281  
FNAK77 PAJK 170514  
FWSAJK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KEKU SAR...USCG  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK  
814 PM AKST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 AKST ON FEBRUARY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (907) 790-6824, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MARINE: TWO PLAUSIBLE SCENARIOS FOR THE MARINE FORECAST, WITH LARGEST  
IMPACTS EARLY IN THE FORECAST. THE FIRST, HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD, ARE SUSTAINED  
NEAR GALE NORTHERLIES WITH GUSTS UP TO STRONG GALE. THINKING IS VALLEY WINDS  
COMBINED WITH KATABATIC FLOW WILL KEEP STRONGEST WINDS IN PLACE THROUGH THE NIGHT  
BEFORE DIMINISHING SOMEWHAT TO FRESH BREEZES IN THE MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. THE LESS  
LIKELIHOOD SCENARIO IS FOR WINDS TO LARGELY BE BLOCKED BY MOUNTAINS, BESIDES FOR THE  
OCCASIONAL STRONG GUST UP TO 45 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH.  
 
AVIATION: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS WITH ONLY LLWS AND SURFACE WIND CONCERNS.  
IF WINDS ARE BLOCKED AT THE SURFACE, THEN CAN EXPECT 30 KNOTS OF LLWS FROM THE NORTH  
AT AROUND 1000 FT. ONLY CONCERNED ABOUT LLWS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, AS WINDS ALOFT AND AT  
THE SURFACE ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO 20 KNOTS OR LESS.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.  
MAX HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............10.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 23 TO 29 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 46 MPH  
DECREASING TO 35 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTH SWELL 0 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........2 FEET.  
FREEZING SPRAY......NONE.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....42 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (AKST) 1 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........1 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0  
TEMP............26 24  
DEWPOINT........11 10  
RH..............53 53  
SURFACE WIND....N 29G46 N 23G35  
SWELL HGT (FT)..N 0 N 0  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)2 2  
FREEZING SPRAY..  
SST (F).........42 42  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............8 DECREASING TO 5 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS AROUND 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
35 MPH.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTH SWELL 0 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........2 FEET.  
FREEZING SPRAY......NONE.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....42 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (AKST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........9 16 18 18  
WEATHER COV..... DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE FZSPRY  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............23 23 24 23  
DEWPOINT........9 10 5 4  
RH..............54 57 44 42  
SURFACE WIND....N 23G35 N 23G35 N 23G35 N 23G35  
SWELL HGT (FT)..N 0 N 0 N 0 N 0  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)2 2 2 2  
FREEZING SPRAY..  
SST (F).........42 42 42 42  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). LIGHT FREEZING  
SPRAY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 13.  
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............5.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 17 TO 23 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN  
THE EVENING.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTH SWELL 0 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........2 FEET.  
FREEZING SPRAY......NONE.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....42 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (AKST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........17 30 35 32  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....FZSPRY FZSPRY FZSPRY FZSPRY  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............20 18 15 14  
DEWPOINT........7 7 5 4  
RH..............56 63 64 64  
SURFACE WIND....N 23G35 N 23G29 N 17G23 N 17G23  
SWELL HGT (FT)..N 0 N 0 N 0 N 0  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)2 2 2 2  
FREEZING SPRAY..  
SST (F).........42 42 42 42  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............6.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 6 TO 17 MPH.  
SWELL HEIGHT........NORTH SWELL 0 FEET.  
WAVE HEIGHT.........1 FOOT.  
FREEZING SPRAY......NONE.  
SEA SURFACE TEMP....42 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
 
TIME (AKST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........25 13 7 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............14 16 21 23  
DEWPOINT........5 5 6 6  
RH..............65 62 52 48  
SURFACE WIND....N 17G23 N 9G15 N 8G14 N 6G10  
SWELL HGT (FT)..N 0 N 0 N 0 N 0  
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)1 1 1 0  
FREEZING SPRAY..  
SST (F).........42 42 42 42  
 
 
FORECASTER...COMPTON  
REQUESTED BY...USCG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2602877.0/AJK  
.DELDT 02/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SCCSOUTHEASTALASKA@USCG.MIL  
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