268
FNUS76 KMFR 210307
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR SODA FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
807 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 PDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. LIGHT SHOWERS HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE (10-20%) OF REACHING
THE SPOT LOCATION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING,
BUT AMOUNTS WOULD BE UNIMPACTFUL. AREA RIDGELINES ARE EXPECTED
TO SEE PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS FROM THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST.
TERRAIN MAY GENERALLY BLOCK THESE FROM CONSTANTLY REACHING THE
SPOT LOCATION, BUT STRAY GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE. THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY ARE FORECAST TO BE COOLER WITH INCREASED HUMIDITIES.
CHANCES FOR WEEKEND ACTIVITY ARE TRENDING DOWN, MAKING
SEASONABLE WARMTH AND DRY CONDITIONS MORE LIKELY.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 TO 65 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 TO 27 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST AT 1 TO 2 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT
1 TO 2 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AT 4 TO 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT
4 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AT 4 TO 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT
5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 55 63 65
RH..............35 32 28 25
20 FT WIND......NE 2G5 E 3G6 SE 3G6 S 2G5
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 1G2 E 1G2 SE 1G2 S 1G2
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1300 5500 6900
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 6 SE 6 SE 6
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46 TO 49 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 TO 63 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH AT 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
AT 1 TO 2 MPH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AT 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING NORTH AT 10 TO 12 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH NEAR MIDNIGHT.
WINDS BECOME NORTHEAST AT 4 TO 6
MPH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AT 7 TO 10 MPH INTO
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............62 55 51 48
RH..............36 44 53 60
20 FT WIND......N 3G5 NE 6G8 NW 10G17 NE 3G6
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 1G2 NW 1G2 NW 1G3 N 1G2
MIX HGT (FT)....5100 1000 400 300
TRANSPORT WIND..N 5 N 9 N 7 N 8
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52 TO 55 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 TO 57 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST AT 1 TO 2 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AT
1 TO 3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST AT 4 TO 6 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AT
7 TO 10 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO
20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AT 4 TO 6 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AT
11 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 48 53 54
RH..............51 56 52 51
20 FT WIND......NW 2G5 NW 2G5 NW 4G12 NW 8G18
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 1G2 NW 1G2 NW 1G2 NW 2G4
MIX HGT (FT)....500 200 2600 4100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 7 N 8 NW 8 NW 12
FORECASTER...DALDRUP
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW ZINK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2624018.1/MFR
.DELDT 10/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANDREW.ZINK@USDA.GOV
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