389  
FWUS46 KMFR 301101  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
301 AM PST MON DEC 30 2024  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW BK BK SC SC FW CL SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 25 55 55 40 25 15 5 30 40 40 55 65 80 70 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 17 15 21 23 22 18 18 17 17 17 24 29 29 26 26 24 26  
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 15 31 23  
WIND DIR NW N N N NW N N N N N N SW W NW SW W SW  
WIND (MPH) 19 16 10 5 4 4 5 6 10 13 11 11 13 13 17 17 18  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.2 2.1 3.0 3.4 3.0 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.9 3.7 4.0 3.9 3.8 4.0 3.8  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK BK SC FW FW CL SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 25 55 60 40 20 10 5 30 40 35 60 70 80 75 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 17 16 23 24 22 17 16 15 15 16 26 30 28 25 23 22 24  
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 14 31 21  
WIND DIR N N N NE N N NE NE NE E E SE SW N S W SW  
WIND (MPH) 14 12 6 3 4 4 4 4 8 10 9 9 10 11 12 13 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.2 2.1 2.9 3.4 3.0 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.7 3.6 4.0 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.9  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW BK BK SC SC FW CL SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 25 50 50 45 25 10 5 30 40 40 60 60 80 70 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 17 15 20 23 22 18 18 17 16 17 23 29 28 26 26 24 26  
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 15 30 23  
WIND DIR NW N N N NW N N N N N N S SW NW SW W SW  
WIND (MPH) 19 16 10 5 4 4 5 6 10 13 11 11 13 13 17 17 18  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.2 2.1 2.9 3.4 3.0 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.9 3.7 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.8  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK BK SC SC FW CL SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 30 50 55 45 25 10 5 30 45 40 60 70 80 75 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 11 11 16 17 14 10 9 9 10 12 19 22 21 18 18 17 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 17 7 23 16  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W NW N NW NW NW NW W W W NW W W  
WIND (MPH) 41 34 23 17 13 9 11 13 19 28 26 25 28 29 36 36 36  
WIND GUST (MPH) 101 84 64 55 42 27 31 34 46 72 70 64 69 72 89 88 82  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.1 2.1 3.0 3.5 2.9 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.4 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.1 3.9  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK BK BK SC FW FW SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 35 55 55 65 35 15 5 35 50 40 60 70 80 75 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 16 15 19 22 21 17 15 15 14 14 22 27 27 24 23 22 24  
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 14 29 22  
WIND DIR NW N N NE N NE NE N NE E E SE SW NW S W SW  
WIND (MPH) 14 12 8 5 8 8 8 6 8 10 9 9 11 9 13 13 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.2 2.2 2.7 3.1 2.8 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.6 3.7 4.0 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.6  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC SC FW CL FW SC SC SC BK OV OV BK OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 25 45 45 45 15 0 5 35 40 35 60 70 75 65 70 75  
TEMPERATURE 26 26 30 32 30 27 25 24 22 23 30 35 35 32 31 30 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 22 36 30  
WIND DIR NW N N N N NW NW NW NW NW N N NW NW SW W SW  
WIND (MPH) 9 6 8 6 8 9 8 6 5 4 2 3 2 3 4 4 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.4 2.3 2.7 3.1 2.8 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.5 3.6 3.9 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC BK SC FW FW FW SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 35 50 55 40 15 10 10 35 40 45 60 75 80 75 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 20 20 24 26 24 21 19 18 19 20 27 31 30 29 27 27 28  
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 17 32 26  
WIND DIR NW N N N N N N NE NE E E SE W N SW W SW  
WIND (MPH) 14 13 8 6 8 9 8 6 8 10 9 9 10 12 13 13 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.4 2.3 2.8 3.1 2.7 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.8 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.8 4.0 4.1  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV SC CL FW SC BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 95 95 85 25 5 5 35 60 50 70 80 80 85 85 90  
TEMPERATURE 20 19 20 22 22 17 14 12 12 12 19 24 24 22 22 22 25  
MAX/MIN TEMP 22 11 25 21  
WIND DIR W W W W N NE E SE E SE SE SE S SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 14 13 8 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 9 10 13 13 16 19  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 50 50 70 70 80  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.14  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.7  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.4  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.6 2.1 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.6  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV SC FW FW SC BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 95 85 35 10 5 35 60 50 70 80 80 80 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 19 18 19 22 21 16 13 11 11 11 18 24 23 21 21 21 23  
MAX/MIN TEMP 22 10 24 21  
WIND DIR W W W W N E NE N E E SE SE S SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 16 13 8 3 3 4 3 4 5 5 5 9 10 13 13 16 19  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 70 70 80  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.11  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.9  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.9 2.7 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.6 2.1 3.0 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.6  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV SC FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 90 85 30 10 15 35 50 55 65 80 80 85 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 23 23 24 26 26 22 19 18 18 18 23 29 29 26 26 25 26  
MAX/MIN TEMP 27 17 30 25  
WIND DIR W NW W NW N NE NE E E E E S S S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 6 3 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 5 4 3 3 5 6 9 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 40 60 60 80  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.13  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.5  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.6 2.4 2.6 3.0 2.8 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.5 2.3 3.2 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.8  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV SC FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 90 95 85 35 10 5 35 55 55 70 80 80 85 90 90  
TEMPERATURE 21 20 21 23 22 18 16 14 14 15 22 26 25 24 24 24 25  
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 13 27 24  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW NE E E SE SE SE SE SW S SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 16 13 8 3 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 9 10 13 13 17 20  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 50 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 50 50 80 80 90  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.14  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.5  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.1  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.6 2.4 2.6 2.9 2.7 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.5 2.2 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.7  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV SC FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 90 95 90 40 15 10 35 55 50 70 80 85 85 90 90  
TEMPERATURE 20 20 21 23 22 18 15 14 13 14 21 26 25 24 23 24 25  
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 13 26 23  
WIND DIR W W W W NW NE E SE SE SE SE SE SW SW SW S SW  
WIND (MPH) 14 13 8 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 9 10 13 13 16 20  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 50 20 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 50 50 80 80 90  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.14  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.5  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.1  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.6 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.5 2.2 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.6  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 12/30/24 TUESDAY 12/31/24  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV FW CL FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 85 85 85 25 5 15 45 50 55 70 80 85 85 80 85  
TEMPERATURE 21 20 24 25 23 19 17 17 18 20 26 29 27 27 27 27 29  
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 17 30 26  
WIND DIR W NW N N N N NE E E SE SE SE SW S SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 16 12 8 3 3 4 4 4 9 9 8 9 10 12 12 16 17  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 60  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.09  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.7 2.6 2.8 3.2 2.9 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.7 2.3 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.9 4.0  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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