226
FWUS46 KMFR 270936
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 AM PDT WED MAY 27 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV SC FW BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 55 80 95 75 80 45 20 50 65 80 85 90 90 90 90 85
TEMPERATURE 35 33 34 39 41 38 38 38 38 40 42 42 41 40 41 43 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 36 45 39
WIND DIR N NE N NE N NE NE E E SE NW NW NW W SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 29 28 29 19 13 17 17 16 14 13 11 10 12 8 5 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 48 48
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 40 70 90 60 40 20 5 0 30 70 70 80 80 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S R S S R R R S R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.19 0.16 0.01 0.01 0.15 0.22 0.16
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 7.6 8.5 9.0 8.9 8.3 7.8 7.6 8.0 8.5 8.7 9.0 8.9 9.2 8.9 8.6 8.5
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV SC FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 60 80 95 75 80 45 25 45 65 85 90 90 90 90 90 85
TEMPERATURE 31 32 37 41 43 39 36 35 34 39 45 46 43 40 39 39 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 32 48 36
WIND DIR N N N N W NW NE E E SE W NW W SW S S SW
WIND (MPH) 20 20 23 13 11 13 12 11 11 10 9 8 10 4 4 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 40 70 90 60 40 20 5 0 20 70 70 80 80 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.20 0.15 0.01 0.01 0.14 0.22 0.15
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 7.4 8.5 9.0 8.9 8.3 7.8 7.6 8.0 8.6 8.7 9.0 8.8 9.2 8.9 8.6 8.5
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV SC FW BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 55 75 95 75 80 45 25 50 65 85 85 90 90 90 90 80
TEMPERATURE 35 33 34 39 41 38 38 38 38 40 40 41 41 40 41 43 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 36 44 38
WIND DIR N NE N NE E NE NE E E E NW NW W W SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 28 28 29 19 12 17 17 16 14 13 11 11 13 8 5 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 48 48
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 70 90 60 40 20 5 0 30 70 70 80 80 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S R S S R R R S R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.18 0.16 0.01 0.01 0.15 0.21 0.16
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 7.7 8.5 8.9 8.9 8.3 7.8 7.5 8.0 8.5 8.7 9.0 8.8 9.2 8.9 8.6 8.5
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV SC FW BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 65 85 95 75 85 45 25 50 65 80 85 90 90 90 90 80
TEMPERATURE 23 23 26 30 32 31 29 27 26 30 32 33 33 33 33 33 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 26 34 29
WIND DIR N E NE E NE E E E E E NE NW NW NW W W W
WIND (MPH) 35 46 50 36 27 36 26 27 24 25 23 19 17 9 8 11 25
WIND GUST (MPH) 70 94 96 77 62 85 47 51 42 49 51 46 72
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 80 90 60 30 20 5 0 30 70 70 80 80 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.21 0.16 0.01 0.01 0.15 0.23 0.16
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 1.9 0.9 0.6 1.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 7.5 8.5 9.1 9.0 8.4 7.8 7.6 8.0 8.6 8.8 9.0 9.0 9.2 8.9 8.6 8.5
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 70 80 90 70 75 35 25 55 70 80 80 85 85 85 85 80
TEMPERATURE 35 34 35 41 43 41 40 39 38 40 43 44 44 43 43 43 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 38 47 41
WIND DIR N N N N SE N N NE E SE NW N NW SW S S SW
WIND (MPH) 26 26 24 17 8 13 13 12 12 9 9 8 9 8 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 30 70 80 60 20 20 0 0 30 70 70 80 80 80 80 70
PRECIP TYPE S S R R R R S R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.19 0.17 0.01 0.01 0.15 0.16 0.15
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 7.4 8.6 9.2 8.8 8.3 7.8 7.6 8.2 8.4 8.7 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.0 8.7 8.6
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK OV OV OV BK SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 60 60 90 70 90 55 35 60 65 85 85 90 90 90 90 85
TEMPERATURE 40 41 43 49 52 47 45 44 44 48 52 54 51 47 48 48 48
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 42 57 46
WIND DIR N N N N NW N N N NW S SE S SW S S W W
WIND (MPH) 13 13 10 8 3 6 5 3 2 1 3 3 3 3 1 1 1
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 20 40 90 60 50 20 10 0 20 80 80 80 80 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.14 0.11 0.01 0.01 0.16 0.19 0.13
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 7.4 8.2 8.8 8.8 8.4 7.9 7.6 7.7 8.3 8.4 9.0 8.7 9.1 8.9 8.7 8.6
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 75 90 75 85 60 30 55 70 90 95 90 90 90 90 80
TEMPERATURE 35 36 36 42 44 41 41 40 40 47 46 46 45 42 43 44 44
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 37 49 41
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W NW N E SE SE W NW NW SW S S W
WIND (MPH) 17 17 18 12 9 13 10 10 9 9 8 6 8 4 3 4 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 40 60 90 60 40 20 5 0 20 80 80 90 90 80 80 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.15 0.14 0.01 0.01 0.16 0.19 0.12
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.9 8.2 9.1 8.9 8.6 8.0 7.6 7.8 8.4 8.6 9.0 8.9 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.6
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV SC SC SC OV OV BK FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 50 30 35 80 95 70 10 55 85 90 90 95 95 85 85 85
TEMPERATURE 33 36 45 55 56 49 44 40 39 45 52 49 49 46 43 41 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 38 54 37
WIND DIR N N NE NE N E E E E E N W NW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 26 23 20 18 18 11 14 11 10 8 10 8 8 10 10 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 5 10 20 70 90 10 0 40 20 90 90 90 90 70 70 50
PRECIP TYPE S T R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.02 0.36 0.01 0.02 0.43 0.28 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 9.6 10.2 10.4 10.9 9.8 9.2 9.0 9.1 9.1 9.6 10.1 9.8 9.9 9.6 9.3 8.9
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC SC OV OV BK FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 55 35 45 85 95 65 10 60 85 95 95 95 95 85 85 85
TEMPERATURE 32 35 45 54 55 48 43 39 38 44 50 49 48 45 42 40 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 37 53 36
WIND DIR N N NE NE N SE E NE NE NE N W NW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 27 23 21 19 18 12 18 11 10 8 10 8 8 10 11 12 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 41
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 5 10 20 80 90 10 0 40 20 90 90 90 90 60 60 50
PRECIP TYPE S T R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.02 0.44 0.01 0.01 0.38 0.30 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 9.5 10.1 10.4 10.8 9.5 9.2 8.9 8.9 9.0 9.6 10.0 9.9 9.8 9.6 9.3 9.0
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV OV BK FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 65 70 85 85 65 15 55 70 90 90 90 90 85 85 85
TEMPERATURE 36 36 41 51 53 49 46 43 41 43 51 51 50 49 46 44 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 40 55 39
WIND DIR NW N N N SE NE NE NE NE NW W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 9 8 6 10 6 5 4 2 2 4 4 4 5 8 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 20 20 60 80 60 10 0 0 30 90 90 90 90 80 80 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.09 0.35 0.00 0.01 0.28 0.29 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 8.8 9.7 10.1 9.8 9.2 8.6 8.3 8.4 8.6 8.9 9.0 9.7 9.6 9.5 9.1 8.8
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC OV OV OV FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 50 40 75 90 75 10 55 85 90 90 95 95 85 85 85
TEMPERATURE 37 37 41 50 51 48 47 45 43 47 50 48 47 46 46 45 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 43 51 37
WIND DIR N N NE NE N E E E E E NW W NW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 25 19 20 17 18 13 12 11 10 8 10 9 12 12 11 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH) 51 40 41 37 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 5 5 10 50 90 10 0 30 5 90 90 90 90 80 80 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R R T R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.03 0.26 0.01 0.01 0.40 0.27 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.1 9.6 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.0 9.1 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.5 9.7 9.8 9.9 9.6 9.3 8.9
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC FW BK OV OV FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 45 25 65 90 80 10 55 90 90 90 95 95 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 37 37 43 53 54 50 47 45 43 47 51 49 48 46 46 45 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 43 53 38
WIND DIR N N NE NE N NE SE E E E N W NW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 24 18 19 18 16 14 8 11 10 8 10 10 14 12 10 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 5 5 10 50 90 10 0 30 5 90 90 90 90 70 70 60
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.02 0.22 0.01 0.01 0.44 0.25 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 9.9 10.3 10.3 10.7 10.3 9.4 9.3 9.4 9.3 9.8 10.1 9.9 10.0 9.6 9.4 9.0
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/27/26 THURSDAY 05/28/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV OV FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 70 55 75 85 90 15 55 70 90 95 95 95 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 37 36 34 42 45 44 45 45 44 46 47 46 46 45 46 47 44
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 43 48 39
WIND DIR NW NW N N NW SE N E E SE W NW NW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 27 27 20 14 18 12 16 11 11 10 8 10 8 10 13 17 18
WIND GUST (MPH) 44
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 20 30 30 60 60 10 5 0 20 90 90 90 90 70 70 50
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.05 0.21 0.00 0.01 0.19 0.25 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 8.2 9.4 9.9 9.5 8.9 8.5 8.2 8.5 8.7 8.7 8.7 9.1 9.6 9.3 9.0 8.6
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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