546
FNAK79 PAFG 150633
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR 2026 STUART CREEK RX...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1033 PM AKDT THU MAY 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 AKDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHEAST BERING SEA ALLOWS FOR
PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW TO CONTINUE OVER THE STATE. EXPECT WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO
MID 60S AND MIN RH VALUES BETWEEN 20 TO 30%. LITTLE TO NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A
FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A NON-ZERO
CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD
MAINLY STAY CONFINED TO THE UPPER TANANA VALLEY. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH MONDAY WITH PERIODS OF
GUSTY WINDS AROUND 20 MPH POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOONS.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 0900 AKDT.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....AROUND 2200 AKDT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
21 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 0700 AKDT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...SANTIAGO
REQUESTED BY...JOE ERICKSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613626.1/AFG
.DELDT 05/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JERICKSON@BLM.GOV
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