447
FNUS76 KMFR 202252
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR PICTURE ROCK...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
352 PM PDT THU AUG 20 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 PDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND AND LOW RH...
DISCUSSION
AN OFFSHORE TROUGH WILL IMPACT THE REGION
THROUGH SATURDAY, BRINGING PERIODS OF GUSTY WIND AND LOW RH IN THE
AFTERNOONS. WINDS WILL TREND STRONGER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH
THE WORST CONDITIONS EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING OVER
THE AREA. OTHERWISE EXPECT VERY WARM DAYTIME CONDITIONS WITH
MODERATE RECOVERIES. THUNDER POTENTIAL IS VERY LOW (5-10%) ACROSS
THE AREA ON FRIDAY, THEN SHIFTS NORTHWARD ON SATURDAY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.2 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH
SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH LATE IN THE
EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT 0 TO 2 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH
SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE
EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
1 TO 4 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............89 79 71 65
RH..............13 19 27 32
20 FT WIND......S 9G18 SW 8G13 NW 5G7 NW 3G6
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 4G8 SW 4G6 NW 2G3 NW 1G2
MIX HGT (FT)....9900 700 400 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 8 W 8 S 7
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.6 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
3 TO 5 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON, INCREASING
5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 12 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
7 TO 11 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON, INCREASING
10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 24 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 67 84 89
RH..............35 28 18 15
20 FT WIND......S 2G5 SE 2G5 S 7G11 S 12G19
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 1G2 SE 1G2 S 3G5 S 6G9
MIX HGT (FT)....500 2200 7400 9800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 6 S 14 S 20
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.6 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING, BECOMING NORTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST
1 TO 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING, BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST
3 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).10 0 0 0
TEMP............87 77 69 61
RH..............17 27 39 45
20 FT WIND......S 15G23 SW 11G17 NW 5G7 SE 5G7
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 7G11 SW 5G8 NW 2G3 SE 2G3
MIX HGT (FT)....9300 800 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 16 SW 12 SW 9 S 12
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...JOEL JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619993.3/MFR
.DELDT 08/20/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JJOHNSON@USDA.GOV,ORLFC@FIRENET.GOV
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