469
FWUS46 KMFR 150936
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 15 20 15 15 20
TEMPERATURE 44 42 53 57 57 50 49 48 46 44 56 61 60 50 50 49 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 44 63 44
WIND DIR E E E SE SE SE SE SE E SE SE S S S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 12 13 16 13 11 11 13 14 13 9 8 10 6 8 9 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.5 9.3 9.1 9.3 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.6
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 15 20 10 15 20
TEMPERATURE 38 39 56 60 58 46 44 43 41 41 59 64 60 46 45 43 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 39 65 40
WIND DIR NE E E E E E E E E E NE SE S SW S S W
WIND (MPH) 9 10 17 12 11 12 14 13 10 5 5 8 4 5 5 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.6 9.3 9.1 9.3 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.3 8.9 8.8 8.6
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 15 20 15 20 20
TEMPERATURE 45 43 51 56 58 51 50 49 47 45 54 61 61 50 50 49 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 45 63 45
WIND DIR E E E SE SE SE SE E E SE SE S S SW S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 13 13 12 10 11 12 14 13 9 9 10 6 8 9 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.5 9.2 9.1 9.3 9.2 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.6
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 5 5 10 15 20 15 15 20
TEMPERATURE 34 34 43 46 45 38 38 37 36 36 46 50 48 39 39 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 35 50 37
WIND DIR E E SE SE SE S SE SE SE S S S S S SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 13 19 18 16 14 14 16 14 13 16 19 17 16 16 18 18
WIND GUST (MPH) 33 41 47 48 47 41 40 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.2 9.4 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.3 9.5 9.6 9.5 9.3 8.9 8.8 8.6
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 5 0 0 10 20 20 15 20 20
TEMPERATURE 41 40 50 56 58 50 47 47 45 43 53 61 61 50 47 46 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 43 62 43
WIND DIR NE E SE SE SE SE SE E E E E SE S SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 12 12 12 12 9 10 11 12 11 10 8 8 4 6 9 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.4 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.3 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.0 8.7 8.5
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 5 0 0 10 15 20 10 15 20
TEMPERATURE 50 49 60 66 67 59 55 53 51 50 63 70 69 56 54 53 52
MAX/MIN TEMP 68 50 72 50
WIND DIR SE E E E E SE SE SE E E E SE S NW NW N NW
WIND (MPH) 5 5 9 8 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 5 2 1 1 1
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.5 9.3 9.1 9.3 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.0 8.8 8.6
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 5 0 5 10 15 20 10 15 20
TEMPERATURE 44 45 55 61 62 52 49 48 46 47 58 65 64 52 49 49 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 44 66 46
WIND DIR NE E E E E E E E NE NE E SE S SW S S SW
WIND (MPH) 8 8 12 12 8 8 8 9 6 5 5 6 4 3 4 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.1 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.4 9.6 9.6 9.3 8.9 8.6 8.3
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL FW CL FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 0 0 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 40 40 35 30 35
TEMPERATURE 39 38 52 58 58 49 46 43 41 40 55 62 60 48 46 43 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 39 62 38
WIND DIR E E SE SE SE E E E E E SE S SW NW S SW W
WIND (MPH) 17 19 16 13 11 11 16 18 17 14 10 8 6 9 11 13 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.3 8.9 8.8 9.0 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.8 8.8 9.0 9.2 9.2 8.9 9.0 8.4 8.6
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL FW CL FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 0 0 0 10 5 5 10 5 10 20 35 40 35 35 35
TEMPERATURE 36 37 50 56 57 48 44 41 39 38 53 59 58 47 44 41 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 38 60 37
WIND DIR E E SE SE SE E E E E SE SE S SW NW W SW W
WIND (MPH) 14 16 16 14 11 10 13 14 14 13 11 9 6 9 10 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.3 8.8 8.7 9.0 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.9 9.3 9.2 8.9 8.9 8.3 8.4
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW CL FW SC SC FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 10 5 5 20 30 35 25 30 30
TEMPERATURE 39 39 51 61 63 55 49 44 41 40 54 65 65 52 47 44 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 40 67 39
WIND DIR E E E SE E E E E E E E E SE N N N N
WIND (MPH) 12 11 11 10 6 8 11 12 11 10 6 4 2 1 2 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.5 9.1 8.9 9.2 9.2 9.1 9.0 9.0 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.1 9.0 8.6 8.4
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 10 10 20 30 40 30 35 30
TEMPERATURE 42 41 51 57 58 51 49 48 45 43 55 62 60 49 47 46 44
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 43 63 41
WIND DIR E E SE SE SE E SE SE SE E SE S W SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 18 19 16 14 11 13 14 16 16 14 9 8 6 9 11 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.4 9.0 8.9 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.9 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.0 9.0 8.6 8.6
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL FW CL FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 0 0 5 5 5 10 10 10 15 20 30 40 35 35 35
TEMPERATURE 42 41 52 58 58 50 49 47 45 43 55 63 61 49 47 47 44
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 43 63 41
WIND DIR E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SW W SW S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 18 20 17 13 12 14 16 17 17 14 10 8 6 10 12 14 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.3 9.0 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.9 9.1 9.3 9.3 9.0 9.0 8.5 8.7
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/15/26 FRIDAY 10/16/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW SC SC FW SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 5 20 30 30 20 25 20
TEMPERATURE 45 44 51 59 60 54 52 50 47 45 54 62 60 51 50 49 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 60 45 62 43
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE E SE SE SE SE SE SE N N NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 18 18 17 12 11 9 16 17 16 13 8 8 9 8 9 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.1 9.0 9.1 9.4 9.5 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.8
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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