818  
FNAK77 PAJK 211551  
FWSAJK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHATHAM/FREDERICK USCG...USCG  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK  
751 AM AKDT TUE OCT 21 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON OCTOBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (907) 790-6824, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
AS OF 0730 TUESDAY MORNING WINDS OF STRONG BREEZES TO NEAR-GALES  
ARE IMPACTING THE CENTRAL INSIDE CHANNELS. THE HUBBARD STATE FERRY  
IS CURRENTLY TRANSITING SOUTH THROUGH CHATHAM STRAIT, HIGHLIGHTING  
25 TO 30 KNOTS OF SOUTHERLY WIND. COASTAL BUOYS ARE ALSO  
HIGHLIGHTING SIGNIFICANT SWELL OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST, NEAR 25FT AT  
15 SECONDS.  
 
MOVING THROUGH TUESDAY ANTICIPATING SOUTHERLY WINDS OF STRONG  
BREEZES TO CONTINUE TO IMPACT CHATHAM STRAIT, WITH SIGNIFICANT  
SWELL MAKING THE CHATHAM OCEAN ENTRANCE PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS  
FROM LARGE AND CONFUSED SEAS.  
 
TUESDAY EVENING A STORM FORCE LOW MOVES ALONG OUR COAST, WITH GALE  
FORCE WINDS ENVELOPING MUCH OF THE INSIDE PASSAGE. LOOK FOR PEAK  
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS NEAR MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR CHATHAM AND  
FREDERICK, WITH GUSTS REACHING 45 TO 50 KNOTS FOR A FEW HOURS.  
FURTHERMORE, FRESH SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STRONG WINDS WILL BE  
ABLE TO MOVE UP CHATHAM STRAIT, OUR CURRENT FORECAST HAS 10-15FT  
FRESH SEAS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM CAPE DECISION  
TO PT. GARDNER.  
 
WEDNESDAY ELEVATED SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE, WITH SUSTAINED WINDS  
OF STRONG BREEZES TO NEAR-GALE FORCE CONDITIONS.  
 
ANOTHER GALE FORCE LOW MOVES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN EARLY IN THE  
MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 18 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST AROUND 13 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........4 FEET.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP.... 42F  
DEGREES FAHRENHEIT. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.20 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 100 50 50 50 50 50 50 100 100  
TEMP............45 44 44 44 44 43 43 45 43 43 43  
RH..............93 95 94 93 97 97 98 97 97 100 96  
SFC WND DIR.....SW SW SW S S S SE SE SE E E  
SFC WND SPD KTS.18 18 18 11 11 11 12 12 12 13 13  
SFC WND GST.....26 26 26 21 21 21 20 20 20 23 23  
SWELL DIRECTION.N N N N N N N N N N N  
SWELL HGT (FT)..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4  
SST (F).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN RAIN IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).BREEZY. EAST WINDS 13 TO 19 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 30 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 10 TO  
20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 38 KNOTS IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........10-15 FEET.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....42 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....1.36 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
TEMP............43 44 43 44 43 43 43 43 43 43 44 43  
RH..............96 93 92 91 93 91 90 92 93 96 95 96  
SFC WND DIR.....E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
SFC WND SPD KTS.13 19 19 19 20 20 20 10 10 10 13 13  
SFC WND GST.....23 30 30 30 38 38 38 34 34 34 28 28  
SWELL DIRECTION.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
SWELL HGT (FT)..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)4 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
SST (F).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (KTS).SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 21 KNOTS.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTH SWELL 0 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........6 FEET.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....0 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.66 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
TEMP............43 43 44 43 43 43 43 44 44 44 44 44  
RH..............96 97 95 100 100 100 100 99 100 100 98 96  
SFC WND DIR.....SE E E E SE SE SE S S S SE SE  
SFC WND SPD KTS.13 17 17 17 21 21 21 18 18 18 17 17  
SFC WND GST.....28 30 30 30 30 30 30 27 27 27 30 30  
SWELL DIRECTION.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
SWELL HGT (FT)..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5  
SST (F).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
 
FORECASTER...PARK  
REQUESTED BY...USCG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...MARINE  
.TAG 2524069.0/AJK  
.DELDT 10/20/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SCCSOUTHEASTALASKA@USCG.MIL  
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