090  
FGUS71 KILN 101724  
ESFILN  
INC029-041-047-115-137-155-161-177-KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-  
135-161-187-191-201-OHC001-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-041-  
045-047-049-057-061-065-071-073-089-091-097-107-109-113-129-131-  
135-141-145-149-159-165-121730-  
 
WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH  
1224 PM EST THU JAN 10 2019  
   
..NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FLOOD RISK THROUGH JANUARY 24
 
 
NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS AT LEAST SOME FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.  
ABOVE NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS  
POSSIBLE WITH SOME POINTS POSSIBLY REACHING MODERATE OR MAJOR  
FLOOD LEVELS.  
 
THIS IS A BIWEEKLY FLOOD OUTLOOK ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES IN  
WINTER AND EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN CONDITIONS AND TO  
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON  
CURRENT AND FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS.  
 
THE FACTORS CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING FLOOD POTENTIAL INCLUDE  
CURRENT STREAMFLOW AND RESERVOIR LEVELS COMPARED TO NORMAL FOR  
THE PERIOD, WATER EQUIVALENT IN ANY SNOW PACK, SOIL MOISTURE  
AND EXPECTED PRECIPITATION.  
 
WITH FACTORS CONSIDERED BELOW, THE FIRST WEEK OF THE OUTLOOK  
PERIOD IS CHARACTERIZED BY SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL,  
INCREASING TO NEAR NORMAL POTENTIAL NEAR AND AFTER JANUARY 18-19.  
   
..SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT
 
 
LITTLE TO NO SNOW COVER ACROSS THE REGION.  
   
..STREAMFLOW
 
 
STREAMFLOW WAS NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID JANUARY ACROSS OHIO,  
SOUTHEAST INDIANA AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY.  
   
..ICE
 
 
ICE IS MINIMAL ON AREA RIVERS, AND THE EXTREME COLD TEMPERATURES  
NECESSARY FOR THICK RIVER ICE TO FORM IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE 2  
WEEK PERIOD, SO FLOODING DUE TO ICE JAMS IS NOT AN IMMEDIATE  
THREAT.  
   
..SOIL MOISTURE
 
 
SOIL MOISTURE PER MEASUREMENTS FROM THE NATURAL RESOURCES  
CONSERVATIONS SERVICE AND MODELED SOIL MOISTURE FOR THE REGION  
WAS MUCH ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID JANUARY THROUGHOUT THE LOCAL AREA.  
   
..RESERVOIR CAPACITY
 
 
AREA RESERVOIRS IN GENERAL WERE NEAR NORMAL WINTER FLOOD CONTROL  
POOL LEVEL, SO OPTIMUM STORAGE CAPACITY IS IN PLACE.  
   
..WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION
 
 
FOR MUCH OF THE FIRST WEEK OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD, TEMPERATURES ARE  
COLD ENOUGH SO THAT LIQUID PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED. THERE IS  
POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL ON SATURDAY JANUARY 12  
AS OF THIS WRITING. A SLIGHT WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED AT THE END  
OF THE FIRST WEEK OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD, SO SOME MINOR RUNOFF  
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE, BUT THEY ARE NOT LIKELY TO RESULT IN  
FLOODING.  
 
IN WEEK 2 OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD, THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER IS  
FORECASTING NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES BUT ABOVE NORMAL  
PRECIPITATION. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS PRECIPITATION TO  
FALL AS RAIN AS OPPOSED TO FREEZING/FROZEN PRECIPITATION.  
 
REAL TIME RIVER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
ALONG RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY  
AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA CAN BE FOUND AT  
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=ILN  
 

 
 
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