618  
FWUS46 KMFR 162136  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
236 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW SC SC SC SC FW SC SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 35 25 30 30 35 25 15 45 40 15 5 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMPERATURE 61 52 51 50 48 46 56 58 56 48 47 47 45 44 52 52 51  
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 59 44 54  
WIND DIR SW S S SW SW S SW SW W SW SW S S S SW S S  
WIND (MPH) 9 9 11 12 12 11 9 9 5 9 10 12 12 12 12 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.3 9.2 9.2 8.9 8.5 8.7 9.3 9.5 9.3 8.9 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.6 8.6 8.5  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC SC SC SC SC FW SC SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 35 25 30 30 30 30 15 40 35 15 5 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMPERATURE 61 47 45 43 42 42 59 60 56 44 41 40 39 40 54 54 51  
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 61 38 56  
WIND DIR S S S S S SE S SW W W S S SE SE S S S  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 8 9 9 8 6 5 4 4 9 9 9 9 9 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.2 8.9 8.5 8.6 9.2 9.5 9.3 8.8 8.5 8.4 8.3 8.5 8.6 8.6  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW SC SC SC FW FW SC SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 35 20 30 25 30 20 15 45 40 15 5 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMPERATURE 61 52 51 50 49 47 54 57 57 48 47 47 46 45 50 52 51  
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 59 45 54  
WIND DIR S S S S S S SW SW W SW SW S S S SW S S  
WIND (MPH) 10 9 11 12 12 11 9 10 5 9 10 12 12 12 12 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.3 8.9 8.5 8.7 9.2 9.5 9.3 8.9 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.6 8.6 8.5  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW SC SC FW FW SC SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 35 15 20 25 30 20 15 40 40 15 5 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMPERATURE 49 40 40 39 38 38 46 47 45 37 36 36 36 36 42 42 41  
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 47 35 43  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
WIND (MPH) 17 16 20 21 19 17 16 14 11 11 14 18 18 18 18 13 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 36 46 48 43 39 34 33 31 33 33  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.3 9.2 9.2 8.8 8.4 8.7 9.3 9.6 9.3 8.8 8.4 8.3 8.3 8.6 8.6 8.6  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 35 20 10 10 20 10 15 25 35 20 5 0 0 0 0 5  
TEMPERATURE 61 52 48 47 46 45 55 59 58 48 45 44 43 42 51 54 52  
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 60 42 54  
WIND DIR S S S S SW SW S SW W W S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 9 10 13 9 8 6 9 9 6 5 9 10 10 9 10 12 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.3 9.2 9.2 8.9 8.5 8.7 9.3 9.6 9.3 9.0 8.6 8.4 8.3 8.6 8.7 8.5  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 45 25 20 15 25 15 20 25 35 15 5 0 5 0 0 0  
TEMPERATURE 69 57 56 54 53 52 63 67 65 54 51 50 50 50 58 61 58  
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 68 49 61  
WIND DIR S S S S S S SE S W N E S S SE S S S  
WIND (MPH) 5 6 8 6 5 3 3 9 2 3 3 6 6 2 4 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.3 8.9 8.5 8.7 9.2 9.5 9.3 8.8 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.5  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 40 20 5 5 20 5 20 35 35 15 5 0 5 0 0 5  
TEMPERATURE 65 53 51 51 48 50 58 62 60 50 47 46 45 47 55 57 55  
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 62 43 57  
WIND DIR S S S S SW SW S W NW N SE SE SE S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 9 9 8 6 6 5 6 5 6 10 10 8 8 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.4 9.2 9.2 8.8 8.5 8.7 9.3 9.6 9.2 8.7 8.3 8.3 8.2 8.5 8.7 8.6  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC SC SC BK SC BK OV FW FW FW SC FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 60 40 30 35 55 45 50 70 25 10 20 25 25 5 25 20  
TEMPERATURE 61 49 46 43 41 40 52 55 53 42 40 38 37 35 51 55 53  
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 55 35 56  
WIND DIR SW W SW SW W SW W W W NW NE E E SE S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 10 11 13 13 13 13 13 12 10 9 9 10 10 10 11 8 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.6 8.8 8.7 8.7 9.0 8.7 8.4 8.2 8.0 7.9 8.1 8.2 8.2  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC SC FW SC SC SC BK SC FW FW SC FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 60 45 30 20 40 40 45 65 35 10 15 25 20 5 25 20  
TEMPERATURE 59 48 44 41 40 38 52 55 52 42 39 36 35 34 49 55 53  
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 55 34 55  
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W NW N NE NE E SE SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 10 11 13 13 13 13 12 12 10 9 9 10 10 10 10 6 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.1 9.0 8.7 8.6 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.9 8.7 8.5 8.3 8.1 7.9 8.1 8.3 8.3  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC CL FW FW FW CL FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 50 35 20 20 35 35 45 45 40 5 10 25 10 5 5 10  
TEMPERATURE 66 53 48 44 41 40 54 59 57 46 41 39 37 36 51 59 58  
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 60 36 60  
WIND DIR S W W W W W SW W W W SW E E E S SW W  
WIND (MPH) 4 4 5 6 6 5 4 8 8 5 4 4 5 5 3 4 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.4 9.3 8.9 8.5 8.7 8.9 8.8 8.9 8.7 8.5 8.3 8.2 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.6  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC SC SC SC SC SC BK SC FW FW SC FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 60 50 35 40 50 40 45 60 25 15 20 30 20 10 20 20  
TEMPERATURE 61 50 49 47 44 42 51 53 50 43 40 40 38 37 49 54 52  
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 53 37 54  
WIND DIR W W SW SW W SW W W NW NW NE E SE SE SE SW W  
WIND (MPH) 10 11 13 14 13 14 12 13 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.6 8.7 8.9 8.5 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.9 8.1 8.2 8.3  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW BK BK SC SC BK SC SC BK FW FW FW SC FW FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 65 50 40 45 55 40 45 65 25 20 20 30 25 10 25 30  
TEMPERATURE 61 50 48 48 44 42 50 52 50 42 40 39 38 37 49 54 52  
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 52 37 54  
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW S W W NW NW NE E SE SE SE SW W  
WIND (MPH) 11 11 13 14 14 16 13 13 11 10 11 11 11 11 11 6 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.5 8.7 8.9 8.5 8.3 8.0 7.9 7.8 8.1 8.2 8.1  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/17/26 SUNDAY 10/18/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW CL CL FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 40 20 20 30 30 35 35 45 30 15 15 15 15 5 5 10  
TEMPERATURE 61 52 52 50 47 45 52 54 51 44 43 42 42 41 48 54 52  
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 54 41 54  
WIND DIR W NW W W W NW NE N N N NW SE SE S S SW NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 11 12 12 10 9 9 11 10 9 8 8 9 6 8 2 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.4 9.2 8.8 8.6 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.0 8.6 8.6 8.4 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.4 8.6  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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