421
FWUS46 KMFR 132136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC FW CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 10 5 0 0 0 0 15 10 40 35 20 5 0 0 5 10
TEMPERATURE 60 55 52 51 50 52 55 57 58 54 51 50 49 52 56 59 60
MIN/MAX TEMP 48 59 47 60
WIND DIR SW SW S SE S S S S S S SE SE S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 12 8 5 4 4 8 12 13 11 4 2 3 3 6 12 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.1 11.7 11.3 11.1 10.7 10.0 9.9 10.1 10.2 10.2 9.7 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.6 9.8 9.8
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC FW FW CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 10 5 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 25 20 5 0 0 5 10
TEMPERATURE 64 55 49 47 46 50 59 62 62 54 48 46 44 50 60 63 64
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 63 42 65
WIND DIR S S SE SE SE SE S S S SE SE SE SE S S S S
WIND (MPH) 11 6 5 4 4 6 11 12 10 5 3 3 4 6 10 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.2 11.7 11.3 11.1 10.7 10.0 9.8 9.9 10.1 10.2 9.7 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.5 9.8 9.8
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC FW CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 10 5 0 0 0 0 20 10 40 35 20 5 0 0 5 10
TEMPERATURE 60 56 52 51 50 51 52 56 58 54 51 50 49 50 53 57 59
MIN/MAX TEMP 48 58 47 60
WIND DIR SW SW SW S S S S S S S S W SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 12 8 5 4 4 6 12 12 11 4 2 2 3 6 11 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.1 11.6 11.3 11.1 10.6 9.9 9.9 10.1 10.1 10.1 9.7 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.6 9.8 9.8
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW SC SC FW FW CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 15 10 0 0 0 0 0 15 45 30 20 5 5 0 5 10
TEMPERATURE 48 44 42 41 40 43 45 46 47 43 41 40 39 43 46 47 47
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 47 37 47
WIND DIR SW W SE S S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 16 9 8 8 8 12 18 17 14 8 4 6 8 11 18 18 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.3 11.7 11.4 11.1 10.7 10.1 10.1 10.4 10.4 10.4 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.6 9.9 9.9
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW CL CL CL CL CL CL FW SC SC FW FW CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 10 0 5 5 0 0 0 10 45 50 10 5 0 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 63 58 53 52 50 52 57 61 61 56 51 50 48 51 57 62 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 48 61 47 62
WIND DIR SW SW S S S S S S S SW SW S S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 13 11 9 8 6 8 11 13 12 8 5 4 4 6 12 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.3 11.7 11.4 11.2 10.5 9.8 9.8 10.1 10.3 10.3 9.8 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.6 9.9 9.9
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL FW SC FW FW CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 20 20 0 0 0 5 10
TEMPERATURE 70 65 58 56 54 58 64 67 69 63 57 55 53 57 65 69 70
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 69 51 71
WIND DIR S S S S N S S S S S N N N S S S S
WIND (MPH) 8 5 2 1 0 2 6 8 8 3 0 0 0 1 5 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.1 11.7 11.4 11.1 10.8 9.8 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.8 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.4 9.7 9.8
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW SC SC FW CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 25 10 0 0 0 5 5 15 45 25 20 0 0 0 5 15
TEMPERATURE 66 58 55 54 53 57 60 63 64 56 53 52 51 56 60 65 65
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 64 48 65
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 6 4 4 5 5 6 8 9 6 4 4 5 5 5 6 9 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.4 11.9 11.5 11.1 10.9 10.1 9.9 10.2 10.4 10.4 9.9 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.4 9.9 10.0
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC BK OV BK SC FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 20 25 20 40 35 50 45 65 75 55 40 15 10 20 20
TEMPERATURE 66 59 52 49 48 52 62 63 64 59 52 49 48 52 63 66 66
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 65 46 67
WIND DIR W NW NW SW S S S SW W NW NE E SE S SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 11 8 3 2 2 3 8 8 8 6 2 2 3 4 8 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 5 0 0 10 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.4 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.3 11.4 11.4 11.8 11.9 11.8 11.7 11.5 11.2 10.3 10.4 11.7 11.6
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC FW FW SC BK SC BK OV BK SC FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 20 30 25 25 30 50 35 65 75 55 40 15 10 15 20
TEMPERATURE 65 59 52 49 47 51 61 63 64 58 52 49 47 51 61 65 66
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 64 45 66
WIND DIR W NW N SW S S S SW W NW N SE SE S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 11 9 4 2 2 3 8 6 8 6 3 2 2 4 8 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 5 5 0 10 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.4 11.4 11.3 11.4 11.4 11.4 11.4 11.8 11.9 11.8 11.7 11.5 11.0 10.1 10.3 11.7 11.7
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW BK BK SC FW FW CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 20 50 40 15 20 20 25 55 65 40 15 10 0 5 15
TEMPERATURE 70 65 57 54 50 52 64 68 69 64 57 53 49 51 64 69 71
MIN/MAX TEMP 48 70 47 71
WIND DIR W NW W SW S SE S SW W NW NW SE SE SE SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 6 6 3 2 2 3 3 4 5 4 2 2 3 4 4 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 5 0 0 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.5 11.2 11.2 11.3 11.7 11.4 11.4 11.1 10.0 9.6 9.7 10.5 11.3
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC FW FW FW SC SC BK OV BK FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 10 25 20 15 25 40 40 60 70 60 25 10 25 25 20
TEMPERATURE 63 58 53 52 51 54 61 63 63 58 54 53 52 54 62 64 64
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 63 51 65
WIND DIR W NW NW S SW S SW W NW NW NE SE SE S SW W NW
WIND (MPH) 9 8 3 3 3 3 5 8 8 6 3 4 4 5 5 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE T R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.3 11.1 10.6 10.8 11.0 11.1 11.3 11.6 11.7 11.7 11.6 11.4 11.0 10.4 10.3 11.4 11.6
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC BK OV OV SC FW SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 15 10 20 15 20 20 40 40 65 75 70 30 15 35 35 20
TEMPERATURE 63 58 53 52 51 54 61 62 62 57 53 53 52 55 62 64 64
MIN/MAX TEMP 50 63 51 65
WIND DIR W NW NW S SW S SW W NW NW NE SE SE S SW W NW
WIND (MPH) 9 8 3 3 3 3 6 8 8 6 3 3 4 4 5 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE T R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.1 10.8 10.0 10.4 10.8 11.1 11.3 11.6 11.7 11.8 11.7 11.6 11.5 10.7 10.6 11.7 11.8
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/14/26 SATURDAY 08/15/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL FW CL CL FW SC SC OV OV FW FW FW CL CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 15 5 25 5 5 20 50 50 85 70 15 15 5 0 5 20
TEMPERATURE 63 59 56 56 55 57 62 65 64 58 56 56 55 56 62 66 66
MIN/MAX TEMP 54 65 54 67
WIND DIR NW NW SW S S S S W NW NW NW S S S SW W NW
WIND (MPH) 11 10 6 3 3 3 3 3 9 8 4 3 5 6 5 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 5 0 10 10 0 0 0 0 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.0 11.7 11.4 11.5 11.2 10.9 10.9 11.5 12.0 11.9 11.5 10.8 9.9 9.7 9.6 10.2 11.1
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page