076
FNAK79 PAFG 131440
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR 404 - KONEDSIN MINNKOHWIN...USWFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
640 AM AKDT MON JUL 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON JULY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
UPDATE 0635 AKDT MONDAY:
I WAS LOOKING AT OUTDATED UPPER AIR DATA. DISCUSSION REMAINS THE
SAME, THE VALUES FOR RIDGETOP/3000FT AND SURFACE WINDS HAVE
CHANGED. - PARK
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING WAS CERTAINLY WET OUT IN THE
KANUTI FLATS, WITH SURROUNDING OBS REPORTING 0.12 TO 0.44 INCHES
OF RAIN. THE FIRE LIKELY SAW CLOSER TO THE 0.12 INCHES, WITH THE
RAY MOUNTAINS SOUTH OF THE FIRE TAKING THE BRUNT OF PRECIP. HOWEVER,
THAT IS SOME INTERPOLATION ON MY PART.
NOT EXPECTING MUCH WITH RESPECT TO FIRE WEATHER TODAY. EXTENSIVE
LOW CLOUD COVER CONTINUES THIS MORNING, BREAKING APART AND LIFTING
THROUGH THE DAY, BRINGING CONTINUED CHANCES FOR SOME RAIN
SHOWERS. TEMPS REMAIN BELOW 70F AND RH ABOVE 50 PERCENT. SOUTHERLY
WINDS INCREASE, BRINGING ANOTHER BLUSTERY DAY.
TUESDAY WET/COOL CONDITIONS CONTINUE AS A BROAD TROUGH SETS UP
ALONG THE COAST AND STEERS MULTIPLE LOWS INTO THE STATE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
CWR25...............10 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS NEAR 15 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 16 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...1100 AKDT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 11 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....2300 AKDT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...1200 AKDT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...TANANA ZONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617175.5/AFG
.DELDT 07/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TSHIELDS@BLM.GOV,MMATUSH@BLM.GOV,AKYFDC@FIRENET.GOV
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