394
FWUS46 KMFR 262136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT MON OCT 26 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 10 15 20 5 20 30 15 20 5 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 35 31 30 31 30 30 36 37 34 29 28 29 26 26 36 40 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 39 24 41
WIND DIR W NW W W W NW NW NW E N NW NW NW NW NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 9 9 10 11 11 9 6 5 4 6 8 11 13 14 13 16 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.0 5.7 5.3 5.8 6.1 6.0 5.5 5.1 4.8 4.3 3.9 5.3 6.0 6.2
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 10 15 20 5 10 25 15 25 5 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 35 28 28 29 29 30 39 37 33 26 24 24 24 24 39 42 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 39 23 42
WIND DIR NW N N NW NW N NW N NW N N N N N N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 9 9 8 8 10 5 6 5 8 10 11 10 12 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.2 5.8 6.0 6.0 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.3 3.9 5.3 6.0 6.2
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW CL FW SC FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 10 15 25 5 20 30 15 20 5 10 5 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 35 31 30 31 30 30 36 36 34 30 29 29 27 27 36 41 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 39 25 41
WIND DIR W W W W W NW W NW E N NW NW NW NW NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 8 9 10 12 11 9 8 5 4 6 8 11 13 14 13 16 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.0 5.7 5.3 5.8 6.1 6.0 5.5 5.1 4.7 4.2 3.8 5.3 6.0 6.2
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW SC FW FW FW CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 10 15 20 5 25 30 20 25 5 10 10 5 0 5 0
TEMPERATURE 28 23 23 24 24 25 30 29 26 21 20 21 20 21 31 34 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 23 32 19 34
WIND DIR W W W W W W NW N N N NW NW NW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 20 19 20 23 23 21 19 14 12 18 17 20 24 27 26 31 33
WIND GUST (MPH) 64 58 61 65 65 64 62 43 41 54 43 44 48 57 58 67 72
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.3 5.8 6.1 6.0 5.5 5.1 4.8 4.4 3.9 5.4 6.0 6.2
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC FW FW FW SC FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 5 15 30 20 10 20 40 15 10 10 10 10 5 0 5 5
TEMPERATURE 36 31 29 29 30 30 35 37 36 33 30 29 27 27 36 40 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 38 27 40
WIND DIR W NW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 8 8 9 5 6 8 8 12 11 10 8 8 9 8 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.6 5.3 5.8 6.0 6.0 5.4 4.9 4.6 4.1 3.6 5.2 6.0 6.1
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 10 5 25 5 5 10 10 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 42 36 34 34 34 35 40 42 38 35 34 32 32 31 41 47 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 42 31 47
WIND DIR NW NW W NW NW N N N N NW NW NW N N NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 6 5 4 5 5 5 8 12 10 8 6 5 6 6 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.7 5.2 5.6 5.9 5.9 5.4 5.0 4.6 4.2 3.9 5.3 6.0 6.4
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC FW FW FW CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 10 10 10 25 25 15 30 30 30 20 10 20 5 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 39 34 31 31 32 33 37 38 35 31 28 28 28 28 37 41 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 38 27 41
WIND DIR NW W SW W W NW NW N N NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 9 8 8 8 9 11 13 11 10 10 10 12 11 10 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.4 5.1 5.6 5.8 5.8 5.3 5.0 4.6 4.2 3.9 5.2 5.9 6.2
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 95 95 90 85 90 90 80 85 80 80 60 70 70 45 60 65
TEMPERATURE 33 31 30 29 29 28 31 32 31 28 27 25 24 24 30 32 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 32 24 32
WIND DIR W W W W W SW W W W W W W W W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 11 10 10 11 11 8 9 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 20 20 20 40 50 60 10 30 10 0 0 10 10 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.03 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.5 1.7 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.2 4.7 4.0 3.8 3.9 5.0 5.5 5.6
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 95 95 85 80 85 80 75 75 70 70 60 65 60 40 50 55
TEMPERATURE 32 31 29 28 28 28 31 32 31 29 26 25 24 23 31 33 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 32 23 33
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W NW W W W W W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 12 12 11 11 10 12 10 12 11 11 12 12 9 10 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 20 10 10 30 40 60 10 30 10 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.02 0.06 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.5 1.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.2 4.8 4.1 3.9 3.8 5.1 5.6 5.6
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK BK BK SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 90 90 70 75 85 70 75 70 70 60 55 35 15 20 20
TEMPERATURE 34 32 31 31 31 31 31 33 33 30 29 28 26 26 31 37 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 35 26 38
WIND DIR W W W W W SW W W NW W W NW NW NW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 6 6 6 4 4 4 6 6 6 5 4 6 4 3 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 0 5 20 50 5 5 20 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 5.7 5.4 5.4 5.0 5.0 5.5 5.6 5.4 4.9 4.6 4.2 3.7 3.4 5.1 5.6 5.6
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 90 90 80 85 90 80 85 80 75 70 65 60 45 55 55
TEMPERATURE 32 31 32 32 32 31 30 31 30 29 28 27 26 27 30 33 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 32 26 33
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 12 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 8 9 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 20 40 30 50 70 70 20 30 20 0 5 30 30 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.02 0.09 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 1.5 0.1 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.0 4.6 4.0 3.8 3.9 5.0 5.4 5.5
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 90 90 90 85 90 90 85 90 85 80 80 75 75 60 75 75
TEMPERATURE 32 32 33 33 32 31 30 30 30 28 28 27 26 27 29 32 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 32 26 32
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW SW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 12 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 8 9 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 20 40 30 50 70 70 20 30 20 0 5 30 30 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.04 0.12 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.5 1.6 0.1 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.4 5.1 4.6 4.0 3.8 4.1 5.0 5.3 5.4
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 10/27/26 WEDNESDAY 10/28/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV BK SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 55 55 60 50 70 80 75 65 45 30 25 45 30 15 15 20
TEMPERATURE 33 31 30 32 32 32 31 33 32 30 29 29 27 28 33 37 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 34 27 37
WIND DIR W NW W W W W NW NW NW NW W NW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 9 5 6 6 8 9 10 9 9 8 8 9 6 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 10 50 5 5 10 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.5 5.2 4.8 4.4 4.1 3.9 4.9 5.7 5.9
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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