484  
FNUS76 KMFR 130231  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR IRSC UNIT 1...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
631 PM PST THU FEB 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON FRIDAY. A PATTERN CHANGE  
WILL BRING ACTIVITY STARTING SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY CONTINUING  
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. AN APPROACHING FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BRING SOME  
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY. RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE  
THROUGH SUNDAY AND MONDAY. LATE MONDAY OR ON TUESDAY, AN IMPACTFUL  
SYSTEM COULD BRING SNOW LEVELS FOR THE SPOT AREA TO 1500-2000 FEET,  
ALLOWING FOR 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AT THE SPOT LOCATION THROUGH  
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. 1500-3000 SNOW LEVELS AND SNOW SHOWERS  
MAY CONTINUE INTO THE END OF NEXT WEEK.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52 TO 54 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 TO 52 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST AT 1 TO 2 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT  
2 TO 3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST AT 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT  
5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AT 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT  
6 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE (10-20%) OF  
OVERNIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32 TO 34 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 TO 100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 2 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST  
AT 1 TO 2 MPH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST  
AT 1 TO 2 MPH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AT  
4 TO 6 MPH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE (50-60%)  
INTO THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48 TO 51 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 TO 58 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST AT 1 TO 1 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT  
2 TO 3 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 6 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AT 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT  
8 TO 10 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AT 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AT  
5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................40 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...DALDRUP  
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER SCHLOSSERPRUKOP  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602172.4/MFR  
.DELDT 02/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.SCHLOSSERPRUKOP@USDA.GOV  
 
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