314
FNUS76 KMFR 270037
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR CASTLE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
537 PM PDT SUN JUL 26 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
BREEZY CONDITIONS INTO THIS EVENING WILL DROP OFF
RAPIDLY AROUND 8-9 PM WITH ANOTHER STRONG INVERSION DEVELOPING
OVERNIGHT ALONG WITH LIGHT, VARIABLE WINDS, MOSTLY DOWN DRAINAGES
(EASTERLY). OVERALL, EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS AND DRY WEATHER FOR
THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE WITH SUNNY DAYS AND CLEAR NIGHTS. SOME HIGHER
HUMIDITY COULD APPEAR AT TIMES WITH MARINE PUSHES TO THE WEST OF THE
FIRE. LIGHTNING PROBABILITY IS NON-EXISTENT (0% CHANCE) THROUGH LATE
WEEK.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE MORNING, THEN SMOKE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE OR EAST 0-1 MPH BECOMING NW 1-3 MPH BY
1000, THEN WNW 2-4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE OR EAST 0-2 MPH BECOMING WNW 5-10 MPH
AFTER 1000. GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3-7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE W 7-12 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS PTY PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS DEF
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 54 57 60 65 69 72 74 75 76 77 78
RH..............76 72 65 58 49 42 39 36 33 31 27 25
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N W NW W NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 1 2 3 4 4 4 5 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 5 6 6 7 8 12 14 16
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N W NW W NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
EYE LVL WND GST.1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 3.1 3.1 3.1 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 5.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 5 5 8 8 8 9 10 11 11
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....W 2-5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT/CALM.
WIND (20 FT)........WNW 5-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE
EVENING, THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWN DRAINAGE
0-2 MPH (MAINLY E).
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 7-12 MPH BECOMING NE AND EASING TO 3-6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY ARS
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............75 73 70 65 62 60 60 58 56 54 54 53
RH..............33 38 45 52 58 62 63 67 71 75 77 79
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW N N NE E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 1 1 1 2
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W NW NW NW N N E E E E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 1
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.1 5.1 1.8 1.8 1.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW N N N N N N NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 9 9 6 6 6 3 3 3 3
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM OR VARIABLE 0-1 MPH BECOMING NW 1-3 MPH BY
1000, THEN WNW 2-4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE OR ENE 0-2 MPH BECOMING WNW 5-10 MPH
AFTER 1000. GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NE 2-5 MPH BECOMING W 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
18 PH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 53 56 59 63 67 70 72 74 75 76 75
RH..............78 74 68 62 55 49 45 41 38 34 30 28
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 3 3 3 4 4 5 6
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 1 1 3 6 6 6 7 9 12 13
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
EYE LVL WND GST.1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N N N W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 2 2 2 6 6 6 8 8 9 10
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...AFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618323.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/26/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CAMERON.STINCHFIELD@USDA.GOV,KEN_POWELL@FIRENET.GOV,MARISSA.DUARTE@USDA.GOV
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