153
FXAK67 PAJK 281426
AFDAJK
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
626 AM AKDT FRI MAR 28 2025
SHORT TERM
LITTLE CHANGES TO THE LAND AREA FORECAST FOR BOTH
POP AND TEMPERATURES. FOR POP, REMOVED ALL MENTION OF POP FROM THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AS PRECIPITATION IS ONLY EXPECTED TO REACH THE
NORTHERN TIP OF HAIDA GWAII. FOR TEMPERATURES, RAISED MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES IN DOWNTOWN JUNEAU, SKAGWAY, AND METLAKATLA AS MIXING
WINDS IS EXPECTED TO KEEP TEMPERATURES WARM. INTERESTINGLY ENOUGH
IN JUNEAU, THIS IS BOTH CURRENTLY AND EXPECTED TO CAUSE LARGE
TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE BACK OF MENDENHALL VALLEY AND
DOWNTOWN JUNEAU. AS OF TIME OF WRITING, THE TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE
IS APPROXIMATELY 20 DEGREES, AND SIMILAR CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR TOMORROW NIGHT.
LONG TERM.../THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL
LINGER SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY MORNING AS A FRONT MOVES
SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. VERY MINIMAL QPF AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED AS THE RAIN IS GOING TO BE VERY LIGHT WITH BREAKS IN
BETWEEN. THE PARENT LOW TO THIS FRONT WILL DETERIORATE AS A RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE PANHANDLE. AT THIS SAME TIME, WINDS ALONG THE
COAST AND INTERIOR WATERS WILL DECREASE AS THE LOW DIMINISHES. THE
EAST WEST GRADIENT WILL KEEP TAKU INLET AND STIKINE RIVER AREA
WINDS ELEVATED UNTIL EARLY SUNDAY.
THE RIDGE OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL MAKE THE EARLY START OF THE WEEK
DRY BEFORE THE NEXT LOW ENTERS THE GULF TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS
LOW WILL ENTER THE GULF FROM THE NORTHERN INTERIOR NOT ONLY BRINGING
PRECIPITATION AND WIND, BUT ALSO COOLER TEMPERATURES. AS THE LOW
MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH, WINDS IN THE NORTHERN GULF AND NORTHERN
INNER CHANNELS WILL INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. THE THEN
ACTIVE PATTERN WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION.../UNTIL 12Z SATURDAY/
CIG & VIS CONDITIONS IN THE
VFR CATEGORY ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE ENTIRE 24-HOUR TAF PERIOD
FOR ALL OF THE ALASKAN PANHANDLE REGION. NORTHEASTERLY OUTFLOW
CONTINUES TO BLOW FROM HIGHER PRESSURE OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA &
THE CANADIAN YUKON TO LOWER PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF &
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. WINDS LOOK TO REMAIN RATHER GUSTY OUT OF
GAPS/INTERIOR PASSES FOR OUTFLOW-PRONE AREAS SUCH AS NEAR PAGY,
PAHN, PAJN, & PAWG FOR THE PERIOD.
MARINE
TONED DOWN WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE PANHANDLE BY ROUGHLY
5-15 KNOTS DUE TO WARM CONDITIONS DAMPENING MARINE CONDITIONS.
MAINLY FRESH BREEZES OUT OF LYNN CANAL, TAKU INLET, AND OUT OF THE
STIKINE RIVER VALLEY FOR TODAY. FOR MARINE AREAS NEAR PETERSBURG
AND ICY STRAIT, EXPECT MOSTLY CALM WINDS FROM SHELTERING
MOUNTAINS. AS FOR THE GULF WINDS, AN INVERTED SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL INCREASE WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE
BEYOND 15 NM MAINLY.
AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-661-662.
SHORT TERM...NC
LONG TERM....EAB
AVIATION...JLC
MARINE...NC
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page