922  
FWUS46 KMFR 152136  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
236 PM PDT WED APR 15 2026  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV FW SC FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 25 30 20 10 10 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 10 5 15 35  
TEMPERATURE 30 24 20 16 15 17 25 29 32 25 23 22 23 28 37 42 43  
MIN/MAX TEMP 13 32 22 44  
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N N NW SW  
WIND (MPH) 28 24 20 24 27 28 23 12 13 16 13 11 12 12 9 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH) 46 46  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.1 3.5 2.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 2.1 3.3 3.8 3.2 2.8 2.8 2.6 3.0 4.3 5.3 6.0  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV SC SC FW FW FW CL CL CL CL FW FW CL FW FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 25 35 25 10 10 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 15 35  
TEMPERATURE 31 22 19 15 15 18 28 32 32 24 20 19 20 25 40 45 45  
MIN/MAX TEMP 13 35 18 47  
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N NE NE N NW W  
WIND (MPH) 23 18 16 18 20 21 17 11 12 12 10 8 9 10 6 3 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 3.7 2.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 2.1 3.3 3.9 3.3 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.9 4.3 5.3 6.0  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV FW SC FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 25 25 20 5 10 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 10 5 15 35  
TEMPERATURE 30 24 20 16 14 17 23 29 32 26 24 23 23 27 36 41 43  
MIN/MAX TEMP 12 32 22 44  
WIND DIR W W NW NW N N N N N N N N N N N N SW  
WIND (MPH) 28 24 20 24 26 28 23 12 12 16 13 11 12 12 10 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH) 46 46  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.1 3.5 2.3 1.2 0.9 1.0 2.2 3.3 3.9 3.3 2.8 2.8 2.6 3.0 4.3 5.3 6.0  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV SC SC SC FW FW CL CL FW CL CL CL CL FW FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 30 45 35 20 15 0 5 10 5 5 5 5 10 5 15 35  
TEMPERATURE 21 14 11 7 6 7 13 17 19 16 15 14 14 19 27 31 33  
MIN/MAX TEMP 5 19 13 34  
WIND DIR W W W NW N N N NE NE N N N N N N N SW  
WIND (MPH) 55 49 47 47 55 55 44 32 28 29 27 24 25 24 16 10 8  
WIND GUST (MPH) 115 115 115 109 115 115 108 85 72 65 67 62 61 52 34  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 3.5 2.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.9 3.2 3.8 3.1 2.8 2.8 2.6 3.0 4.4 5.3 6.0  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV SC BK SC FW FW CL CL FW CL CL FW FW FW FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 50 55 45 20 10 0 0 10 5 5 5 5 10 5 15 35  
TEMPERATURE 32 26 20 16 16 18 24 29 31 28 23 22 21 27 37 43 44  
MIN/MAX TEMP 15 32 21 44  
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW NW N N N N NW N NE NE NE N W  
WIND (MPH) 23 19 16 17 18 19 19 16 16 12 11 9 10 10 10 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 3.9 2.7 1.5 1.3 1.4 2.0 3.1 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.1 2.8 3.0 4.1 5.3 6.0  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV SC SC SC FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 35 45 45 20 10 0 0 5 5 5 10 5 10 10 15 30  
TEMPERATURE 39 32 27 23 22 24 33 39 41 35 30 30 29 34 46 52 53  
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 42 28 54  
WIND DIR W NW N N N N N N N NW NW N N N E E E  
WIND (MPH) 8 9 13 14 13 17 16 13 12 10 8 5 4 4 5 5 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 3.8 2.5 1.7 1.3 1.4 2.1 3.2 3.8 3.6 3.1 3.0 2.8 3.1 4.1 5.3 6.0  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV SC BK BK SC SC FW CL CL CL CL FW CL FW FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 40 55 60 35 30 5 0 5 5 5 10 5 10 10 20 35  
TEMPERATURE 34 26 21 19 18 19 25 30 33 29 25 25 25 30 41 45 46  
MIN/MAX TEMP 16 33 23 47  
WIND DIR W NW N N N N N N N N N N NE NE N NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 19 17 17 19 20 21 18 14 14 12 9 8 9 9 8 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 3.7 2.5 1.7 1.4 1.3 2.0 3.0 3.7 3.6 3.1 3.0 2.7 2.9 4.2 5.4 6.1  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 85 80 80 70 45 20 10 5 10 15 10 15 20 30 55  
TEMPERATURE 24 17 15 13 13 15 21 28 30 23 17 15 16 20 35 40 42  
MIN/MAX TEMP 12 30 14 42  
WIND DIR W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NE E W NW W SW  
WIND (MPH) 23 19 14 16 13 16 14 12 12 12 9 9 10 9 5 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 80 80 60 40 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.14 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 2.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 4.9 0.3 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.1 2.1 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.3 2.2 3.1 3.5 3.1 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.9 4.1 5.2 5.9  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 90 80 75 75 60 35 15 10 5 10 15 15 15 15 30 55  
TEMPERATURE 24 16 14 13 13 14 22 27 29 23 17 15 15 20 34 40 42  
MIN/MAX TEMP 12 30 14 42  
WIND DIR W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N S NW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 25 23 16 17 14 17 16 13 12 12 9 9 10 9 6 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 80 70 60 40 5 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.08 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 3.1 0.2 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.1 2.1 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.4 2.2 3.1 3.5 3.2 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.9 4.2 5.2 6.0  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW CL CL FW FW FW FW FW SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 80 80 75 55 40 15 10 5 5 10 10 15 15 25 50  
TEMPERATURE 29 24 21 19 19 20 26 33 36 30 23 21 20 25 38 46 47  
MIN/MAX TEMP 18 36 20 48  
WIND DIR W NW NW W W NW NW NW NW NW N NE E E S SW W  
WIND (MPH) 13 13 10 6 6 6 8 8 8 5 4 4 5 4 4 4 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 40 30 20 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 1.7 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.7 2.6 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.3 2.2 3.3 3.9 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.9 4.2 5.2 5.9  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 85 85 80 70 55 25 15 5 5 10 10 15 15 30 55  
TEMPERATURE 23 19 16 15 15 16 21 26 29 25 19 19 19 25 36 41 42  
MIN/MAX TEMP 14 29 18 42  
WIND DIR W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NE SE SE NW W W  
WIND (MPH) 21 18 17 17 16 16 14 11 13 12 10 10 10 9 5 5 6  
WIND GUST (MPH) 44  
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 60 80 60 50 20 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.23 0.12 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 3.1 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 4.8 0.3 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.2 2.2 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.3 2.1 3.1 3.6 3.3 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.7 4.1 5.2 5.9  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 90 85 85 80 60 25 20 10 5 15 10 10 20 30 55  
TEMPERATURE 23 19 16 15 15 15 21 26 29 25 18 18 18 24 36 41 42  
MIN/MAX TEMP 14 29 16 42  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW E SE S NW W W  
WIND (MPH) 20 18 16 18 14 16 13 11 13 11 10 10 10 9 5 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 60 80 60 50 20 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.23 0.12 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 3.3 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 5.1 0.4 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.0 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 2.2 3.1 3.4 3.1 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.7 4.0 5.2 5.9  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 04/16/26 FRIDAY 04/17/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK OV OV BK FW FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW FW BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 65 80 70 65 20 10 10 10 5 10 5 15 15 25 55  
TEMPERATURE 26 21 18 15 14 16 20 27 31 28 26 27 25 30 39 44 44  
MIN/MAX TEMP 14 31 23 45  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N E E NW NW W  
WIND (MPH) 24 19 17 16 17 17 17 16 16 13 9 9 10 9 8 5 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 20 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 1.5 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.1 2.9 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.4 2.1 3.0 3.6 3.5 3.1 2.7 2.5 2.8 4.2 5.1 5.7  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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