242  
FWUS46 KMFR 280936  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
236 AM PDT THU MAY 28 2026  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 20 55 80 85 95 100 95 85 80 85 70 60 60 65 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 38 40 43 43 41 39 41 43 43 39 39 41 42 40 38 39 40  
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 38 43 37  
WIND DIR E N N N NW NW W SW W NW NW NW W W N N N  
WIND (MPH) 13 13 19 14 14 11 10 11 11 12 17 16 6 5 4 4 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 40 70 80 90 100 90 60 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 10  
PRECIP TYPE S R R S S S S S S R R R S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.22 0.32 0.23 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.8 8.7 9.0 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.5 8.3 8.4 8.7 8.8 9.0 8.7 8.2 8.0 7.3  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 20 55 80 90 95 95 95 85 80 80 70 60 60 65 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 34 39 47 47 44 39 40 39 37 38 41 44 45 41 37 35 34  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 35 46 33  
WIND DIR E NW NW NW SW SW S SE SW W NW NW W W N N N  
WIND (MPH) 11 10 13 11 11 8 8 8 8 10 13 12 5 4 3 3 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 40 70 80 90 100 90 60 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.24 0.33 0.22 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.7 8.7 9.0 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.5 8.3 8.4 8.6 8.7 9.0 8.7 8.2 8.0 7.3  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 20 55 75 85 95 100 95 80 80 80 70 60 60 65 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 38 39 41 42 41 40 41 42 43 38 38 41 42 40 39 40 40  
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 37 43 37  
WIND DIR E N N N NW W W SW W NW NW NW W W N N N  
WIND (MPH) 13 13 19 14 14 11 10 11 10 12 17 16 6 5 4 4 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 40 70 80 90 100 90 60 20 40 40 40 40 50 50 10  
PRECIP TYPE S R R S S S S S S R R R S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.21 0.31 0.23 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.8 8.7 9.0 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.5 8.3 8.4 8.7 8.8 9.0 8.7 8.2 8.0 7.3  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 20 55 80 85 95 100 95 85 80 80 75 60 60 65 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 26 29 32 33 32 33 32 31 30 29 31 33 33 33 29 28 27  
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 29 33 26  
WIND DIR E NE N NE NE N N NW NW NW NW NW NW W N N NE  
WIND (MPH) 26 25 31 26 25 24 20 21 21 27 29 28 10 8 6 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 54 59 50 50 57 49 55 54 65 55 56  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 40 70 80 90 100 90 60 20 30 30 40 40 40 40 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.21 0.33 0.23 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.9 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.9 2.6 0.2 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.9 8.7 9.1 9.2 9.2 8.9 8.6 8.3 8.5 8.7 8.8 9.0 8.7 8.2 7.9 7.3  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 35 60 80 85 95 100 95 90 80 80 65 45 50 55 65 75  
TEMPERATURE 38 40 44 46 44 43 43 44 43 39 39 43 45 44 41 40 40  
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 39 46 38  
WIND DIR NE N N NW W SW SW S SW W W W W W NW NW N  
WIND (MPH) 11 10 13 12 12 11 8 8 8 8 11 11 9 6 4 5 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 50 70 60 80 100 90 60 20 30 30 20 20 30 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.26 0.27 0.26 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.7 8.5 9.0 9.2 9.1 8.8 8.4 8.2 8.2 8.5 8.7 8.8 8.5 8.2 7.8 7.3  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 20 50 70 90 95 95 90 85 80 75 80 70 70 75 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 43 47 54 55 51 46 48 48 48 48 48 52 54 50 48 46 45  
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 46 55 44  
WIND DIR E NE NW SW SW S S S SW W W NW S W N N N  
WIND (MPH) 4 2 4 5 8 4 4 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 40 60 90 80 90 80 50 10 60 60 50 50 40 40 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.16 0.27 0.11 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.5 8.4 8.8 9.2 9.1 9.0 8.6 8.4 8.4 8.7 8.9 9.2 8.9 8.5 7.9 7.3  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 20 45 80 95 90 95 85 90 90 85 70 70 65 75 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 39 45 47 48 45 42 43 44 45 45 42 45 47 44 42 41 39  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 40 47 38  
WIND DIR E NW NW NW SW W S SE SW NW NW NW N N N N N  
WIND (MPH) 10 9 12 10 9 6 8 8 8 11 12 10 4 4 3 4 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 30 70 90 80 90 80 50 20 60 60 50 50 30 30 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.16 0.36 0.12 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.6 8.4 9.0 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.6 8.3 8.3 8.6 8.9 9.1 8.7 8.2 7.9 7.2  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 35 70 90 90 95 95 90 95 95 90 80 75 70 65 65 65  
TEMPERATURE 38 45 53 50 49 45 42 39 37 36 37 40 42 40 35 33 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 35 42 31  
WIND DIR E NE N NW W NE W NW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 10 11 10 11 11 16 10 10 9 8 9 11 13 6 3 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 60 90 80 90 80 70 60 20 30 30 10 10 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.37 0.61 0.18 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.2 8.9 9.8 10.3 10.1 9.6 9.2 8.3 8.3 8.2 8.1 8.0 7.9 7.2 6.6 6.3 5.8  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 45 70 90 85 95 95 90 95 95 85 75 70 60 55 65 60  
TEMPERATURE 38 44 52 49 49 45 41 38 36 36 37 40 42 39 34 31 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 34 42 29  
WIND DIR NE NE N NW W NE W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 10 11 10 12 11 16 10 11 10 9 9 13 13 8 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 60 80 80 90 80 80 60 20 30 30 5 5 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.34 0.56 0.16 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.1 8.7 9.6 10.3 10.0 9.6 9.2 8.5 8.6 8.5 8.2 8.1 7.9 7.2 6.7 6.3 5.8  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 25 65 85 85 95 95 95 90 85 90 75 70 55 50 70 70  
TEMPERATURE 40 43 53 52 51 48 46 43 40 38 39 45 48 46 39 37 35  
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 38 48 35  
WIND DIR NE NE N NW NW W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW N  
WIND (MPH) 8 5 5 9 11 10 9 9 9 8 8 9 8 8 4 3 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 50 80 80 90 90 70 60 30 20 20 5 5 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE T R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.23 0.45 0.27 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 8.2 9.0 10.0 9.7 9.5 9.0 8.4 8.2 8.2 8.3 8.3 7.9 7.4 7.0 6.5 6.3  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 25 65 90 90 95 95 95 95 90 90 80 75 70 65 70 70  
TEMPERATURE 43 46 51 48 47 45 45 43 41 37 36 39 41 39 38 37 35  
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 36 41 35  
WIND DIR E E N NW W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW N  
WIND (MPH) 11 10 12 10 12 11 13 10 10 9 8 9 12 13 8 4 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 60 90 90 90 80 70 70 20 40 40 30 30 10 10 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.40 0.59 0.23 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.8 9.6 10.2 10.1 9.7 9.2 8.3 8.5 8.3 8.1 7.9 7.7 7.2 6.7 6.3 5.9  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 25 65 95 90 95 90 95 95 95 85 80 75 75 70 70 70  
TEMPERATURE 43 47 53 49 48 46 45 43 40 38 36 39 41 39 38 37 35  
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 36 41 35  
WIND DIR E E N NW NW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW N  
WIND (MPH) 10 10 11 9 12 11 12 9 10 8 6 8 12 14 8 4 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 60 90 90 90 80 70 70 20 40 40 30 30 10 10 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.48 0.62 0.18 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 9.1 9.8 10.3 10.3 9.8 9.2 8.3 8.6 8.3 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.1 6.6 6.2 5.8  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 05/28/26 FRIDAY 05/29/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 30 45 80 100 95 95 95 90 90 80 70 50 70 70 75 80  
TEMPERATURE 43 46 49 48 45 45 45 45 44 40 37 41 43 42 40 40 39  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 37 44 38  
WIND DIR E SE NW NW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N  
WIND (MPH) 13 11 13 12 11 10 13 14 11 13 12 9 14 18 14 13 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 10 30 70 100 80 80 40 50 40 10 10 20 20 20 20 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.13 0.36 0.16 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.8 8.9 9.4 9.7 9.4 9.2 8.4 8.3 8.2 8.1 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.0 6.6 6.3  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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