932  
FWUS46 KMFR 161101  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
401 AM PDT SAT OCT 16 2021  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/16 SUNDAY 10/17  
TIME (LT) 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL FW SC SC SC SC FW SC OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 5 5 10 40 40 50 35 20 45 90100100100 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 46 49 53 53 47 43 42 42 40 38 37 34 24 23 24 24 24  
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 38 41 22  
WIND DIR S SE S S S S S S S S S S S W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 10 11 11 13 18 25 28 31 34 32 24 10 24 25 18  
WIND GUST (MPH) 16 17 17 20 27 37 43 48 54 50 37 16 36 37 27  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 70100100100 80 50  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.33  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.4 3.2  
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/16 SUNDAY 10/17  
TIME (LT) 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL FW FW SC SC SC SC FW SC OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 0 5 15 40 40 50 35 20 45 85100100100 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 44 50 56 57 50 45 44 43 41 39 42 37 27 25 27 26 25  
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 38 44 25  
WIND DIR E E SE S S S S S S S S S S W W NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 5 8 11 13 12 14 17 21 25 26 27 27 18 12 27 26 17  
WIND GUST (MPH) 17 20 19 23 26 33 37 40 41 41 27 19 41 40 25  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 70100100100 80 50  
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.34  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.9  
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/16 SUNDAY 10/17  
TIME (LT) 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL FW SC SC BK SC FW SC OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 5 5 10 35 40 50 30 20 45 85100100 95 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 45 49 52 53 46 43 42 42 39 38 37 33 23 23 24 23 24  
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 37 40 21  
WIND DIR SE SE S S S S S S S S S S S W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 10 11 11 13 18 25 27 31 33 32 25 9 23 24 18  
WIND GUST (MPH) 16 17 17 20 27 37 43 48 54 50 37 36 37 27  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 70100100100 80 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.31  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.9  
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/16 SUNDAY 10/17  
TIME (LT) 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL FW SC SC BK SC FW SC OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 15 5 5 15 35 45 50 35 20 45 90100100100 80 65  
TEMPERATURE 41 43 44 43 39 36 35 33 33 32 32 25 18 17 19 20 21  
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 31 32 16  
WIND DIR SW SW S S S S S SW S S S S S W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 14 14 16 19 20 25 33 46 51 58 63 63 44 12 34 31 21  
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 31 29 37 41 51 64 82 93105115115 93 24 67 57 42  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 70100100100 90 60  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.37  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 2.2 3.9  
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/16 SUNDAY 10/17  
TIME (LT) 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06  
 
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL FW SC SC BK SC SC SC OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 0 10 25 40 55 45 35 50 75100100 90 85 65  
TEMPERATURE 43 47 54 56 47 44 42 40 38 37 41 38 28 26 26 26 24  
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 36 43 23  
WIND DIR SE SE S S S S S S S S S S S SW W W W  
WIND (MPH) 5 6 11 16 17 21 24 28 28 31 28 29 27 11 24 25 18  
WIND GUST (MPH) 12 19 24 27 34 37 44 44 48 44 44 41 17 37 37 27  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 60 90 90 90 70 40  
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.21  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8  
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/16 SUNDAY 10/17  
TIME (LT) 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06  
 
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL FW SC SC BK SC FW SC OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 0 0 5 10 40 40 50 25 15 45 85100100 85 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 47 55 63 64 54 49 47 45 42 47 51 45 32 31 32 31 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 40 51 28  
WIND DIR SW S S S S S S S S S S S W NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 4 5 6 9 9 9 9 9 10 11 14 14 8 6 14 14 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 16 19 23 23 24 24 18  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 60 90 90 80 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.18  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0  
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/16 SUNDAY 10/17  
TIME (LT) 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06  
 
CLOUD COVER FW CL CL CL FW SC SC BK SC FW SC OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 5 10 35 45 50 30 15 45 90100100 85 80 70  
TEMPERATURE 45 53 59 60 55 45 44 42 40 43 46 39 30 27 27 27 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 61 38 46 25  
WIND DIR SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S S NW W NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 9 11 14 16 18 21 25 27 28 28 27 14 13 25 25 18  
WIND GUST (MPH) 17 24 24 27 34 40 43 44 44 41 24 23 37 37 27  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 70100100 90 60 40  
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.22  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.8  
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4  
 
   
..MT. ASHLAND (6,800 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/16 SUNDAY 10/17  
TIME (LT) 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW CL FW SC SC BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 20 10 5 20 35 40 55 45 35 65100100100100 90 80  
TEMPERATURE 47 49 55 58 53 48 47 45 43 41 41 37 27 28 31 33 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 40 44 26  
WIND DIR S S S S NW NW S S S S S SW W NW W NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 10 11 10 6 8 13 21 26 21 21 14 9 21 27 24 18  
WIND GUST (MPH) 16 17 16 20 33 40 33 33 23 33 41 36 27  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 40 80100100100 90 60  
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.32  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.4 2.8  
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8 8 8 9 10 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 4 4  
 
   
..MT. BAILEY (7000 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/16 SUNDAY 10/17  
TIME (LT) 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC FW SC SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 35 30 10 30 40 35 40 55 60 70 90100100100100 80  
TEMPERATURE 42 46 55 56 51 45 43 42 41 41 43 38 31 29 28 29 28  
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 38 44 26  
WIND DIR S SE S SW W W S S S S SW SW W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 16 16 14 16 10 10 14 17 21 19 20 17 11 12 20 24 17  
WIND GUST (MPH) 24 24 23 24 17 17 24 27 34 31 31 27 19 20 33 36 26  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 40 70100100100100 90  
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.35  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.9  
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 4 4  
 
   
..MT. MCLOUGHLIN (7000 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/16 SUNDAY 10/17  
TIME (LT) 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC FW FW SC SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 25 25 10 25 40 35 45 55 60 70 90100100100100 80  
TEMPERATURE 42 45 55 57 51 45 43 42 41 40 43 38 31 30 29 29 29  
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 38 44 27  
WIND DIR S SE S SW W W S S S S SW SW W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 13 13 13 14 10 10 13 18 23 19 20 18 12 13 21 24 18  
WIND GUST (MPH) 24 24 23 24 17 17 24 34 43 34 34 27 20 26 40 41 32  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 40 70100100100100 90  
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.38  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.1 3.2  
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 4 4  
 
   
..CRATER LAKE RIM (ABOVE 6,500 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/16 SUNDAY 10/17  
TIME (LT) 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW FW SC SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 40 25 5 20 45 35 40 55 65 70 85100100100 95 70  
TEMPERATURE 42 45 55 58 53 45 44 41 40 38 42 39 31 29 29 29 27  
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 37 45 26  
WIND DIR SW S S S SW W SW S S S S S W W W W NW  
WIND (MPH) 14 12 12 13 11 11 13 19 21 21 23 20 17 16 24 28 24  
WIND GUST (MPH) 26 23 23 23 17 20 27 36 44 43 40 36 31 27 40 48 39  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 70100100 90 90 80  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.29  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.5  
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 7 6 7 7 6 5 5 5 4  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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