570
FNAK79 PAFG 030029
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR MUKLUK...DIVISION OF FORESTRY AND FIRE PROTECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
429 PM AKDT WED SEP 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1630 AKDT ON SEPTEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A NORTH-TO-SOUTH ORIENTED COLD FRONT PUSHED THROUGH
THE UPPER TANANA VALLEY AREA EARLIER TODAY. BEHIND IT,
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE GUSTING UP TO AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH AS A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN OVER THE AREA. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH A DIMINISHING
TREND THROUGH THE EVENING. UNFORTUNATELY, THE TOK AIRPORT DIDN'T
REPORT ANY RAINFALL AS THE FRONT APPROACHED & MOVED THROUGH, WHICH
MEANS THAT THINGS WILL STAY DRY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL UNTIL, AT THE EARLIEST,
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, WHICH IS WHEN IT LOOKS LIKE A FRONTAL SYSTEM
MOVING-IN FROM THE WEST MAY OVERPOWER THAT RIDGE, CAUSING IT TO
BREAK-DOWN/TILT EASTWARD, ALLOWING SOME LIGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS TO
MAKE IT IT OVER TO THE UPPER TANANA VALLEY. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE
THE DRIEST DAY WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES AROUND 35% & HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 50S AS THE RIDGE WILL BE MOST DOMINANT
OVER THE AREA ON THAT DAY. FOR FRIDAY, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
INTO THE MIDDLE-60S & MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL INCREASE TO AROUND
45% DUE TO THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL SYSTEM WELL TO THE WEST
STARTING TO PUSH-OVER/BREAK-DOWN THAT RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE,
ALLOWING MORE WARM AIR & MOISTURE TO BEGIN FLOWING INTO THE
REGION. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL INCREASE INTO THE 50 TO 55% RANGE &
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOWER-TO-MIDDLE 60S THROUGH
MONDAY. UNFORTUNATELY, RAINFALL OF ANY APPRECIABLE AMOUNT, MUCH
LESS SIGNIFICANT WETTING RAIN, REMAINS UNLIKELY THROUGH MONDAY AS
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN ENOUGH CONTROL TO INHIBIT
THAT. FORTUNATELY, AFTER THIS EVENING, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ON THE LIGHTER SIDE THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD
AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL NOT BE CONDUCIVE TO
STRONG/GUSTY WINDS.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH, GUSTING TO AROUND
25 TO 30 MPH THROUGH THE EVENING, BECOMING LIGHT.
INVERSION SETUP.....1AM.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
INVERSION BURNOFF...10AM.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................3 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
INVERSION SETUP.....11PM.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
INVERSION BURNOFF...10AM.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
LABOR DAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...CHAMBERS
REQUESTED BY...MATT MAYER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620999.2/AFG
.DELDT 09/02/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRENTWOOD_REID@FIRENET.GOV,MATTHEW_MAYER@FIRENET.GOV
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