571  
FWUS46 KMFR 192136  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
236 PM PDT SUN JUL 19 2026  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 60 90 85 85 80 80 55 75 55 30 30 40 35 35 50 45  
TEMPERATURE 70 64 64 65 64 61 61 63 65 62 62 62 62 62 65 67 68  
MIN/MAX TEMP 60 67 59 70  
WIND DIR S SW S S SE SE S SW SW S S S S S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 12 9 8 12 11 11 11 13 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 20 10 10 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.5 12.7 13.3 13.8 14.2 14.2 13.8 14.0 14.4 14.2 14.2 14.4 14.3 14.0 14.0 14.1 14.2  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV BK SC OV BK FW SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 55 90 85 85 80 70 50 75 55 25 30 40 35 30 45 45  
TEMPERATURE 73 64 59 58 58 60 65 69 69 62 57 56 55 61 69 72 72  
MIN/MAX TEMP 56 71 53 74  
WIND DIR S S S SW SE NE SE SW W SE SE S SE S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 8 5 5 6 4 5 6 8 9 8 5 9 9 9 8 11 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 20 10 10 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.5 12.6 13.3 13.8 14.1 14.2 13.7 14.1 14.4 14.1 14.1 14.4 14.3 14.0 14.0 14.1 14.2  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 65 90 85 85 80 80 55 75 60 30 30 40 35 35 50 45  
TEMPERATURE 68 65 64 66 64 59 58 61 64 63 62 63 62 61 62 66 67  
MIN/MAX TEMP 58 66 59 69  
WIND DIR S SW S S SE SE S SW SW S S S S S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 12 9 9 12 12 12 10 12 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 20 10 10 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.5 12.8 13.4 13.7 14.2 14.2 13.9 14.0 14.4 14.2 14.2 14.4 14.3 14.0 14.0 14.1 14.2  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK FW SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 70 90 85 90 80 75 55 75 55 25 30 45 35 30 50 50  
TEMPERATURE 56 53 51 52 51 50 49 51 51 51 49 50 49 52 53 54 54  
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 53 49 55  
WIND DIR S W S S S S S S S SW S S S S S SW W  
WIND (MPH) 14 10 16 18 18 16 18 17 24 18 16 23 21 21 18 19 10  
WIND GUST (MPH) 35 43 52 55 52 61 47 56 48 41 52 50 48 42 36  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 20 10 10 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.7 12.6 13.4 13.9 14.2 14.2 13.8 14.1 14.4 14.2 14.2 14.4 14.3 14.0 14.0 14.1 14.2  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 90 85 80 75 80 75 80 70 35 35 40 30 35 40 50  
TEMPERATURE 71 67 64 65 62 59 60 65 66 65 62 61 59 61 65 69 69  
MIN/MAX TEMP 59 68 59 70  
WIND DIR S S SW NW E N E S W S S SW S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 10 6 6 4 5 4 5 8 10 10 9 10 10 11 9 11 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 20 10 10 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.8 13.0 13.5 13.8 14.4 14.4 14.1 13.8 14.4 14.3 14.5 14.5 14.4 14.1 14.1 14.1 14.3  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV SC OV SC SC SC SC FW SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 55 90 90 80 70 70 45 70 45 35 35 30 20 30 40 50  
TEMPERATURE 79 73 70 71 70 70 70 74 75 70 68 67 66 72 75 77 77  
MIN/MAX TEMP 68 77 64 79  
WIND DIR S S S S S SE SE S S S N N N N S S S  
WIND (MPH) 8 4 5 5 3 4 4 6 8 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.3 12.4 13.4 13.9 14.1 13.9 13.7 14.3 14.3 13.9 14.0 14.4 14.3 14.0 14.0 14.1 14.1  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK OV SC OV SC FW SC SC FW SC SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 85 90 85 70 70 40 75 45 25 35 30 25 25 40 50  
TEMPERATURE 74 68 66 66 65 69 65 68 69 65 64 62 62 72 68 72 72  
MIN/MAX TEMP 61 71 59 74  
WIND DIR S S S SW S NE SE SW SW SE S S S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 9 5 8 11 6 6 6 8 9 6 3 8 8 8 8 6 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 20 10 10 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.8 12.2 13.4 13.6 14.2 13.6 13.6 14.1 14.2 13.9 14.2 14.4 14.2 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK SC BK SC SC BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 85 95 95 95 95 80 60 80 80 55 45 55 45 40 55 60  
TEMPERATURE 75 68 62 59 57 59 63 68 70 67 61 58 55 61 70 72 72  
MIN/MAX TEMP 55 71 54 74  
WIND DIR W NW NE E SE SE S SW SW E E E E SE SW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 8 6 9 8 6 9 10 6 9 8 11 9 8 8 11 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 10 10 20 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.0 12.1 12.8 13.0 13.5 13.8 13.7 13.8 13.9 14.0 14.1 14.1 13.9 13.7 13.8 14.1 14.3  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK BK BK SC SC BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 80 90 95 95 95 80 60 85 80 55 50 65 45 40 55 65  
TEMPERATURE 74 68 61 59 57 58 61 68 68 66 61 57 54 60 69 72 71  
MIN/MAX TEMP 55 70 54 74  
WIND DIR W NW N E SE SE SW SW SW SE E E E SE S SW NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 9 6 9 10 6 8 10 6 10 8 12 9 8 8 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 10 10 20 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.1 12.3 12.8 13.1 13.8 13.8 13.7 13.8 14.0 14.0 14.2 14.1 13.9 13.8 13.9 14.1 14.3  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 90 85 95 90 90 70 50 80 65 35 35 45 30 40 45 50  
TEMPERATURE 80 75 68 65 60 58 67 72 74 73 67 63 59 59 73 76 76  
MIN/MAX TEMP 57 76 57 78  
WIND DIR NW NW N NE SE E SW S S NW NW NW N NE SW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 6 3 3 4 4 5 8 8 5 3 2 2 3 3 5 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.9 12.5 12.7 13.5 14.0 13.6 13.5 13.7 13.9 14.1 14.1 14.0 14.0 14.0 13.9 14.0 14.2  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV SC SC SC SC SC BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 85 90 90 95 90 80 60 70 75 45 45 45 45 40 55 60  
TEMPERATURE 71 66 64 65 63 61 63 67 67 65 64 63 62 63 69 70 69  
MIN/MAX TEMP 60 69 61 72  
WIND DIR NW NW NE SE SE SE SE S SW E E E E SE SW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 8 8 9 9 6 8 11 8 9 6 10 9 6 6 10 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 10 10 20 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.8 12.1 12.7 13.0 13.6 13.7 13.6 13.7 13.9 13.9 14.1 14.0 13.9 13.7 13.8 14.1 14.2  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK SC SC SC SC BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 85 90 90 95 90 75 65 75 80 50 45 35 50 40 55 65  
TEMPERATURE 71 65 63 64 63 61 63 67 67 65 64 63 62 63 69 70 70  
MIN/MAX TEMP 60 69 61 72  
WIND DIR NW NW E E SE SE S S W NE E E E SE W W NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 6 6 9 9 5 6 11 8 9 6 10 9 6 6 11 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 10 10 20 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.8 12.0 12.7 12.8 13.4 13.7 13.7 13.7 13.9 13.9 14.0 14.0 13.8 13.6 13.8 14.1 14.2  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 07/20/26 TUESDAY 07/21/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 90 90 90 95 95 65 60 75 55 60 40 45 50 45 35 40  
TEMPERATURE 72 66 66 69 68 66 64 68 68 65 65 67 67 69 69 72 70  
MIN/MAX TEMP 64 70 63 72  
WIND DIR NW NW N SE S SE SE S S SE NW N SE S S W NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 12 8 8 9 8 9 10 4 12 8 9 9 6 8 6 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 10 10 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.1 12.5 12.7 13.1 13.7 13.5 13.1 13.4 13.9 13.7 13.7 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.8 13.8 14.0  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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