007
FXAK69 PAFG 140049
AFDAFG
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
349 PM AKST FRI FEB 13 2026
SYNOPSIS
WINTER STORM AND BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT
ACROSS WESTERN ALASKA AND INTO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AS A MOISTURE
LADEN WARM FRONT BRINGS HEAVY SNOW TO THE AREA THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND. A WIDESPREAD 6 TO 12 INCHES IS LIKELY FOR MOST AREAS
SOUTH OF THE BROOKS RANGE AND WEST OF THE DALTON HIGHWAY. A BRIEF
PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWER YUKON
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL ALSO BE BREEZY TO GUSTY OVER HIGH
TERRAIN IN THE INTERIOR ON SATURDAY NIGHT AS WELL. ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING TO THE GULF OF ANADYR WILL BRING ANOTHER
ROUND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY SOUTH
OF THE BROOKS RANGE. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN THE BERING SEA LATE
NEXT WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
FOR NORTHERN ALASKA.
KEY WEATHER MESSAGES
CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...
- A MORE ROBUST SYSTEM WILL MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR
BRINGING WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL BEGINNING EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.
- THE PARKS HIGHWAY FROM THE NENANA HILLS TO DENALI PARK COULD
SEE UPWARDS OF A FOOT OF SNOW.
- FAIRBANKS COULD SEE A LARGE SPREAD ACROSS TOWN, BUT EXPECT 7 TO
10 INCHES. AREAS NORTH AND EAST OF TOWN COULD SEE UP TO A
FOOT.
- THE RICHARDSON HIGHWAY FROM HARDING LAKE TO NORTH POLE COULD
SEE UP TO A FOOT. THE HIGHEST TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND
EIELSON AFB.
- AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING/NIGHT, WIND
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH OVER EAGLE SUMMIT, 40 MPH ACROSS THE
WHITE MOUNTAINS, AND 30 MPH IN FAIRBANKS ARE POSSIBLE. WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND FALLING SNOW, VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED
BELOW A MILE DUE TO DRIFTING SNOW.
- ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE INTERIOR FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER
ROUND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.
- MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS WEEK AND INTO
NEXT WEEKEND WITH VALLEYS REACHING DOWN TO AROUND 40 BELOW.
WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...
- MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY
WITH A SHORT BREAK SATURDAY NIGHT. A WIDESPREAD 6 TO 11 INCHES
OF SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA, THOUGH AREAS NORTH OF THE
CENTRAL SEWARD PENINSULA WILL ONLY SEE 2 TO 4 INCHES.
- NORTHERLY WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THEN SHIFT TO MORE WESTERLY AS
THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. THIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE Y-K DELTA COASTLINE AND ST. LAWRENCE ISLAND.
- ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SNOW BEGINNING MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES TO THE GULF OF
ANADYR.
- MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TOWARD THE
END OF NEXT WEEK.
NORTH SLOPE AND BROOKS RANGE...
- ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. MOST SNOWFALL WILL REMAIN IN THE
SOUTHERN BROOKS RANGE RANGING FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES, THOUGH LIGHT
SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ARCTIC COAST BY SATURDAY NIGHT AS
WELL.
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN COLD WITH LOWS NEAR 30 BELOW THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, THOUGH LIGHTER WINDS AND QUIETER WEATHER
LOOK TO PREVAIL.
FORECAST ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION
FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO
TREND UPWARDS ON THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE STREAMING NORTH OF THE
ALASKA RANGE AND INTO INTERIOR ALASKA ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM
FRONT FROM A LOW IN THE BERING SEA. THE LOW WILL MOVE TO THE
BERING STRAIT AT 994 MB EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING
WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOW TO MOST OF THE AREA SOUTH OF THE BROOKS
RANGE AND WEST OF THE DALTON HIGHWAY, WITH WINTER STORM WARNINGS
POSTED FROM THE SEWARD PENINSULA ACROSS THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND
INTO THE DENALI AND FAIRBANKS AREAS. A SECOND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
RIGHT ON THE HEELS OF THE FIRST WILL BRING MORE SNOW TO NEARLY THE
SAME AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH COLD ADVECTION QUICKLY PUSHING
IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM. THIS WILL BRING MORE IN THE WAY OF WIND TO
BOTH INTERIOR VALLEYS AND HIGHER TERRAIN. CONVECTIVE BANDING IS
POSSIBLE WITH SNOWFALL IN BOTH SYSTEMS WITH SNOW TOTALS VARYING
WIDELY ACROSS SHORT DISTANCES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN MONDAY
MORNING BEHIND THIS SYSTEM, BRINGING CLEAR SKIES AND COLD
TEMPERATURES ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WITH JUST A FEW LINGERING
SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF FAIRBANKS.
EXTENDED FORECAST DAYS 4-7
THE PATTERN CONTINUES TO SHOW
ACTIVE WEATHER NEXT WEEK. A STRONG LOW AND ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT
WILL BEGIN MOVING FROM THE BERING SEA INTO THE WEST COAST
BEGINNING MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, HOWEVER IT SEEMS LIKELY
THAT THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE PRIOR TO MAKING A LARGE
IMPACT TO THE INTERIOR. SNOW TOTALS REMAIN UNCERTAIN FOR THE WEST
COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR, BUT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SNOWFALL MAY
BE HEAVY AT TIMES. AS THE LOW PRESSURE MAKES ITS LANDFALL ON THE
MAINLAND OF ALASKA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, IT WILL LIKELY BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOWFALL FOR THE WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR
TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON AND REACHING THE INTERIOR BY TUESDAY
EVENING INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. LINGERING LIGHT SNOW IS
POSSIBLE FOR THE REST OF NEXT WEEK FOR THE STATE. MUCH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO RETURN ESPECIALLY
TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE
AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AK...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ822>824-828>830-851-852.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ814>821.
BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ825>827.
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ834-838>847.
PK...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ801-850.
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ802.
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ803>805-852.
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ807.
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ808-809-855.
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ812-858.
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ813-859.
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ814.
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ815-860-861.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ816-817.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ851.
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ853.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ854.
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ856.
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