839  
FNAK79 PAFG 090407  
FWSAFG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 391 BISHOP...USWFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK  
807 PM AKDT WED JUL 8 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 AKDT ON JULY 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL  
CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE YUKON VALLEY REGION THIS EVENING, WITH  
SEVERAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ALONG A LINE 50 MILES  
SOUTHWEST OF RUBY TO 50 MILES WEST OF TANANA. CONVECTION WILL  
SUBSIDE AROUND 12 AM TO 2 AM AKDT, WITH A RED FLAG WARNING  
REMAINING IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 AM FOR NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS.  
STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH, SMALL HAIL, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN.  
 
SHOWERS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LATER  
TONIGHT WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING, AHEAD OF  
ANOTHER ROUND OF (THIS TIME) ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON. LATEST MODELS SHOW THE BULK OF THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING  
EAST OF THE FIRE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BUT HAVE KEPT  
ISOLATED CHANCES IN THE LATEST FORECAST TO MENTION THE VICINITY.  
WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED PREDOMINANTLY OUT OF THE WEST/SOUTHWEST  
THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH LIGHTER WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS BACK FOR  
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.  
 
LOOKING AHEAD, STEADY RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED STARTING SATURDAY  
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO WESTERN ALASKA WITH WIDESPREAD  
RAIN AND BREEZY WINDS. A FIRST LOOK AT EXPECTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS  
THIS WEEKEND SHOWS AROUND 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT, THEN  
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................90 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............30 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NUMEROUS (60 PERCENT) IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53 TO 57 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 TO 90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.  
INVERSION SETUP.....NA.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED (20 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 74 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 TO 40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...NA.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED (20 PERCENT) IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 54 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 TO 80 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15  
MPH IN THE EVENING, DROPPING TO 4 TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20  
MPH IN THE EVENING, DROPPING TO 6 TO 10 MPH  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
INVERSION SETUP.....NA.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 TO 72 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 TO 50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...NA.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SATURDAY
 
 
CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
 
CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MACKAY  
REQUESTED BY...JOSH TURNBOW  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617059.0/AFG  
.DELDT 07/08/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AKYFDC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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