481
FWUS46 KMFR 170936
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 AM PDT THU SEP 17 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK BK OV BK CL FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 55 60 65 70 80 55 5 20 10 0 0 0 5 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 40 40 45 47 47 42 43 43 42 41 51 55 56 48 47 46 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 40 57 43
WIND DIR NE W SW SW NW N N N N NW W NW NW NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 1 2 4 4 3 2 4 5 5 3 3 5 5 6 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 40 40 30 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.2 9.4 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.2 10.1 9.7 9.4 9.7 9.9 10.0 9.6 9.3 9.0 9.0
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK BK OV SC CL FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 50 55 65 65 85 40 5 20 10 0 0 0 5 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 37 38 47 50 47 43 40 40 39 41 54 58 57 47 44 43 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 38 60 41
WIND DIR SE SE SW SW NW NW N N NE NW NW NW NW NW N N N
WIND (MPH) 2 2 3 5 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 6 6 6 6 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 40 40 30 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.7 9.8 10.1 10.2 10.1 9.7 9.4 9.4 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.3 9.0 9.0
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK BK OV BK CL FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 50 55 65 65 80 55 5 20 10 0 0 0 5 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 40 40 43 46 46 42 43 42 42 42 50 55 56 49 46 46 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 40 57 43
WIND DIR N W SW SW W N N N N NW W NW NW NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 1 2 4 4 3 3 4 5 5 3 3 5 5 6 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 40 40 30 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.2 9.4 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.2 10.1 9.7 9.4 9.8 10.0 10.0 9.6 9.3 9.1 9.0
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK OV BK OV OV FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 55 60 70 65 85 70 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 32 34 37 37 36 34 34 33 33 35 42 44 43 37 36 36 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 32 45 35
WIND DIR E N NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 3 4 5 5 4 3 5 6 6 5 5 8 6 6 8 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 40 40 40 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S T S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.2 9.5 9.8 10.0 10.2 10.2 10.1 9.6 9.4 9.7 9.9 9.9 9.5 9.1 9.0 9.0
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK OV OV BK FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 55 60 65 75 75 60 15 20 10 0 0 0 5 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 40 41 45 48 47 44 43 42 41 42 51 57 57 49 46 45 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 40 58 44
WIND DIR S SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 3 4 3 5 3 3 5 6 6 4 3 5 5 8 8 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 40 50 40 30 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R T R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.3 9.4 9.6 9.9 10.0 10.2 10.1 9.6 9.4 9.6 9.9 9.9 9.7 9.4 9.0 8.9
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK BK BK BK SC CL FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 40 55 55 55 50 30 0 15 5 0 5 0 0 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 45 47 54 56 56 50 48 47 47 49 62 67 67 56 53 51 50
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 46 69 50
WIND DIR N N SE S N NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 0 0 3 3 1 1 2 3 3 2 2 3 4 6 6 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 30 30 30 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.6 9.9 10.1 10.1 10.1 9.7 9.4 9.7 10.0 10.1 9.6 9.4 9.1 9.1
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK OV BK SC CL FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 50 55 60 70 70 35 5 20 10 0 5 0 0 0 5 10
TEMPERATURE 42 46 50 52 51 44 45 45 44 47 55 61 61 50 48 48 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 41 61 44
WIND DIR SW SW NE NE NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 40 40 30 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.7 9.9 10.2 10.1 10.1 9.6 9.4 9.5 9.8 9.8 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.9
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC FW FW CL CL FW CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 85 85 90 90 50 25 30 20 15 5 5 5 5 5 10
TEMPERATURE 41 42 48 49 47 45 43 40 39 40 52 57 56 46 43 41 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 38 58 39
WIND DIR NE NE NW W NW NW NW NW W W W W W NW SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 9 6 3 5 5 1 2 2 2 3 6 9 6 1 3 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 50 60 60 50 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.7 9.8 10.0 10.3 10.4 10.1 9.4 9.1 8.8 9.0 9.2 9.2 8.9 8.8 8.8 8.8
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK FW SC FW FW FW FW FW CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 85 85 90 90 55 20 25 20 15 5 5 5 5 5 10
TEMPERATURE 40 40 46 48 46 45 42 39 38 39 51 57 55 46 43 41 40
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 37 57 39
WIND DIR NE N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W NW NW S S
WIND (MPH) 9 6 3 4 4 2 3 4 3 3 4 8 8 2 2 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 60 70 70 50 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.6 9.8 9.9 10.3 10.4 10.2 9.5 9.1 8.8 9.1 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.8
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 85 90 85 85 30 20 20 15 10 5 5 5 0 0 5
TEMPERATURE 43 42 49 53 51 50 47 43 42 41 54 61 60 52 47 44 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 41 61 41
WIND DIR E SE N N NW NW W W NW NW W W NW NW NW E E
WIND (MPH) 5 4 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 3 4 4 2 3 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 50 60 50 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.4 9.4 9.7 10.0 10.2 10.2 9.9 9.3 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.0 8.9 9.0 8.9 8.9
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW SC FW FW FW CL FW CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 85 85 85 75 35 15 30 20 15 5 5 5 5 5 10
TEMPERATURE 44 44 47 49 47 45 44 43 41 42 51 56 54 47 44 43 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 41 56 42
WIND DIR E NE NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW NW E SE SE
WIND (MPH) 9 8 2 4 3 2 3 3 3 2 4 6 5 1 6 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 40 60 60 40 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 9.6 9.7 9.9 10.2 10.3 10.0 9.5 9.1 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.0 8.9 8.8 8.8 8.8
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW SC FW FW FW CL FW CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 90 80 85 75 40 20 30 25 25 5 5 10 5 5 10
TEMPERATURE 44 44 48 49 47 46 44 43 41 42 51 56 55 47 43 43 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 41 56 42
WIND DIR E NE NW NW NW W NW W SW SW NW NW NW NW SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 10 9 2 4 3 2 3 3 3 2 4 6 5 0 6 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 50 60 60 40 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.7 9.8 10.1 10.2 10.4 9.9 9.4 9.0 8.8 8.9 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.7
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV FW CL FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 65 80 85 80 75 15 5 15 10 15 5 5 5 0 5 10
TEMPERATURE 46 45 49 51 50 46 47 46 45 46 53 58 56 48 47 48 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 45 58 46
WIND DIR E N NW N NW NW NW NW W SW NW NW NW NW W SW SW
WIND (MPH) 5 9 2 2 3 2 3 4 4 2 2 4 6 2 3 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 40 50 40 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.6 9.4 9.7 10.0 10.1 9.9 9.8 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.1 8.8 8.8 9.0 9.0
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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