722
FWUS46 KMFR 022136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT WED SEP 2 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 95 90 90 95 95 70 50 25 30 45 30 45 55 55
TEMPERATURE 40 40 42 43 42 38 38 40 41 38 36 35 35 33 36 40 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 41 33 43
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW S W W W
WIND (MPH) 23 25 26 19 26 21 21 17 10 13 11 11 10 9 8 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH) 43 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 90 80 80 70 70 40 30 5 5 10 10 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.81 0.47 0.22 0.19 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.6 9.6 9.3 9.1 8.6 8.3 8.2 8.2 7.6 6.9 6.6 6.1 6.2 7.1 8.0 8.7
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 100 90 90 90 85 90 70 45 20 25 40 30 45 50 50
TEMPERATURE 40 41 42 44 42 42 44 44 43 39 36 34 31 34 42 46 45
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 44 30 48
WIND DIR S S S S S S W SW S SW SW SW S SE W W W
WIND (MPH) 18 20 19 13 19 16 16 12 8 10 9 8 8 6 6 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 100 90 80 80 60 60 40 20 5 5 5 5 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.64 0.35 0.17 0.16 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.8 9.7 9.4 9.2 8.6 8.3 8.2 8.1 7.6 6.9 6.6 6.2 6.1 7.0 8.0 8.7
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 95 90 90 95 90 70 50 30 35 45 30 40 55 50
TEMPERATURE 40 41 43 43 42 39 37 40 41 38 37 35 35 33 36 41 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 41 33 44
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW W SW SW SW S SW W W
WIND (MPH) 23 25 27 20 27 23 23 19 11 13 11 11 10 9 8 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 90 80 80 70 70 40 30 5 5 10 10 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.84 0.48 0.24 0.19 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.6 9.6 9.3 9.1 8.6 8.3 8.2 8.2 7.7 6.9 6.6 6.1 6.2 7.2 8.0 8.7
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 100 90 90 90 90 95 70 50 20 25 40 30 45 55 55
TEMPERATURE 31 33 36 38 35 33 32 33 33 30 28 25 23 25 28 32 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 34 22 34
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 37 41 42 35 40 34 34 28 19 24 21 21 20 19 16 14 12
WIND GUST (MPH) 71 82 86 78 79 71 74 69 54 48 44 48 47 48 48 37 31
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 100 90 80 80 70 70 40 20 5 5 5 5 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.76 0.44 0.22 0.20 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 3.0 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 3.5 1.9 0.2 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.7 9.6 9.3 9.1 8.6 8.2 8.2 8.2 7.6 6.9 6.5 6.2 6.2 7.2 8.0 8.7
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC BK FW SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 100 95 90 90 95 90 85 75 55 55 45 60 25 50 60 55
TEMPERATURE 40 42 43 45 43 41 38 39 41 39 37 36 34 34 37 43 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 42 33 45
WIND DIR S SW S S SW S SW S W SW SW SW S SE S W W
WIND (MPH) 23 23 24 20 24 19 18 14 9 11 8 9 8 6 8 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH) 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 90 90 80 80 80 60 50 30 20 20 10 10 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R S S S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.58 0.32 0.16 0.17 0.08 0.02 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.2 8.7 8.3 8.3 8.3 7.8 7.2 7.0 6.5 6.4 7.1 8.0 8.6
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 100 100 90 90 85 85 80 65 40 25 20 45 25 35 45 40
TEMPERATURE 46 45 47 48 47 46 45 47 48 45 43 41 40 43 48 53 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 49 40 55
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S NW W NW SE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 10 9 9 9 8 8 6 8 6 4 6 4 3 3 5 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 100 90 80 70 60 50 30 10 0 0 5 5 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.45 0.25 0.12 0.08 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 10.0 9.9 9.5 9.2 8.7 8.3 8.2 8.1 7.4 6.9 6.6 6.2 6.1 7.0 8.0 8.7
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW SC SC SC BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 85 85 80 80 75 60 25 15 10 35 30 40 50 50
TEMPERATURE 43 42 45 45 45 45 41 43 45 40 38 38 37 41 43 48 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 48 36 48
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S W SW SW S SE NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 24 25 23 18 23 17 19 14 8 9 9 8 8 8 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 90 90 80 60 60 50 40 30 10 0 0 0 0 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.34 0.21 0.11 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 10.0 9.8 9.4 9.1 8.7 8.2 8.2 8.0 7.3 6.8 6.6 6.1 6.0 7.0 8.0 8.7
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 90 95 70 85 80 70 85 85 95 85 70 80 75 65
TEMPERATURE 41 41 40 38 36 36 39 41 41 37 35 32 30 31 38 42 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 42 28 44
WIND DIR SW SW W SW SW SW SW W SW W SW SW SW S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 28 20 21 23 20 18 18 17 16 12 14 10 11 11 12 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 90 60 40 40 30 50 60 60 50 30 40 40 70 70 50
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S S S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.62 0.17 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.4 8.1 7.6 7.0 6.8 6.8 7.1 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.3 6.3 6.8 7.5 7.9
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 90 90 90 75 85 75 65 80 80 90 80 70 80 75 60
TEMPERATURE 41 41 41 39 37 37 39 42 41 38 35 31 29 31 38 42 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 42 29 43
WIND DIR SW W W SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 26 21 25 24 20 18 18 17 16 12 14 10 11 10 11 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 80 60 50 40 30 50 50 40 40 30 40 40 60 60 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S S S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.59 0.17 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 8.5 8.2 7.8 7.1 6.9 6.9 7.1 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.9 7.5 7.9
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 90 85 95 90 90 75 55 50 40 55 75 60 65 65 55
TEMPERATURE 43 46 46 45 42 39 41 45 47 44 40 36 33 34 43 48 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 47 32 49
WIND DIR S SW SW W SW SW SW W W W W S S S SW W W
WIND (MPH) 17 12 13 12 11 9 10 12 10 9 6 3 4 5 6 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 80 50 60 50 30 40 30 10 10 0 10 10 50 50 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.74 0.14 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.0 8.7 8.4 7.7 7.3 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.0 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.9 7.6 8.1
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 90 85 85 90 90 65 75 75 75 85 85 70 75 75 65
TEMPERATURE 41 41 43 42 40 38 38 41 42 39 37 36 34 35 38 41 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 43 33 43
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW S SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 28 24 21 24 21 19 18 14 13 11 11 11 10 9 11 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 47 44 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 80 40 30 30 30 50 60 70 60 30 40 40 70 70 50
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S R R S S S S S R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.62 0.16 0.03 0.06 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 8.4 8.0 7.6 7.0 6.7 6.8 7.1 7.3 7.0 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.3 6.8 7.5 7.9
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 90 85 80 85 85 65 85 90 90 95 90 75 80 80 70
TEMPERATURE 41 41 42 41 39 37 37 41 42 40 38 37 35 35 37 41 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 43 33 43
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW S S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 27 21 19 23 20 18 18 14 13 11 12 11 11 10 12 11 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 80 40 30 30 30 50 60 70 60 30 40 40 70 70 50
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S R R R S S S S S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.49 0.15 0.01 0.06 0.08 0.02 0.02 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.2 7.7 7.3 6.7 6.5 6.7 7.0 7.2 7.0 6.7 6.6 6.3 6.3 6.8 7.5 7.9
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/03/26 FRIDAY 09/04/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV BK BK BK SC FW SC SC SC BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 90 85 65 70 80 70 65 50 40 10 35 25 50 60 60 55
TEMPERATURE 42 42 45 47 45 43 40 42 45 38 38 39 38 41 43 47 45
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 47 36 48
WIND DIR S SW SW SW W SW SW W SW W SW SW S S S W NW
WIND (MPH) 25 21 28 21 20 16 12 11 10 9 9 9 6 6 5 5 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 70 60 30 40 40 30 30 5 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S R S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.36 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.0 8.7 8.3 7.6 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.9 7.5 8.1
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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