342
WGAK87 PAJK 152223
FLSAJK
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
223 PM AKDT THU OCT 15 2026
.AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVER STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE PANHANDLE IS
EXPECTED TO BRING TWO ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE JUNEAU AREA.
THE FIRST WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY, WHILE THE SECOND WAVE WILL
BRING HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THIS
LONGER DURATION OF HEAVY RAINFALL WITH NOT MUCH OF A BREAK IN BETWEEN
WILL ALLOW FOR RIVER AND CREEK RISES, WITH MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS EXPECTED GOING INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
AKZ325-160630-
/O.NEW.PAJK.FA.Y.0011.261015T2223Z-261017T0930Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY AND BOROUGH OF JUNEAU AK-
223 PM AKDT THU OCT 15 2026
..FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM AKDT SATURDAY
* WHAT...SMALL STREAM FLOODING CAUSED BY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED.
* WHERE...AREAS AROUND MONTANA CREEK AND JORDAN CREEK.
* WHEN...UNTIL 130 AM AKDT SATURDAY.
* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING IN LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
WATER OVER ROADWAYS. SOME LOW-WATER CROSSINGS MAY BECOME
IMPASSABLE.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- AT 146 PM AKDT, SATELLITE ESTIMATES INDICATE HEAVY RAIN ACROSS
THE ADVISORY AREA. RAPID RIVER RISES WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF
SMALL STREAMS, ESPECIALLY NEAR MONTANA CREEK AND JORDAN CREEK.
BETWEEN 0.75 AND 1 INCH OF RAIN HAS FALLEN. THE EXPECTED RAINFALL
RATE IS 0.15-0.3 INCHES IN 1 HOUR. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.
- MONTANA CREEK IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN TO FALL BELOW MINOR FLOOD
STAGE BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING TO MIDDAY, WHILE JORDAN CREEK WILL
STAY ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE A BIT LONGER INTO THE DAY, FALLING
BELOW MINOR FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
- FOR JORDAN CREEK NEAR JUNEAU:
AT 12:00PM THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET.
FLOOD STAGE IS 9.7 FEET.
FORECAST: A CREST AROUND 9.9 FEET IS EXPECTED AROUND 1:00PM
FRIDAY. WATER LEVELS WILL GO ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE AROUND
8:00AM. WATER LEVELS WILL GO BELOW MINOR FLOOD STAGE AROUND
10:00PM.
IMPACTS:
AT 9.2 FEET: THIS IS THE STAGE WHEN JORDAN CREEK IS AT BANKFULL AND
WATER WILL BEGIN TO INUNDATE AREAS ALONG THE EDGES OF THE CREEK NEAR
RACE REALITY AND JORDAN SQUARE.
AT 9.7 FEET: WATER WILL INUNDATE THE JORDAN SQUARE'S FRONT AND BACK
PARKING LOTS, AROUND JORDAN CREEK OFFICE CONDOMINIUMS WITH UP TO ONE
FOOT OF WATER. SOME RESIDENTIAL DRIVEWAYS WILL BE FLOODED AND CUT
OFF.
- FOR MONTANA CREEK AT BACK LOOP BRIDGE:
AT 12:00PM THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET.
FLOOD STAGE IS 14.5 FEET.
FORECAST: A CREST AROUND 14.7 FEET IS EXPECTED AROUND 7:00AM
FRIDAY. WATER LEVELS WILL GO ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE AROUND
5:00AM. WATER LEVELS WILL GO BELOW MINOR FLOOD STAGE AROUND
9:00AM.
IMPACTS:
AT 14.5 FEET: WATER BEGINS FLOWING OVER THE LOW WATER CROSSING ON
MONTANA CREEK ROAD. BANKFULL CONDITIONS AT THE GAUGE WITH WATER
STARTING TO INUNDATE ADJACENT UNDEVELOPED FIELDS ALONG MENDENHALL
LOOP ROAD.
AT 15.5 FEET: UP TO ONE HALF FOOT OF WATER WILL FLOW OVER THE LOW
WATER CROSSING ON MONTANA CREEK ROAD AFTER THE COMMUNITY GARDENS.
WATER WILL APPROACH AND BEGIN TO INUNDATE YARDS OF RESIDENCES ALONG
THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF MENDENHALL LOOP ROAD.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL RADIO,
TELEVISION, OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.
TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.
IF YOU LIVE NEAR OR ALONG MONTANA CREEK OR JORDAN CREEK STAY ALERT
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION.
LAT...LON 5839 13465 5845 13462 5844 13455 5843 13453
5843 13452 5841 13453 5840 13454 5837 13455
5835 13456 5835 13460 5838 13465
LEIGH.CONTINO
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page