332
FXUS66 KMFR 132001
AFDMFR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
101 PM PDT TUE OCT 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK.
* A WARMING TREND BEGINS TODAY, PEAKING LATE WEEK ABOUT 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
* A MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT ARRIVES WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES THIS
WEEKEND.
* PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE LOOKING MORE LIKELY WITH ANOTHER COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE AREA OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVERHEAD AND A STEADY
WARMING TREND THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE WARMING TREND WILL
PEAK ON THURSDAY/FRIDAY, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 10-15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID-OCTOBER.
A COLD FRONT ARRIVES LATE FRIDAY. OTHER THAN SOME LIGHT RAIN OR
DRIZZLE ALONG THE COAST OR PERHAPS ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF
THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS AND CASCADES, THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BE
DRY. IT WILL, HOWEVER, BRING COOLER, SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES BACK
TO THE REGION FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
ANOTHER FRONT, ASSOCIATED WITH A MUCH DEEPER AND STRONGER UPPER-
LEVEL TROUGH, THEN ARRIVES MONDAY. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THIS WILL BE
MORE OF A CLASSIC WET-SEASON EVENT WITH A MUCH HIGHER CHANCE OF
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. THE
EXACT TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW AND FRONT WILL MAKE A BIG
DIFFERENCE ON THE DETAILS, WHICH ARE UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. MORE
DETAILS SHOULD BECOME APPARENT OVER THE COMING DAYS.
AVIATION...13/18Z TAFS
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD
FOR ALL TERMINALS.
MARINE...UPDATED 230 AM PDT TUESDAY, OCTOBER 13, 2026
GUSTY NORTH
WINDS AND STEEP WIND-DRIVEN SEAS SOUTH OF CAPE BLANCO WILL DIMINISH
SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT, BUT THEN RETURN WEDENSDAY.
CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF
NORTH WINDS IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND, THEN SOUTH WINDS AND RAIN ARE
EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...CA...NONE.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT
WEDNESDAY FOR PZZ356-376.
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