430  
FNAK79 PAFG 130644  
FWSAFG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 2026 DTA BOLIO RX...BLM-AFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK  
1044 PM AKDT TUE MAY 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 AKDT ON MAY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
OVERALL WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS  
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW BUILDS OVER THE STATE. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS  
MAY DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, BUT  
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAIN LOW. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR  
LIGHTNING WILL BE IN THE UPPER TANANA VALLEY NEAR THE ALCAN  
BORDER. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL STAY WARM ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE  
BRIEFLY COOLING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS  
COLD AIR GETS PUSHED SOUTH. MIN RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE LOW TO  
MID 30S THE REST OF THIS WEEK BEFORE DECREASING TO AROUND 25%  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EXPECT MAINLY SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS ON  
WEDNESDAY SHIFTING TOWARDS THE WEST/SOUTHWEST BY THURSDAY AT  
AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 0800 AKDT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST/EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
INVERSION SETUP.....AROUND 0000 AKDT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CWR.................16 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............10 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 0700 AKDT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN  
THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 14 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SANTIAGO  
REQUESTED BY...JOE ERICKSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613018.6/AFG  
.DELDT 05/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JERICKSON@BLM.GOV  
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