531  
FNUS76 KMFR 142118  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
218 PM PDT SUN JUL 14 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 PDT ON JULY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..CONTINUED BREEZY AND DRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL AND  
AFTERNOON WESTERLY WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE  
NORMAL STRENGTH TODAY. THERE WILL ALSO BE WEAK INSTABILITY FROM  
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY TO THE NORTHEAST INTO LAKE COUNTY WITH A  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE TREND WILL BE FOR SLIGHT  
COOLING AND SLIGHT WEAKENING OF WIND SPEEDS INTO TUESDAY.  
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL FOR THE NEXT WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 9 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 19 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400-10500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
LAL.................2.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 9  
MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTH WINDS TO 2  
MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 19  
MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND  
6 MPH.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
LAL.................2.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS TO 2 MPH BECOMING WEST 2 TO 4 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800-8900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES  
REQUESTED BY...JOEL JOHNSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1912214.0/MFR  
.DELDT 07/14/19  
 
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