614
FWUS46 KMFR 281022
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
222 AM PST SAT FEB 28 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 75 80 85 80 85 90 85 85 85 85 90 90 85 85 75
TEMPERATURE 40 38 40 41 40 38 37 38 37 36 35 35 34 33 31 30 29
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 35 37 29
WIND DIR S W W SW SW SW S S S S S S S S NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 18 16 13 17 18 19 18 14 14 10 11 8 17 4 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 70 30 70 70 60 40 30 60 60 80 80 80 80 70 70 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R S R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.21 0.14 0.05 0.09 0.27 0.22 0.21
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.7 1.8 1.7
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.1 8.9 8.8 8.6 8.5 8.0 7.6 7.4 7.3 6.8 6.6 6.2 6.0 5.9
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 75 75 85 80 85 90 90 85 85 85 90 90 85 85 75
TEMPERATURE 38 38 43 45 42 37 37 37 36 34 39 38 35 33 32 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 34 40 28
WIND DIR SE W NW SW W SW S S S SE S S S SE NW W NW
WIND (MPH) 6 13 12 10 12 13 14 14 11 11 6 8 5 13 3 5 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 70 30 60 70 50 40 30 50 50 80 80 80 80 60 60 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.20 0.11 0.03 0.07 0.22 0.19 0.19
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.1 8.8 8.8 8.6 8.5 8.0 7.6 7.3 7.3 6.8 6.6 6.2 6.0 5.9
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 75 80 85 80 85 90 85 85 90 90 90 90 85 85 75
TEMPERATURE 41 39 40 42 41 38 37 38 38 36 35 35 34 33 31 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 35 38 29
WIND DIR S W SE SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 18 16 13 17 18 19 18 14 14 10 11 9 17 4 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 70 30 70 70 60 40 30 60 60 80 80 80 80 70 70 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R S R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.20 0.14 0.05 0.11 0.27 0.23 0.21
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.5 1.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.6 8.5 8.1 7.7 7.4 7.3 6.8 6.6 6.2 6.0 5.9
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 75 80 85 80 85 90 85 85 85 85 90 90 85 85 75
TEMPERATURE 32 31 32 32 32 31 30 30 29 28 27 28 26 25 23 23 22
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 27 30 22
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S SW SW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 13 32 34 26 29 31 29 29 24 23 19 21 16 21 8 11 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 65 79 57 61 61 55 55 44 43 48 51 37 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 70 30 70 70 50 40 30 50 50 80 80 80 80 60 60 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.23 0.17 0.04 0.08 0.24 0.25 0.24
6 HOUR SNOW 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.7 2.3 2.6 2.4
12 HOUR SNOW 1.8 1.3 3.0 5.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 9.1 9.3 9.1 8.9 8.8 8.6 8.5 7.9 7.5 7.3 7.4 6.8 6.6 6.3 6.0 5.9
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 70 75 80 80 85 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 85 85 80
TEMPERATURE 39 39 41 44 43 40 38 39 38 38 37 37 36 35 33 32 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 37 39 32
WIND DIR SE SW NE S SW SW S S S S S S S SW NW SW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 10 11 12 12 11 10 12 11 10 10 10 10 8 6 6 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 70 30 60 70 60 40 30 60 60 80 80 80 80 60 60 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.19 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.12 0.17 0.16
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.5 8.5 8.1 7.6 7.4 7.2 7.0 6.6 6.2 6.0 5.9
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 75 80 75 75 85 90 90 85 85 85 90 90 85 80 70
TEMPERATURE 48 47 48 51 50 47 46 45 45 44 44 44 43 41 40 40 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 43 46 38
WIND DIR SE SW W SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S NW NW
WIND (MPH) 3 3 3 5 4 3 2 3 3 3 6 5 4 2 3 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 70 30 70 60 30 40 30 50 50 80 80 80 80 60 60 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.11 0.07 0.01 0.05 0.21 0.29 0.19
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.1 8.8 8.8 8.6 8.4 7.9 7.4 7.2 7.2 6.8 6.6 6.2 6.0 5.9
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 75 75 80 80 85 90 90 80 85 85 85 85 85 85 70
TEMPERATURE 44 43 45 46 45 42 41 41 42 40 41 40 39 37 35 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 39 42 34
WIND DIR S W W S SW SW S S S SE S SE S S NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 11 11 9 11 11 11 12 9 9 9 9 8 10 5 5 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 60 30 60 60 40 30 30 50 50 80 80 80 80 60 60 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.15 0.11 0.03 0.03 0.17 0.26 0.14
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.1 8.8 8.7 8.5 8.3 7.8 7.3 7.2 7.2 6.9 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.9
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 85 80 95 85 85 80 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 80 85
TEMPERATURE 33 34 40 40 39 37 35 35 35 34 38 38 37 34 32 32 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 34 39 31
WIND DIR E SE S SW SW SW SE SE E E SE SW W NE NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 18 14 12 11 10 9 6 5 5 8 4 6 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 80 70 90 30 30 60 70 70 90 90 80 80 70 70 50
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.16 0.15 0.02 0.03 0.14 0.21 0.18
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 7.6 8.2 8.5 8.5 8.2 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.6 7.5 7.3 6.9 6.5 6.3 6.0 5.9
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 80 95 85 85 85 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 80 80
TEMPERATURE 33 33 38 38 39 36 34 34 34 33 38 38 37 33 32 31 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 33 39 30
WIND DIR E SE S SW SW W S NW N E SE SW W NE NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 6 6 19 13 12 11 11 9 6 5 5 6 5 8 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 80 70 90 50 30 60 60 60 90 90 80 80 60 60 40
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R S R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.15 0.16 0.02 0.04 0.17 0.17 0.16
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.9
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 7.7 8.2 8.5 8.5 8.2 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.5 7.5 7.3 7.0 6.5 6.3 6.0 5.9
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 80 85 80 80 80 90 80 90 90 90 90 90 85 90
TEMPERATURE 39 39 41 45 46 42 40 39 39 39 41 43 41 38 37 37 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 38 45 35
WIND DIR E SE SE SE SW S SE E E E SW W W W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 5 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 3 5 5 3 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 40 90 70 80 40 50 30 60 60 80 80 80 80 60 60 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.15 0.15 0.03 0.05 0.11 0.15 0.16
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 8.5 8.4 8.9 8.6 8.3 8.2 8.1 7.9 7.7 7.4 7.2 6.9 6.5 6.3 6.0 5.8
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 85 80 90 80 85 80 90 85 95 95 90 90 90 85 85
TEMPERATURE 38 38 41 41 41 40 38 38 38 38 39 39 37 36 35 35 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 37 40 34
WIND DIR SE SE S E S SW SE S SE SE S S W NW W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 8 10 14 16 13 11 9 9 8 5 5 6 4 6 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 33
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 50 70 90 20 30 70 80 80 90 90 90 90 70 70 50
PRECIP TYPE S R R R S R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.14 0.15 0.03 0.06 0.12 0.21 0.16
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 7.5 8.2 8.5 8.4 8.2 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.6 7.4 7.2 6.8 6.5 6.3 6.0 5.8
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 80 80 95 80 85 85 85 85 95 95 90 90 90 85 85
TEMPERATURE 37 37 41 41 41 39 38 38 37 37 39 39 38 36 34 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 37 41 34
WIND DIR SE SE S NE S S SE S SE SE SE SW W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 9 8 13 17 13 11 9 9 8 5 5 6 4 6 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 50 70 90 20 30 70 80 80 90 90 90 90 70 70 50
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.12 0.13 0.02 0.04 0.11 0.20 0.14
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 7.0 8.1 8.4 8.4 8.2 7.9 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.4 7.2 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.0 5.8
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 02/28/26 SUNDAY 03/01/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 85 90 80 85 85 85 90 85 85 85 85 90 90 85 75
TEMPERATURE 43 42 41 44 44 42 41 40 40 39 39 39 38 38 37 36 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 39 40 36
WIND DIR SE S SE S SW SE S SW SE SE W N N SW NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 10 9 20 12 17 16 11 10 8 9 8 9 9 8 9 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 60 50 90 70 40 40 10 40 40 80 80 70 70 40 40 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.17 0.14 0.03 0.03 0.20 0.32 0.15
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.5 8.8 8.9 8.6 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.6 7.4 7.2 6.9 6.9 6.4 6.2 5.9 5.8
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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