658  
FGUS71 KCLE 221642  
ESFCLE  
OHC005-007-033-035-043-055-063-075-077-083-085-093-095-099-101-  
103-117-123-133-139-143-147-151-153-155-169-173-175-PAC039-049-  
241645-  
 
WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH  
1242 PM EDT FRI MAR 22 2019  
 
   
..NEAR NORMAL FLOOD RISK THROUGH EARLY APRIL
 
 
THIS IS THE SIXTH FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK OF THE 2019 SEASON.  
FLOOD OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED EVERY TWO WEEKS THROUGH EARLY SPRING  
TO SUMMARIZE BASIN CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR  
FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND FORECAST  
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS. THIS INCLUDES SNOW COVER AND WATER  
EQUIVALENT, CREEK AND RIVER LEVELS AND THE AMOUNT OF ICE ON THEM,  
ALONG WITH THE EXPECTED CONDITIONS DURING THE NEXT TWO WEEKS.  
FLOODING COULD OCCUR WITH WATER LEVELS HAVING MINOR IMPACTS EVEN  
WITH A BELOW NORMAL OUTLOOK.  
   
..CURRENT CONDITIONS SUMMARY
 
 
CONDITIONS FAVOR A NEAR NORMAL FLOOD RISK ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO  
AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA AT THE TIME OF THIS ISSUANCE. DESPITE A  
PERIOD OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES, MOST OF THE REGION SNOWPACK  
WAS ELIMINATED AND GROUND TEMPERATURES WERE ABOVE FREEZING.  
STREAMFLOWS AND RIVER LEVELS WERE NEAR NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE ONSET  
OF SPRING. GROUND WATER AND SOIL MOISTURE IS ABOVE NORMAL,  
PRIMARILY IN THE OHIO RIVER RIVER BASINS. THE SEVEN DAY FORECAST  
CALLS FOR NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION, AND THE WEEKLY AND SEASONAL  
OUTLOOKS FAVOR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION INTO EARLY APRIL WITH  
NEAR NORMAL CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF SPRING. OVERALL ALL  
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS FAVOR A NORMAL SEASONAL FLOOD RISK FOR EARLY  
SPRING.  
 
   
..SNOWPACK
 
 
NO SNOWPACK WAS PRESENT AT THE TIME OF THIS ISSUANCE, THOUGH  
SNOW SHOWERS WERE ONGOING. FORECASTED TEMPERATURES WILL  
ELIMINATED ANY SNOW AMOUNTS BY MIDDAY SATURDAY. NO ADDITIONAL  
SNOWPACK IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER.  
 
STREAMFLOWS/RESERVOIR LEVELS  
STREAMFLOWS WERE BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES DRAINAGE  
BASIN, AND NEAR NORMAL IN THE OHIO RIVER DRAINAGE BASIN AT THE  
TIME OF THIS ISSUANCE. RESERVOIRS WERE NEAR NORMAL WINTER POOL  
LEVELS WITH A HIGH PERCENTAGE OF FLOOD STORAGE AVAILABLE.  
   
..RIVER ICE
 
 
NO RIVER ICE REPORTED AND ONLY SPOTTY LAKE ICE PRESENT.  
   
..SOIL TEMPERATURES
 
 
SOIL TEMPERATURES WERE ABOVE FREEZING FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHER  
TERRAIN OF THE FRENCH CREEK BASIN IN PENNSYLVANIA.  
   
..TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK
 
 
THE NATIONAL SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK SHOWS TWO-THIRDS OF THE  
CONTINENTAL U.S. WITH AN ELEVATED RISK OF FLOODING. THIS OUTLOOK  
BRING A MINOR RISK OF FLOODING INTO THE OHIO RIVER DRAINAGE  
BASINS, INCLUDING THE MUSKINGUM AND SCIOTO RIVERS. THE SEVEN DAY  
FORECAST CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE CLIMATE  
PREDICTION CENTER CALLS FOR NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO  
EARLY APRIL AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE ONE AND THREE  
MONTH OUTLOOKS CALL FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NORMAL  
PRECIPITATION.  
   
..FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
 
 
THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN FAVORS A NORMAL FLOOD RISK THROUGH  
EARLY APRIL. WITH THE LONGER DAYLIGHT HOURS THE ONSET OF  
VEGETATION GROWTH WILL SOON BEGIN, LIKELY BY EARLY APRIL.  
 
   
..ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
 
 
REAL TIME RIVER INFORMATION AND PROBABILISTIC FORECAST FOR  
SPECIFIC LOCATIONS ALONG RIVERS ACROSS THE REGION CAN BE FOUND ON  
THE INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CLE. SINCE CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE,  
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WATCHES, WARNINGS, AND  
STATEMENTS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.  
 

 
 
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