318  
FNUS76 KMFR 302109  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HAGELSTEIN FIRE...BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
209 PM PDT WED JUL 30 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 PDT ON JULY 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11  
PM THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS...  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM UNTIL 8 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR  
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AS THE AFTERNOON  
PROGRESSES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ISOLATED STORMS SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF  
THE BURN AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE  
LIKELY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.39 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 2-4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4-7 MPH, EXCEPT FOR GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................53 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.29 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH, THEN VARIABLE 0-2 MPH  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 3-5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING VARIABLE 2-4 MPH, EXCEPT FOR GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
CWR.................53 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.32 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH, BECOMING WEST 2-4 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH, BECOMING WEST 4-8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON, EXCEPT FOR GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................17 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI  
REQUESTED BY...JESSE MORRIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2518714.3/MFR  
.DELDT 07/30/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JHMORRIS@BLM.GOV  
 
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