036
FNUS76 KMFR 150513
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR POKER JIM PILES...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
913 PM PST WED JAN 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON JANUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING STEEP INVERSIONS RESULTING IN
MILD DAYS AND COOL NIGHTS WITH UNUSUALLY LOW HUMIDITY AND POOR TO
MODERATE MID AND UPPER SLOPE/RIDGE RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES.
OVERALL, EXPECTING SHIFTING WINDS DUE TO DIURNAL/TERRAIN HEATING
WHICH WILL BE MOSTLY W OR SW IN THE MORNINGS, THEN ENE FOR A TIME
AFTER AROUND 1100. THESE COULD SWITCH BACK TO W BY EVENING AS THE SUN
SETS. THIS PATTERN WILL LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
WITH ONLY SUBTLE DAY TO DAY CHANGES THROUGH AT LEAST WED, JAN 21ST.
SOME LONG RANGE GUIDANCE LATE NEXT WEEK IS SHOWING POTENTIAL FOR
THE PATTERN TO CHANGE, BUT HOW MUCH, IF AT ALL, IS UNCERTAIN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE OR W 1-4 MPH BECOMING ENE 2-4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WNW 3-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH BECOMING ENE
AFTER 1100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....ENE 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....ENE SWITCHING QUICKLY TO WSW 1-3 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........ENE SWITCHING QUICKLY TO WSW 3-8 MPH. GUSTS TO
12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....E 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SW 1-3 MPH BECOMING ENE BY 1100, THEN BACK TO W
BY 1600.
WIND (20 FT)........SW 3-8 MPH BECOMING ENE BY 1100, THEN BACK
TO W BY 1600. GUSTS TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SE 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...MCCAFFREY BALLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600208.0/MFR
.DELDT 01/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MCCAFFREY_BALLARD@FWS.GOV
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