947
FWUS46 KMFR 122136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT WED AUG 12 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 0 5 5 0 0 5 25 20 10 0 0 5 0 5 10
TEMPERATURE 67 61 56 55 53 55 58 60 60 56 53 52 51 52 55 58 58
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 61 48 59
WIND DIR SW SW SW N N S S S S SW S SE S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 10 5 3 3 4 5 10 12 9 5 4 3 4 9 13 13 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.3 12.2 11.7 11.3 10.9 10.7 10.6 10.7 11.9 12.0 11.6 10.8 10.4 10.0 9.9 10.3 10.0
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 0 5 5 0 0 5 30 20 10 0 0 5 0 5 10
TEMPERATURE 71 61 52 49 48 53 62 64 65 56 50 48 46 50 60 62 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 66 44 64
WIND DIR S N SE SE E E S S S SE SE SE SE S S S S
WIND (MPH) 8 5 3 4 5 8 11 12 9 5 4 4 5 8 11 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.4 12.3 11.7 11.3 10.9 10.8 10.6 10.7 12.0 12.1 11.6 10.8 10.4 10.0 9.9 10.3 10.1
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 0 5 5 0 0 5 25 25 10 0 0 5 0 5 10
TEMPERATURE 67 61 56 55 53 54 55 58 60 56 53 52 50 51 52 57 58
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 61 48 59
WIND DIR SW SW NW W NW W SW S SW SW S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 10 5 4 3 4 4 10 12 9 6 4 3 4 8 12 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.2 12.2 11.7 11.3 10.9 10.7 10.5 10.7 11.8 12.0 11.6 10.8 10.4 10.0 9.9 10.2 10.0
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC FW FW CL CL CL CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 0 5 5 0 0 5 30 20 10 0 0 5 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 54 49 45 43 43 45 48 48 49 45 42 41 41 43 46 47 47
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 49 39 47
WIND DIR SW S S S S S S S SW W S S S S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 10 6 5 4 5 9 14 13 9 6 6 8 9 13 18 19 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.4 12.3 11.8 11.3 11.0 10.7 10.7 10.9 12.0 12.0 11.7 10.9 10.4 10.0 10.1 10.4 10.1
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW CL CL FW FW SC FW CL CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 0 5 10 0 0 10 20 25 15 5 0 5 0 5 10
TEMPERATURE 69 63 57 55 53 55 59 63 63 58 54 52 50 52 57 61 61
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 63 48 61
WIND DIR SW W SE S S S S S SW SW SW SW S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 10 9 4 4 6 10 13 14 12 10 8 6 6 8 11 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.3 12.2 11.7 11.2 10.9 10.6 10.4 10.9 11.9 12.0 11.8 10.9 10.3 10.0 9.9 10.3 10.1
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC FW FW CL CL CL CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 0 5 5 0 0 0 30 15 5 0 0 0 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 78 70 62 60 58 62 68 70 71 65 59 57 54 58 65 68 68
MIN/MAX TEMP 56 72 52 70
WIND DIR S NW NE S S S S S S S S N S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 10 5 3 3 3 3 10 11 9 6 1 0 1 2 6 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 10 0 0 0 0 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.3 12.2 11.7 11.3 10.9 10.8 10.7 10.7 12.0 12.1 11.7 10.7 10.4 10.0 9.8 10.2 10.0
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL SC SC FW CL CL CL CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 30 10 0 0 0 0 5 15
TEMPERATURE 72 62 58 56 54 60 63 66 66 58 56 55 53 58 60 64 64
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 66 50 65
WIND DIR S N W S S S S SE S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 4 9 4 4 6 8 10 11 8 5 4 5 6 6 6 9 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 10 0 0 0 0 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.6 12.4 11.8 11.5 11.0 10.9 10.9 11.1 12.2 12.3 11.8 11.0 10.5 10.1 10.0 10.6 10.5
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL FW FW FW CL CL FW FW FW SC BK SC FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 10 10 10 5 5 15 15 20 35 50 35 25 30 30 35
TEMPERATURE 67 59 50 47 45 50 63 66 66 59 52 49 48 52 62 64 64
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 66 46 65
WIND DIR NW NW N S E SE SW W W NW NE SE SE SE SW W W
WIND (MPH) 12 9 5 3 5 4 5 11 10 6 3 2 2 3 9 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.7 10.2 10.0 10.3 10.8 10.7 11.0 11.2 11.3 11.1 11.4 11.4 11.4 11.2 11.2 11.5 11.7
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW SC BK SC FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 5 10 5 5 15 20 10 25 40 55 40 25 30 30 35
TEMPERATURE 66 59 50 46 44 49 62 65 65 60 51 49 47 52 61 64 63
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 66 45 65
WIND DIR NW NW N S SE SE S W W NW NW S S SE S SW W
WIND (MPH) 12 10 6 3 4 3 5 11 11 8 3 2 2 3 8 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 10 10 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.8 10.2 10.1 10.8 11.0 10.9 11.1 11.5 11.3 11.6 11.6 11.5 11.6 11.3 11.2 11.6 11.8
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL CL FW FW FW CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 10 10 5 5 0 15 10 10 25 25 10 10 10 10 20
TEMPERATURE 71 65 56 51 48 50 64 68 70 65 57 53 50 52 64 68 69
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 70 48 70
WIND DIR NW NW W E E E SW W W W NW NE SE SE SW W W
WIND (MPH) 10 9 4 4 4 4 5 6 9 5 3 2 2 3 3 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.0 11.4 11.9 11.9 11.5 11.3 11.2 11.5 11.9 12.0 11.9 11.9 11.6 11.1 10.8 11.3 11.6
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW FW FW CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 20 10 10 5 0 15 20 15 20 25 20 15 20 25 25
TEMPERATURE 63 57 51 50 48 51 61 63 63 58 53 52 51 54 61 63 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 64 50 64
WIND DIR NW NW NW E SE SE SW W NW NW E SE SE SE SW W W
WIND (MPH) 11 10 5 4 5 4 5 9 10 8 3 3 3 3 6 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.5 10.4 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.6 10.8 11.1 11.3 11.1 11.0 11.2 11.2 11.1 10.9 11.4 11.6
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW SC FW FW CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 30 10 10 0 0 15 25 15 20 20 20 20 20 30 30
TEMPERATURE 63 56 51 50 48 51 61 63 63 57 52 52 51 54 61 63 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 64 50 64
WIND DIR NW NW N E SE SE W W NW NW E SE SE SE SW W W
WIND (MPH) 11 9 6 3 5 4 5 9 9 6 3 3 3 3 6 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.4 10.1 10.0 9.8 10.1 10.3 10.7 11.1 11.0 10.7 10.5 10.9 10.9 11.1 11.0 11.4 11.6
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 08/13/26 FRIDAY 08/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW CL BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 15 15 10 10 10 10 25 25 5 25 10 5 5 55 55 30
TEMPERATURE 64 58 54 54 53 55 61 64 63 58 56 56 56 58 62 65 63
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 65 54 65
WIND DIR NW NW NW S SE S S NW NW NW NW S S S SW W NW
WIND (MPH) 14 12 9 6 6 6 3 6 11 9 5 3 3 4 4 3 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 10
PRECIP TYPE T T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.6 11.8 11.7 11.4 11.3 11.0 10.8 11.7 12.1 11.9 11.7 11.6 11.3 10.7 10.7 11.4 11.9
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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