055
FNAK79 PAFG 091424
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR 386 BLUEBERRY...AKFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
624 AM AKDT THU JUL 9 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0715 AKDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
YESTERDAY, WEDNESDAY, SATELLITE SHOWED A NICE SMOKE COLUMN MOVING
TO THE SOUTH FROM THE BLUEBERRY, WHICH INDICATED DECENT NORTHERLY
WINDS ALONG THE CENTRAL SEWARD PEN. QUARTS RAWS REPORTED MAX
TEMPS IN THE MID 70S, MIN RH NEAR 35 PERCENT, AND MAX WIND GUSTS
20 TO 25 MPH. VIIRS ALSO SHOWED EXCELLENT HEAT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FIRE LOCATION.
FOR THURSDAY MORNING, WE ARE STARTING TO SEE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
BUILD ACROSS THE SEWARD PEN, WITH CLEAR SKIES. RH RECOVERY SEEMS
TO BE ABOVE 60 PERCENT, JUDGING FROM SURROUNDING SITES. MAIN THREAT
TODAY WITH BE BREEZY SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY WINDS, LIKELY BEING
FUNNELED UP OLIVINE CREEK, WITH THE SOUTHERLY RIDGE FROM
BLUEBERRY DOME HELPING INCREASE WINDS.
EXPECT FULLY MIXED LOWER BOUNDARY LAYER HELPING TO VENTILATE THE
FIRE. MIN RH LIKELY REACHING 35 TO 40 PERCENT. MAX TEMPS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S.
A TROUGH WILL DIG INTO THE BERING THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY,
BRINGING INCREASED CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY, ALONG
WITH NORTH TO EASTERLY WINDS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...1000 AKDT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....2300 AKDT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...1000 AKDT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 6 MPH.
SUNDAY
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 7 MPH.
MONDAY
NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...GALENA DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617058.1/AFG
.DELDT 07/09/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL AKYFDC@FIRENET.GOV
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