862  
FNAK79 PAFG 090436  
FWSAFG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 390 HORSESHOE...BLM-AFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK  
836 PM AKDT WED JUL 8 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 AKDT ON JULY 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
AS A LOW FROM THE BERING SHIFTS TO THE GULF OF ALASKA, ISOLATED  
SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL MOVE NEAR THE FIRE, CAUSING ISOLATED TO  
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS WITH THE POTENTIAL OF WETTING  
RAINS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, UPPER-LEVEL  
RIDGING WILL SET UP, BUT BE SHORT-LIVED AS ANOTHER LOW FROM THE  
BERING MOVES INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE  
PREDOMINATELY WESTERLY BUT MAY BECOME GUSTY AND ERRATIC IF A  
THUNDERSTORM OCCURS NEAR THE FIRE. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED  
TO BE IN THE MID 70S ON THURSDAY AND STEADILY DECREASE THROUGHOUT  
THE REST OF THE WEEK AND WEEKEND AND BE IN THE MID 60S BY SUNDAY.  
MIN RHS IN THE UPPER 30% RANGE ON THURSDAY AND STEADILY INCREASE  
THROUGH SATURDAY WITH OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES INTO THE 70 TO 90%  
RANGE. AS THE LOW MOVES CLOSER TO THE STATE, IT IS EXPECTED TO  
BRING TEMPERATURES DOWN AND MIN RHS UP FOR THE WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY  
SATURDAY.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN  
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................39 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............20 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NUM (60 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING  
NORTHERLY/NORTHWESTERLY IN THE EARLY MORNING  
AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.  
INVERSION SETUP.....AROUND 2200 AKDT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISO (20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 11 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 0800 AKDT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISO (20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EARLY MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.  
INVERSION SETUP.....AROUND 0200 AKDT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST/WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 0900 AKDT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
 
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...LEWIS  
REQUESTED BY...GALENA DISPATCH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617064.0/AFG  
.DELDT 07/08/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AKYFDC@FIRENET.GOV  
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