352
FWUS46 KMFR 092301
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 PM PDT TUE SEP 9 2025
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 75 60 60 60 70 80 90 80 75 80 90 65 50 55 55 45
TEMPERATURE 45 43 43 44 45 44 44 46 46 43 44 45 44 44 47 51 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 47 42 54
WIND DIR S S SW NE NE NE S W W NW W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 6 8 6 5 4 6 8 5 8 11 10 10 12 18 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 20 40 10 40 70 80 60 60 40 40 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.36 0.09 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.8 9.9 10.0 10.1 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.0 10.2 10.3 10.6
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 65 55 55 65 80 80 75 75 70 90 60 50 55 55 45
TEMPERATURE 48 40 39 39 40 41 47 49 47 43 41 42 41 44 51 55 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 51 40 58
WIND DIR SW W NW N N NW W W W NW S W W W NW W NW
WIND (MPH) 5 4 5 4 4 3 5 5 4 5 8 8 8 10 13 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 20 40 10 40 70 70 60 60 30 30 30 30 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R R R R T R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.22 0.08 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.7 9.8 9.9 10.0 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.0 10.2 10.3 10.6
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 60 60 60 65 80 90 80 75 75 90 65 50 55 55 45
TEMPERATURE 45 43 43 44 45 44 44 47 46 44 44 45 45 44 46 50 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 48 42 54
WIND DIR S S SW NE NE N S W W NW NW W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 6 8 6 5 4 8 9 5 6 11 10 10 12 18 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 20 40 10 40 70 80 60 60 40 40 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.29 0.38 0.08 0.00 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.4 9.6 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.7 9.9 10.0 10.1 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.0 10.2 10.3 10.6
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 70 60 65 75 85 90 75 75 80 90 70 50 55 55 45
TEMPERATURE 35 33 33 34 33 34 35 36 36 33 32 33 33 35 38 43 45
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 37 32 45
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE E SE SW W NW N NW N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 6 10 11 8 6 6 5 6 8 11 19 17 17 21 28 21 21
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 43 51 41 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 20 40 10 40 70 80 60 60 40 40 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE S T S S S S S S S S S S S S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00 0.09 0.55 0.27 0.10 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 1.9 0.8 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.6 9.6 9.7 9.6 9.7 9.9 10.0 10.1 10.1 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.1 10.3 10.3 10.5
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 60 55 50 65 60 80 85 75 85 90 85 75 60 55 55 50
TEMPERATURE 48 46 43 44 43 44 45 47 48 45 45 45 44 44 48 53 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 49 44 56
WIND DIR SW W NW NW NW NW W NW NW N SW W W W NW W NW
WIND (MPH) 8 5 5 4 3 3 5 6 4 5 8 6 6 10 14 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 10 20 30 10 40 70 70 60 60 30 30 40 40 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.23 0.04 0.00 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.6 9.8 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.9 10.0 10.0 10.0 9.9 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.4 10.6
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 60 55 55 55 60 70 80 75 75 75 80 55 40 55 55 40
TEMPERATURE 56 50 50 49 50 52 55 56 56 50 51 51 50 53 56 61 63
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 59 49 64
WIND DIR SE NW NW W NW NW SE S SW W S SE NW E E E SE
WIND (MPH) 6 4 4 4 3 2 5 6 4 3 2 3 2 2 3 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 20 30 40 10 40 60 70 60 60 30 30 20 20 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.11 0.05 0.00 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.9 9.9 9.9 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.0 10.1 10.3 10.6
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK SC OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 50 55 45 70 80 90 80 75 60 75 60 50 55 55 45
TEMPERATURE 50 44 45 45 46 50 49 50 51 45 46 46 46 49 50 55 58
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 52 44 58
WIND DIR SW NW NW N N NW SW W NW N SE W W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 4 5 5 4 3 4 6 5 5 8 8 9 10 10 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 20 30 30 10 40 70 70 70 70 20 20 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.18 0.06 0.00 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.4 9.4 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.7 10.0 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.1 10.1 10.3 10.6
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 65 45 55 50 60 90 95 100 95 90 90 80 65 65 65 45
TEMPERATURE 50 46 46 44 44 44 49 49 50 47 47 46 45 45 49 53 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 52 44 55
WIND DIR NW NW N N N N NW W W NW NW W W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 6 10 12 12 10 12 12 10 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 20 20 30 30 20 70 80 80 80 60 60 30 30 50 50 20
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.22 0.08 0.01 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.1 10.0 9.9 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.2 10.3 10.3 10.4 10.2 10.3 10.4 10.5 10.6 10.7
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC BK SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 55 45 55 45 70 90 90 100 85 80 85 75 60 65 65 45
TEMPERATURE 48 46 44 43 42 42 47 49 48 47 45 45 44 44 48 52 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 51 42 56
WIND DIR W NW N N N NW NW W W NW W W W NW W W NW
WIND (MPH) 5 5 4 5 4 4 4 6 10 11 12 9 12 12 10 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 20 20 30 20 30 70 90 80 80 60 60 40 40 50 50 20
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.42 0.15 0.07 0.02 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.1 9.9 9.9 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.2 10.3 10.3 10.4 10.3 10.4 10.4 10.5 10.6 10.7
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 60 60 60 55 75 90 90 95 85 80 95 80 70 60 60 55
TEMPERATURE 52 49 48 46 44 43 50 54 54 51 49 47 45 45 50 55 58
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 56 44 58
WIND DIR NW NW NW NE NE W SW W NW W W W NW W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 6 6 3 4 3 4 4 4 6 5 6 5 5 5 5 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 20 20 40 30 30 70 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.01 0.18 0.15 0.06 0.01 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.8 9.9 9.9 9.9 9.8 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.1 10.3 10.3 10.4 10.5 10.6
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 60 50 55 50 60 80 90 95 90 90 90 85 75 65 65 50
TEMPERATURE 47 45 46 45 45 45 48 49 49 46 47 47 46 46 47 52 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 51 44 54
WIND DIR NW NW NW N N NW NW W W W NW W W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 4 5 4 3 3 3 6 10 11 10 9 11 12 10 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 20 30 30 20 70 70 70 70 60 60 40 40 40 40 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00 0.04 0.32 0.19 0.08 0.02 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.9 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.2 10.3 10.4 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.5 10.6 10.6
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 60 50 55 50 50 80 90 95 95 95 90 85 80 70 70 50
TEMPERATURE 48 46 46 45 45 45 49 48 48 46 47 46 45 46 47 52 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 50 44 54
WIND DIR NW NW N N N N NW W NW NW NW W W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 4 5 4 3 3 4 6 10 11 10 9 12 11 10 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 20 30 30 20 70 70 70 70 60 60 40 40 40 40 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.06 0.34 0.21 0.08 0.02 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.1 10.1 9.9 9.9 9.9 9.9 10.1 10.3 10.3 10.5 10.3 10.4 10.3 10.5 10.6 10.6
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/10/25 THURSDAY 09/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 60 70 60 70 85 90 70 95 100 80 75 65 55 55 30
TEMPERATURE 47 45 47 46 46 47 49 53 53 46 50 49 48 49 51 55 57
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 55 45 57
WIND DIR NW NW N N N N N NW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 6 5 3 3 3 4 6 8 9 11 10 12 11 10 9 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 40 20 30 30 20 50 70 60 60 40 40 20 20 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.01 0.00 0.18 0.20 0.18 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.7 10.0 9.9 10.0 10.2 10.1 10.2 10.2 10.2 10.3 10.4
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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