295
FWUS46 KMFR 172137
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT THU SEP 17 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC FW FW CL CL CL FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 50 50 30 10 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 5
TEMPERATURE 47 42 44 44 42 43 51 56 57 50 47 46 45 46 56 61 60
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 57 44 62
WIND DIR W NW N N N N NW NW NW N N N N NE NE W NW
WIND (MPH) 6 8 11 14 17 14 14 11 9 9 6 8 8 5 3 3 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.9 10.2 10.0 9.8 9.5 9.5 10.0 10.1 9.7 9.4 9.1 8.9 8.8 9.3 10.2 11.0
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 50 45 20 10 5 0 0 5 5 5 0 0 5 5 10 5
TEMPERATURE 47 42 41 40 40 41 54 59 57 47 44 43 42 44 60 64 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 60 41 65
WIND DIR SW NW NW N N N NW NW NW N N N NE E SE S W
WIND (MPH) 5 5 8 11 12 11 11 8 6 6 6 6 5 4 3 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.4 9.3 9.6 9.8 9.6 9.3 9.2 8.9 8.8 9.2 10.2 10.9
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC FW FW CL CL CL FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 55 45 30 10 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10
TEMPERATURE 46 42 44 44 42 43 49 55 57 50 47 46 45 46 54 60 60
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 57 44 62
WIND DIR W W N N N N N NW NW N N N N NE NE W NW
WIND (MPH) 5 8 10 14 17 14 14 10 9 9 6 8 8 5 3 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.9 10.2 10.0 9.8 9.5 9.5 10.1 10.2 9.8 9.4 9.2 8.9 8.9 9.3 10.2 10.9
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK SC FW FW CL CL CL FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 60 60 45 10 10 0 0 5 5 5 0 5 5 5 10 5
TEMPERATURE 36 34 34 34 34 35 42 45 43 38 36 36 36 38 46 49 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 45 35 50
WIND DIR NW NW N N N N N N NW N N NW NW N N N NE
WIND (MPH) 12 12 20 26 28 23 23 20 18 17 14 13 12 11 8 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH) 31 41 54 54 40 41 44 40 37 37 36 33
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.9 10.2 10.1 9.8 9.4 9.4 9.8 10.0 9.7 9.3 9.0 8.8 8.8 9.4 10.2 11.0
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK SC FW FW CL CL CL FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 65 50 45 20 15 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10
TEMPERATURE 47 45 44 43 42 43 51 57 57 50 46 45 45 46 56 62 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 58 45 63
WIND DIR SW NW NW NW NW N N N NW N N N N N E NE N
WIND (MPH) 5 8 6 8 6 5 6 6 6 8 8 9 8 8 3 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.8 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.4 9.2 9.9 10.2 9.7 9.3 9.1 8.9 8.8 9.0 10.0 10.8
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 40 20 15 5 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10
TEMPERATURE 56 50 49 48 48 51 62 67 67 56 54 52 51 54 66 71 71
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 69 51 73
WIND DIR E W NW N NW N N N N NW NW NW NW N E E N
WIND (MPH) 5 4 3 4 3 3 5 8 4 6 5 4 3 3 2 2 0
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.8 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.4 9.2 9.6 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.9 9.1 10.0 10.7
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 60 30 20 10 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 15 10
TEMPERATURE 51 45 46 46 44 49 55 61 60 50 49 48 46 50 60 66 65
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 62 45 67
WIND DIR SE NW NW N NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW N NE N N
WIND (MPH) 6 5 6 6 6 6 8 8 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 3 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 9.9 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.4 9.1 9.3 9.7 9.5 9.2 9.1 8.8 8.8 9.2 10.1 10.8
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW CL CL FW CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 70 40 25 15 10 15 5 10 10 5 5 5 5 15 20
TEMPERATURE 48 46 44 41 40 41 53 57 57 47 43 42 41 42 58 64 63
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 58 40 64
WIND DIR N NW N N NW NW NW W NW N E SE SE SE S SW W
WIND (MPH) 9 5 4 4 4 3 5 9 6 1 3 3 4 5 2 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.2 10.2 10.1 9.7 9.2 8.8 8.8 9.3 9.4 8.9 8.7 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.7 9.6 10.5
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW CL CL FW CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 75 30 30 10 10 10 5 10 10 5 5 5 5 15 20
TEMPERATURE 47 46 43 40 39 40 52 57 56 46 43 41 40 41 56 62 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 57 39 63
WIND DIR N NW N N NW N NW NW NW NW NE NE NE E S S W
WIND (MPH) 11 6 6 6 5 4 4 9 6 2 2 2 3 4 2 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.2 10.1 9.8 9.3 8.8 8.9 9.3 9.3 8.9 8.7 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.7 9.6 10.5
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC SC FW FW CL CL FW CL CL CL FW CL FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 60 45 30 10 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 5 5 10 10
TEMPERATURE 52 50 47 44 42 42 55 61 61 53 47 44 43 43 59 67 66
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 62 42 68
WIND DIR N NE NW W W W W NW NW NW NE NE E E SE SW NW
WIND (MPH) 4 3 3 3 3 1 4 6 3 2 3 3 4 5 2 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 50 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 10.0 10.1 9.9 9.5 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.6 8.9 9.5 10.3
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 55 40 25 10 10 0 5 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 20
TEMPERATURE 47 46 45 44 42 43 52 56 55 47 44 44 43 44 57 62 61
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 56 43 63
WIND DIR N NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NE E SE SE SE S W NW
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 4 4 2 4 6 4 2 6 6 8 8 1 2 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.2 10.0 9.7 9.2 8.9 8.8 8.9 9.1 8.8 8.6 8.5 8.4 8.5 8.7 9.5 10.3
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 55 40 20 15 10 5 5 10 10 5 5 5 10 15 20
TEMPERATURE 48 47 46 44 42 43 52 56 55 47 44 44 43 44 58 62 61
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 56 43 63
WIND DIR N NW N NW W NW NW NW NW E SE SE SE SE N W NW
WIND (MPH) 5 5 4 3 4 2 4 6 4 2 6 6 8 8 0 2 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.2 10.3 10.0 9.6 9.1 8.9 8.8 8.9 9.0 8.8 8.5 8.4 8.3 8.4 8.7 9.5 10.3
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 09/18/26 SATURDAY 09/19/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC CL FW FW FW CL FW CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 30 5 5 5 10 0 5 5 0 5 5 5 5 15 15
TEMPERATURE 50 47 48 47 46 47 54 58 56 49 48 48 48 47 56 63 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 58 47 64
WIND DIR N N NW NW NW N N NW NW NW NW S S S S NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 6 5 4 4 2 3 6 5 3 4 4 6 8 2 1 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 10.1 10.0 9.9 9.5 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 9.0 9.4 9.6
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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