521
FWUS46 KMFR 220936
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 90 95 85 75 35 20 25 15 5 0 0 5 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 44 42 40 41 41 38 36 35 32 30 33 38 39 33 33 33 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 30 40 30
WIND DIR NE E S W NW N N N N N N N N N N N NE
WIND (MPH) 9 5 3 6 6 10 14 19 21 16 6 4 5 9 9 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 70 90 40 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.16 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.2 8.8 7.9 6.7 6.2 4.9 4.6 5.6 6.0 5.9 5.5 5.1 4.0 3.4
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW SC FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 90 95 85 75 35 25 25 15 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 39 39 41 40 40 36 33 31 29 27 34 39 38 30 29 29 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 27 41 26
WIND DIR E E NW W NW NW N N N N N NW N N N N NE
WIND (MPH) 5 3 4 5 5 14 13 17 18 14 6 6 5 8 8 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 70 90 40 5 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.16 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.2 8.6 7.8 6.6 6.1 4.8 4.5 5.5 6.0 5.9 5.4 5.0 4.1 3.5
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 90 95 85 75 30 25 25 15 5 0 0 5 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 44 43 39 41 41 38 36 35 32 30 32 38 40 34 33 32 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 29 41 31
WIND DIR NE NE S W W N N N N N N N N N N N NE
WIND (MPH) 10 5 3 6 5 6 13 19 21 17 5 4 4 9 10 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 70 90 40 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.16 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.2 8.8 8.0 6.8 6.3 5.1 4.6 5.6 6.0 5.9 5.5 5.1 4.1 3.5
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW SC FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 95 85 75 30 25 30 15 5 0 0 5 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 35 35 32 32 33 29 27 27 25 23 24 28 29 24 25 25 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 23 30 24
WIND DIR E E SW NW N N N N N N N N N N N NE NE
WIND (MPH) 10 6 3 5 11 19 18 23 25 20 12 10 8 10 11 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 43 37
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 70 90 40 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.19 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.5 9.5 9.2 8.7 7.8 6.6 6.1 4.6 4.3 5.4 5.9 5.8 5.5 5.2 4.0 3.3
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 95 90 75 65 40 40 25 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 44 43 40 41 40 39 36 34 31 29 31 39 39 35 33 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 29 40 29
WIND DIR NE SE SW SW W NW NW NW NW N N N N N N NE NE
WIND (MPH) 8 5 5 6 8 12 18 23 24 18 11 11 11 11 12 13 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 60 90 40 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.13 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.2 8.7 7.7 6.6 6.1 4.8 4.0 4.9 5.7 5.7 5.4 4.8 3.9 3.3
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 90 95 75 70 45 25 35 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 49 48 45 46 45 44 42 39 38 34 39 44 45 40 37 35 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 34 47 34
WIND DIR NE NW N S W N N N N N N N N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 4 2 4 4 3 8 9 11 11 11 12 9 9 9 6 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 40 70 90 30 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.4 9.2 9.2 8.6 7.8 6.6 6.2 5.2 4.0 4.9 5.6 5.6 5.2 5.1 4.9 4.3
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 85 95 65 80 60 55 45 20 5 0 0 5 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 46 47 42 43 42 40 38 37 35 33 33 39 40 35 33 33 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 31 40 29
WIND DIR NW NW N N NW N N N NW NW N N NW N N N NE
WIND (MPH) 5 3 5 4 6 12 9 11 14 12 12 10 8 5 5 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 70 90 30 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.11 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.5 9.3 9.1 8.5 7.7 6.6 6.2 5.2 3.8 4.7 5.3 5.4 5.1 4.8 4.5 4.0
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC FW CL CL FW CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 95 85 90 90 85 90 50 30 25 5 0 5 10 5 5 10
TEMPERATURE 41 40 42 42 42 36 34 31 26 24 34 41 43 34 30 30 29
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 24 43 27
WIND DIR NE NE NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N NW N NE E E E
WIND (MPH) 5 5 4 11 12 14 21 20 14 10 8 6 3 3 11 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 60 50 30 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.6 9.2 8.7 7.9 6.6 6.3 4.9 3.1 3.4 4.8 5.5 5.5 5.1 4.2 3.3 2.5
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC FW FW CL CL FW CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 95 90 90 90 75 75 40 25 20 5 0 5 10 5 5 10
TEMPERATURE 40 39 42 42 42 36 33 30 25 23 34 40 42 34 30 28 27
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 23 43 25
WIND DIR NE NE N N NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N E E E
WIND (MPH) 5 9 8 13 13 16 21 20 17 11 9 8 4 3 9 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 60 60 40 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.7 9.3 8.7 8.0 6.7 6.3 5.0 3.1 3.4 4.9 5.5 5.6 5.1 4.2 3.2 2.4
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC FW FW CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 90 90 75 85 75 45 30 20 10 5 5 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 42 41 40 42 43 39 36 35 32 29 32 41 44 36 32 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 28 44 28
WIND DIR E NE NW W NW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N E E E
WIND (MPH) 4 4 6 4 9 10 13 13 11 6 4 5 5 2 9 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 60 60 50 20 20 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 9.6 9.4 8.9 8.1 7.0 6.2 5.5 4.0 3.8 5.1 5.8 5.9 5.6 4.9 4.3 3.6
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC FW CL CL FW CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 90 85 90 85 85 90 65 50 40 20 5 5 10 5 5 10
TEMPERATURE 44 43 40 40 40 37 36 34 30 27 30 37 39 33 31 31 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 27 39 29
WIND DIR E N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NE E E SE
WIND (MPH) 4 4 5 10 11 12 18 17 11 6 5 6 4 3 13 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 40 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.5 9.1 8.6 7.7 6.6 6.1 4.8 3.4 3.5 4.8 5.5 5.5 5.1 4.5 3.5 2.8
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC FW CL CL FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 95 80 90 85 90 95 60 55 45 15 0 0 10 5 10 10
TEMPERATURE 44 43 41 41 40 37 37 34 29 27 31 37 40 34 31 31 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 27 40 29
WIND DIR SE NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N NW N E E SE SE
WIND (MPH) 3 4 4 10 11 11 18 17 10 6 6 6 3 3 13 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 40 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.5 9.0 8.5 7.6 6.4 6.1 4.4 3.2 3.4 4.6 5.3 5.3 4.9 4.3 3.2 2.5
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/22/26 FRIDAY 10/23/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC FW FW CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 90 90 75 80 80 40 30 10 10 0 5 0 0 5
TEMPERATURE 47 47 40 40 40 38 38 38 34 31 32 35 36 32 32 32 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 31 36 30
WIND DIR N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N NW SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 8 8 8 5 11 13 18 20 19 12 8 6 6 3 4 11 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 70 40 30 20 20 30 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.6 9.1 8.6 7.7 6.8 6.2 5.3 3.9 3.5 4.4 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.6 5.3 4.5
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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