043
FWUS46 KMFR 050936
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 AM PDT SAT SEP 5 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW SC SC SC SC BK BK BK OV OV BK FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 30 20 25 30 40 45 55 60 55 80 85 55 20 10 5 10
TEMPERATURE 35 34 41 46 51 41 38 38 38 37 41 42 45 40 39 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 36 47 36
WIND DIR SW S S S SW SW SW SW S S SW SW W NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 11 10 8 9 6 5 8 12 12 10 8 10 10 9 6 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 20 20 80 80 10 10 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R S S R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.9 8.1 8.5 8.8 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.7 8.4 8.5 8.8 8.8 8.4 7.8 7.5 7.4
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW SC BK SC BK BK OV OV BK FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 25 15 20 20 35 50 50 60 60 80 85 55 20 10 5 10
TEMPERATURE 36 39 47 50 50 40 40 39 39 41 46 46 48 42 39 38 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 38 50 37
WIND DIR S SE S S S SW SW SW S S S SW NW NW N N N
WIND (MPH) 9 6 6 8 5 3 5 9 9 8 6 5 9 6 6 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 10 70 70 10 10 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.8 8.0 8.4 8.7 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.7 8.4 8.5 8.8 8.8 8.4 7.8 7.5 7.4
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW SC SC SC SC BK BK BK OV OV BK FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 30 25 25 35 40 40 55 60 55 80 85 55 20 10 5 10
TEMPERATURE 35 34 40 46 50 42 38 38 37 37 40 42 45 41 39 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 36 47 36
WIND DIR SW S S S SW SW SW SW S S SW SW W NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 12 10 8 9 6 5 9 12 12 10 9 10 10 9 6 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 20 20 70 70 10 10 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R S S R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 7.9 8.1 8.5 8.8 8.9 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.4 8.5 8.8 8.8 8.4 7.8 7.5 7.4
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW SC SC SC BK BK BK OV OV BK SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 20 15 25 30 40 45 60 60 60 85 85 55 30 15 5 10
TEMPERATURE 26 28 34 37 38 31 29 29 29 33 32 33 34 30 29 29 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 27 35 28
WIND DIR SW SW SW S SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 21 19 16 16 13 12 18 23 21 18 14 14 17 14 11 14 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 48 41 39 37 36 48 51 48 41 41 34 36 44 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 10 5 5 5 10 20 20 80 80 20 20 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.17 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.8 8.1 8.6 8.9 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.7 8.4 8.4 8.8 8.9 8.4 7.8 7.5 7.4
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW SC SC FW SC SC BK OV OV BK SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 30 15 15 35 30 15 45 50 50 75 80 55 30 15 10 10
TEMPERATURE 38 38 44 49 51 44 40 40 39 40 42 44 47 43 40 39 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 38 48 37
WIND DIR SE SE S S S SW SW SW S S SW SW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 6 6 10 8 4 5 10 11 9 8 5 8 8 8 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 10 5 70 70 20 20 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 7.8 8.0 8.5 8.6 8.9 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.4 8.6 8.8 8.8 8.3 7.8 7.5 7.3
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW SC SC SC BK BK BK OV OV BK FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 20 20 25 30 30 45 50 55 55 70 70 60 15 10 5 5
TEMPERATURE 43 44 52 57 61 50 47 45 46 48 51 52 55 48 45 44 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 45 57 43
WIND DIR SE SE SE S S SW NW E S S S NW W NW N N N
WIND (MPH) 4 3 6 8 8 5 2 2 3 4 6 5 4 4 4 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 5 10 5 5 5 10 5 60 60 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 7.9 8.0 8.5 8.9 9.0 8.9 8.8 8.6 8.4 8.7 8.9 8.9 8.5 7.8 7.6 7.5
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW SC BK BK SC BK BK OV OV BK FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 25 20 20 30 65 55 45 60 65 80 75 60 20 15 10 15
TEMPERATURE 37 40 45 51 54 45 42 41 39 46 45 46 49 42 41 41 40
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 38 50 39
WIND DIR SE E S S S NW S SE SE N S S NW N N N N
WIND (MPH) 9 6 9 9 6 3 6 9 9 6 4 5 6 4 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 5 10 10 10 5 10 5 70 70 10 10 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.8 8.2 8.8 9.1 9.2 8.9 8.7 8.5 8.4 8.6 8.8 8.8 8.4 7.7 7.5 7.4
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC BK BK SC BK BK OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 25 40 50 55 40 55 70 95 85 95 95 55 55 45 35 25
TEMPERATURE 35 37 46 51 52 45 40 39 38 39 42 44 46 42 40 38 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 36 47 35
WIND DIR SE E S SW W NW NE E E E S NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 8 5 5 9 5 6 10 10 8 6 9 8 6 5 5 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 30 20 50 90 90 40 40 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R S R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.10 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.3 7.4 7.7 8.3 8.3 8.1 8.1 8.0 8.1 7.8 7.9 8.1 8.1 7.9 7.8 7.5 7.2
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC BK SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 35 40 50 35 35 45 65 95 85 90 90 55 55 35 30 25
TEMPERATURE 34 36 45 50 51 44 40 39 38 38 41 43 45 42 39 37 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 36 46 35
WIND DIR SE E S SW W NW NE NE NE E SE N NW NW W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 8 8 5 8 4 6 10 10 8 6 6 9 5 4 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 5 10 20 30 30 60 90 90 30 30 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.4 7.7 8.3 8.4 8.2 8.2 8.1 8.2 7.9 7.9 8.1 8.1 7.8 7.7 7.4 7.1
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC SC SC SC OV OV OV OV OV SC SC FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 15 35 40 30 30 50 80 90 85 90 90 50 50 25 35 30
TEMPERATURE 39 39 50 55 57 50 45 44 42 40 43 46 49 47 43 41 40
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 40 50 38
WIND DIR E SE S SW W W W NE E W W W W NW NW NW NE
WIND (MPH) 4 4 5 6 8 3 3 2 2 4 6 9 8 2 2 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 5 5 20 20 70 70 90 90 30 30 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.4 7.7 8.3 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.4 8.0 7.9 8.1 8.0 7.9 7.7 7.5 7.3
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 15 35 45 45 40 50 75 95 90 90 90 65 65 50 45 35
TEMPERATURE 36 37 45 49 50 43 41 42 40 40 41 44 46 43 41 41 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 38 46 38
WIND DIR SE SE S W W NW E NE E NE E N NW NW W S W
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 6 6 5 6 11 10 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 20 20 10 20 20 10 30 90 90 50 50 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.16 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.3 7.3 7.7 8.3 8.4 8.3 8.2 8.1 8.1 7.9 7.9 8.1 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.3
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 10 35 45 45 40 50 80 95 95 90 90 70 65 60 50 40
TEMPERATURE 37 37 45 49 51 44 41 42 40 40 41 43 46 43 42 41 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 39 46 38
WIND DIR SE E SW W W NW E NE E E NE NE NW NW W SE W
WIND (MPH) 9 6 6 6 6 6 6 11 10 8 5 4 5 5 5 6 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 20 20 10 20 20 10 30 90 90 50 50 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.20 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.2 7.3 7.7 8.2 8.4 8.1 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.8 7.9 8.1 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.2
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 09/05/26 SUNDAY 09/06/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK BK FW SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 15 30 35 30 55 55 65 90 80 80 75 50 50 15 25 20
TEMPERATURE 38 40 44 50 51 45 43 43 42 41 43 45 47 43 42 43 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 40 48 40
WIND DIR SE SE S SW NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 8 6 5 3 8 6 9 10 8 6 5 10 9 6 5 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 10 10 20 20 40 10 70 70 30 30 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.3 7.6 8.3 8.7 8.7 8.6 8.4 8.2 8.0 8.0 8.1 8.1 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.4
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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