796
FWUS46 KMFR 212136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 85 85 90 95 85 85 95 85 70 35 30 40 10 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 52 47 46 45 44 42 40 42 42 39 37 35 32 30 33 39 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 44 30 41
WIND DIR E NE NE E E SW SW SW NW N NW N N NW NW N N
WIND (MPH) 2 3 4 4 3 2 3 5 8 13 16 20 21 19 9 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 50 60 60 50 60 60 80 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.08 0.15 0.26 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.1 10.0 9.7 9.5 9.2 8.9 8.7 8.3 7.6 6.6 5.8 4.6 4.0 5.0 5.7 5.9
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 85 85 80 90 85 90 95 80 70 35 35 40 10 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 52 43 41 40 39 39 41 41 41 36 33 31 28 27 35 40 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 43 26 42
WIND DIR E E E E E S S SW NW N N N N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 2 4 4 4 3 3 3 5 6 11 13 17 18 17 9 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 50 50 50 40 60 60 70 30 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.06 0.15 0.27 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.1 10.0 9.7 9.5 9.1 8.9 8.6 8.2 7.6 6.5 5.8 4.6 3.9 4.8 5.6 5.9
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 85 85 90 95 85 85 90 85 75 40 30 35 10 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 53 46 46 45 44 43 40 41 42 39 37 35 32 30 32 39 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 45 30 41
WIND DIR E NE NE E E SW SW W NW NW NW N N NW N N N
WIND (MPH) 3 3 4 4 3 2 3 5 8 12 14 20 21 19 9 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 50 60 60 50 60 60 80 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.08 0.14 0.26 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 10.1 10.0 9.7 9.5 9.2 8.9 8.7 8.3 7.6 6.7 5.9 4.8 4.2 5.0 5.7 5.9
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 85 90 85 90 85 85 95 80 70 40 35 45 10 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 41 36 36 35 35 35 33 33 33 30 28 27 25 24 26 29 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 35 24 31
WIND DIR E NE E E SE S S SW NW NW NW N N NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 2 4 5 6 5 5 5 6 9 17 19 23 25 23 13 10 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 40 60 60 50 60 60 70 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.07 0.16 0.25 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 1.9 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.1 10.0 9.7 9.5 9.2 9.0 8.7 8.3 7.6 6.5 5.6 4.3 3.9 4.8 5.6 5.9
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 85 90 90 95 85 90 90 90 75 60 35 45 10 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 53 48 46 45 43 43 40 42 41 40 37 34 31 29 32 39 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 44 29 41
WIND DIR NE E E SE S SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N
WIND (MPH) 4 4 5 6 5 5 4 5 6 13 19 23 24 21 11 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 40 70 60 40 60 50 80 40 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.08 0.07 0.12 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.2 10.2 10.0 9.8 9.5 9.2 8.9 8.7 8.2 7.7 6.4 5.9 5.0 3.6 4.2 5.5 5.8
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 75 85 90 80 75 85 95 85 70 30 20 30 10 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 59 52 50 49 48 48 45 46 47 45 43 40 36 34 40 46 46
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 50 34 48
WIND DIR N S SE S N N S S NW NW NW NW NW N N N N
WIND (MPH) 2 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 8 9 10 10 10 8 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 50 50 50 50 60 50 60 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.03 0.09 0.09 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.1 8.8 8.5 8.4 7.8 6.5 6.1 5.1 3.8 4.3 5.5 5.8
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 80 85 70 75 80 90 90 80 60 40 40 50 15 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 55 49 46 46 45 47 42 43 44 41 38 37 34 33 35 40 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 48 31 41
WIND DIR N N NE SE S SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N
WIND (MPH) 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 8 9 11 13 12 9 6 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 50 40 50 50 70 50 50 30 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.01 0.15 0.09 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.5 9.1 8.8 8.5 8.3 7.7 6.5 6.0 5.1 3.7 4.0 5.3 5.6
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 45 50 70 60 85 90 90 95 95 90 55 45 25 5 0 5
TEMPERATURE 57 46 43 42 41 40 45 45 44 36 33 30 26 24 35 41 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 47 24 42
WIND DIR N NE E E E W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 0 3 9 9 5 3 5 10 11 18 21 19 18 11 9 8 3
WIND GUST (MPH) 42 42 42 37 28
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 20 30 30 40 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.2 8.5 7.7 6.7 6.1 4.8 2.9 2.3 3.4 5.1 5.5
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 65 50 75 65 95 90 95 95 90 80 50 40 20 5 0 0
TEMPERATURE 55 45 42 41 40 39 45 45 44 36 32 30 26 24 35 40 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 47 24 42
WIND DIR N NE E NE E SE NW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 0 3 9 9 4 4 4 9 12 17 20 20 18 13 9 6 4
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 40 40 37
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 20 30 40 40 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.3 8.6 7.8 6.7 6.1 4.7 2.8 2.2 3.4 5.2 5.5
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 35 50 70 70 95 90 95 95 80 90 80 65 30 5 0 0
TEMPERATURE 60 50 45 43 42 40 43 45 46 40 36 34 32 29 33 41 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 48 29 43
WIND DIR NE N NE E E SE W W NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 1 2 4 4 3 3 3 5 6 9 13 12 11 8 4 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 10 30 50 30 30 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.8 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.4 9.2 8.7 7.8 6.8 6.1 5.3 4.2 3.0 4.0 5.3 5.7
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 50 45 60 60 85 90 95 95 95 90 65 55 30 10 5 0
TEMPERATURE 56 48 46 45 44 43 43 43 42 38 36 34 30 27 31 37 37
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 46 27 39
WIND DIR NE NE E E E S W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 1 3 8 6 4 3 4 8 9 13 17 14 11 8 5 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH) 44 44 44 32
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 10 30 30 30 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.6 9.4 9.2 8.4 7.6 6.6 5.9 4.7 3.4 2.7 3.6 5.1 5.5
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 55 45 55 55 85 90 95 95 100 95 55 50 30 10 5 5
TEMPERATURE 56 48 46 45 44 43 43 44 42 38 36 34 29 27 31 37 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 46 27 39
WIND DIR N E E E SE S W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 0 2 9 6 4 2 4 9 9 14 17 13 11 8 6 5 2
WIND GUST (MPH) 44 44 44 32
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 10 30 30 30 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.2 8.4 7.5 6.5 5.8 4.5 3.1 2.6 3.5 5.1 5.4
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK FW FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 35 45 70 65 90 90 90 85 80 75 55 60 25 5 5 0
TEMPERATURE 55 50 49 48 47 46 42 43 43 39 38 38 34 32 32 36 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 48 32 37
WIND DIR NE N N NE E W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 2 4 6 5 5 4 3 6 10 12 19 19 19 14 6 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 20 20 30 30 30 30 10 20 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.8 9.6 9.3 9.0 8.2 7.7 6.6 6.1 5.2 4.0 3.2 3.7 4.7 5.1
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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