049
FWUS46 KMFR 172136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW SC FW FW CL FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 35 25 25 15 15 0 10 15 10 10 35 55 60 55 55 55
TEMPERATURE 56 48 48 47 46 44 52 53 51 45 45 45 41 40 41 41 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 54 40 42
WIND DIR W SW SW S S S SW S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 5 9 10 12 12 12 12 10 9 5 9 11 10 6 9 9 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.3 8.9 8.7 8.4 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.3 8.5 8.0 6.7 6.6 6.9 7.0 7.0
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 40 25 20 15 20 0 5 10 10 10 35 50 60 55 55 55
TEMPERATURE 56 44 42 40 39 40 55 55 51 42 40 39 36 36 43 42 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 56 35 44
WIND DIR W W S S SE SE S S S S SE SE SE S S S S
WIND (MPH) 4 4 9 9 9 9 9 10 9 6 9 11 10 8 9 9 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.2 8.8 8.7 8.4 8.2 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.3 8.5 8.1 6.7 6.6 7.0 7.0 7.1
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW SC FW FW CL FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 35 25 25 15 15 0 10 20 15 15 35 50 60 55 55 60
TEMPERATURE 57 49 48 47 46 45 50 52 51 45 45 45 42 40 40 40 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 54 39 43
WIND DIR W SW SW S S S SW S S S SW SW SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 5 9 10 12 12 12 12 10 9 5 8 10 9 6 9 9 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.3 8.9 8.7 8.4 8.3 8.4 8.6 8.5 8.3 8.5 8.0 6.7 6.6 6.9 7.0 7.0
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 40 25 20 15 15 0 10 15 10 10 35 55 60 55 55 55
TEMPERATURE 45 38 37 37 36 37 43 43 41 35 35 35 33 33 34 32 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 44 33 34
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 11 11 14 18 18 18 18 13 11 9 13 17 16 11 13 11 8
WIND GUST (MPH) 31 33 33
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.3 8.9 8.6 8.3 8.3 8.5 8.6 8.5 8.3 8.4 8.0 6.8 6.6 7.0 7.0 7.1
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC FW FW CL FW FW FW FW SC SC BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 30 25 25 15 15 5 15 15 25 15 30 45 60 60 65 65
TEMPERATURE 57 49 46 45 43 42 51 54 52 46 45 44 41 39 41 43 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 54 39 44
WIND DIR W W S S S S S S S SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 6 5 9 10 10 9 10 12 11 11 14 19 17 14 12 11 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.4 9.0 8.7 8.4 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.1 6.7 6.5 7.0 7.0 7.2
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW SC SC BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 15 15 15 15 0 15 20 20 10 35 45 65 55 55 55
TEMPERATURE 64 54 52 51 50 50 59 61 58 50 50 48 46 44 45 47 45
MIN/MAX TEMP 48 62 44 48
WIND DIR W N E S S SE S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 2 3 3 6 6 2 4 6 5 4 3 3 2 2 4 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.2 8.8 8.6 8.4 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.0 6.7 6.6 7.0 7.1 7.1
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW CL CL FW FW FW FW SC SC BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 20 5 10 0 0 10 15 15 10 40 45 65 60 55 55
TEMPERATURE 61 50 47 47 46 47 55 58 56 48 47 46 43 44 44 45 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 58 41 45
WIND DIR NW N SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 6 5 6 10 10 8 8 8 6 6 9 10 9 6 6 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.2 8.7 8.5 8.3 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.6 8.4 8.3 8.1 7.1 6.7 7.1 7.2 7.3
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV SC FW FW FW SC SC BK OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 45 10 10 20 35 25 60 75 80 55 70 95 80 75 75 75
TEMPERATURE 53 43 40 38 37 36 52 56 54 42 40 38 37 35 42 44 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 56 35 45
WIND DIR W NW NE E E SE S SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 10 9 9 10 10 10 11 8 5 1 3 3 4 4 6 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.3 8.1 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.3 7.9 7.5 6.9 7.1 7.5 7.6
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW FW SC SC BK OV OV SC OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 45 10 5 15 30 30 50 70 80 50 70 90 80 70 75 70
TEMPERATURE 53 43 39 37 36 34 50 55 53 42 39 37 36 34 41 43 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 55 34 44
WIND DIR W NW N NE NE E SE SW SW W SW SW W W SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 10 9 9 10 10 10 10 6 4 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.7 8.5 8.4 8.1 7.9 8.0 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 7.9 7.6 6.8 7.1 7.6 7.7
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC FW BK OV OV BK OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 55 5 10 10 20 25 15 45 50 25 55 90 75 70 70 65
TEMPERATURE 58 47 42 40 38 36 52 59 58 46 41 39 38 37 42 46 46
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 60 36 48
WIND DIR W W SW E E E S SW W W SW W W W SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 8 5 4 4 5 5 3 4 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.4 8.2 8.0 8.0 8.2 8.8 8.7 8.4 7.9 7.6 7.1 7.1 7.3 7.5
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW FW SC FW SC BK OV SC BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 40 15 20 20 35 15 45 65 75 50 65 90 80 75 75 75
TEMPERATURE 51 44 41 40 39 38 50 54 52 43 41 41 39 37 40 42 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 55 37 43
WIND DIR NW NW NE E SE SE SE SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 3 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.7 8.7 8.5 8.3 8.1 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.2 8.3 8.1 7.7 7.4 6.9 7.2 7.4 7.5
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW FW SC FW BK OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 35 20 20 25 40 15 50 75 85 65 70 90 85 80 75 80
TEMPERATURE 50 43 41 40 39 38 50 54 52 43 41 41 39 38 40 42 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 55 38 43
WIND DIR NW NW NE E SE SE SE SW W SW S SW SW SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 11 10 11 11 11 11 11 6 3 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.7 8.8 8.5 8.3 8.0 7.8 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.0 7.6 7.3 6.9 7.2 7.3 7.5
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 10/18/26 MONDAY 10/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW FW SC FW SC SC FW SC OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 50 10 10 10 15 25 10 40 40 15 30 80 65 65 65 60
TEMPERATURE 52 45 43 42 42 41 49 54 53 44 42 41 39 39 39 42 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 55 39 42
WIND DIR N N NW SE SE S S SW NW W W W W W SW W NW
WIND (MPH) 10 9 8 8 9 6 8 2 3 2 2 4 4 4 1 2 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.6 8.6 8.4 8.2 8.0 7.9 8.3 8.5 8.5 8.2 7.8 7.5 7.1 7.3 7.6 7.7
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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