521  
FNUS76 KPQR 121757  
FWSPQR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DRANO PILE RX...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR  
957 AM PST WED NOV 12 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON NOVEMBER 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
OFFSHORE FLOW TODAY AHEAD OF AN INCOMING FRONT THAT  
WILL ARRIVE ON THURSDAY. THERE WILL GENERALLY BE ELEVATED WINDS  
WITH GUSTS GREATER THAN 20 MPH WITH AROUND A 10% CHANCE OF GUSTS  
UP TO 30 MPH BETWEEN 2000-2300. THESE HIGHER WINDS WILL GENERALLY  
BE MORE FOCUSED JUST TO THE WEST OF THE BURN AREA. WINDS INCREASE  
ONCE MORE ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT WHICH WILL BRING LIGHT  
PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA. THE CHALLENGE WILL BE THE DRY LOWER  
ATMOSPHERE WHICH COULD EVAPORATE PRECIPITATION BEFORE REACHING THE  
GROUND. WINDS TURN WESTERLY AFTER 0500 THURSDAY WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS  
25 MPH ALONG RIDGETOPS.  
 
RIDGETOP WINDS REPRESENT ELEVATIONS AROUND 2000 FT.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE (LESS THAN 15% CHANCE)  
OF RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 17 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........85 78 80 82 76 66 81 85  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............48 49 52 53 53 54 53 53  
RH..............86 84 81 76 76 76 76 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 11 10 10 7 7 8  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E  
RIDGE WIND SPD..9 9 9 7 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
EVENING, THEN RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 11 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH AFTER  
3 AM.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 17 MPH  
BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........78 93 91 89 84 83 82 80 80 84 96 96  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 52 52 51 50 50 50 49 49 48 48 47  
RH..............73 73 71 74 75 75 76 77 76 81 80 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 11 11 12 13 13 14 14 14 17 17 17  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E S S SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 12 12  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.  
CWR.................11 PERCENT INCREASING TO 33 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.8 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 17  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
20 MPH BECOMING WEST 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 17  
MPH AFTER 3 PM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........96 98 98  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............48 48 53  
RH..............80 93 86  
20 FT WIND......E 9G17 E 9G14 E 6G12  
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 8G18 SW 9G20 SW 9G20  
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1600 1700  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 12 E 10 SE 9  
 

 
FORECASTER...MUESSLE  
REQUESTED BY...LAUREN CLARK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525696.0/PQR  
.DELDT 11/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LAUREN.CLARK@USDA.GOV,ROLAND.ROSE@USDA.GOV  
 
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