715  
FWUS46 KMFR 030936  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
236 AM PDT SUN MAY 3 2026  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 65 80 75 60 60 40 60 65 70 70 55 60 55 40 40  
TEMPERATURE 42 45 51 51 48 42 41 40 40 41 44 44 43 41 41 40 40  
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 38 45 38  
WIND DIR E SE SE E S S SE N N SE SE NW W NW NW N N  
WIND (MPH) 18 19 21 9 9 11 5 9 12 13 13 19 18 17 20 17 16  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 40 50 70 40 10 20 20 20 50 50 30 30 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.30 0.18 0.01 0.01 0.15 0.22 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.8 9.4 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.0 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.1 8.6  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 65 80 75 60 65 40 65 65 65 65 55 60 55 45 40  
TEMPERATURE 42 46 55 55 49 40 40 38 38 39 45 46 43 39 39 38 37  
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 36 47 36  
WIND DIR E SE SE E S W S W W SW SW SW SW W W NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 17 19 16 5 8 9 4 6 10 10 10 14 13 12 16 12 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 40 50 70 40 10 10 20 20 50 50 30 30 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.36 0.15 0.02 0.00 0.12 0.30 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.3 9.4 9.8 9.4 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.1 8.6  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK OV OV BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 65 75 75 60 60 40 60 65 70 70 55 60 55 45 40  
TEMPERATURE 42 45 50 50 47 42 41 40 40 40 42 43 42 41 41 40 39  
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 38 44 38  
WIND DIR E SE SE E S S SE N NW SE SE NW W NW NW N N  
WIND (MPH) 16 17 21 8 10 11 5 9 12 13 13 19 18 17 20 17 16  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 40 60 70 40 20 20 20 20 50 50 40 40 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.28 0.15 0.01 0.01 0.14 0.20 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.8 9.4 9.1 9.0 9.2 9.1 9.0 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.1 8.6  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 65 80 75 60 60 40 60 60 65 65 55 65 55 45 40  
TEMPERATURE 32 35 39 40 37 33 31 31 30 32 34 34 34 32 32 31 29  
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 29 34 29  
WIND DIR SE SE E E S E NE E NE NE NE NE N N NE NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 26 24 35 14 12 23 19 18 23 23 24 32 32 31 33 26 24  
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 43 66 49 56 40 47 44 50 61 62 71 64 48 43  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 40 50 70 40 20 20 20 20 50 50 30 30 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.29 0.22 0.01 0.05 0.16 0.40 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.4  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.9 9.5 9.2 9.1 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.3 9.4 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.1 8.6  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV BK BK SC BK BK OV OV BK BK BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 80 70 80 75 65 65 40 60 60 70 70 60 60 60 40 35  
TEMPERATURE 43 46 53 54 51 44 42 41 40 41 46 48 47 43 42 42 40  
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 39 49 40  
WIND DIR E SE SE SE SW W S W W SW W W W W W NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 16 13 14 6 11 10 6 8 10 11 12 14 14 17 18 13 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 40 50 70 40 20 10 30 30 60 60 40 40 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.09 0.15 0.01 0.00 0.16 0.20 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.9 9.6 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.3 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.5 9.1 8.6  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 80 65 70 75 75 75 50 80 75 70 70 55 65 60 55 50  
TEMPERATURE 49 55 61 63 57 49 48 46 46 47 50 51 50 46 46 46 45  
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 44 53 43  
WIND DIR SE E SE S S SW SW SW SW S S NE N W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 5 11 3 2 3 4 3 4 5 6 5 3 2 2  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 40 50 70 30 20 20 30 30 50 50 40 40 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.13 0.07 0.01 0.00 0.09 0.18 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.3 9.4 9.7 9.2 8.9 8.7 8.9 8.9 8.8 9.0 9.3 9.5 9.3 9.4 9.0 8.6  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV BK BK SC OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 80 70 75 75 70 65 50 75 70 65 65 55 60 50 45 40  
TEMPERATURE 44 50 55 57 53 45 44 41 41 45 45 48 47 44 44 43 41  
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 39 48 39  
WIND DIR E SE SE E S SW S SW NW SW W W W W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 11 11 14 8 8 9 4 6 8 8 8 13 13 11 13 10 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 40 50 70 40 20 20 30 30 50 50 30 30 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.14 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.08 0.22 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.3 9.4 9.7 9.3 9.1 8.8 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.4 9.5 9.3 9.3 9.0 8.6  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC BK OV BK SC SC FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 30 35 45 65 75 60 35 40 20 45 45 30 35 35 30 30  
TEMPERATURE 42 46 57 61 59 51 47 44 42 47 56 57 55 47 43 41 40  
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 42 58 39  
WIND DIR E E E E NE NW NW N N NW N NW NW W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 12 11 8 9 11 13 11 9 10 12 13 17 19 13 11 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 30 50 60 40 10 10 5 5 20 20 20 20 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 8.9 9.2 9.9 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.1 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.1 8.6 8.5  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC BK OV BK SC SC FW SC SC SC SC SC FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 45 45 40 65 85 65 35 45 20 45 45 30 30 30 25 25  
TEMPERATURE 40 45 57 61 59 51 46 43 42 46 56 57 55 47 43 40 39  
MAX/MIN TEMP 61 41 58 38  
WIND DIR NE NE E E E NW NW N NW NW N NW NW W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 10 11 9 12 12 12 12 9 10 12 13 17 19 14 12 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 30 50 60 40 10 10 5 5 20 20 20 20 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R T R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.0 9.3 9.9 9.8 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.1 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.1 8.7 8.5  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK OV BK SC BK SC BK BK BK BK SC SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 65 50 55 70 85 60 40 50 45 55 55 50 50 45 45 55  
TEMPERATURE 45 48 60 65 61 53 48 46 44 45 54 55 55 51 46 44 42  
MAX/MIN TEMP 67 43 57 41  
WIND DIR E NE E NE N W W NW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 11 11 8 5 4 5 5 5 4 5 8 10 13 11 8 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 50 70 50 10 20 10 10 40 40 30 30 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.05 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 9.0 9.4 10.0 9.9 10.0 9.7 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.2 9.3 9.6 9.6 9.3 8.8 8.4  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 35 30 55 65 70 45 40 35 30 45 45 35 40 35 45 50  
TEMPERATURE 45 49 58 61 58 51 48 46 44 47 53 54 52 48 44 43 42  
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 44 55 41  
WIND DIR E E E E N N NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 11 10 11 6 10 10 12 11 9 9 11 12 16 19 13 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH) 36  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 40 60 40 10 5 5 5 20 20 20 20 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R T R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 8.9 9.2 9.9 10.0 10.0 9.8 9.7 9.5 9.1 9.1 9.4 9.6 9.5 9.1 8.6 8.4  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW BK BK BK SC SC SC FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 15 20 55 65 65 40 40 30 20 40 40 25 35 30 45 45  
TEMPERATURE 45 49 59 61 59 52 48 46 45 47 55 56 54 48 44 43 42  
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 44 57 41  
WIND DIR E E E E NE N NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 9 11 5 12 11 13 11 8 8 11 13 14 18 12 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 40 60 40 10 5 5 5 20 20 20 20 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 8.8 9.2 9.9 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.7 9.5 8.9 9.0 9.4 9.6 9.4 9.0 8.6 8.4  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 05/03/26 MONDAY 05/04/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV SC BK OV OV BK SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 50 55 75 80 55 35 65 65 50 50 35 40 45 40 50  
TEMPERATURE 47 50 56 58 53 47 46 45 45 45 46 48 48 46 45 44 42  
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 45 48 42  
WIND DIR E E SE NE N S W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 16 16 11 8 6 12 10 10 9 11 11 13 18 23 17 13 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 50 80 50 10 10 10 10 30 30 20 20 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.16 0.24 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 9.0 9.3 10.0 9.8 9.7 9.8 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.4 9.3 9.2 8.7 8.4  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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