171
FWUS46 KMFR 272136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 5 0 5 0 0 0 5 5 5 20 30 40 50 60 60
TEMPERATURE 33 29 28 29 27 26 38 42 41 32 32 33 31 29 38 40 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 43 29 41
WIND DIR NW N NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW S SW S
WIND (MPH) 3 4 4 9 10 11 12 11 10 9 12 13 12 12 10 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 5.0 4.6 4.3 4.1 4.2 5.4 6.0 5.9 5.4 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.4 5.3 5.8 5.8
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 30 40 50 60 60
TEMPERATURE 31 25 23 24 24 25 39 43 38 28 28 28 28 29 40 40 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 23 43 26 41
WIND DIR NW N N N N N N W NW NW N N N NE S S S
WIND (MPH) 8 4 4 6 8 9 9 9 6 6 9 10 10 9 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.5 5.0 4.6 4.2 4.0 4.0 5.3 5.9 6.0 5.5 5.1 4.5 4.0 3.4 5.3 5.8 5.8
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 25 30 40 55 60 65
TEMPERATURE 33 29 29 29 27 26 37 42 41 33 32 33 30 29 37 39 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 43 28 41
WIND DIR NW N N N N N N W W NW NW NW NW NW S SW S
WIND (MPH) 4 4 4 9 10 11 12 11 10 9 12 13 12 11 10 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 5.1 4.6 4.3 4.1 4.0 5.3 6.1 6.0 5.4 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.4 5.3 5.8 5.8
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 20 30 40 50 60 60
TEMPERATURE 25 19 19 20 20 21 31 33 31 24 24 24 24 25 32 32 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 18 33 23 32
WIND DIR NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W SW W W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 14 13 13 16 20 21 23 23 21 21 23 25 25 24 21 19 18
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 41 36 44 49 50 55 57 56 54 55 57 57 52 43 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 4.9 4.5 4.2 4.2 4.3 5.4 5.9 5.8 5.3 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.4 5.4 5.7 5.8
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 15 10 0 5 5 0 0 5 5 5 20 30 35 50 55 70
TEMPERATURE 33 29 26 26 25 25 36 41 40 31 29 29 28 29 37 40 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 42 28 40
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW N N N W W W W NW N E S S S
WIND (MPH) 11 9 5 6 9 9 9 5 4 6 8 8 9 8 6 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 4.9 4.5 4.2 3.6 3.6 5.3 6.2 6.1 5.5 5.0 4.5 3.9 3.1 5.0 5.7 5.8
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 20 35 35 45 55 55
TEMPERATURE 38 34 33 31 30 29 41 48 46 37 35 34 34 34 42 45 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 49 32 46
WIND DIR NW N NE NE N N N N N N NE E E N S S S
WIND (MPH) 12 10 6 4 6 6 9 9 5 4 3 4 4 1 1 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.4 5.0 4.6 4.3 3.9 3.7 5.2 6.2 6.4 5.8 5.3 4.8 4.1 3.4 5.3 6.0 5.9
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 5 0 5 5 0 0 5 5 5 20 35 40 40 55 55
TEMPERATURE 35 31 28 28 27 28 39 44 41 34 30 31 32 32 40 43 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 44 29 43
WIND DIR N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW N NE S S S
WIND (MPH) 11 11 8 10 11 11 10 9 8 8 9 9 9 8 6 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.4 5.0 4.6 4.3 3.9 4.0 5.3 6.1 6.2 5.6 5.1 4.5 4.1 3.3 5.3 5.8 5.9
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK SC BK SC BK BK BK BK BK OV BK SC SC OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 70 60 45 65 45 55 65 70 65 60 75 60 40 45 70
TEMPERATURE 30 28 26 24 24 25 33 35 33 27 25 25 25 24 36 37 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 23 35 23 37
WIND DIR W W W SW SW S W W W SW E SE S SE SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 10 9 11 11 14 14 13 16 14 14 13 14 17 16 16 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 10 0 5 5 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.8 5.3 5.3 4.9 4.5 4.0 3.6 2.8 3.8 5.2 5.3
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK SC BK SC SC BK OV BK BK OV BK SC SC OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 60 60 40 55 35 40 60 70 60 65 70 55 35 45 70
TEMPERATURE 29 27 25 24 23 24 33 35 32 26 24 24 24 23 35 37 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 22 35 22 37
WIND DIR W W W W W SW SW W W W N S S SE S SW W
WIND (MPH) 10 11 12 12 13 14 13 13 13 13 13 14 17 16 16 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 4.7 4.2 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.8 5.3 5.3 4.8 4.4 3.8 3.5 2.7 3.8 5.2 5.3
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 55 35 20 15 10 30 35 35 30 35 35 40 35 55 65
TEMPERATURE 32 29 28 26 25 25 32 38 36 29 27 27 27 26 35 39 37
MIN/MAX TEMP 24 38 26 40
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W W W W SE SW W NW
WIND (MPH) 8 6 5 8 6 6 6 9 8 8 6 4 2 3 2 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.0 4.7 4.4 4.0 3.7 3.7 5.0 5.6 5.5 4.8 4.7 4.4 3.9 3.3 4.4 5.5 5.6
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK SC BK SC BK BK OV BK SC BK BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 65 55 45 55 35 60 65 70 55 50 60 50 45 50 65
TEMPERATURE 30 29 29 28 27 27 31 33 31 29 28 28 27 27 34 36 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 34 26 37
WIND DIR W W W SW SW SW W W W S SE SE SE SE SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 9 10 11 11 13 14 14 13 13 13 13 14 16 14 14 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 10 5 20 10 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 4.8 4.3 3.8 3.7 4.0 4.9 5.4 5.3 4.8 4.5 4.1 3.7 2.9 4.1 5.4 5.4
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK OV SC OV OV OV BK BK OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 70 65 55 80 45 75 80 85 65 60 70 60 50 45 65
TEMPERATURE 31 30 31 29 28 29 31 32 31 30 29 28 28 27 34 36 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 33 27 36
WIND DIR W W SW S S S SW W W S SE SE SE SE SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 9 9 11 12 14 16 14 13 13 14 14 16 17 16 16 14 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 10 5 20 10 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 4.8 4.3 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.8 5.3 5.2 4.7 4.4 4.0 3.5 2.7 3.9 5.3 5.4
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/28/26 THURSDAY 10/29/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC FW FW FW FW FW SC FW FW FW SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 50 35 10 10 15 10 15 35 25 20 20 25 40 35 50 60
TEMPERATURE 30 29 29 29 28 28 33 37 35 30 30 30 29 29 34 36 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 37 27 37
WIND DIR NW N N NW NW N NW W NW N W S S SE S W N
WIND (MPH) 11 9 6 9 10 12 13 12 12 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 4.9 4.5 4.0 3.8 4.1 5.1 5.9 5.9 5.4 5.1 4.8 4.3 3.5 4.4 5.4 5.5
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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