701
FWUS46 KMFR 041101
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT SAT MAY 4 2024
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK OV BK OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 80 85 90 85 55 40 45 60 75 70 70 55 55 55
TEMPERATURE 31 28 25 25 25 21 22 20 18 21 26 29 31 29 27 27 26
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 17 31 24
WIND DIR S S W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 35 32 11 13 12 16 16 14 16 17 17 17 14 13 19 20 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 32
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 80 50 70 70 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.38 0.17 0.26 0.02 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 12.2 1.8 3.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 14.0 3.5 0.6 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 5.8 4.5 4.6 4.3 3.7 3.2 2.7 2.3 2.6 3.5 4.7 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.3
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC BK OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 75 80 85 75 45 35 45 60 70 70 70 55 60 55
TEMPERATURE 30 30 27 27 27 21 21 19 18 22 27 30 31 28 26 25 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 18 32 23
WIND DIR S S W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W SW S
WIND (MPH) 23 21 10 12 13 14 14 13 11 12 12 11 11 10 12 13 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 80 50 70 70 20 20 10 10 5 5 10 10 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.24 0.16 0.29 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 8.3 1.5 3.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 9.8 3.5 0.3 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 5.7 4.4 4.5 4.2 3.7 3.1 2.7 2.3 2.5 3.4 4.7 5.2 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.3
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 80 80 90 80 55 40 45 60 75 70 70 55 60 60
TEMPERATURE 31 28 24 25 24 21 21 19 17 20 25 28 30 28 27 26 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 16 31 24
WIND DIR S S SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 35 32 12 13 9 16 16 14 16 17 17 17 13 13 19 20 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 32
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 80 50 70 70 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.33 0.16 0.22 0.02 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 11.2 1.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 12.9 2.9 0.6 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 5.8 4.5 4.6 4.3 3.7 3.2 2.8 2.3 2.6 3.5 4.7 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.5 4.3
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 80 90 90 85 60 40 45 55 80 70 70 55 55 55
TEMPERATURE 21 19 15 14 14 11 11 9 9 12 15 17 20 20 18 18 18
MAX/MIN TEMP 22 9 20 16
WIND DIR S S SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W NW W
WIND (MPH) 52 47 26 19 12 20 19 17 21 25 24 29 24 27 29 34 34
WIND GUST (MPH) 94 78 72 37 37 36 35 40 44 62 58 63 58 70 74
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 80 60 70 70 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.45 0.27 0.43 0.06 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 15.9 3.1 5.3 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 19.0 6.0 0.7 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 5.9 4.5 4.6 4.3 3.8 3.2 2.8 2.4 2.5 3.5 4.8 5.3 5.1 4.8 4.6 4.3
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 95 90 95 85 65 40 40 60 90 75 75 60 60 60
TEMPERATURE 31 29 25 26 24 21 19 18 16 19 23 26 28 26 25 24 23
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 16 28 23
WIND DIR S S W W W W NW NW NW NW W W W W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 31 26 13 10 11 16 17 16 14 14 14 14 11 11 14 17 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 90 60 70 70 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.13 0.18 0.17 0.02 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 7.5 1.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 9.2 2.3 0.6 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 5.6 4.4 4.4 4.3 3.6 3.0 2.5 2.2 2.4 3.4 4.4 5.1 4.9 4.6 4.4 4.3
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC BK BK OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 90 85 85 75 50 30 40 55 70 70 70 60 55 60
TEMPERATURE 38 36 33 35 34 29 28 25 23 28 35 39 41 36 32 30 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 23 41 29
WIND DIR S SW NW NW N N N NW NW N NW S S SW SW S S
WIND (MPH) 14 9 6 5 8 10 11 10 8 8 4 2 3 3 4 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 70 40 70 70 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.01 0.17 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.5 1.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.5 1.3 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 5.3 4.2 4.4 4.1 3.6 2.9 2.4 2.1 2.4 3.6 4.6 5.0 4.8 4.5 4.4 4.3
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK OV BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 85 85 90 80 55 40 45 55 70 70 65 55 55 55
TEMPERATURE 33 34 28 29 28 24 22 20 19 26 29 32 33 31 28 28 27
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 18 33 26
WIND DIR S S NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W NW W W SW S
WIND (MPH) 26 21 9 8 10 13 16 14 13 12 12 11 8 10 13 14 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 70 40 60 60 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.76 0.17 0.26 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 4.6 1.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 6.1 3.1 0.2 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 5.2 4.2 4.5 4.1 3.5 2.9 2.5 2.2 2.4 3.5 4.7 5.1 4.9 4.5 4.4 4.3
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 95 90 90 85 85 85 85 90 90 90 90 80 85 75
TEMPERATURE 31 27 27 29 28 24 22 20 19 21 26 30 32 30 29 27 26
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 19 32 24
WIND DIR S W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 19 10 12 14 14 17 16 17 19 20 20 19 21 20 19 18 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 80 70 80 80 60 60 70 70 70 70 50 50 20 20 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.33 0.19 0.17 0.05 0.08 0.20 0.09 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 2.5 2.2 2.1 0.6 1.0 2.2 0.9 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 4.7 2.7 3.2 1.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 4.4 3.9 4.1 4.1 3.4 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.6 3.3 4.3 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.1
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 95 80 80 80 80 80 80 85 85 90 85 80 80 75
TEMPERATURE 30 27 28 29 28 23 22 20 19 21 27 31 32 30 28 27 26
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 19 32 24
WIND DIR S SW W W W W NW W W W W W W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 20 10 12 14 16 18 18 18 19 20 20 19 23 19 18 18 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 70 60 70 70 50 50 70 70 70 70 50 50 20 20 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.30 0.09 0.09 0.02 0.05 0.14 0.06 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 2.2 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 0.7 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 3.3 1.4 2.3 0.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 4.7 4.0 4.2 4.2 3.5 3.0 2.6 2.5 2.7 3.4 4.4 4.7 4.6 4.3 4.1 4.1
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 90 85 85 75 80 65
TEMPERATURE 35 28 27 29 29 26 25 24 24 25 27 31 32 31 30 30 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 24 32 28
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W W W W W W W SW SW
WIND (MPH) 10 10 10 11 13 14 14 13 12 13 13 13 17 13 11 10 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 80 60 80 80 40 40 50 50 40 40 40 40 10 10 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.63 0.20 0.16 0.06 0.05 0.15 0.03 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 3.9 2.1 2.0 0.7 0.6 1.6 0.2 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 6.0 2.7 2.2 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 3.8 3.5 4.1 3.9 3.3 2.8 2.5 2.3 2.5 3.2 4.2 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.1
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 95 90 90 90 90 85 85 90 95 90 85 80 85 75
TEMPERATURE 31 26 25 26 25 22 21 21 20 22 24 28 29 28 28 27 27
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 20 29 25
WIND DIR S W W W W W W W W W W W W W W SW SW
WIND (MPH) 19 9 11 12 13 14 13 13 17 18 19 17 18 17 17 17 18
WIND GUST (MPH) 48
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 80 60 80 80 70 70 80 80 80 80 70 70 40 40 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.44 0.26 0.22 0.06 0.07 0.18 0.07 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 3.3 2.7 2.7 0.8 0.8 2.0 0.7 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 6.0 3.5 2.8 0.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 4.0 3.7 4.0 3.8 3.2 2.8 2.5 2.4 2.6 3.2 4.1 4.5 4.4 4.2 4.1 4.1
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 95 90 95 90 90 85 90 90 95 90 90 80 85 80
TEMPERATURE 31 26 25 26 25 22 21 21 20 23 25 28 29 28 28 27 26
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 20 29 25
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W W W W W W W SW SW
WIND (MPH) 16 8 10 12 13 13 12 12 17 18 19 17 18 18 16 17 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 80 70 80 80 70 70 80 80 80 80 70 70 40 40 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.32 0.22 0.19 0.05 0.07 0.18 0.09 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 2.4 2.3 2.3 0.6 0.9 2.0 0.9 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 4.7 2.9 2.9 1.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.1 4.2 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.2 2.8 2.5 2.4 2.6 3.3 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.2 4.0 4.1
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/04/24 SUNDAY 05/05/24
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 90 90 85 80 70 70 75 75 90 85 80 60 60 60
TEMPERATURE 32 25 23 25 25 22 21 21 20 23 26 28 29 29 28 29 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 20 29 27
WIND DIR SW W W NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 19 11 11 13 16 17 14 12 13 12 13 11 10 11 12 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 70 70 80 80 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 5 5 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.49 0.28 0.45 0.03 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 3.9 3.0 5.4 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 6.9 5.8 0.7 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 3.7 3.7 4.1 3.8 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.4 2.7 3.6 4.4 4.7 4.5 4.2 4.0 4.0
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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