480  
FNUS76 KMFR 100208  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR IRSC UNIT 1...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
608 PM PST MON FEB 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A WEAK SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO NORCAL ON TUESDAY. THIS  
WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A DECENT CHANCE AT SOME RAIN DURING THE MID-LATE  
AFTERNOON AND AT NIGHT, BUT AMOUNTS SHOULD BE VERY LIGHT. LOW RAIN  
CHANCES LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY, BUT DRY WEATHER SHOULD RETURN LATE  
WEDNESDAY AND INTO FRIDAY. THEN, A POTENTIALLY ACTIVE PERIOD WITH  
COLDER SYSTEMS ARRIVES THIS WEEKEND.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE (20-25 PERCENT) OF LIGHT  
RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 3-4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5-7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE (25-30 PERCENT) OF LIGHT RAIN.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2-3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 4-5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE (35-40 PERCENT) OF LIGHT RAIN.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST 2-3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 4-5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS  
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER SCHLOSSERPRUKOP  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602172.1/MFR  
.DELDT 02/10/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.SCHLOSSERPRUKOP@USDA.GOV  
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