303
FWUS46 KMFR 182136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 15 30 65 65 55 80 90 85 90 95 90 55 45 45 60
TEMPERATURE 51 45 45 45 42 40 42 41 40 38 39 40 39 39 45 46 45
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 43 36 47
WIND DIR SW S S S S S S S S SE SE E E E SE S S
WIND (MPH) 10 12 17 19 20 18 14 11 11 4 4 4 6 6 6 9 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.3 8.4 8.0 7.0 6.2 6.2 6.6 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.4 6.7 7.0 7.6 8.0 8.3
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 15 30 65 70 65 85 90 85 90 90 90 55 45 45 55
TEMPERATURE 51 42 41 40 37 36 44 43 40 35 35 35 34 35 47 47 45
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 45 31 49
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S SE SE E E E SE S S
WIND (MPH) 10 10 12 14 14 13 12 11 11 5 5 5 5 5 6 9 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.3 8.4 8.0 7.0 6.2 6.2 6.5 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.7 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.3
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 10 15 30 60 65 50 80 90 85 95 95 90 60 45 45 60
TEMPERATURE 51 45 45 45 42 41 41 41 40 38 39 40 40 40 44 46 45
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 44 36 47
WIND DIR SW S S S S SW S S S S SE E E NE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 11 12 17 19 20 18 14 12 11 4 4 4 6 6 6 8 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.3 8.4 8.0 7.0 6.2 6.2 6.6 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.7 7.1 7.6 8.1 8.3
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 15 25 65 65 60 80 85 85 90 95 90 55 45 50 60
TEMPERATURE 41 35 36 35 34 34 35 33 30 29 30 31 31 32 37 37 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 36 28 37
WIND DIR SW SW SW S SW SW SW S S SE SE SE SE E SE S S
WIND (MPH) 19 21 26 29 32 32 28 27 26 6 6 8 9 10 9 12 4
WIND GUST (MPH) 44 47 51 55 62 69 71 72 69
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.0 7.0 6.2 6.3 6.7 6.7 6.4 6.3 6.4 6.7 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.3
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 25 40 65 65 50 75 90 90 100 95 90 55 45 40 65
TEMPERATURE 52 46 45 44 42 40 42 44 42 39 39 39 38 38 43 48 46
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 45 36 48
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW SW S S SW S SE SE E SE S S
WIND (MPH) 13 13 17 18 17 17 14 12 11 6 5 5 6 8 8 10 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 8.3 8.4 7.9 7.1 6.2 6.3 6.6 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.6 6.8 7.7 8.2 8.4
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 10 15 40 60 60 75 80 85 85 90 90 85 55 45 50 55
TEMPERATURE 58 50 50 48 46 44 46 47 45 42 42 42 42 43 48 52 51
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 49 39 53
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S SE SW N NW NE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 8 5 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 2 1 1 1 1 3 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.4 8.3 7.9 7.0 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.6 6.3 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.9 7.6 8.0 8.2
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 15 10 25 70 60 65 75 85 85 95 90 85 50 45 45 50
TEMPERATURE 56 48 47 46 44 44 45 45 43 40 40 40 39 41 46 49 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 46 36 49
WIND DIR S S S S S S SE S S S S S S SE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 10 10 12 13 13 12 11 11 11 4 4 4 3 4 4 8 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.4 8.3 7.9 7.0 6.3 6.6 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.8 7.5 7.9 8.1
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 25 30 50 90 90 85 85 100 100 100 95 90 60 40 45 60
TEMPERATURE 54 43 40 38 37 36 43 44 43 39 38 37 35 35 46 51 51
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 45 33 52
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW W S S SW NE E E E E E SE SE
WIND (MPH) 11 13 11 13 13 11 13 10 4 2 8 10 13 13 11 9 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 20 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.1 8.3 8.3 7.8 7.4 6.9 7.2 7.4 7.5 7.3 7.1 6.7 6.7 6.8 7.4 8.1 8.5
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 25 30 45 80 95 85 85 100 100 100 95 90 60 40 50 60
TEMPERATURE 53 42 39 37 36 35 42 43 42 39 37 35 34 33 45 50 50
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 44 32 51
WIND DIR W W W SW SW W S S SW N E E E E E SE SE
WIND (MPH) 10 13 11 13 12 11 14 10 5 2 6 9 11 12 10 8 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 20 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.2 8.4 8.3 7.9 7.5 7.0 7.2 7.4 7.5 7.4 7.2 6.7 6.7 6.6 7.4 8.2 8.5
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL SC SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 25 35 40 75 85 80 90 100 100 95 95 95 65 40 45 65
TEMPERATURE 58 46 42 40 38 38 44 47 47 42 39 38 36 36 46 54 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 49 34 55
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW S SW SW W N E E E E E SE S
WIND (MPH) 5 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 2 4 6 8 8 5 4 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 10 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.7 8.2 8.0 7.6 7.2 7.0 7.1 7.4 7.2 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.8 7.5 8.1 8.4
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 40 45 65 90 90 85 90 100 100 95 100 95 60 40 45 60
TEMPERATURE 53 43 42 41 40 39 41 43 42 40 39 39 38 37 45 51 50
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 44 36 52
WIND DIR W SW SW SW W W S SW W E E E E E E SE S
WIND (MPH) 11 13 13 14 13 12 13 10 5 3 8 10 12 13 10 5 1
WIND GUST (MPH) 31 35
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 20 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.1 8.3 8.2 7.7 7.3 7.0 6.9 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.1 6.8 6.7 6.7 7.4 8.2 8.5
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 45 50 75 95 90 85 90 100 100 95 100 95 55 40 40 60
TEMPERATURE 53 44 42 41 40 39 41 43 42 40 39 39 38 37 45 51 51
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 44 36 52
WIND DIR W S S SW SW W S SW W NE E E E E E SE S
WIND (MPH) 12 16 14 14 14 13 13 9 4 3 9 10 13 16 11 5 1
WIND GUST (MPH) 31 35
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 20 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 8.1 8.1 7.6 7.2 6.9 6.8 7.3 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.8 6.7 6.7 7.4 8.2 8.5
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE MONDAY 10/19/26 TUESDAY 10/20/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 20 30 40 75 80 90 100 100 95 95 95 60 45 45 60
TEMPERATURE 53 45 43 42 41 40 40 42 40 40 40 41 40 40 44 49 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 42 38 49
WIND DIR NW N W S NW NW SE S NW SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S
WIND (MPH) 10 11 11 14 12 12 12 10 10 2 3 4 6 8 3 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 10 5 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.6 8.1 7.8 7.3 7.0 6.8 7.0 7.3 7.0 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.6 6.9 7.9 8.2
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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