOT OF SNOW MOVING THROUGH THE AREA.  
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 0.5-1" WITH 0.04-0.08"  
OF SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT OVERALL THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND, STRONGEST TODAY OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. SHOWERS WILL  
THEN CONTINUE EACH DAY THROUGH SATURDAY, AHEAD OF A COLDER AND  
DRIER AIRMASS BUILDING IN EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS  
LATER IN THE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 TO 20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31 TO 35 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 TO 80 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 14 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...N/A.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22 TO 26 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 TO 95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
INVERSION SETUP.....N/A.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31 TO 35 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 TO 80 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...N/A.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
 
CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS  
AROUND 30. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
 
CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
 
CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. LIGHT WINDS.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MACKAY  
REQUESTED BY...KRIS DUDLEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2523925.1/AFG  
.DELDT 10/22/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KDUDLEY@BLN.GOV  
 
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