569
FXUS66 KPDT 250535
AFDPDT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
1035 PM PDT FRI JUL 24 2026
.UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION.
KEY MESSAGES
1. HOT, DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS RETURN FRIDAY & SATURDAY
*RED FLAG WARNING IN AFFECT FOR WINDS AND RHS*
2. CONTINUED DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS SUNDAY
DISCUSSION
CURRENT SATELLITE SHOWS SOME FIRE ACTIVITY DOWN IN CENTRAL OREGON.
FIRES APPEAR TO BE RELATIVELY ACTIVE ON THE LANDSCAPE TODAY,
ESPECIALLY THOSE UNDER THE RED FLAG WARING. HUMIDITY IN THE AREA
AROUND THE FIRE IS IN THE LOW TO MID TEENS AND WINDS ARE FROM THE
WEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REST
OF THE DAY TODAY. OTHER THAN THE SMOKE THERE ARE NO CLOUDS OVER THE
REGION TODAY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME CUMULUS BUILDING OVER THE
CASCADES. TODAY WILL REMAIN CLEAR WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 90S WITH ISOLATED LOCATIONS IN THE BASIN SEE NEAR
101.
MODELS SHOW AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OFF THE COAST OF THE PACNW. THE LOW
HAS BEGUN SHIFT ACROSS THE CASCADES IS BRINGING ELEVATED WINDS
ACROSS THE REGION. NBM RAW ENSEMBLES SHOWS THERE TO BE 80-90%
PROBABILITIES OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-25 MPH THROUGH THE GORGE,
FOOTHILLS OF THE SOUTHERN BLUES, NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL OR,
YAKIMA AND KITTITAS VALLEYS. SO FAR GROUND OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE
GORGE HAS SEEN GUSTS TO 20 MPH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP A BIT
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON ACCORDING TO THE NBM RAW ENSEMBLES AFTER
1600. SATURDAY RAW ENSEMBLES SHOW THE SAME PROBABILITIES FOR THE
SAME LOCATIONS BUT WINDS ARE 25-35 MPH SUSTAINED. RED FLAG WARNING
ARE IN EFFECT AND COVER THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE REGION. AS THE LOW
CONTINUES TO MOVE ONSHORE, GRADIENTS WILL TIGHTEN A BIT MORE AND
WINDS WILL PEAK SATURDAY. CONFIDENCE IN THE WINDS AND RHS CRITERIA
IS HIGH (80-90%)
AS WE MOVE INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK,
MODELS SHOW THE LOW TO EJECT NORTHEASTWARD LEAVING THE REGION WITH A
TROUGH AND DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO USHER IN
DRY CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES. EVEN WITH THIS
SLIGHT COOL OF, DAYTIME HUMIDITIES WILL STILL REMAIN CRITICAL. WINDS
WILL BE A TYPICAL DIURNAL PATTERN WITH SOME ISOLATED BREEZY
CONDITIONS, MAINLY THROUGH THE GAPS. NOTHING THAT WARRANTS ANYTHING
OTHER THAN CONTINUE ELEVATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY ACROSS ALL SITES, WHICH WILL STAY THE
COURSE THROUGH THE PERIOD. BREEZY WINDS AT KDLS, AS GUSTS OF
20-30KTS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
REMAINING SITES WILL EXPERIENCE SIMILAR BREEZY CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON UNDER CLEAR SKIES. HAZE/SMOKE FROM NEARBY
WILDFIRES MAY IMPACT KRDM/KBDN AND DROP VISIBILITIES BRIEFLY TO
6SM SATURDAY LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING. 75
FIRE WEATHER
TODAY AND TOMORROW ARE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAYS.
WINDS OF 15-25 MPH AND GUSTS OF 25-40 MPH IS LIKELY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE LOW AND RED
FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. SUNDAY ONWARD
WILL BE DRY AND WARM WITH ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES REMAIN LOW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
PDT 61 89 54 87 / 0 0 0 0
ALW 66 92 60 89 / 0 0 0 0
PSC 65 94 58 91 / 0 0 0 0
YKM 63 89 57 89 / 0 0 0 0
HRI 66 91 57 90 / 0 0 0 0
ELN 59 86 53 84 / 0 0 0 0
RDM 54 89 49 88 / 0 0 0 0
LGD 60 96 55 92 / 0 0 0 0
GCD 57 95 54 93 / 0 0 0 0
DLS 64 84 59 86 / 0 0 0 0
PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR WAZ690-
691.
AIR QUALITY ALERT UNTIL 11 AM PDT MONDAY FOR WAZ028>030.
OR...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR ORZ691-
697-704.
AIR QUALITY ALERT UNTIL NOON PDT MONDAY FOR ORZ049-050-502-503-
505-506-508-509-511.
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR ORZ698-700.
DISCUSSION...90
AVIATION...75
FIRE WEATHER...90
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