636
FWUS46 KMFR 192136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT MON OCT 19 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV SC BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 60 75 80 50 50 35 35 55 80 80 75 75 60 55 65 60
TEMPERATURE 41 39 40 41 40 39 46 48 47 44 45 46 44 43 47 49 47
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 49 41 51
WIND DIR S SE SE SE SE E SE SE SE E E NE NE N SE SE S
WIND (MPH) 8 4 5 8 6 8 9 9 4 4 4 6 6 6 3 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 40 30 10 10 30 30 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.8 7.2 7.4 8.0 8.5 8.7 8.8 8.7 8.9 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.5
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV SC BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 55 75 75 35 50 30 35 50 70 75 70 75 55 55 65 60
TEMPERATURE 41 35 35 35 34 35 48 50 46 40 40 40 38 38 50 51 47
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 50 36 53
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE E E SE SE SE E E E E N SE E S
WIND (MPH) 8 5 6 8 6 6 9 10 4 4 4 5 5 5 3 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 40 30 10 10 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.8 7.1 7.3 7.9 8.5 8.7 8.8 8.8 8.9 9.2 9.2 9.4 9.4
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV BK BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 75 80 55 55 35 35 55 80 80 75 75 60 55 65 60
TEMPERATURE 42 39 40 41 40 40 44 47 47 43 45 46 44 44 46 49 47
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 49 42 51
WIND DIR S S S SE SE E SE SE SE E NE NE NE N SE SE S
WIND (MPH) 8 4 5 6 6 8 9 9 4 4 4 6 6 6 3 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 40 30 10 10 30 30 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.3 6.4 6.4 6.8 7.2 7.4 8.0 8.5 8.7 8.8 8.8 8.9 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.4
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 60 70 70 40 45 30 35 55 75 80 70 70 55 55 65 60
TEMPERATURE 32 30 31 32 31 32 37 38 36 34 35 36 35 35 39 40 37
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 38 33 41
WIND DIR S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E NE N NW NE SW
WIND (MPH) 10 6 9 11 11 11 13 13 4 4 5 8 8 8 4 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH) 31
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 40 20 10 10 30 30 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.8 7.1 7.4 8.0 8.5 8.7 8.8 8.8 8.8 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.5
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV SC SC SC SC OV OV BK OV BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 60 80 85 50 35 30 30 70 80 70 70 60 55 60 65 70
TEMPERATURE 43 41 40 40 39 39 45 49 48 45 44 43 43 41 45 50 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 50 41 51
WIND DIR S S S S S SE S S S SW SW NW N NE E SE SW
WIND (MPH) 10 6 8 9 6 8 11 10 4 4 5 8 8 9 4 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 30 10 5 5 30 30 50
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.8 7.3 7.6 8.2 8.6 8.6 8.8 8.7 8.9 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.6
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK OV SC SC SC BK BK OV OV BK OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 75 65 75 30 45 45 55 55 80 80 70 80 60 55 65 55
TEMPERATURE 47 43 43 43 43 43 50 54 52 48 50 50 48 48 53 56 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 55 46 58
WIND DIR S S S S S SE SE S S NW N NW N N E SE S
WIND (MPH) 4 3 2 1 1 1 3 6 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 3 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 30 20 5 5 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.4 6.6 6.5 6.7 7.1 7.3 7.7 8.4 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.3
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV SC SC FW SC BK BK OV BK OV BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 75 80 25 35 20 35 55 65 75 70 70 60 50 60 55
TEMPERATURE 44 41 41 41 40 42 48 50 49 46 46 46 45 46 49 52 50
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 50 42 53
WIND DIR S S S S S SE SE S S S S S NE NW E E S
WIND (MPH) 4 4 5 5 4 5 6 9 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 30 10 5 5 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.4 6.6 6.5 6.6 7.0 7.3 7.8 8.3 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.8 9.1 9.1 9.3 9.4
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV SC FW FW OV OV SC BK OV SC FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 80 75 45 10 20 70 80 50 65 95 50 25 40 65
TEMPERATURE 43 40 39 37 36 35 47 52 53 46 42 40 39 39 51 56 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 53 37 56
WIND DIR SW S E SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E E S N
WIND (MPH) 2 2 9 12 13 13 13 11 2 3 9 11 12 11 5 3 0
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 5 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.5 7.4 7.0 6.8 6.9 7.6 8.1 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.5 8.9 9.5 9.5
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV SC FW FW OV OV SC BK OV SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 80 75 35 15 25 75 80 50 65 95 45 25 40 65
TEMPERATURE 42 40 38 36 35 34 46 52 51 44 41 39 38 37 50 54 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 52 36 55
WIND DIR SW S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE NE NE NE NE NE E SE N
WIND (MPH) 2 2 6 11 11 12 11 10 2 3 8 10 10 10 5 3 0
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.5 7.4 6.9 6.7 6.9 7.6 8.1 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.5 8.4 8.9 9.5 9.5
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV SC FW SC BK OV SC BK OV SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 95 80 45 15 30 60 75 35 65 80 45 30 50 60
TEMPERATURE 47 43 40 39 37 37 47 56 57 48 43 41 40 39 50 58 57
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 57 38 59
WIND DIR W SW SE E E E SE SE SE E NE E E E E S W
WIND (MPH) 2 2 4 6 8 9 6 5 2 2 4 8 8 6 3 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 20
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.7 6.9 7.5 8.1 8.5 8.6 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.7 9.2 9.5 9.5
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW BK OV SC BK OV SC FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 95 85 65 45 20 15 65 75 50 60 90 50 25 40 60
TEMPERATURE 42 41 41 40 39 38 46 52 52 46 43 43 42 41 50 55 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 53 40 56
WIND DIR SW S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E SE S NW
WIND (MPH) 1 3 8 11 13 14 11 9 1 5 11 11 12 11 3 1 1
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 32 36 28 29 28
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.4 7.3 6.9 6.8 6.9 7.5 8.1 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 9.0 9.4 9.5
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW BK OV BK BK OV BK FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 95 75 60 50 15 10 70 80 55 65 95 50 25 35 65
TEMPERATURE 43 41 41 40 39 37 46 52 53 46 43 43 42 41 50 55 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 53 40 57
WIND DIR S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E SE E SE S NW
WIND (MPH) 1 3 9 12 14 16 12 9 1 6 12 12 13 12 3 1 1
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 32 36
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.5 7.4 6.9 6.8 6.9 7.5 8.2 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.4 8.9 9.4 9.5
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/20/26 WEDNESDAY 10/21/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC OV BK BK BK OV SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 90 90 50 45 30 30 70 65 55 60 80 50 40 55 55
TEMPERATURE 40 41 42 43 41 41 45 50 50 47 47 48 48 46 50 54 52
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 51 46 54
WIND DIR S S S SE S S S S SE SE S S SE S SE S NW
WIND (MPH) 2 2 3 5 8 9 4 3 2 2 4 6 9 9 2 1 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.5 6.7 7.1 7.6 8.3 8.6 8.8 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.3 9.4
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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