399
FNUS76 KMFR 170535
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR CASTLE LAKE HANDPILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
935 PM PST TUE DEC 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON DECEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ONE FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY. RAIN
CHANCES ARE HIGHEST BEFORE 0900, BUT EXPECT CLOUDS TO BREAK FOR SOME
SUN. A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY WITH A CHANCE OF MOSTLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION, BUT HIGH SNOW
LEVELS. IT WON'T BE UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN WE EXPECT A PERIOD OF HEAVIER,
STEADIER WETTING RAINFALL WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT. PRECIP TAPERS OFF
FRI NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, BUT THERE COULD BE MORE RAIN/SNOW SUNDAY.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........A 70% CHANCE OF RAIN BEFORE 0900; OTHERWISE,
CLOUDS BREAKING FOR SOME SUN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SW 2-5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH BECOMING SE.
WIND (20 FT)........SW 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH BECOMING SE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10-15 MPH BECOMING S.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50% CHANCE OF RAIN OR
SNOW. SNOW LEVEL 5000 FEET RISING ABOVE 7000
FEET. RAIN AMOUNT: TRACE-0.05".
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-40, BUT RISING.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S 5-10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........S 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 10-20 MPH INCREASING TO 20-30 MPH.
CWR.................10-20 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A 50% CHANCE OF RAIN. SNOW LEVEL ABOVE
7000 FEET. RAIN AMOUNT: TRACE-0.10".
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MIN HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........S 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 20-30 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 17 MPH. RAIN AMOUNT: 0.50-1.00".
SATURDAY
SHOWERS TAPERING OFF. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
SUNDAY
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...HANNE MEYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527528.0/MFR
.DELDT 12/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHRISTINE.HOLST@USDA.GOV,RAMON.MOTA@USDA.GOV,HANNE.MEYERS@USDA.GOV
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