498
FNUS76 KMFR 082039
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK...IA LIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
139 PM PDT TUE JUL 8 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 PDT ON JULY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
TODAY, THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE
AREA. BEST CHANCES WILL BE NORTH OF THE FIRE. HOWEVER, CANNOT RULE OUT
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEARBY. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. ALSO STRONG, GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 TO 45 MPH.
THE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER AND HUMIDITIES SLIGHTLY HIGHER
ON WEDNESDAY. WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY
HOT TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 2 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV..... S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD
CWR.............0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).5 20
TEMP............85 87
RH..............17 15
20 FT WIND......S 10G18 SW 13G21
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 4G10 SW 6G12
MIX HGT (FT)....10000 9500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 SW 18
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING WITH
GUSTS TO 12 MPH, BECOMING LIGHT
AROUND MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH IN THE EVENING WITH
GUSTS TO 21 MPH, BECOMING LIGHT
AROUND MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).20 15 0 0
TEMP............82 69 62 55
RH..............18 27 45 60
20 FT WIND......SW 12G20 SW 6G10 VRB 3G6 VRB 3G6
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6G12 SW 3G6 VRB 1G3 VRB 1G3
MIX HGT (FT)....9500 1500 200 100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 18 SW 12 NW 6 SW 3
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 3 TO 4 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
4 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8
TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC ISOLTD
CWR.............10 10 10 10
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 20 15
TEMP............53 63 72 79
RH..............60 47 33 25
20 FT WIND......S 2G5 S 3G6 W 6G8 W 8G13
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 1G2 S 1G3 W 2G5 W 4G7
MIX HGT (FT)....300 4400 8400 9500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 SW 5 W 8 W 10
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...BRAD SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517592.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/08/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ORLFC@FIRENET.GOV
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