484
WWAK47 PAJK 072251
WSWAJK
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
151 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2025
..INCOMING STORM COULD BRING HEAVY SNOW TO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE
.THIS WEEKEND'S SNOWFALL EVENT HAS HIGH POTENTIAL TO BE A HEAVY
SNOW MAKER TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE KLONDIKE, BUT FOR THE
HAINES HIGHWAY THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY. EVEN HIGHER
UNCERTAINTY AT SEA LEVEL IN SKAGWAY AND HAINES.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH THROUGH THE
EASTERN GULF THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEAST JUST SOUTH OF CROSS SOUND AND MOVE INLAND TOWARDS CANADA
JUST NORTH OF JUNEAU. THAT BEING SAID, THERE IS SOME EVIDENCE
THAT THE LOW COULD TRACK WEST AND STAY IN THE GULF THROUGH SUNDAY
OR TURN TOWARDS CANADA AND TRACK SOUTH OF JUNEAU ON SUNDAY. THESE
OTHER TRACKS WOULD GREATLY AFFECT THE FINAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BUT
FOR NOW, THE FOLLOWING AMOUNTS ARE BASED ON THE FIRST TRACK.
ANOTHER VARIABLE IS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE FORECAST. AS THIS LOW
MOVES NORTH, THE FRONT SIDE OF THE LOW WILL HAVE NORTHERLY FLOW,
THAT WOULD USHER IN COOLER AIR AND SUPPORT SNOW. BUT AS THE LOW
TRACKS NORTH, THERE WILL BE A SOUTHERLY PUSH OF WIND THAT WOULD
SWITCH THE SNOW TO RAIN. THE QUESTION IS WHETHER OR NOT THE
SOUTHERLY PUSH MAKES IT THAT FAR NORTH. THERE IS MORE EVIDENCE IN
THE MODELS THAT THE SWITCH TO RAIN WOULD HAPPEN BECAUSE OF THE
SOUTHERLY PUSH BUT HISTORY AND PATTERN RECOGNITION WOULD SAY SNOW
WOULD LAST INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SO THE PRECIP TYPE FORECAST WILL
BE A CHALLENGE.
AKZ318-090000-
/O.NEW.PAJK.WS.A.0007.251109T0900Z-251110T0300Z/
MUNICIPALITY OF SKAGWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SKAGWAY AND WHITE PASS
151 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2025
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 13
INCHES POSSIBLE PASSED MILE MARKER 8. FOR SKAGWAY, AMOUNTS UP TO
1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE.
* WHERE...HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY, ESPECIALLY
NEAR WHITE PASS.
* WHEN...FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT AND IS DISCOURAGED.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...DEPENDING ON THE TEMPERATURE PROFILE AND
HOW MUCH MOISTURE CAN FLOW INTO THE AREA, SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD
BE AS HIGH AS 14 TO 17 INCHES, BUT NUMBERS LIKE THAT ARE ON THE
HIGH END WITH THE LOWEST CONFIDENCE. IF THE SOUTHERLY PUSH MAKES
IT TO SKAGWAY FASTER THAN EXPECTED, TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FOR
SKAGWAY WOULD BE LOWER THAN THE 1 TO 3 INCHES MENTIONED ABOVE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.
AKZ319-090000-
/O.NEW.PAJK.WS.A.0007.251109T0900Z-251110T0000Z/
HAINES BOROUGH AND KLUKWAN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF HAINES
151 PM AKST FRI NOV 7 2025
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8
INCHES POSSIBLE PASSED MILE MARKER 20. FOR HAINES, AMOUNTS UP TO
2 TO 4 INCHES.
* WHERE...HAINES HIGHWAY AND KLUKWAN.
* WHEN...FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...AHEAD OF THIS LOW, NORTHERLY FLOW WOULD
PULL COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA, WHICH WOULD SUPPORT SNOW. AND AS
THE LOW TRACKS INTO CANADA, WE WOULD EXPECT WINDS TO STAY OUT OF
THE WEST, ALLOWING FOR COOLER AIR TO CONTINUE TO GET PULLED IN
AND KEEP THE CHANCES FOR SNOW IN THE FORECAST. BUT THE SOUTHERLY
PUSH OF WIND COULD USHER IN WARMER AIR THAT WOULD SWITCH THE
SNOW TO RAIN. SO LOW CONFIDENCE ON THE PRECIP TYPE FORECAST FOR
NOW. BUT IF THE TEMPERATURE PROFILE CAN STAY COLD ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT SNOW, HEAVY SNOW WOULD BE LIKELY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT
HTTPS://WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU
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