044
FWUS46 KMFR 010936
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 AM PDT THU OCT 1 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL FW SC BK BK SC SC BK SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 0 0 5 20 45 60 65 50 35 50 45 45 35 40
TEMPERATURE 53 52 61 64 64 54 55 55 55 53 59 63 62 54 55 56 56
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 53 64 53
WIND DIR NW NW SW SW S N N NW NW N S SW SW NW N N N
WIND (MPH) 5 4 6 9 5 3 5 5 5 4 6 8 5 2 3 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.3 10.2 10.4 10.9 10.9 10.5 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.2 10.6 10.9 10.9 10.6 10.5 10.5
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL FW SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 0 0 5 20 40 60 65 45 35 50 40 45 35 40
TEMPERATURE 48 49 65 67 66 52 51 50 50 50 64 66 64 52 51 50 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 69 48 68 48
WIND DIR E E S S S E E E E NE S S S N N N NE
WIND (MPH) 5 3 5 8 5 4 4 5 5 4 6 8 6 3 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.3 10.1 10.3 10.9 10.9 10.5 10.3 10.2 10.1 10.1 10.6 10.9 10.9 10.6 10.5 10.5
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL FW SC BK BK BK SC BK SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 0 0 5 25 45 60 65 50 35 55 45 45 35 40
TEMPERATURE 53 53 59 63 64 54 55 56 55 53 58 62 63 55 55 56 56
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 53 64 53
WIND DIR NW W S SW S W NW NW NW NW S SW SW NW N N N
WIND (MPH) 5 4 6 9 6 3 5 5 5 5 6 9 5 2 3 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.3 10.2 10.4 10.8 10.9 10.5 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.2 10.6 10.9 10.8 10.6 10.5 10.5
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL FW SC BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 0 0 5 20 45 60 70 55 40 45 45 45 35 40
TEMPERATURE 41 43 51 52 51 43 43 43 43 44 50 51 50 42 43 44 44
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 42 52 42
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW S S S SW NW SW SW SW NW NW N N
WIND (MPH) 6 5 6 9 5 3 5 6 8 6 6 8 5 3 4 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.4 10.3 10.3 10.6 11.1 11.1 10.6 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.4 10.8 11.1 11.0 10.7 10.5 10.5
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL FW BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 0 0 5 20 55 65 60 50 30 45 50 45 35 40
TEMPERATURE 51 50 61 67 66 57 54 54 54 52 60 65 65 57 55 55 54
MAX/MIN TEMP 68 52 66 53
WIND DIR S SE S S SW SW SW SW S W S S SW W NW N E
WIND (MPH) 5 4 6 9 8 4 4 4 4 4 6 8 6 3 3 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.4 10.3 10.3 10.7 11.3 11.0 10.5 10.3 10.3 10.2 10.4 11.1 11.3 11.1 10.5 10.5 10.5
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL SC SC BK SC SC SC BK SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 0 0 5 35 45 70 45 35 30 70 45 50 35 40
TEMPERATURE 59 60 70 75 74 62 61 61 61 61 69 73 72 62 61 60 61
MAX/MIN TEMP 76 59 75 59
WIND DIR W NW SE S S SW W SW SW W SE S SE NW N N N
WIND (MPH) 4 3 4 8 6 5 6 5 5 3 5 6 5 4 2 2 1
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.4 10.2 10.0 10.3 10.8 10.8 10.6 10.3 10.2 10.0 10.1 10.6 10.8 10.8 10.6 10.5 10.5
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL CL CL SC SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 0 0 0 5 30 30 65 60 40 40 45 40 50 35 40
TEMPERATURE 51 54 64 70 69 57 56 56 55 57 64 69 68 57 56 56 54
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 52 69 53
WIND DIR SW SW SE SE SE SW SW SW SW SW SE SE E NW N NE SE
WIND (MPH) 5 3 4 5 4 5 6 5 6 5 5 5 5 4 2 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.7 11.2 11.1 10.6 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.4 11.0 11.2 11.0 10.7 10.5 10.4
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW FW CL FW SC SC BK SC FW SC SC FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 35 15 5 10 5 5 25 50 40 50 45 25 35 35 25 25
TEMPERATURE 43 44 61 67 66 53 51 48 47 47 62 65 64 52 50 47 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 68 46 66 45
WIND DIR E E S W W NE SW SW SW NE W W W N NE NE E
WIND (MPH) 9 8 4 8 6 2 4 4 4 3 6 9 8 2 2 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.8 9.9 10.4 10.5 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.7 10.0 10.4 10.3 10.1 9.8 10.0 10.1
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW FW FW CL SC BK SC SC SC FW SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 30 20 10 10 5 5 30 55 40 50 50 20 35 35 30 25
TEMPERATURE 42 43 60 66 65 53 50 47 46 46 60 64 63 52 49 47 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 67 45 65 43
WIND DIR E SE SE SW W N NW SW W N W W W NW N NE NE
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 5 6 4 5 3 3 3 5 8 8 3 1 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.9 9.9 10.5 10.6 10.2 10.1 10.0 9.9 9.7 10.1 10.5 10.5 10.1 9.9 10.1 10.1
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL CL FW SC SC SC SC SC FW SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 5 5 0 5 20 30 50 50 45 35 20 35 40 30 25
TEMPERATURE 45 44 62 70 70 59 53 51 49 48 62 68 68 58 53 50 48
MAX/MIN TEMP 72 47 70 45
WIND DIR NE E E W NW NW N NE E E W W NW NW N NE E
WIND (MPH) 8 6 4 5 5 3 3 4 5 4 3 6 5 2 3 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.3 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.6 10.3 10.1 10.1 10.2 10.2 10.1 10.4 10.4 10.2
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC FW SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 35 20 15 10 5 10 25 50 45 35 45 20 35 30 25 25
TEMPERATURE 46 46 60 65 64 54 52 52 51 50 59 63 61 53 51 50 50
MAX/MIN TEMP 66 50 64 48
WIND DIR SE SE S W NW N SW SW SW E W W NW N E E E
WIND (MPH) 8 9 3 5 5 3 5 4 5 4 4 6 5 2 6 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 35 24
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 9.8 9.8 10.4 10.3 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.9 10.2 10.1 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC FW SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 45 25 20 10 10 5 25 50 45 35 50 20 35 25 25 25
TEMPERATURE 46 46 59 65 64 54 52 52 51 50 59 62 61 53 51 50 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 66 50 63 47
WIND DIR SE SE S W NW N S SW SW E NW W NW N E E E
WIND (MPH) 8 9 2 6 4 3 5 5 5 3 4 6 5 1 6 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 35 24
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.7 9.7 10.4 10.4 9.9 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.0 10.1 9.9 9.8 10.0
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/01/26 FRIDAY 10/02/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 0 5 0 0 15 25 45 50 40 25 30 40 40 30 25
TEMPERATURE 49 49 59 66 65 55 54 55 54 53 60 64 63 54 54 55 55
MAX/MIN TEMP 67 53 65 53
WIND DIR S S S N NW NW W SW S NW N N NW NW NW NW S
WIND (MPH) 6 8 4 3 8 5 4 6 6 5 3 4 6 4 3 4 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.2 10.1 10.0 10.1 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.4 10.2 10.0 10.0 10.4 10.4 10.3 10.6 10.3 10.1
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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