507
FNAK79 PAFG 301432
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDING DRIVE FUEL BREAK...NORTHERN FORESTRY DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
632 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 AKDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
GENERALLY COLD AND CLOUDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS,
WITH SURFACE WINDS MOSTLY UNDER 10 MPH. THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED
TO BE MOSTLY DRY, BUT MOVING INTO THE AFTERNOON, THERE WILL BE
CHANCES OF RAIN AND SNOW, WITH HIGHS REACHING THE LOW 40S. BY LATE
THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT, SNOWFALL WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
AND CONTINUOUS ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS SEVERAL HUNDRED FEET ABOVE
THE GROUND WILL INCREASE DURING THIS TIME FRAME AND COULD AT TIMES
GUST TO THE SURFACE. BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, SNOW WILL START
TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA, GIVING WAY TO A COLD NIGHT IN THE
LOWER 20S OR UPPER TEENS. COLD BUT MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH
LIGHT WINDS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS WARMING BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 40S BY THE WEEKEND.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................23 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH TURNING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...10 AM AKDT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY IN THE
EVENING, THEN SNOW OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................23 PERCENT.
CWR25...............0 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EARLY
MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....8 PM AKDT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW IN THE MORNING,
THEN SNOW LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................56 PERCENT.
CWR25...............10 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING
DECREASING TO 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...LITTLE OR NO INVERSION DUE TO SNOWFALL.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...SALTZMAN
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW VELDERRAIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622491.2/AFG
.DELDT 09/30/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DNF.DFFP.NFDC@ALASKA.GOV
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