910
FNAK79 PAFG 140636
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR 2026 STUART CREEK RX...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1036 PM AKDT WED MAY 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 AKDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINNING IN BRISTOL BAY ALLOWS FOR
WIDESPREAD SOUTHERLY FLOW TO PERSIST OVER THE STATE. EXPECT HOT
AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 60S AND MIN RH VALUES AROUND 20%. CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION REMAIN LOW THROUGH MONDAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF GUSTY
WINDS MAY DEVELOP THROUGH THE WEEKEND OUT OF THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST,
DIMINISHING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. NO THUNDER IS EXPECTED IN
THE MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY, BUT A NON-ZERO CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING IS
POSSIBLE IN THE UPPER TANANA VALLEY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
21 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 0900 AKDT.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
21 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....AROUND 2100 AKDT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
21 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 0900 AKDT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...SANTIAGO
REQUESTED BY...JOE ERICKSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613626.0/AFG
.DELDT 05/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JERICKSON@BLM.GOV
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