843
FWUS46 KMFR 282222
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
222 PM PST WED JAN 28 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK SC BK BK SC SC SC SC BK BK BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 60 50 65 55 35 40 45 50 70 65 70 65 45 60 60
TEMPERATURE 32 29 29 31 31 32 36 39 39 36 35 36 35 36 39 41 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 40 34 43
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW N W W W N NE NW N SW S SW NE
WIND (MPH) 6 6 6 6 6 5 4 4 4 5 8 9 9 8 6 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.4 6.1 6.9 7.0 6.8 6.2 5.9 5.9 5.8 6.0 6.7 6.9
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK SC BK BK SC SC SC SC BK BK OV BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 60 50 70 55 35 40 45 50 65 65 70 65 45 60 55
TEMPERATURE 32 26 25 26 26 27 36 40 38 31 31 31 31 31 40 43 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 23 42 29 45
WIND DIR N N N NW N N SW SW SW E E SE SE SE S S E
WIND (MPH) 2 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.8 6.6 6.9 6.8 6.2 5.9 5.9 5.8 6.0 6.7 6.9
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK SC BK BK SC SC SC SC BK BK BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 55 50 65 55 35 40 40 50 70 65 70 65 45 60 60
TEMPERATURE 32 29 29 31 31 32 36 39 39 36 35 36 35 36 39 41 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 40 34 43
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW N W W W N N NW NW NW S SW NE
WIND (MPH) 6 6 6 6 6 5 4 4 4 5 8 9 9 8 6 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.5 5.4 6.0 6.8 7.0 6.7 6.2 5.8 5.9 5.8 6.0 6.7 6.9
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK BK OV BK SC SC SC BK OV BK BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 35 60 55 70 55 40 45 45 50 70 65 70 65 45 60 60
TEMPERATURE 24 22 22 22 22 23 28 32 32 28 28 28 27 28 31 34 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 32 26 36
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW NW W SW SW NE
WIND (MPH) 9 10 9 9 10 9 9 8 8 9 12 12 13 13 12 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.6 5.5 6.3 7.1 7.2 7.0 6.4 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.7 6.9
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK SC OV BK SC SC SC SC BK BK OV OV SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 35 55 45 75 55 40 50 40 45 65 65 75 75 50 60 55
TEMPERATURE 32 30 28 29 29 30 36 40 39 36 34 34 34 35 38 42 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 40 33 44
WIND DIR SW W W W W W SW SW SW S S SW SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 6 8 6 5 5 5 6 10 10 11 10 10 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.8 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.6 6.5 6.7 6.6 5.9 5.7 5.8 5.6 5.9 6.8 7.0
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW BK BK OV BK SC SC SC SC BK BK OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 20 55 50 75 60 30 45 35 50 65 65 75 65 45 50 50
TEMPERATURE 38 35 35 36 35 35 40 45 45 42 41 41 40 40 43 48 47
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 47 39 49
WIND DIR S NW NW NW NW N SE S S NE E E E SE S S SE
WIND (MPH) 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.5 5.3 5.7 6.4 6.6 6.4 6.0 5.8 5.9 5.8 5.9 6.6 6.8
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW BK BK OV BK SC SC SC BK BK BK OV BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 25 60 55 80 65 40 45 50 55 65 70 75 65 50 55 50
TEMPERATURE 36 33 33 34 35 35 40 44 44 40 39 40 40 40 44 47 46
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 45 37 48
WIND DIR SW SW SW W SW S S SW SW S S S S S S SW SE
WIND (MPH) 8 9 8 8 8 6 6 5 5 6 9 9 10 9 9 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.3 5.8 6.7 6.9 6.6 6.1 5.8 5.9 5.8 6.0 6.7 6.9
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC OV BK BK OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 45 75 60 65 80 65 70 75 80 80 75 70 75 60 60 70
TEMPERATURE 32 28 28 28 29 29 35 38 38 34 34 33 32 32 39 42 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 39 31 43
WIND DIR SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW S SE SE SE S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 9 9 8 9 9 8 8 6 6 8 9 9 9 8 8 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 20 30 30 30 10 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.5 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.4 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.1 5.7 5.8 6.4 6.7
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV BK BK OV OV BK OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 55 75 65 65 80 70 65 75 80 80 70 70 75 60 55 65
TEMPERATURE 32 27 26 27 27 27 34 38 37 33 32 31 30 31 37 42 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 38 29 44
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SE SE S S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 9 9 8 9 10 9 8 6 6 8 9 9 9 8 8 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 20 30 30 30 10 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.1 5.4 6.2 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.8 6.4 6.7
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV BK OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 35 70 70 75 75 80 55 65 50 75 70 70 75 60 65 70
TEMPERATURE 38 32 31 32 31 32 37 44 44 37 36 36 36 35 40 47 47
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 45 34 48
WIND DIR S SE SE SE SE SE SE SW S SE E E SE SE SE S SE
WIND (MPH) 4 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 4 5 8 8 8 6 5 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 30 20 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.6 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.2 5.9 5.6 5.8 6.5 6.8
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 45 75 70 75 85 75 65 70 70 80 70 70 75 60 60 70
TEMPERATURE 33 31 31 32 32 32 36 40 39 37 37 38 37 37 41 43 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 41 36 45
WIND DIR SW S S S S S S SW SW SE SE SE SE SE S SW S
WIND (MPH) 9 10 9 10 10 9 8 6 6 9 11 11 11 10 8 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 40 20 40 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.5 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.1 5.6 5.8 6.3 6.7
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 45 80 75 70 90 70 70 70 70 85 75 70 75 60 60 70
TEMPERATURE 33 31 31 32 32 32 36 39 39 37 37 38 37 37 40 43 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 40 36 45
WIND DIR SW S S S S SW S SW S SE SE SE SE SE S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 10 10 9 10 10 9 8 6 6 9 10 10 11 9 8 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 40 20 40 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 5 5 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.5 6.1 6.4 6.7 6.5 6.5 6.2 5.7 5.7 6.3 6.7
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 01/29/26 FRIDAY 01/30/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC OV OV OV OV OV BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 40 80 75 85 80 65 60 65 40 70 75 85 80 70 65 75
TEMPERATURE 36 33 34 34 34 35 39 42 42 40 40 41 40 40 41 45 45
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 43 38 47
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW S S S SW W S SE SE SE SE SE S E
WIND (MPH) 9 11 13 14 14 13 12 9 9 12 16 17 16 14 13 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 10 5 5 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.4 5.3 5.8 6.3 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.1 5.9 5.6 5.5 6.3 6.6
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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