109
FWUS46 KMFR 202136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK BK BK BK SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 80 60 65 65 65 55 50 85 85 85 95 80 75 75 80 65
TEMPERATURE 48 45 46 47 46 45 50 52 49 44 45 45 44 42 41 42 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 53 40 44
WIND DIR SE E E E E NE E SE S NE NE N N W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 3 4 6 5 4 3 4 2 3 3 3 4 4 3 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 0 0 5 5 5 10 40 40 40 10 60 60 70 70 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R S R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.12 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.4
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC OV BK OV BK BK BK SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 75 55 70 70 65 50 50 80 85 80 90 80 75 75 80 65
TEMPERATURE 48 41 41 41 40 40 53 54 50 41 39 39 38 37 42 42 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 55 35 44
WIND DIR SE E E E E E SE SE E NE NE N N NW W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 4 4 5 4 4 2 4 3 4 3 3 3 4 3 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 0 0 5 0 5 10 30 30 40 10 60 60 60 60 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.11 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.2 9.1 8.4
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK BK BK BK SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 80 60 65 65 65 55 50 85 80 85 95 80 75 80 80 70
TEMPERATURE 49 45 46 47 46 46 49 52 50 44 45 45 44 43 40 41 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 53 39 45
WIND DIR S E E NE NE NE E SE W N N N N W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 3 4 6 5 4 3 3 2 3 3 3 4 4 3 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 5 5 5 10 40 40 40 10 60 60 70 70 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R S R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.12 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.5
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK BK BK BK SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 80 55 70 65 65 55 50 85 85 80 90 80 70 75 80 65
TEMPERATURE 37 35 36 37 36 37 41 42 39 35 35 35 35 34 34 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 43 33 35
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE E E SE E NE NE N N W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 4 5 8 6 6 4 4 2 4 4 5 5 6 6 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 5 0 5 10 40 40 40 10 60 60 60 60 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.13 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.4
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV BK BK BK SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 55 75 60 60 55 45 90 85 90 90 85 80 80 85 70
TEMPERATURE 50 46 45 45 45 43 48 53 51 46 45 44 42 41 39 41 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 54 39 43
WIND DIR S S E E SE SE SE SE SW NW NW NW NW W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 5 3 5 9 6 6 4 4 3 4 5 5 6 6 3 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 30 40 40 20 50 50 60 60 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.06 0.07 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 9.1 8.9 9.0 9.3 9.3 9.5 9.7 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.1 9.2 8.6
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK OV OV SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 85 60 65 75 80 40 45 80 85 75 95 80 75 70 80 60
TEMPERATURE 54 50 51 51 51 51 57 60 56 50 49 48 48 47 45 49 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 61 45 50
WIND DIR S S SW N E SE SE SE S NW NW N N NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 3 3 3 3 1 2 1 3 2 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 40 10 20 10 60 60 50 50 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.1 9.0 8.4
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC OV BK BK OV OV SC SC OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 85 55 60 70 80 50 35 80 90 60 90 75 75 70 80 65
TEMPERATURE 51 47 46 47 46 47 52 56 54 47 45 46 45 47 43 45 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 56 41 47
WIND DIR S S S SE SE S SE SE S S W NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 4 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 20 50 5 60 60 50 50 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.3 9.4 9.6 9.7 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.2 9.2 9.1 8.9 8.3
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV BK SC BK SC SC BK BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 80 85 65 35 55 30 25 60 55 50 40 55 75 75 75 75
TEMPERATURE 53 45 42 41 40 39 54 58 56 46 43 41 40 38 46 46 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 58 38 47
WIND DIR S S E E SE E SE SE NW N NE NE N N NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 3 2 8 10 11 10 3 2 1 3 6 5 5 5 5 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 30 30 30 30 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.6 8.8 9.1 9.5 9.7 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.0 8.8 8.5 7.7
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV BK BK BK SC FW BK BK BK SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 85 85 60 50 50 30 20 50 65 60 45 60 75 80 75 75
TEMPERATURE 51 44 41 40 38 37 53 57 55 45 41 40 39 37 45 46 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 57 37 46
WIND DIR S SE E E SE SE SE SE NW N N N N NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 3 2 6 10 10 9 3 2 1 4 8 6 6 6 5 9 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 40 40 30 30 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.5 8.8 9.1 9.4 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.1 8.9 8.6 7.9
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV BK SC FW FW BK OV SC SC OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 80 70 70 55 40 15 25 65 75 50 45 75 75 80 80 70
TEMPERATURE 57 48 44 42 41 39 53 61 59 49 44 42 40 39 44 47 46
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 61 38 48
WIND DIR S S E E E E E E NW NW NW N NW NW W W NW
WIND (MPH) 2 2 4 8 8 6 3 2 2 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 20 5 40 40 30 30 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.7 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.9 9.0 9.2 9.6 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.0 8.5 8.0
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV BK SC SC FW SC SC SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 85 80 60 35 45 20 25 50 50 35 40 55 65 75 75 70
TEMPERATURE 52 46 45 44 43 42 53 57 55 47 45 44 43 41 43 44 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 58 41 45
WIND DIR S S E E SE SE SE SE NW N NE NE NE N NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 1 3 10 11 11 11 2 1 2 3 5 4 3 3 4 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 0 0 30 30 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.8 9.0 9.5 9.6 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.1 9.0 8.7 8.4 7.6
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV BK FW SC FW SC SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 85 85 55 25 45 20 30 45 40 30 45 50 65 75 75 75
TEMPERATURE 52 46 45 43 43 42 53 58 56 47 45 44 43 41 44 45 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 58 41 45
WIND DIR S S SE SE SE SE SE SE NW NE NE NE NE N NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 1 3 10 11 12 11 2 1 2 3 5 4 3 2 4 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 0 0 30 30 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.8 8.8 8.6 8.6 8.7 9.0 9.5 9.6 9.4 9.2 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.3 7.5
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK OV SC BK SC FW SC BK OV SC BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 75 55 70 35 60 30 25 45 55 75 50 55 70 70 70 55
TEMPERATURE 51 47 48 49 48 47 52 56 54 49 48 47 46 45 44 45 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 56 44 47
WIND DIR S S S E SE SE SE S NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 3 2 3 5 6 9 2 1 2 3 5 6 6 5 3 6 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 5 20 20 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.9 9.0 8.8 8.9 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.1 8.8 8.5 8.2 7.7
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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