988
FWUS46 KMFR 152136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT WED JUL 15 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 5 5 0 0
TEMPERATURE 69 64 60 58 56 57 61 66 67 62 56 54 53 57 62 66 66
MIN/MAX TEMP 54 68 51 68
WIND DIR SW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW W SE SE S S S S
WIND (MPH) 9 10 10 11 13 14 12 11 11 10 11 10 12 13 17 14 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.2 12.4 12.2 11.8 11.1 10.5 10.2 10.6 11.0 10.9 10.9 10.6 10.1 10.0 9.9 10.1 10.5
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 5 5 0 0
TEMPERATURE 73 64 55 51 50 56 66 70 71 63 51 48 47 56 67 70 70
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 72 45 72
WIND DIR SW NW N N N NW SW SW SW W N E SE SE S S S
WIND (MPH) 9 8 8 8 10 11 9 9 9 8 8 8 9 10 12 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.1 12.4 12.3 11.8 11.1 10.4 10.1 10.6 11.0 11.0 10.9 10.6 10.1 9.9 9.8 10.1 10.6
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 5 5 0 5
TEMPERATURE 69 65 60 58 57 57 59 64 66 62 56 54 52 57 60 64 65
MIN/MAX TEMP 55 67 51 67
WIND DIR SW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW W SE SE S S S S
WIND (MPH) 9 10 11 11 13 14 12 11 11 9 11 10 12 14 17 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.2 12.4 12.2 11.8 11.1 10.5 10.2 10.6 11.0 10.9 10.9 10.6 10.1 10.0 9.8 10.1 10.5
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 5 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 55 52 47 46 44 47 50 52 53 50 44 43 42 47 51 53 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 53 41 53
WIND DIR SW SW S S S S S SW SW SW S S S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 12 12 21 24 26 26 24 23 14 17 19 19 23 25 27 21 17
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 61 62 57 54 61 34 37 44 49 51 57 55 55 35
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.2 12.4 12.3 11.8 11.1 10.5 10.3 10.7 11.1 10.9 10.9 10.7 10.1 10.0 9.9 10.2 10.6
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 5 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 70 67 60 57 55 57 62 67 68 64 55 52 51 56 63 68 68
MIN/MAX TEMP 54 68 50 68
WIND DIR SW W N NW W S S SW S SW NW SW S SE S S S
WIND (MPH) 11 8 9 10 11 12 13 13 12 9 9 8 10 12 12 14 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.0 12.3 12.1 11.7 11.1 10.5 10.3 10.6 10.9 10.8 10.7 10.5 10.1 10.0 10.0 10.3 10.5
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 0 5 5 0
TEMPERATURE 80 75 66 63 60 65 72 75 77 71 62 59 58 65 72 75 76
MIN/MAX TEMP 59 77 55 77
WIND DIR S NW NW NW NW N S S S NW N N N E S S S
WIND (MPH) 6 6 6 4 3 2 5 10 10 3 5 2 0 1 5 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.4 12.5 12.2 11.7 11.0 10.3 10.0 10.5 10.9 11.0 11.0 10.7 10.1 9.9 10.1 10.1 10.6
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 5 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 73 66 60 57 54 61 64 69 71 63 55 51 50 61 66 70 71
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 71 48 71
WIND DIR SW NW N N N NW S S SW N N NE E SE S S S
WIND (MPH) 5 5 8 9 10 10 8 6 4 5 8 6 8 10 9 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.6 12.5 12.3 11.8 11.0 10.2 10.2 10.8 11.2 11.0 11.0 10.8 10.2 10.1 10.0 10.2 10.9
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW SC FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 25 20 20 25 20 10 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 70 64 55 50 47 51 61 64 64 58 48 45 43 52 66 70 70
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 64 42 71
WIND DIR W NW N W W W W W W NW NW NE E E SW W W
WIND (MPH) 9 8 5 8 10 13 12 12 10 12 12 10 8 8 9 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.7 12.6 12.4 12.2 11.7 10.9 10.0 9.7 10.6 11.1 11.0 10.7 10.6 10.4 10.3 11.2 11.2
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 25 15 20 15 15 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 70 64 55 50 46 52 61 64 65 59 48 44 42 51 65 70 70
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 65 41 71
WIND DIR W NW N W W W SW W W NW NW NE E E S SW W
WIND (MPH) 9 8 5 8 10 13 11 11 10 13 12 10 8 8 9 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.8 12.6 12.3 12.2 11.7 10.9 10.2 9.9 10.9 11.2 11.1 10.7 10.7 10.4 10.2 11.5 11.3
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW CL FW SC CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 0 10 5 10 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 75 70 59 54 49 50 62 66 68 63 53 49 46 51 68 73 74
MIN/MAX TEMP 48 68 44 75
WIND DIR W NW NW NW W W W W W NW NW N E E SW W W
WIND (MPH) 10 8 3 2 2 4 5 10 10 8 3 2 2 2 4 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.7 12.4 12.3 12.1 11.4 10.5 9.8 10.1 11.2 11.2 10.7 10.8 10.6 10.2 10.1 10.6 11.2
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 20 25 20 15 25 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
TEMPERATURE 67 62 57 55 51 52 57 60 61 56 49 48 47 53 63 67 66
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 61 46 67
WIND DIR W NW N SW W W W W W NW N NE E E SW W W
WIND (MPH) 10 8 6 8 10 13 12 11 10 14 12 10 9 9 8 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.7 12.5 12.4 12.2 11.6 10.8 9.9 9.8 10.3 10.9 10.8 10.6 10.6 10.3 10.3 10.8 11.0
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC FW SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 35 30 25 20 35 15 0 5 5 0 0 5 0 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 67 62 57 55 51 53 58 61 61 56 49 47 47 53 64 67 66
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 61 45 67
WIND DIR W NW NE SW W W W W W NW N E E E W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 8 5 8 10 13 12 10 10 14 13 11 10 9 8 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.7 12.6 12.4 12.2 11.7 10.9 9.9 9.8 9.9 10.8 10.8 10.6 10.5 10.4 10.3 10.9 11.0
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 07/16/26 FRIDAY 07/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 68 62 58 56 52 54 57 61 61 56 51 49 47 54 62 67 66
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 61 47 68
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N E SE S W NW
WIND (MPH) 11 13 11 12 12 12 12 9 11 16 13 11 9 11 10 8 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.5 12.1 12.0 11.5 10.7 9.7 9.4 10.0 11.0 11.0 10.7 10.7 10.5 9.9 9.8 10.8 11.7
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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