416
FWUS46 KMFR 222136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 55 35 30 10 0 0 5 5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0
TEMPERATURE 36 34 32 31 29 28 32 39 40 36 36 37 37 37 46 49 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 41 36 49
WIND DIR N N N N N N N N N N NE NE NE NE E S S
WIND (MPH) 10 13 12 12 17 26 23 17 16 14 11 9 6 5 3 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 7.8 6.6 6.1 4.7 4.0 4.9 5.8 5.9 5.6 5.3 4.7 4.6 4.2 6.5 7.6 7.9
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 55 40 35 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
TEMPERATURE 38 34 30 29 26 24 31 37 37 30 30 30 30 32 47 51 47
MIN/MAX TEMP 23 39 28 51
WIND DIR NW N N N N N NW NW NW N NE E E E E E SE
WIND (MPH) 10 14 13 13 17 21 18 13 11 10 9 6 5 4 3 3 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 7.7 6.5 6.1 4.7 3.9 4.7 5.7 6.0 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.4 4.0 6.4 7.7 7.9
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 80 50 35 30 10 0 0 5 5 0 5 0 5 0 0 5
TEMPERATURE 36 33 32 31 29 29 31 39 41 36 36 37 37 37 44 48 47
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 41 36 49
WIND DIR NW N N N N N NE E E N NE NE NE NE E S S
WIND (MPH) 8 12 11 10 14 26 24 17 17 14 11 10 6 5 4 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 7.9 6.7 6.2 4.9 4.1 4.9 5.8 5.9 5.5 5.2 4.7 4.5 4.2 6.4 7.6 7.9
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 65 40 30 10 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 0 0 5 0
TEMPERATURE 29 27 25 24 22 21 25 31 32 30 30 31 31 32 39 40 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 34 30 40
WIND DIR N N N N N N N N N N N NE NE NE E SW W
WIND (MPH) 13 18 23 27 39 44 37 29 26 23 17 13 13 12 5 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 43 48 81 92 78 62 51 41 33 31
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 7.8 6.5 6.0 4.5 3.8 4.6 5.6 5.8 5.6 5.3 4.9 4.8 4.4 6.6 7.6 7.9
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 60 65 35 5 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 5
TEMPERATURE 37 35 33 32 29 27 29 39 39 35 34 34 34 33 43 49 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 40 33 49
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N NE E E E E E SE
WIND (MPH) 13 18 16 17 17 17 14 14 13 14 11 10 6 4 4 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 7.7 6.6 6.0 4.8 3.7 4.3 5.3 5.8 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.7 5.9 7.4 7.7
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC SC SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 45 40 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 5 0
TEMPERATURE 41 38 37 36 33 31 36 43 42 40 40 40 40 40 51 56 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 45 40 56
WIND DIR NW N N N N N N N N N N NW NW NW N NE N
WIND (MPH) 9 11 14 16 14 13 14 14 12 10 8 6 5 5 3 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 5 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 7.7 6.5 6.0 5.0 3.8 4.1 5.2 5.7 5.5 5.2 4.7 4.5 4.2 6.0 7.7 7.9
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 65 60 55 15 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 36 34 32 32 29 28 30 38 39 37 37 37 38 39 49 52 51
MIN/MAX TEMP 26 40 36 52
WIND DIR NW N N N N NW NW N NW N NE E E E E E NE
WIND (MPH) 9 12 14 14 16 17 14 13 12 12 9 8 4 4 3 3 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 5 10 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 7.7 6.5 6.0 5.1 3.7 3.9 5.0 5.5 5.4 5.1 4.7 4.5 4.1 6.4 7.8 8.0
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK FW FW CL CL FW FW FW SC BK FW FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 90 65 15 10 0 0 5 10 15 30 60 20 5 15 30
TEMPERATURE 39 34 31 27 22 20 32 41 41 34 31 30 29 29 46 51 49
MIN/MAX TEMP 19 43 27 51
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW N N N N E E E E SE SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 14 19 16 16 16 12 10 9 6 10 14 14 11 6 3 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 6.4 6.1 4.8 3.2 2.9 4.2 5.5 5.9 5.2 4.6 4.1 3.7 3.3 6.1 7.5 7.6
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK FW FW CL CL FW FW FW SC BK FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 85 55 15 5 0 0 5 10 10 30 55 15 5 10 25
TEMPERATURE 39 35 31 28 21 20 32 42 42 34 31 30 29 27 43 50 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 19 43 26 50
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW N N N N NE E E E E SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 17 20 18 18 18 14 9 8 6 9 12 12 9 4 3 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 6.6 6.2 4.9 3.3 3.0 4.3 5.6 5.9 5.2 4.6 4.0 3.6 3.2 5.7 7.3 7.5
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK SC CL CL CL FW CL FW FW FW CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 85 85 60 35 0 0 5 5 5 10 10 10 5 10 10
TEMPERATURE 42 39 35 33 28 25 30 42 44 35 32 31 30 29 41 54 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 24 44 27 55
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NE E NE E E NE E SE
WIND (MPH) 10 12 11 11 9 6 5 6 6 8 16 14 12 9 8 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 30 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 6.9 6.1 5.4 4.1 3.2 4.4 5.6 6.0 5.4 5.0 4.4 3.9 3.7 5.8 7.5 7.6
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV SC SC CL CL FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 90 75 45 35 0 0 5 10 15 30 40 15 10 15 25
TEMPERATURE 39 35 33 30 24 23 28 38 39 34 33 34 33 33 46 51 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 22 41 32 51
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW N NW N E E E SE SE SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 13 17 14 13 12 9 8 8 6 9 13 13 10 5 3 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 6.4 6.0 4.7 3.5 3.0 4.1 5.4 5.7 5.3 4.6 4.2 3.9 3.5 6.2 7.6 7.6
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV SC SC CL CL FW FW FW SC BK FW FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 70 45 45 0 0 10 10 25 35 55 20 10 20 30
TEMPERATURE 39 35 34 29 23 22 28 38 39 34 34 34 33 33 47 52 49
MIN/MAX TEMP 21 41 32 52
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N E E E SE SE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 13 17 14 12 12 10 9 9 6 9 12 13 10 5 2 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 6.1 5.9 4.4 3.2 3.0 4.0 5.2 5.6 5.2 4.4 4.0 3.7 3.2 6.3 7.5 7.6
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 10/23/26 SATURDAY 10/24/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK SC FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 80 75 60 45 10 0 5 5 5 5 20 10 5 10 10
TEMPERATURE 36 33 33 32 27 26 30 37 38 36 35 36 36 36 42 50 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 39 35 50
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N NE E E E E SE E E
WIND (MPH) 13 18 16 17 17 13 11 10 9 10 12 14 11 6 4 2 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 40 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 6.7 6.2 5.1 4.0 3.2 3.8 4.8 5.2 5.5 5.5 4.9 4.7 4.4 5.6 6.9 7.3
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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