809  
FWUS46 KMFR 251101  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
401 AM PDT SAT OCT 25 2025  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 90 65 60 70 80 90 100 90 85 80 65 50 50 45  
TEMPERATURE 37 35 35 33 29 28 28 28 28 27 27 30 29 27 29 29 28  
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 25 31 26  
WIND DIR S S SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW S  
WIND (MPH) 37 40 39 36 28 17 18 24 18 13 19 25 26 19 20 14 17  
WIND GUST (MPH) 61 64 62 58 47 40 37 43  
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 40 90 40 20 40 20 40 80 80 70 70 20 20 10 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.65 0.48 0.05 0.30 0.39 0.31 0.05 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 2.9 2.8 0.6 3.4 4.1 2.7 0.5 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 5.7 4.0 6.8 0.5  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.4 7.2 6.7 5.7 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.3 5.6 5.9  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 95 90 60 55 65 80 95 100 90 85 80 65 50 50 45  
TEMPERATURE 38 36 36 35 30 27 28 28 28 28 31 31 30 26 27 28 28  
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 27 31 26  
WIND DIR S S S SW W W W SW SW S SW SW W W S SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 29 29 28 27 20 11 13 18 13 10 14 19 20 14 14 11 12  
WIND GUST (MPH) 29  
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 40 90 40 30 40 20 40 80 80 60 60 20 20 10 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.41 0.28 0.01 0.20 0.34 0.25 0.04 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7 2.9 1.7 0.3 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 1.8 4.6 0.3  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.3 7.1 6.6 5.7 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.8 6.0 5.9 5.5 5.3 5.6 5.9  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 90 65 60 70 80 90 100 90 85 80 70 50 50 45  
TEMPERATURE 38 36 34 34 30 28 28 29 28 29 27 29 30 26 28 29 28  
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 25 31 25  
WIND DIR S SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW S  
WIND (MPH) 37 40 39 36 28 17 18 24 18 13 19 25 26 19 20 14 17  
WIND GUST (MPH) 61 64 62 58 47 40 37 43  
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 40 90 50 20 40 20 40 80 80 70 70 20 20 10 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.69 0.49 0.05 0.31 0.38 0.30 0.05 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 3.0 2.6 0.6 3.4 3.9 2.5 0.5 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 5.6 4.0 6.4 0.5  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.4 7.2 6.7 5.8 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.8 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.4 5.6 5.9  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 90 95 90 65 60 65 80 95 100 85 90 80 65 50 50 45  
TEMPERATURE 29 27 26 24 20 19 20 21 21 21 20 22 21 20 21 22 23  
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 19 22 20  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W W W W W SW SW W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 65 65 67 58 46 39 35 54 37 29 35 46 50 41 43 33 33  
WIND GUST (MPH) 115 115 115 98 78 98 62 90 62 49 52 66 110 98 112 82 79  
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 40 90 50 20 40 20 50 80 80 60 60 20 20 10 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.66 0.44 0.05 0.26 0.43 0.35 0.05 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 5.8 4.6 0.7 3.4 5.4 3.7 0.5 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 10.4 4.1 9.1 0.6  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 7.4 7.2 6.7 5.7 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.7 5.9 6.0 6.0 5.4 5.3 5.6 5.8  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 95 85 60 65 70 80 90 95 90 90 80 70 55 50 50  
TEMPERATURE 38 36 35 34 30 29 28 30 28 27 27 30 30 28 28 29 28  
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 26 31 27  
WIND DIR S S S SW SW W SW SW SW S SW SW SW W W S S  
WIND (MPH) 28 29 31 28 23 13 16 17 13 16 16 18 19 14 16 14 13  
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 33 33  
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 50 100 60 40 40 20 50 90 90 80 80 30 30 10 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.57 0.45 0.04 0.22 0.34 0.22 0.03 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 1.1 0.3 2.1 3.1 1.5 0.2 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.5 2.4 4.6 0.2  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.4 7.1 6.8 6.0 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.7 5.9 5.9 5.6 5.4 5.5 5.7  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 85 95 65 55 55 60 70 90 95 90 90 75 60 40 45 40  
TEMPERATURE 42 43 41 41 36 33 33 33 33 36 34 36 36 33 32 32 32  
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 31 37 30  
WIND DIR S S S SW SW W SW S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 16 16 17 16 11 11 6 5 4 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 4  
WIND GUST (MPH) 23  
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 40 90 50 30 40 10 40 90 90 70 70 20 20 10 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.53 0.21 0.00 0.12 0.25 0.20 0.01 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 7.1 7.0 6.4 5.6 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.8 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.8 6.0  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 70 95 75 55 55 50 65 90 95 90 90 80 70 45 45 45  
TEMPERATURE 41 40 38 36 33 31 30 31 31 34 31 33 32 30 29 30 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 28 34 28  
WIND DIR S S S SW W W SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW SE SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 32 28 27 28 19 11 13 17 13 10 14 18 18 12 12 11 12  
WIND GUST (MPH) 31 29  
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 40 90 50 30 40 10 40 90 90 70 70 20 20 10 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.29 0.28 0.01 0.13 0.22 0.20 0.04 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 1.1 2.6 0.3  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.0 6.9 6.4 5.6 5.1 5.0 5.2 5.2 5.6 5.8 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.4 5.7 5.9  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 100 95 90 95 95 95 100 100 100 100 85 95 90 75 85  
TEMPERATURE 37 34 33 31 28 26 26 26 25 24 27 28 27 27 28 26 26  
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 23 28 25  
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW S S SW W W SW SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 24 25 35 37 31 26 20 21 16 13 19 29 25 21 17 12 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 57 33  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 80 100 70 90 80 80 60 100 100 100 100 60 60 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.48 0.67 0.50 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.13 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 2.2 6.5 6.4 3.7 3.6 3.1 1.5 0.7  
12 HOUR SNOW 8.7 10.1 6.7 2.2  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.5 5.9 5.4 4.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.6 4.9 4.9 5.0 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.4  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 100 90 90 95 90 90 100 100 100 100 80 90 80 70 80  
TEMPERATURE 37 34 33 30 27 25 26 26 25 24 26 28 27 27 26 25 26  
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 24 28 24  
WIND DIR S S SW SW SW W SW SW SW S S SW W W SW SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 24 25 34 36 31 26 20 21 16 13 18 28 25 23 19 13 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 51 55 33 31  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 70 100 70 90 80 80 60 100 100 100 100 50 50 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.42 0.76 0.49 0.28 0.29 0.26 0.09 0.06  
6 HOUR SNOW 1.9 7.7 6.4 3.7 3.6 2.8 1.0 0.6  
12 HOUR SNOW 9.6 10.1 6.4 1.6  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.5 4.9 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.6 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.4  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 100 95 90 95 85 80 95 95 95 95 80 85 85 75 80  
TEMPERATURE 43 39 37 34 31 31 30 30 29 28 29 31 31 31 32 31 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 27 32 29  
WIND DIR S SW SW SW W W SW SW S S S SW W SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 21 18 21 19 17 16 10 10 9 9 9 6 9 5 6 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 100 70 80 70 60 60 100 100 90 90 40 40 20 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.32 0.29 0.17 0.30 0.26 0.07 0.03  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 1.0 2.7 1.7 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.0 4.4 4.2 0.9  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 6.7 6.2 5.7 5.0 4.7 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 5.1 5.3 5.3 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.8  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 100 95 95 95 95 85 100 100 100 100 85 95 90 75 85  
TEMPERATURE 39 35 33 31 27 26 26 27 26 26 26 28 27 27 28 27 27  
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 24 29 26  
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW S S W W W S SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 23 26 35 37 31 26 19 20 16 12 18 28 23 18 17 12 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 43 48 57 62 48 33 31 43 37  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 80 100 80 100 80 80 70 100 100 100 100 70 70 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.41 0.58 0.36 0.26 0.29 0.27 0.10 0.06  
6 HOUR SNOW 1.7 4.7 4.3 3.2 3.3 2.6 1.1 0.6  
12 HOUR SNOW 6.4 7.5 5.9 1.7  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.4 5.8 5.4 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.6 4.9 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.5  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 100 95 95 100 95 85 100 100 100 100 85 95 90 80 85  
TEMPERATURE 37 34 32 31 28 26 26 26 25 25 26 28 27 27 27 27 26  
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 24 28 25  
WIND DIR S SW S SW SW W SW SW SW S S W SW W SW SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 21 25 36 37 32 26 20 20 14 12 19 32 23 20 16 12 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 55 57  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 80 100 80 100 80 80 70 100 100 100 100 70 70 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.54 0.66 0.35 0.29 0.27 0.26 0.11 0.08  
6 HOUR SNOW 2.3 5.8 4.3 3.6 3.2 2.7 1.2 0.8  
12 HOUR SNOW 8.1 7.9 5.9 2.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 6.3 5.7 5.3 4.8 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.5 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.2 4.3  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 10/25/25 SUNDAY 10/26/25  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 95 75 85 70 75 75 95 95 95 90 80 80 75 65 65  
TEMPERATURE 40 36 35 33 29 28 29 29 29 29 28 30 30 28 29 30 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 27 32 28  
WIND DIR S S S SW W W S SW S SE S SW W W SE SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 27 29 31 32 20 18 16 19 17 12 18 25 23 16 17 12 12  
WIND GUST (MPH) 34 29  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 60 90 70 80 40 40 60 90 90 80 80 40 40 20 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.26 0.25 0.09 0.14 0.29 0.17 0.04 0.02  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 1.0 0.8 1.3 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.4 2.1 3.8 0.4  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 6.4 6.1 5.5 5.1 4.7 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.2 5.4 5.3 5.1 5.0 5.1 5.1  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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