908
FWUS46 KMFR 162136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT WED SEP 16 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK FW FW SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 25 15 10 10 10 35 60 50 55 15 15 40 5 5 0 0
TEMPERATURE 52 45 42 42 41 41 46 48 48 42 43 43 42 43 52 56 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 50 42 58
WIND DIR S E E SE S W W W W NW NW NW N N NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 4 6 4 2 3 4 5 8 9 10 9 10 8 8 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 10 5 0 0 10 40 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.3 9.1 9.0 9.3 9.7 9.9 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.7 9.7 10.1 10.4
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW FW SC BK SC BK FW FW SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 30 15 10 5 10 30 60 50 60 15 15 40 5 5 0 0
TEMPERATURE 54 46 39 39 38 39 48 51 49 43 40 40 40 41 55 59 58
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 53 38 61
WIND DIR SW NE E S W S S SW W NW W NW N N W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 3 4 3 2 2 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 5 5 0 0 10 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.1 9.0 9.3 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.6 10.0 10.2
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK FW FW SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 30 15 10 10 15 35 55 50 55 15 15 40 5 5 0 0
TEMPERATURE 52 45 42 42 41 41 44 47 47 42 42 43 42 43 50 55 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 50 42 58
WIND DIR SE S E SE S W W W W NW NW NW N N W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 4 6 4 2 3 4 4 8 8 10 9 10 8 8 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 5 5 0 0 10 40 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.1 9.0 9.3 9.6 9.9 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.7 9.8 10.2 10.4
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK FW FW SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 30 20 15 10 10 40 60 55 55 15 15 45 5 5 5 0
TEMPERATURE 40 35 33 33 33 34 37 37 37 34 34 34 34 36 43 45 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 39 33 45
WIND DIR E SE E E E N N NW NW NW N N N N NW W W
WIND (MPH) 11 11 13 10 6 4 9 9 12 17 18 19 18 16 16 13 11
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 34 29 37 46 43 42 39 33
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 5 10 0 0 20 40 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.3 9.1 9.0 9.5 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.0 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.7 10.1 10.2
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC FW FW FW SC BK OV BK SC FW SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 35 30 15 10 20 35 65 70 55 35 10 30 5 5 0 0
TEMPERATURE 52 47 42 42 41 41 46 49 49 45 42 42 41 43 51 58 58
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 51 41 59
WIND DIR S NW NW SE W SW SW SW N W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 3 6 3 3 3 3 4 5 9 9 9 9 8 5 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 5 5 5 0 0 20 40 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.9 9.7 9.4 9.2 9.1 9.3 9.6 9.8 9.9 9.9 10.0 9.8 9.8 9.6 10.0 10.4
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW CL FW FW BK SC SC FW FW SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 25 10 10 5 5 10 55 45 50 10 10 30 5 5 5 0
TEMPERATURE 62 53 48 46 46 47 55 57 57 50 48 47 47 51 62 68 68
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 60 47 70
WIND DIR S W SW SW N S S S N NW NW W NW N N NW N
WIND (MPH) 8 2 1 1 0 2 4 3 3 4 4 4 2 3 1 2 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 5 5 0 0 10 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T T R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.6 9.5 9.3 9.0 8.9 9.2 9.6 9.9 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.8 9.6 9.6 9.9 10.1
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW FW FW FW BK BK BK FW FW SC FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 15 10 10 5 5 25 55 55 55 15 20 50 5 5 5 0
TEMPERATURE 56 47 43 44 42 46 50 53 52 44 45 45 44 49 56 61 61
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 54 44 62
WIND DIR SW NE N S SW S S SW W NE NW NW N N W NW N
WIND (MPH) 6 2 3 3 2 2 3 4 5 9 9 8 6 5 5 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 0 5 0 5 10 40 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.6 9.5 9.3 9.1 9.0 9.4 9.7 10.0 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.7 9.8
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC OV OV OV BK OV OV BK SC OV FW FW CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 55 40 40 90 85 75 70 85 75 70 50 75 15 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 54 48 44 41 41 42 50 51 50 46 44 41 40 41 53 58 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 52 39 58
WIND DIR E NE NE E NE S SW W W W W SW SW SW W W W
WIND (MPH) 13 13 14 12 10 4 9 6 10 9 11 9 9 8 6 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 0 10 5 20 40 50 40 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.7 9.8 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.7 10.0 10.2 10.1 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.4
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK FW FW CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 55 40 45 90 90 75 70 80 80 60 45 65 15 10 5 10
TEMPERATURE 53 47 43 40 39 40 48 51 48 45 43 40 39 40 52 57 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 51 38 57
WIND DIR E NE NE NE NE SW SW NW W W W SW W SW W W W
WIND (MPH) 11 12 13 12 9 4 8 6 10 10 10 9 9 9 6 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 0 10 5 20 50 50 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.8 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.7 10.1 10.2 10.1 10.0 9.7 9.5 9.1 9.2 9.6 9.5
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC BK BK BK BK OV BK SC SC BK FW FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 40 30 40 55 55 60 60 70 70 40 30 55 15 10 5 5
TEMPERATURE 59 52 47 44 43 42 51 55 54 50 47 44 42 42 55 61 60
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 57 42 62
WIND DIR NE NE NE NE NE N N N N W SW W W NW W W NW
WIND (MPH) 8 6 8 6 5 3 3 5 3 3 4 5 2 2 2 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 10 0 10 20 30 30 40 50 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.7 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.5 9.6 9.7 10.0 10.1 10.0 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.6 9.4
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC OV OV BK BK OV BK BK SC BK FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 55 35 45 70 70 65 60 75 65 50 45 65 15 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 53 48 44 44 43 44 49 51 49 46 45 44 42 43 52 56 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 52 42 56
WIND DIR E E E E E E SW NW NW W SW SW SW SW W W W
WIND (MPH) 12 12 14 12 10 4 9 6 10 10 11 9 9 8 6 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 0 20 10 20 40 40 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.7 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.1 9.9 9.5 9.4 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.2
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC OV OV BK BK OV BK BK BK OV FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 65 40 45 75 80 60 65 80 65 60 50 70 15 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 53 48 44 44 43 44 50 51 50 47 45 44 42 43 52 56 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 52 42 56
WIND DIR E E E E E SE W NW NW W SW S S SW W W W
WIND (MPH) 14 13 14 12 10 4 10 8 10 9 11 9 9 8 6 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 5 20 10 20 40 50 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.7 9.9 9.8 9.8 9.7 9.7 10.0 10.1 10.1 9.9 9.5 9.3 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 09/17/26 FRIDAY 09/18/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC FW SC SC SC BK BK SC FW FW FW FW FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 45 35 15 45 50 35 55 65 45 10 5 20 5 5 5 0
TEMPERATURE 54 48 46 47 46 46 50 53 51 47 47 47 46 46 53 58 57
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 53 46 58
WIND DIR N NE N E SE SE S NW N NW NW NW SW SW W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 6 8 6 9 8 8 5 8 8 9 9 8 8 8 4 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 0 5 20 30 20 30 50 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.3 9.5 9.6 10.1 10.1 9.8 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.5 9.4
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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