067  
FNUS76 KMFR 140042  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAGGY...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
442 PM PST FRI FEB 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON FEBRUARY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
WHILE ACTIVE WEATHER RETURNS TO THE REGION THIS  
WEEKEND, TERRAIN IN WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY WILL SHELTER THE SPOT  
LOCATION FROM THE INITIAL ROUND OF SHOWERS, KEEPING CHANCES OF  
PRECIPITATION LOW ON SATURDAY. RAINFALL CHANCES INCREASE ON  
SUNDAY AS A DEEPENING TROUGH BRINGS SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT AND  
A DEEPER PUSH OF MOISTURE, WITH WETTING AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.  
PERIODS OF BREEZY TO GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AS  
THE UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS.  
 
ACTIVE WEATHER CONTINUES INTO THE WEEK AHEAD, WITH DECREASING  
SLOW LEVELS EXPECTED TO BRING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE SPOT LOCATION  
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE (20-30%) OF  
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 47 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 TO 65 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH AT 1 TO 2 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AT  
4 TO 6 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO  
12 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AT 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AT  
13 TO 16 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO  
30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AT 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AT  
14 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE (20-30%) OF  
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35 TO 38 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 TO 90 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH AT 4 TO 6 MPH WITH EVENING GUSTS  
UP TO 9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT  
1 TO 2 MPH NEAR MIDNIGHT, THEN BECOMING  
SOUTH AT 3 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
9 MPH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AT 12 TO 15 MPH WITH EVENING GUSTS  
UP TO 30 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT  
3 TO 5 MPH NEAR MIDNIGHT, THEN BECOMING  
SOUTH AT 11 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
28 MPH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AT 11 TO 13 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AT  
7 TO 9 MPH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TO  
60-70% INTO THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42 TO 45 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70 TO 74 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH AT 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT  
2 TO 4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AT 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
18 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT 6 TO 8 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AT 8 TO 10 MPH THROUGH THE DAY.  
CWR.................45 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...DALDRUP  
REQUESTED BY...EZEKIEL JONES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602512.1/MFR  
.DELDT 02/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL EZEKIEL.JONES@USDA.GOV,RYAN.MUTCHNICK@USDA.GOV  
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