816
FWUS46 KMFR 160936
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW FW SC FW FW CL FW FW FW FW CL FW CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 0 0 10 5 20 30 25 15 5 10 5 10 20 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 46 45 57 62 61 51 50 49 47 45 55 57 55 47 46 45 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 45 58 42
WIND DIR E SE SE S SW SW S SW SW W SW SW W W W NW SE
WIND (MPH) 14 6 8 10 8 8 8 10 10 9 10 8 8 5 9 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.4 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.6 8.6 9.1 9.4 9.5 9.1 8.6 8.5 8.2
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 5 5 20 25 25 15 5 10 5 15 20 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 40 41 59 64 61 47 45 43 41 41 58 59 55 43 41 39 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 66 40 60 36
WIND DIR E NE SE SE S S S S SW NW SW SW W W NW NE E
WIND (MPH) 14 5 8 8 5 5 6 8 8 6 5 5 5 4 6 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.3 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.6 8.6 9.0 9.4 9.5 9.1 8.7 8.5 8.2
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW FW SC FW FW CL FW CL FW FW CL FW CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 0 0 15 5 25 30 25 15 5 10 5 10 20 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 47 45 55 61 61 51 50 49 47 46 53 57 56 47 46 45 44
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 46 58 43
WIND DIR E SE SE S S SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW W SE SE
WIND (MPH) 13 8 9 10 8 8 9 10 10 9 11 8 10 5 9 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.1 9.3 9.5 9.3 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.6 8.5 9.1 9.4 9.5 9.1 8.7 8.5 8.2
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW FW SC FW FW CL FW FW FW FW CL FW CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 0 10 10 25 30 25 15 5 10 5 10 20 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 36 37 47 50 49 39 39 38 37 37 45 46 44 36 35 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 37 46 34
WIND DIR SE S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 12 16 19 17 17 17 18 18 16 14 12 11 12 16 17 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 47 44 47 47 40 36 33 33 31 31 32 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.2 9.4 9.7 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.6 8.6 9.2 9.5 9.5 9.1 8.5 8.5 8.2
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW FW FW CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 15 10 20 15 15 10 5 5 5 10 20 5 10 5
TEMPERATURE 44 44 53 62 61 51 48 46 45 44 54 59 57 47 44 43 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 44 59 40
WIND DIR E E SE SE S SW SW SW SW SW S S W W W SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 10 9 8 6 8 6 6 5 5 10 8 9 4 6 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 8.9 9.2 9.5 9.4 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.7 8.5 9.0 9.4 9.5 9.2 8.8 8.4 8.1
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW CL FW FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 10 10 30 30 25 10 5 10 5 10 20 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 51 50 63 71 69 56 55 53 52 51 62 66 64 53 50 49 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 72 50 67 47
WIND DIR SE SW SE SE S SW SW SW SW SW S SE SW N N N N
WIND (MPH) 6 4 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 4 9 6 8 4 4 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.1 9.3 9.4 9.4 9.1 9.0 9.0 8.6 8.6 9.1 9.5 9.5 9.1 8.7 8.5 8.2
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 5 5 10 25 20 10 10 5 5 10 20 20 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 46 48 59 66 64 52 50 49 47 49 58 61 59 49 45 44 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 66 46 61 41
WIND DIR S SW SE SE S SW SW SW SW W S S N N N NE E
WIND (MPH) 10 5 8 6 6 8 9 8 6 5 6 4 5 5 6 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.1 9.3 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.0 8.8 8.5 8.6 9.2 9.5 9.5 9.0 8.7 8.3 8.0
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 25 10 10 35 50 45 30 50 40 30 45 40 30 15 15 15
TEMPERATURE 41 40 56 62 60 48 46 43 41 39 52 54 52 41 39 36 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 39 54 33
WIND DIR SE SE SE S SE W SW SW SW W W W W NW N NE E
WIND (MPH) 17 14 12 9 8 10 12 14 14 14 13 11 11 10 10 11 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 8.8 8.8 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.3 7.8 7.7
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW FW SC BK SC SC SC SC FW SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 25 10 15 35 55 50 30 40 35 25 50 40 30 15 15 15
TEMPERATURE 38 38 54 60 58 47 44 41 39 38 52 54 51 41 38 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 60 38 54 32
WIND DIR E E SE S S W W SW W W SW W W NW N NE E
WIND (MPH) 13 12 12 9 6 10 11 14 14 14 13 11 11 10 10 11 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.7 8.7 9.0 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.6 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.6 8.3 7.8 7.6
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL FW FW BK FW SC SC FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 5 20 15 55 25 25 40 25 20 45 40 25 10 10 10
TEMPERATURE 41 40 54 65 65 52 47 44 41 40 53 58 56 45 40 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 66 40 59 34
WIND DIR E E E SE E SE W SW W SW W W W NW NW NE E
WIND (MPH) 11 9 8 5 4 5 4 4 4 3 6 8 9 4 4 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 8.7 8.8 8.9 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.6 8.5 8.3 8.0
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 20 10 20 20 50 45 40 45 40 30 50 35 30 15 20 15
TEMPERATURE 45 44 55 62 60 49 48 47 44 42 50 52 49 41 39 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 42 52 36
WIND DIR E SE SE S SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW NW NE E
WIND (MPH) 16 13 10 9 6 10 11 13 14 14 13 12 12 10 10 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 8.9 8.9 9.0 9.0 8.9 8.9 8.7 8.9 8.8 8.8 8.9 8.7 8.6 8.3 7.9 7.7
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 25 15 15 20 50 50 45 50 45 35 45 35 30 20 25 20
TEMPERATURE 44 43 56 63 61 49 48 47 44 42 49 51 49 41 39 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 42 51 35
WIND DIR E SE SE S SW S SW SW SW W W W W NW N NE E
WIND (MPH) 16 13 11 9 6 11 12 14 16 16 13 12 12 10 10 11 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.9 8.8 8.8 9.0 8.7 8.5 8.2 7.7 7.5
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/16/26 SATURDAY 10/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL FW FW SC FW FW SC FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 15 5 10 15 35 20 15 35 20 15 40 45 25 15 20 20
TEMPERATURE 47 45 54 62 61 52 51 49 46 44 51 53 49 43 41 41 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 44 53 40
WIND DIR SE SE S S NW NW W NW NW N NW NW N N N NE E
WIND (MPH) 16 12 6 9 9 9 10 11 11 10 10 10 10 9 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.1 9.0 9.1 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.7 8.9 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.6 8.4 8.2
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page