608
FWUS46 KMFR 142136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT FRI AUG 14 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC FW FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 40 15 0 0 0 0 15 20 35 50 40 15 15 20 35 55
TEMPERATURE 58 54 51 50 48 51 56 59 60 55 52 52 50 53 59 62 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 60 48 63
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S NE N NE NW S S S
WIND (MPH) 13 6 2 3 3 8 11 12 10 3 2 2 3 5 6 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.5 10.0 9.9 10.1 9.9 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.6 10.1 10.2
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC FW FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 40 15 0 0 0 0 5 20 35 50 40 10 15 20 30 55
TEMPERATURE 62 53 48 46 44 50 60 63 64 55 49 47 46 52 64 67 66
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 65 44 68
WIND DIR S SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE E E E SE S S S
WIND (MPH) 12 6 3 4 4 6 10 11 10 4 3 3 3 4 6 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.4 9.8 9.8 10.1 9.9 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.6 10.1 10.2
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW CL CL CL CL FW FW SC BK SC FW FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 40 15 0 0 0 0 20 20 35 50 40 15 20 20 35 55
TEMPERATURE 58 54 51 50 49 50 53 58 59 55 52 52 50 51 57 61 61
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 60 48 63
WIND DIR S S S SW W W S S S SW NW N N NW S S S
WIND (MPH) 12 6 2 3 3 6 10 11 10 3 2 2 3 5 6 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.5 10.0 9.9 10.1 9.9 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.6 10.1 10.2
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW CL CL CL CL FW FW SC BK SC FW FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 45 15 0 0 0 0 15 20 35 50 40 15 20 20 35 55
TEMPERATURE 47 42 40 39 39 42 45 47 48 44 42 41 41 44 49 51 50
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 48 39 51
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S SE S W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 17 10 4 6 6 12 17 17 12 5 4 4 5 9 10 13 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.0 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.6 10.1 10.2 10.2 9.9 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.7 10.2 10.2
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC CL CL CL CL FW FW SC BK BK FW FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 40 30 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 65 55 25 15 20 35 55
TEMPERATURE 61 56 51 50 48 51 57 62 63 57 52 50 48 53 61 65 65
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 63 48 66
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 14 10 5 5 5 6 11 13 12 6 3 3 3 4 6 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.4 9.8 10.0 10.1 9.8 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.6 10.3 10.3
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW CL CL CL CL FW FW SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 45 10 0 0 0 0 5 20 35 45 30 10 10 20 35 50
TEMPERATURE 68 63 56 55 53 57 65 69 70 64 57 56 54 59 69 73 72
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 71 52 74
WIND DIR S S N N S S S S S S NW NW NW E S S S
WIND (MPH) 8 5 0 0 1 1 5 8 6 3 1 1 1 1 3 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.3 9.2 9.1 9.3 9.4 9.7 9.8 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.6 9.9 10.2
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK FW CL CL CL CL FW FW SC BK FW FW FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 55 10 0 0 0 0 10 25 40 50 25 10 10 20 35 55
TEMPERATURE 64 57 53 52 50 56 60 65 66 57 54 53 51 58 63 68 68
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 66 48 69
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S SW S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 8 5 3 5 5 5 6 8 6 3 3 3 3 4 3 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.6 9.6 9.3 9.2 9.1 9.4 10.0 10.2 10.3 9.9 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.6 10.3 10.4
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK SC OV OV BK FW FW FW FW BK BK BK SC FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 50 75 80 55 20 10 20 20 50 60 60 45 20 20 35 50
TEMPERATURE 63 58 52 49 47 51 61 65 66 59 53 49 47 52 64 67 66
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 66 46 68
WIND DIR W NW NE SE SE S SW W W NW NE E E E SW W W
WIND (MPH) 8 8 3 1 1 4 8 9 9 5 4 3 4 4 4 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.0 11.7 11.5 11.3 10.8 10.1 10.6 11.3 11.4 11.3 11.3 11.0 10.5 10.1 10.4 11.9 12.2
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV OV SC FW CL FW FW BK BK BK SC FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 60 80 80 45 25 5 15 25 55 60 65 45 20 20 35 50
TEMPERATURE 63 58 51 49 47 50 60 64 65 59 52 49 47 51 63 67 65
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 65 45 67
WIND DIR W NW NE E SE S S SW W NW N NE NE NE SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 8 9 3 2 1 4 6 8 8 6 3 3 3 4 4 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.9 11.6 11.5 11.3 10.7 10.0 10.4 11.5 11.5 11.3 11.3 11.0 10.5 10.0 10.4 11.9 12.2
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK BK FW CL CL CL FW BK SC SC FW FW FW FW BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 45 60 55 5 5 0 5 20 60 45 50 15 15 20 25 50
TEMPERATURE 69 64 57 53 49 50 63 68 70 65 57 53 49 51 66 71 71
MIN/MAX TEMP 47 70 47 73
WIND DIR W W W SE S S SW SW W NW NW NE E E SW W W
WIND (MPH) 5 6 3 2 2 4 4 5 5 5 3 3 3 4 3 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.4 11.3 11.2 10.7 9.9 9.4 9.6 10.3 11.3 11.1 10.9 10.5 10.1 9.7 9.8 11.2 11.3
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV OV SC FW FW FW SC BK BK BK SC FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 55 70 70 50 5 5 15 25 60 60 55 40 15 20 30 45
TEMPERATURE 62 57 53 52 52 53 60 63 63 58 54 52 51 54 63 65 64
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 64 50 66
WIND DIR W NW N SE SE S SW W NW NW NE SE SE E W W NW
WIND (MPH) 8 8 3 3 3 4 5 8 8 6 4 5 5 5 3 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.7 11.6 11.5 11.2 10.7 10.1 10.2 10.9 11.3 11.2 11.1 10.9 10.5 10.1 10.3 11.8 11.9
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV BK FW FW FW SC BK BK BK SC FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 60 75 80 65 5 10 20 30 60 70 60 50 20 20 30 45
TEMPERATURE 61 57 53 53 52 54 60 63 62 57 54 53 52 55 63 65 64
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 63 51 66
WIND DIR W NW NE SE SE S SW W NW NW NE SE SE SE W W NW
WIND (MPH) 8 8 3 2 2 3 5 8 8 5 5 5 5 5 3 6 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.9 11.7 11.6 11.4 11.1 10.5 10.4 11.1 11.3 11.2 11.2 11.1 10.7 10.2 10.5 12.0 12.2
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 08/15/26 SUNDAY 08/16/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK SC FW CL CL FW SC BK BK SC FW FW FW SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 60 65 35 5 5 5 10 30 65 55 45 15 15 25 30 60
TEMPERATURE 63 57 56 55 54 56 61 65 64 59 57 56 55 57 63 67 66
MIN/MAX TEMP 54 66 54 67
WIND DIR NW NW W SE S S S W NW NW NW S S S NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 10 5 3 3 5 4 2 9 8 5 3 4 5 3 2 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.9 11.7 11.1 10.1 9.7 9.6 9.7 10.6 11.7 11.6 10.8 10.3 10.0 9.8 9.7 10.5 11.3
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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