171  
FWUS46 KMFR 092136  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
236 PM PDT FRI OCT 9 2026  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL SC FW SC FW FW BK OV OV FW FW SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 0 5 25 25 25 15 10 60 70 70 20 5 35 20 20 15  
TEMPERATURE 59 51 47 44 41 37 37 39 38 36 35 34 32 30 31 36 35  
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 41 30 37  
WIND DIR W NW W W W NW S SW NW N N N N N N N N  
WIND (MPH) 9 10 10 13 19 14 5 6 10 13 13 17 20 19 12 9 10  
WIND GUST (MPH) 36  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 10 0 5 10 20 30 60 0 5 5 0 0 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.9 9.8 8.8 9.6 8.9 8.2 8.0 7.8 7.3 6.7 6.0 5.6 5.1 4.8 5.5 6.1 6.2  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL SC SC SC FW FW BK BK BK FW FW SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 0 5 25 25 25 20 5 50 65 70 25 10 35 15 15 15  
TEMPERATURE 60 48 42 38 36 34 39 41 38 31 29 28 26 26 35 38 36  
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 43 24 40  
WIND DIR NW N NW NW N N W NW N N N N N N N N N  
WIND (MPH) 8 9 9 11 17 13 6 8 10 12 12 13 17 17 13 10 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 10 0 5 5 10 30 50 0 0 0 0 0 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.9 9.8 8.9 9.6 8.8 8.1 7.9 7.6 7.1 6.5 5.8 5.6 5.1 4.8 5.5 6.1 6.2  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL SC FW FW FW FW BK OV OV FW FW SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 0 5 25 20 25 15 15 60 70 70 20 5 35 15 20 15  
TEMPERATURE 60 51 47 44 41 37 35 39 39 36 35 35 32 30 30 35 36  
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 41 28 37  
WIND DIR W W W W W NW S S W N N N N N N N NE  
WIND (MPH) 9 10 10 12 18 14 5 6 10 13 13 17 20 20 13 9 10  
WIND GUST (MPH) 34  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 5 20 30 60 0 5 5 0 0 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.8 9.9 8.8 9.5 8.9 8.3 8.1 7.8 7.5 6.7 6.0 5.6 5.1 4.8 5.5 6.1 6.2  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL SC SC FW FW FW BK BK OV SC FW SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 0 5 30 30 25 20 10 60 70 70 25 10 35 20 20 20  
TEMPERATURE 47 39 36 34 33 28 26 28 27 23 23 22 21 19 21 24 23  
MIN/MAX TEMP 26 31 19 25  
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW S SW SW W N N N N N N N N  
WIND (MPH) 10 10 11 16 24 19 9 9 12 16 17 20 25 25 19 13 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 10 0 5 10 20 30 60 0 5 5 0 0 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.9 9.8 8.9 9.6 8.9 8.0 7.9 7.7 7.0 6.5 5.9 5.7 5.1 4.8 5.6 6.0 6.2  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL SC SC SC BK SC OV OV OV FW FW SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 0 0 35 45 45 60 50 75 85 80 20 15 40 20 20 20  
TEMPERATURE 62 52 46 43 42 39 37 41 41 38 36 34 31 29 29 35 36  
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 43 29 36  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW N N NW NW N N N N N N NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 10 10 10 13 19 17 6 6 11 18 21 23 24 24 20 13 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 5 5 20 50 0 5 5 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.9 10.2 8.9 9.5 9.0 8.3 7.7 7.5 6.7 5.9 5.5 5.0 4.4 4.0 5.0 6.0 6.1  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW FW SC CL SC BK BK FW FW SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 15 20 20 40 5 45 60 65 20 15 30 10 10 10  
TEMPERATURE 70 59 53 49 47 46 46 51 48 43 42 40 39 39 41 46 46  
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 52 37 48  
WIND DIR NW N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N  
WIND (MPH) 5 9 8 9 10 9 5 4 10 12 10 10 10 11 11 8 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 5 10 20 40 0 0 0 0 0 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.7 9.7 8.9 9.7 8.8 8.1 7.8 7.7 6.5 5.8 5.4 5.2 4.7 4.3 5.0 6.1 6.3  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL SC BK SC SC CL SC BK BK SC FW SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 35 55 40 35 5 45 55 60 35 10 30 15 15 10  
TEMPERATURE 65 53 47 44 42 42 38 42 41 37 35 35 32 34 35 40 40  
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 43 29 41  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW N NW N N N N NW N N N N  
WIND (MPH) 5 6 8 10 14 12 6 5 8 11 11 11 13 13 12 9 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 5 5 10 40 0 0 0 0 0 5  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.7 9.3 9.5 9.6 8.5 7.7 7.2 6.8 5.9 5.5 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.3 4.9 6.0 6.2  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV FW CL CL FW SC FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 80 90 80 15 5 0 5 25 20 10 15 30 35 15 20 20  
TEMPERATURE 51 42 40 36 29 27 36 39 37 30 28 26 25 25 32 36 35  
MIN/MAX TEMP 26 39 23 37  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW N N NW N NE NE E NE NE NE NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 11 8 11 10 10 9 9 9 9 12 20 20 23 24 25 19 13  
WIND GUST (MPH) 32 29 36 42 43 46 49 47  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 9.4 8.2 6.2 4.5 3.3 4.3 5.2 5.5 4.9 4.3 4.2 3.9 3.4 4.5 5.2 5.3  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV FW CL CL CL SC FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 85 90 75 20 5 0 5 30 25 10 15 30 35 15 20 20  
TEMPERATURE 51 42 40 36 29 26 36 39 37 30 27 25 24 24 32 35 34  
MIN/MAX TEMP 26 39 22 36  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW N N NW N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 11 8 10 10 11 10 8 8 9 12 20 20 21 23 24 20 13  
WIND GUST (MPH) 28 27 34 41 41 43 47 43  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 9.8 8.4 6.5 4.6 3.5 4.3 5.2 5.6 4.9 4.4 4.3 3.9 3.4 4.5 5.2 5.3  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC OV OV BK FW CL CL FW FW CL FW FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 45 75 75 55 20 0 0 10 10 5 10 15 15 10 10 10  
TEMPERATURE 57 47 43 41 38 32 36 42 41 35 31 29 27 26 34 42 42  
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 43 25 43  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW N NW NW NW N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 6 5 8 9 10 8 5 6 5 4 10 12 13 12 11 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH) 25  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 9.5 9.7 7.4 5.9 4.8 4.8 5.4 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.2 3.9 3.3 4.5 5.4 5.6  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV SC FW CL FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 75 80 75 30 15 0 5 20 25 5 10 15 30 15 15 15  
TEMPERATURE 49 43 41 39 34 31 33 36 35 32 31 31 30 30 32 36 35  
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 37 28 37  
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW N N NW NW N E E E NE NE NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 9 8 12 10 9 6 8 9 8 8 13 14 18 19 21 13 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 32 31 42 46 49 52 52 35 31  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 9.5 8.1 6.3 4.6 3.9 4.5 5.2 5.3 4.9 4.3 4.0 3.7 3.3 4.5 5.2 5.3  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV FW FW CL FW SC SC FW FW FW SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 90 85 75 20 10 0 10 30 35 10 10 20 35 15 15 20  
TEMPERATURE 48 43 41 38 33 30 32 36 34 31 31 31 30 30 31 35 34  
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 36 28 36  
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW N N NW N NE E E E NE NE NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 9 8 13 10 8 6 9 9 8 8 14 16 19 21 25 17 12  
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 32 31 42 46 49 52 52 35 31  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.7 9.4 7.4 5.8 4.1 3.5 4.4 5.1 5.2 4.8 4.3 3.9 3.7 3.3 4.5 5.1 5.1  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/10/26 SUNDAY 10/11/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW BK OV OV BK FW FW CL FW FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 55 75 80 65 20 10 0 15 20 10 10 5 15 5 10 10  
TEMPERATURE 53 45 45 43 38 36 35 37 36 34 34 34 33 32 36 40 39  
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 38 31 40  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW N NW NW NW N N NE N NE N N  
WIND (MPH) 11 10 16 16 19 19 13 11 11 10 11 12 11 11 10 9 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 10 30 20 5 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 9.8 9.4 7.2 5.5 4.3 4.4 5.0 5.2 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.2 3.9 4.5 5.4 5.7  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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