724  
FNUS76 KMFR 221303  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AFR LANDING PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
503 AM PST FRI FEB 22 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 PST ON FEBRUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES IN TODAY AND STALLS  
ON SATURDAY, BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR LIGHT TO MODERATE  
PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVELS LOOK TO BE BETWEEN 1500 FEET AND 2500  
FEET TO START. THEN, THE AREA WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT RAIN TO COAST  
AND COAST RANGE BEGINNING SUNDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL RISE TO 4000 TO  
5000 FEET, AND SIGNIFICANT SNOWS WILL BE POSSIBLE (20 TO 30  
INCHES) ACROSS THE CASCADES, SISKIYOUS, AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF  
THE MARBLE MOUNTAINS (ABOVE 5500 FEET). THE SHOWERY PATTERN  
CONTINUES AFTERWARDS THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2700 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING, THEN MOSTLY  
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3500 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
CWR.................51 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES  
REQUESTED BY...KIT COLBENSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1901819.0/MFR  
.DELDT 02/22/19  
 
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