011  
FNUS76 KMFR 240426  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR COUNTRY FRZ 110...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
826 PM PST MON FEB 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON FEBRUARY 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
HEAVY RAIN BEGINNING MONDAY EVENING WILL CONTINUE  
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON, WITH A STORM TOTAL OF AROUND 4 INCHES.  
LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT WITH  
CLOUDY SKIES AND MUCH LIGHTER SHOWERS. THE LAST FEW SHOWERS SHOULD  
TAPER OFF AROUND SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. WARMER AFTERNOONS  
AND COLDER NIGHTS WILL FOLLOW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN WEDNESDAY  
THROUGH FRIDAY. A WEAK WARM FRONT IS LIKELY THIS WEEKEND, WITH  
ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAINFALL POSSIBLE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). HEAVY RAIN.  
ACCUMULATION OF 2.30 INCHES.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.7 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 11 MPH.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.  
ACCUMULATION OF 0.05 INCHES.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY EARLY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH  
DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...WEYGAND  
REQUESTED BY...EZEKIEL JONES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603684.0/MFR  
.DELDT 02/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PAUL.BUCHTER@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.GENTRY@USDA.GOV,EZEKIEL.JONES@USDA.GOV  
 
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