422
FWUS46 KMFR 160936
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 AM PDT WED SEP 16 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC BK SC FW FW SC BK BK SC BK SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 45 35 50 50 35 5 15 50 60 55 50 70 40 25 10 5
TEMPERATURE 41 39 46 51 51 45 43 43 40 39 45 48 50 45 43 43 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 39 51 41
WIND DIR E E E SE SE NE NE NE N SW SW SW W W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 12 13 8 10 4 3 3 3 2 2 4 4 4 2 4 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 20 20 30 20 0 0 0 5 30 30 20 20 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R T R T R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.2 9.2 9.5 9.6 9.8 9.7 9.3 9.0 9.1 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.2 10.0 9.7 9.6
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC SC SC CL FW SC BK BK SC BK SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 35 35 50 50 35 5 15 40 60 55 45 70 40 20 5 5
TEMPERATURE 39 39 48 53 52 44 41 41 39 39 48 51 50 44 42 41 40
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 37 54 40
WIND DIR E E SE SE SE NE E E E S SW SW W W NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 10 10 6 9 5 4 4 3 2 3 4 5 4 3 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 20 20 30 20 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R T R T R T R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.1 9.2 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.6 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.6 9.9 10.2 10.2 10.0 9.7 9.6
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC BK SC FW FW SC BK BK SC BK SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 45 35 50 50 35 5 15 50 60 55 50 65 40 25 10 5
TEMPERATURE 41 40 44 49 51 46 42 43 40 40 43 47 49 45 43 43 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 39 51 41
WIND DIR E NE E SE S N N NE NW SW SW SW SW W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 12 13 8 10 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 4 3 2 4 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 20 20 30 20 0 0 0 5 30 30 20 20 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R T R T R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.2 9.2 9.5 9.7 9.8 9.7 9.3 9.0 9.1 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.2 10.0 9.7 9.7
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC BK BK SC FW FW SC BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 55 35 60 50 40 5 15 45 65 55 50 70 45 25 10 10
TEMPERATURE 32 33 37 40 39 35 33 33 32 33 37 38 37 35 33 33 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 32 40 33
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE E E E E SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 16 17 11 12 8 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 2 4 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 20 20 30 20 0 0 0 5 30 30 20 20 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S T S T S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.7 9.8 9.7 9.3 9.0 9.2 9.7 9.9 10.2 10.2 10.0 9.7 9.6
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC BK SC FW SC SC BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 35 35 50 50 30 10 35 50 60 60 60 65 50 30 15 15
TEMPERATURE 42 41 45 52 52 46 43 43 41 41 46 48 50 47 43 42 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 40 52 41
WIND DIR E E E SE SW NW NW W SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 13 17 11 10 5 5 4 4 4 5 3 4 3 3 4 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 20 20 30 20 0 0 0 5 40 40 10 10 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R T T R T R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.3 9.2 9.5 9.8 9.8 9.6 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.6 10.0 10.1 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.6
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC SC SC SC CL FW SC SC BK BK BK SC FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 15 35 40 40 35 0 20 30 45 70 55 65 30 15 5 5
TEMPERATURE 46 48 56 61 63 54 49 47 46 48 54 58 60 53 49 47 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 45 62 47
WIND DIR N NE E SE S NW NW SW N N S S SW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 8 6 6 5 2 1 1 0 0 2 3 2 1 2 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R T T T R T R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.1 9.0 9.4 9.5 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.6 10.0 10.1 10.2 9.9 9.7 9.6
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC BK SC SC CL FW SC BK BK BK BK SC FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 30 35 55 40 35 0 10 30 50 60 55 65 35 20 5 5
TEMPERATURE 41 44 49 54 56 48 44 45 42 45 50 53 54 47 45 45 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 41 55 43
WIND DIR SW E E SE SE NW SW S S S S W W W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 8 5 8 5 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 2 2 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R T T T R T R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.1 9.0 9.5 9.5 9.6 9.6 9.4 9.0 9.1 9.7 10.0 10.2 10.1 10.0 9.7 9.6
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC BK BK FW FW OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 40 50 35 55 55 15 15 75 85 80 85 75 70 45 20 25
TEMPERATURE 38 38 45 53 54 49 44 42 41 42 50 52 51 46 44 41 40
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 40 54 40
WIND DIR E E E E E E E E E NE W W W NW NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 21 21 23 16 12 14 16 10 8 5 3 6 6 1 2 1 1
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 39 35 35
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 20 20 30 30 5 5 20 40 50 50 30 30 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.9 9.2 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.7 9.6 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.2 10.1 9.7 9.2
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC BK SC BK BK SC FW OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 35 50 40 55 55 30 25 80 85 80 75 75 65 50 25 25
TEMPERATURE 37 37 44 52 53 48 43 40 40 40 48 51 50 45 43 40 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 38 54 39
WIND DIR NE E E E E NE NE NE NE N W W W NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 21 21 21 17 12 13 16 10 8 5 3 5 6 2 3 3 2
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 33 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 5 20 20 30 30 5 5 20 40 50 50 30 30 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R R T R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.06 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 9.0 9.1 9.6 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.1 9.7 9.2
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC BK BK FW SC OV BK BK OV BK BK SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 35 35 50 65 60 20 40 85 60 60 70 65 60 40 15 15
TEMPERATURE 41 41 48 57 59 53 47 44 43 43 51 54 55 52 47 44 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 61 42 59 41
WIND DIR NE NE NE E NE NE NE NE NE E SW W W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 11 9 6 5 4 9 6 5 4 2 4 4 2 2 3 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 20 20 30 30 0 5 30 20 40 40 30 30 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R T T T R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 9.0 9.2 9.5 9.8 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.9 10.0 10.0 9.9 10.0 9.7 9.4
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC SC BK FW SC OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 45 35 35 45 55 15 35 75 80 75 80 80 65 40 20 20
TEMPERATURE 40 40 45 52 53 48 45 44 43 43 49 51 50 47 45 44 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 43 54 42
WIND DIR E E E E E E E E E SE W W W NW W SW S
WIND (MPH) 16 19 20 12 10 12 16 12 10 9 2 5 5 2 4 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 40 40 32
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 20 10 20 30 5 10 10 40 40 40 30 30 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R T T R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 9.0 9.1 9.5 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.2 10.1 10.0 9.6 9.3
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC SC BK FW SC OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 40 35 35 35 50 15 45 70 85 75 90 85 70 45 20 25
TEMPERATURE 40 40 45 52 53 49 45 44 43 44 50 51 51 47 45 44 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 43 54 42
WIND DIR E E E E E E E E E SE W W W NW W SW S
WIND (MPH) 19 21 24 14 11 14 16 12 10 9 2 5 5 1 3 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 40 32
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 20 10 20 30 5 10 10 40 40 40 30 30 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.9 9.1 9.5 9.9 9.9 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.9 10.2 10.2 10.2 10.1 9.6 9.2
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC BK BK OV SC FW OV SC OV OV BK SC FW FW CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 45 35 50 65 75 25 15 70 40 70 75 65 40 15 10 5
TEMPERATURE 41 41 46 53 54 48 47 46 46 45 50 54 52 47 47 46 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 45 55 46
WIND DIR E E E E NE NW SE S S SW W NW NW NW W W SW
WIND (MPH) 13 12 10 9 6 3 4 5 9 10 2 2 4 2 3 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 20 20 30 30 0 5 10 0 30 30 20 20 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R T T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.7 9.0 9.1 9.5 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.8 9.9 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.6 9.3
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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