392
FWUS46 KMFR 142136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT MON SEP 14 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC FW FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 5 30 30 25 20 50 50 40
TEMPERATURE 57 50 46 45 45 47 55 59 58 49 46 43 42 41 49 52 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 60 40 54
WIND DIR N NE NE N N N W SW SW W W SE SE SE SE SE S
WIND (MPH) 4 4 6 5 2 4 9 10 8 9 11 11 12 8 6 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 5 5 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.7 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.9 9.3 9.9 10.4 10.3 9.9 9.6 9.3 8.8 9.2 9.5 9.7
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW CL FW FW FW FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5 25 25 20 20 50 50 40
TEMPERATURE 58 47 44 43 42 45 59 62 60 48 44 41 40 41 52 55 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 64 38 57
WIND DIR N N N NE NE E W SW SW W N NE SE NE E SE SW
WIND (MPH) 5 5 8 5 3 2 5 6 5 6 8 9 10 6 4 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 20 20 5 5 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.7 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.9 9.1 9.9 10.4 10.3 9.8 9.6 9.3 8.8 9.1 9.4 9.7
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC FW FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 5 30 30 25 20 50 50 40
TEMPERATURE 57 50 46 45 45 47 54 58 58 49 46 43 42 41 47 51 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 60 40 54
WIND DIR N NE NE N N N W SW SW SW W SE SE SE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 4 4 6 6 3 3 10 11 8 10 11 11 13 9 6 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 5 5 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.9 9.3 9.9 10.4 10.3 9.9 9.6 9.3 8.9 9.2 9.5 9.7
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW SC SC FW FW BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 35 35 25 15 50 50 45
TEMPERATURE 44 39 35 35 36 38 46 47 46 38 35 33 32 34 39 41 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 48 32 42
WIND DIR NE E NE NW NW W W SW SW SW SW S S S SE SE S
WIND (MPH) 8 6 5 4 4 5 10 13 13 14 19 20 21 11 10 9 11
WIND GUST (MPH) 32 31 33 44 47 41 28
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 5 5 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.7 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.8 9.4 9.9 10.4 10.3 9.8 9.5 9.3 8.7 9.2 9.5 9.7
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW SC SC FW FW BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 10 50 50 15 20 50 50 40
TEMPERATURE 57 52 47 46 45 46 56 61 60 52 47 45 43 42 48 53 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 62 42 55
WIND DIR NE N N NE E E SW SW SW W NW NE SE NE E S S
WIND (MPH) 8 11 6 2 2 2 5 9 8 6 8 9 10 11 8 5 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 20 20 10 10 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.8 9.1 10.2 10.3 10.2 9.8 9.6 9.2 9.0 9.2 9.6 9.8
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW CL CL CL CL FW SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 5 5 5 5 20 40 40 20
TEMPERATURE 68 57 54 52 52 55 67 70 69 57 54 50 49 51 60 63 64
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 72 48 66
WIND DIR N NW NE W W N E S NW N N NE E N E SE S
WIND (MPH) 9 12 6 3 3 2 4 10 5 9 4 3 3 4 3 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 5 5 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.6 9.3 9.2 9.0 8.9 9.1 10.2 10.5 10.2 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.0 9.1 9.4 9.6
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 10 10 5 15 15 15 20 50 50 30
TEMPERATURE 61 52 48 47 46 50 59 64 63 51 48 45 42 46 52 56 57
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 65 41 58
WIND DIR N N N NE NE NE NW W W NW N N E NE E E SW
WIND (MPH) 9 12 8 3 4 3 4 4 11 12 8 9 9 4 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 5 5 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 9.7 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.9 9.2 10.1 10.4 10.2 9.7 9.5 9.3 8.8 9.0 9.4 9.7
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW CL FW SC SC OV OV BK SC SC FW FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 25 5 0 10 35 40 75 80 55 45 45 25 20 30 30 30
TEMPERATURE 58 48 43 41 40 43 56 57 54 45 41 38 37 38 48 54 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 58 36 55
WIND DIR NW N NE E E W W W NW N NE E E E E E E
WIND (MPH) 5 4 6 3 4 4 8 10 10 5 8 11 13 18 17 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.3 9.0 8.7 8.4 8.2 8.6 9.2 9.3 9.2 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.7 9.3 9.7
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW CL FW SC SC BK OV BK BK SC FW FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 20 5 0 15 30 45 65 80 65 50 50 25 25 30 30 35
TEMPERATURE 57 47 43 40 40 41 55 57 54 45 41 37 36 37 47 53 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 58 36 54
WIND DIR NW N NE NE N W W W NW N NE NE E NE E E E
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 3 4 4 6 10 11 6 6 10 10 18 17 12 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.3 9.0 8.7 8.4 8.2 8.6 9.3 9.3 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.8 9.3 9.7
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW SC OV SC FW FW FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 5 0 5 15 10 10 45 70 35 15 15 15 40 40 50
TEMPERATURE 62 54 46 43 42 43 58 62 60 51 45 41 40 41 51 59 60
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 62 39 61
WIND DIR NW W N E E W W W NW W N E E NE E E NE
WIND (MPH) 6 5 2 4 3 2 6 11 10 6 2 8 8 8 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 10 10 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.6 8.5 8.6 9.0 9.1 9.4 9.1 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.4 9.8
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW CL FW SC SC SC BK BK SC SC FW FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 10 10 5 5 45 35 40 65 50 30 25 10 20 25 30 35
TEMPERATURE 56 48 43 43 41 44 54 55 52 45 42 40 39 40 48 53 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 56 39 55
WIND DIR NW NW NE E SE SW NW NW NW NW NE E E E E E NE
WIND (MPH) 6 5 4 4 4 4 5 10 9 5 5 6 8 16 14 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.1 8.9 8.7 8.3 8.2 8.6 9.0 9.1 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.8 8.7 9.3 9.7
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW FW FW BK SC BK OV SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 15 10 5 10 55 45 50 75 45 25 35 10 20 15 25 30
TEMPERATURE 56 49 43 43 41 44 53 54 52 45 42 40 39 40 47 53 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 55 39 54
WIND DIR NW N NE E SE SW W NW NW N NE E E E E E E
WIND (MPH) 6 4 4 4 4 4 5 9 8 4 5 5 8 17 18 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.7 8.2 8.1 8.6 9.0 9.2 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.7 8.8 8.6 9.3 9.6
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 09/15/26 WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW SC FW FW FW SC FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 0 0 20 10 10 30 25 10 5 30 15 35 35 45
TEMPERATURE 56 50 47 45 44 45 53 58 55 47 45 43 41 43 49 55 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 58 41 56
WIND DIR N N N NE NE NE N NW NW N N N NE E E E NE
WIND (MPH) 8 9 3 4 3 3 5 12 13 9 3 5 8 8 6 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 5 5 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.6 8.7 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.0 8.9 8.8 8.6 8.7 9.4 9.8
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page