498  
FNUS76 KMFR 082039  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK...IA LIFC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
139 PM PDT TUE JUL 8 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 PDT ON JULY 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
TODAY, THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE  
AREA. BEST CHANCES WILL BE NORTH OF THE FIRE. HOWEVER, CANNOT RULE OUT  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEARBY. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS  
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. ALSO STRONG, GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS  
ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 TO 45 MPH.  
 
THE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER AND HUMIDITIES SLIGHTLY HIGHER  
ON WEDNESDAY. WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY  
HOT TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 2 PM 5 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD  
CWR.............0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).5 20  
TEMP............85 87  
RH..............17 15  
20 FT WIND......S 10G18 SW 13G21  
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 4G10 SW 6G12  
MIX HGT (FT)....10000 9500  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 SW 18  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING WITH  
GUSTS TO 12 MPH, BECOMING LIGHT  
AROUND MIDNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH IN THE EVENING WITH  
GUSTS TO 21 MPH, BECOMING LIGHT  
AROUND MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).20 15 0 0  
TEMP............82 69 62 55  
RH..............18 27 45 60  
20 FT WIND......SW 12G20 SW 6G10 VRB 3G6 VRB 3G6  
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6G12 SW 3G6 VRB 1G3 VRB 1G3  
MIX HGT (FT)....9500 1500 200 100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 18 SW 12 NW 6 SW 3  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 3 TO 4 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
4 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8  
TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC ISOLTD  
CWR.............10 10 10 10  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 20 15  
TEMP............53 63 72 79  
RH..............60 47 33 25  
20 FT WIND......S 2G5 S 3G6 W 6G8 W 8G13  
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 1G2 S 1G3 W 2G5 W 4G7  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 4400 8400 9500  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 SW 5 W 8 W 10  
 
 
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM  
REQUESTED BY...BRAD SMITH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2517592.0/MFR  
.DELDT 07/08/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ORLFC@FIRENET.GOV  
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