605  
FNUS76 KPQR 241401  
FWSPQR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NOBLE OAKS 2026...CONFEDERATED TRIBES OF GRAND RONDE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR  
701 AM PDT THU SEP 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0823 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
INCREASING CLOUDS TODAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND  
LIGHT WINDS THROUGH 4-5 PM. AN INCOMING FRONT WILL BRING STEADY  
MODERATE RAIN SOMETIME AFTER 4 PM TODAY, MOST LIKELY BY 5-7 PM.  
RAIN CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT WITH RAIN AMOUNTS OVER 0.25 INCHES.  
STEADY RAIN THEN BECOMES OFF AND ON RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY MORNING AND  
ENDS BY FRIDAY EVENING. HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE AND A 20% CHANCE  
OF WET THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 
STRONGER SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS UPWARDS OF 40-45 MPH. EVEN  
AWAY FROM SHOWERS AND STORMS, CONDITIONS WILL BE WINDY TONIGHT  
THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT INCREASING TO 66 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.13 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........74 80 83 75 83 82 88 87 94 96  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............49 52 56 59 61 65 68 68 70 68  
RH..............91 87 80 73 67 64 60 57 56 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..N E E E E E E E SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.9 2.6 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 10  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN  
OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................66 PERCENT DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.16 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 11 TO 13 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 17 TO  
22 MPH.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........94 91 100 97 92 95 83 78 81 82 87 94  
WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY DEF LKY CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RW RW RW RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 50  
CHC OF LTNG (%).10 10 20 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............67 64 59 58 57 57 56 55 55 54 53 53  
RH..............76 73 83 91 93 96 97 98 99 99 98 99  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W N S E SE SE SE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 0 1 5 8 9 10 11 12 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 6 6 6 8 11 19 25 26 26 28 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W SW S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 5 6 6 7 10 15 17 17 22 21  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE  
MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. RAIN LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 1 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.16 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 16  
TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........94 94 89 89 89 84 84 84 84 84 84 43  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RW RW RW RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 10 10 0  
TEMP............52 51 51 53 53 54 54 56 57 57 59 58  
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 95 91 88 83 79 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 13 15 15 15 15 13 13 13 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 28 28 30 30 30 30 28 28 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.3 2.0 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 25 25 23 22 17 18 18 16 16 20  
 
 
FORECASTER...HALL  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW PUERINI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2622237.2/PQR  
.DELDT 09/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANDREW.PUERINI@GRANDRONDE.ORG  
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