360  
FNUS76 KMFR 170200  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HAYDEN RIDGE 2...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
700 PM PDT MON MAR 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PDT ON MARCH 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING OVER THE WEST COAST AND  
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE SOME FIRE WEATHER  
RISK WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW PM HUMIDITY (TEENS), ALONG  
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN AFTERNOON BREEZES. THESE BREEZES WILL LIKELY  
BE STRONGEST ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS. A COLD FRONT IS LIKELY  
TO MOVE THROUGH ON FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A COOLING TREND THIS WEEKEND (BREEZY  
SATURDAY), BUT MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS UNLIKELY. A STRONGER FRONT  
COULD ARRIVE NEXT TUESDAY WITH A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF RAINFALL.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY AND WARM (A FEW HIGH CLOUDS).  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPSLOPE 0-1 MPH BECOMING NW 1-2 MPH SHIFTING  
TO S 1-3 MPH TOWARD EVENING.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 0-3 MPH BECOMING NW 1-4 MPH AFTER 0900  
UNTIL 1700, THEN S 2-6 MPH WITH PEAK GUSTS 10-15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 50 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S 1-3 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0-1 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........S 2-6 MPH WITH GUSTS 10-15 MPH TIL 2100, THEN  
1-3 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10 MPH EASING TO 5 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY AND WARM.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPSLOPE 0-1 MPH BECOMING WNW 1-2 MPH SHIFTING  
TO SE 1-3 MPH TOWARD EVENING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SSE 1-3 MPH BECOMING WNW 1-4 MPH AFTER 0900 UNTIL  
1700, THEN SE 3-7 MPH WITH PEAK GUSTS 11-17 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...RYAN MUTCHNICK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605989.0/MFR  
.DELDT 03/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL THOMAS.SHICKLE@USDA.GOV,PAUL.BUCHTER@USDA.GOV,EZEKIEL.JONES@USDA.GOV,GEORGE.CORREA@USDA.GOV,RYAN.MUTCHNICK@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.GENTRY@USDA.GOV  
 
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