015
FWUS46 KMFR 020937
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 AM PDT WED SEP 2 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 95 90 90 95 90 85 90 85 95 80 80 80 70 70 55
TEMPERATURE 39 36 35 38 40 39 42 43 41 38 37 40 41 39 38 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 37 41 35
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 16 19 20 25 29 27 27 25 25 23 19 19 18 11 11 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 44
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 60 70 80 80 90 80 70 70 60 90 70 70 70 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R R S S S S R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.20 0.38 0.78 0.36 0.16 0.18 0.11 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.8 7.9 8.5 9.1 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.6 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.5 8.1 7.3 7.1 6.8
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 90 90 95 90 85 90 85 95 80 75 75 70 65 55
TEMPERATURE 36 36 38 39 39 39 41 41 38 38 41 42 42 39 36 35 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 36 42 31
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S SW S S SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 14 16 19 23 21 20 19 18 17 14 14 13 9 8 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 60 70 80 90 80 70 70 60 90 70 60 60 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.32 0.62 0.28 0.14 0.18 0.09 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.8 7.9 8.5 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.1 8.6 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.4 8.0 7.3 7.0 6.8
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 95 90 90 95 90 85 90 90 95 80 80 80 70 70 55
TEMPERATURE 39 36 35 38 39 40 42 42 41 38 37 40 41 39 38 38 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 37 41 34
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 16 19 20 25 29 28 27 25 25 23 19 19 18 12 11 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 60 70 80 80 90 80 70 80 70 90 70 70 70 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R R S R S S R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.21 0.40 0.80 0.37 0.16 0.17 0.11 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.8 7.9 8.5 9.1 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.6 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.6 8.1 7.3 7.1 6.8
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 90 90 90 95 90 85 90 85 95 80 80 80 65 70 55
TEMPERATURE 28 27 26 29 30 30 33 34 30 29 28 31 31 29 28 26 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 28 31 24
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 26 29 33 39 49 46 42 44 40 39 33 34 31 19 19 19 19
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 54 58 63 92 89 79 93 81 78 67 69 61 40 40 44 49
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 60 60 80 80 90 80 70 70 60 90 70 70 70 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.33 0.75 0.35 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 1.1 1.5 2.9 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 2.6 4.4 1.5 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.8 8.1 8.7 9.2 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.7 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.5 8.1 7.3 7.0 6.8
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 85 90 85 95 90 85 85 85 95 80 80 80 75 70 60
TEMPERATURE 40 37 35 38 39 41 43 44 42 39 37 40 41 40 40 39 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 37 43 36
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S SW S S SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 17 19 20 21 20 23 21 19 18 16 14 14 13 8 6 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 60 60 70 80 90 80 70 80 50 90 70 70 70 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.22 0.55 0.26 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.7 7.9 8.5 9.1 9.3 9.0 9.1 8.6 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.3 7.7 7.2 6.9
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 95 95 95 90 85 90 90 95 85 70 70 60 55 50
TEMPERATURE 46 46 43 45 46 45 48 48 47 47 46 47 48 45 44 43 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 45 49 41
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S W NW N
WIND (MPH) 9 10 11 11 9 8 9 8 8 5 6 9 6 2 1 1 0
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 60 60 80 90 90 80 70 70 70 90 80 50 50 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.28 0.47 0.26 0.05 0.09 0.04 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.7 7.7 8.8 9.4 9.5 9.7 9.2 8.9 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.3 7.8 7.2 7.0 6.8
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 90 90 90 95 95 80 85 80 95 85 65 65 55 60 45
TEMPERATURE 43 45 39 41 41 41 44 46 45 47 42 44 46 41 40 39 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 41 48 36
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 16 17 20 23 20 18 17 16 14 13 14 13 8 6 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 40 60 80 90 80 80 60 60 60 90 80 50 50 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.19 0.37 0.20 0.06 0.08 0.06 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.7 8.1 9.2 9.5 9.6 9.6 9.1 8.8 8.4 8.3 8.4 8.3 7.9 7.2 6.9 6.6
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 95 95 100 90 95 95 75 55 65 65 65 55 55 60
TEMPERATURE 36 37 38 40 41 41 40 37 35 35 37 39 40 37 35 33 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 33 41 31
WIND DIR S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W SW W SW SW S SW
WIND (MPH) 17 18 20 27 25 23 20 21 19 17 18 17 13 13 12 13 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 40 80 90 90 80 80 70 30 40 30 30 50 50 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.73 0.67 0.17 0.07 0.03 0.02 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.5 7.9 8.7 8.6 8.4 8.1 7.6 7.1 7.0 7.1 7.4 7.3 6.9 6.8 6.5 6.4
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 85 95 95 100 85 95 90 70 60 60 60 60 55 55 55
TEMPERATURE 36 36 37 40 40 41 40 37 35 35 36 39 39 37 35 32 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 33 40 30
WIND DIR S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W SW W W W S SW
WIND (MPH) 17 18 19 26 25 23 20 21 19 17 18 17 13 12 12 12 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 30 80 90 100 80 80 70 30 40 40 20 40 40 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S S T S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.74 0.64 0.18 0.07 0.02 0.02 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.6 7.9 8.7 8.7 8.5 8.1 7.6 7.2 7.1 7.2 7.5 7.4 6.9 6.8 6.5 6.3
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 80 90 95 100 100 95 90 90 85 80 80 55 55 40 55 45
TEMPERATURE 41 39 40 42 43 45 46 45 42 39 40 43 45 43 40 37 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 39 45 33
WIND DIR S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W SW SW
WIND (MPH) 10 13 16 17 13 10 11 10 10 8 12 12 11 3 2 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 30 70 90 100 80 80 70 50 60 70 70 40 40 5 5 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.45 0.61 0.20 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.5 8.5 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.8 8.4 7.7 7.4 7.6 8.0 7.7 7.3 6.9 6.6 6.5
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 90 95 95 100 95 90 90 75 55 70 65 65 55 60 55
TEMPERATURE 41 40 37 40 40 41 42 42 40 38 36 39 40 37 38 37 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 36 41 36
WIND DIR S S S S S SW SW SW SW W W SW W SW S S SW
WIND (MPH) 16 17 21 27 24 23 20 20 18 18 18 17 14 13 12 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 47 40 39
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 30 80 90 90 70 80 60 30 50 10 40 60 60 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R R R S S S R R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.72 0.66 0.18 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.5 8.4 9.0 8.7 8.6 8.1 7.8 7.2 7.0 7.1 7.5 7.4 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.5
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 90 90 95 95 100 90 90 90 70 40 65 70 70 60 60 60
TEMPERATURE 41 41 37 40 40 41 41 41 39 37 36 38 39 38 38 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 36 40 36
WIND DIR S S S S S SW SW SW SW W W SW W SW S SE SW
WIND (MPH) 17 18 21 27 21 23 20 20 18 20 18 16 16 14 13 14 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 30 80 90 90 70 80 60 30 50 10 40 60 60 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S S R R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.81 0.64 0.16 0.07 0.04 0.05 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.5 8.3 8.8 8.4 8.4 7.9 7.6 7.1 6.8 6.9 7.3 7.3 7.0 6.8 6.6 6.4
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/02/26 THURSDAY 09/03/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 90 90 100 90 85 80 80 70 70 50 35 35 25 45 40
TEMPERATURE 44 44 39 42 41 41 45 47 45 45 40 42 44 36 38 40 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 40 46 36
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S W SW SW W W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 14 17 21 27 27 21 21 20 17 13 16 16 11 12 11 12 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 40 60 80 100 60 70 60 40 60 60 20 20 20 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R S R T R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.31 0.32 0.08 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.6 9.4 9.7 9.4 9.0 8.8 8.2 7.8 7.4 7.5 7.7 7.5 7.2 6.8 6.7 6.7
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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