452
FWUS46 KMFR 140936
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 AM PDT WED OCT 14 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 10 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 40 39 50 55 55 47 46 45 44 42 52 57 59 51 50 50 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 42 59 46
WIND DIR N N N NW NW N N NE NE E E SE SE SE E NE N
WIND (MPH) 8 8 8 5 3 6 6 8 8 8 9 9 6 8 10 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.7 9.0 9.5 9.8 9.7 9.8 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.3
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 10 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 35 36 52 57 54 43 40 39 38 39 55 60 58 46 44 42 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 37 62 38
WIND DIR N NE N NW NW N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E NE
WIND (MPH) 6 8 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 5 6 10 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.7 8.8 9.4 9.7 9.8 9.8 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.3
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 10 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 40 40 48 54 55 46 46 46 45 43 51 57 59 51 51 51 48
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 43 59 47
WIND DIR N N N NW NW N N NE NE E E SE SE SE E NE N
WIND (MPH) 8 8 8 5 4 6 6 9 10 9 9 9 8 8 10 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.7 9.0 9.5 9.8 9.7 9.8 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.3 9.3 9.3
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 10 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 31 31 41 43 43 35 35 35 34 35 43 46 47 41 40 39 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 34 48 38
WIND DIR N N N N NW NW N NE E E SE SE SE SW S SW N
WIND (MPH) 16 16 14 12 11 11 11 10 9 10 16 14 13 9 12 14 14
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 37 36 36 34 33 32 33 32 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.7 9.0 9.5 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.3
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 10 0 5 5 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 38 37 48 55 55 46 44 44 42 41 50 57 59 52 48 48 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 41 59 44
WIND DIR N N NE N N N N NE NE NE E SE SE SE SE SE E
WIND (MPH) 8 8 6 5 6 9 8 6 5 8 8 8 6 6 10 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.8 9.1 9.4 9.8 9.9 9.7 9.6 9.4 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.0 9.2 9.3
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 10 5 0 5 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 42 42 56 64 63 51 51 51 50 50 60 67 67 58 55 53 51
MAX/MIN TEMP 66 49 68 49
WIND DIR NW NW N N N NW NW W SE E E E E NE NE NE N
WIND (MPH) 6 6 6 8 8 8 4 5 5 2 5 5 4 5 4 4 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.6 8.6 9.0 9.4 9.8 10.0 10.0 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.3
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 15 0 0 5 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 39 40 51 57 57 46 45 46 44 45 56 62 62 51 50 48 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 43 63 45
WIND DIR N N N N N N N NE NE NE E E E SE SE SE NE
WIND (MPH) 8 8 8 8 6 6 5 6 8 5 8 6 5 4 6 8 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.1 8.4 8.6 8.9 9.4 9.9 10.0 10.0 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.3
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL SC FW FW CL CL FW FW CL CL CL FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 10 0 25 20 5 5 5 5 5 0 5 5 5 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 36 36 51 55 55 45 41 39 39 38 52 58 59 50 47 44 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 37 59 40
WIND DIR N NE NW NW NW NE E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE E
WIND (MPH) 8 8 6 4 5 11 11 12 12 14 13 11 10 9 20 19 18
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 39
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.5 8.5 9.4 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.4 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.1 9.0
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL FW FW FW CL CL FW FW CL CL CL FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 0 25 15 10 5 5 10 5 0 5 5 10 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 35 35 50 55 54 44 40 38 37 37 51 57 58 50 44 41 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 36 58 37
WIND DIR N NE NW NW NW N NE NE E E SE SE S SE SE SE E
WIND (MPH) 6 8 6 4 5 10 9 9 10 11 12 11 10 6 16 16 14
WIND GUST (MPH) 34 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.5 8.5 9.4 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.4 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.1 8.9
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 15 0 5 5 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 36 35 51 58 58 48 43 40 39 38 51 61 63 55 48 43 40
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 38 63 38
WIND DIR NE NE N N NW E NE NE NE E E SE SE E E E E
WIND (MPH) 4 4 4 4 4 5 9 10 11 11 9 6 5 5 14 14 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.5 8.5 9.1 9.9 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.2
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL SC FW CL CL CL FW FW CL CL CL FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 5 30 15 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 38 37 49 54 53 44 42 43 42 42 52 58 58 51 51 49 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 42 59 45
WIND DIR N NE NW NW NW NE E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE E
WIND (MPH) 8 8 6 5 5 6 9 11 11 16 13 11 9 10 20 19 19
WIND GUST (MPH) 28 46 46 46
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.4 8.5 9.2 9.9 10.0 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.1 9.1
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC FW FW CL CL FW FW CL CL CL FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 5 45 20 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 39 38 49 54 54 44 42 43 42 42 52 58 58 51 51 49 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 42 59 45
WIND DIR N E NW NW NW E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 8 8 6 6 5 8 9 10 10 16 13 11 9 11 20 19 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 28 46 46 46
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.4 8.4 9.2 9.9 10.0 9.9 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.3 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.0 9.0
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/14/26 THURSDAY 10/15/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 20 0 10 5 0 0 0 5 5 0 5 5 5 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 38 38 47 53 53 45 45 46 45 44 52 60 60 54 53 51 48
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 44 60 46
WIND DIR N N N N N N NE SE E SE SE SE SE S S S SE
WIND (MPH) 8 8 6 5 4 4 5 10 11 14 11 6 8 4 13 19 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.6 8.5 9.3 10.1 10.2 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.7 9.6 9.3 9.1
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page