543  
FNUS51 KCTP 201932  
FWFCTP  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
232 PM EST THU FEB 20 2020  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND COLD FRONT AT THE SURFACE WILL  
MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON, BRINGING  
FLURRIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE NORTHWEST HALF OF  
THE STATE, WITH JUST SOME SCATTERED FLURRIES OVER THE SOUTHEAST.  
A LIGHT COATING OF SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND  
WESTERN MOUNTAINS OF THE STATE.  
 
A LARGE AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST TO  
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS BY EARLY SATURDAY,  
DOMINATING OUR WEATHER WITH MAINLY DRY AND AND SEASONABLY COLD  
CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY.  
 
A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL FOLLOW FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND  
WITH A CONTINUATION OF DRY WEATHER. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR  
PRECIPITATION, MAINLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN, WILL COME NEXT MONDAY  
INTO TUESDAY.  
 
PAZ004>006-010-011-210915-  
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WARREN, BRADFORD, COUDERSPORT, ST. MARYS,  
RIDGWAY, AND EMPORIUM  
232 PM EST THU FEB 20 2020  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE FLURRIES NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 7 (-6) 31 (+8) 16 41  
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (-9) 27 (-11) 64 29  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 10 G20  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 8 SW 7 W 10 G20  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM  
PRECIP END 1 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 760 2590 240 2790  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 12 W 15 W 12 W 21  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 950 37410 1600 55280  
DISPERSION 1 5 1 5  
DSI 0 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 5 4 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM RH  
79 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE  
MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 30. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO  
20 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ012-017-018-210915-  
NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RENOVO, DUBOIS, CLEARFIELD,  
AND PHILIPSBURG  
232 PM EST THU FEB 20 2020  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE FLURRIES NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 10 (-6) 33 (+4) 18 43  
RH % (24H TREND) 76 (-16) 23 (-13) 54 25  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 9 G20  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 6 W 7 W 7 G18 W 10 G20  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1250 2670 350 2660  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 13 W 13 W 15 W 21  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 5240 30420 2480 51120  
DISPERSION 3 5 2 5  
DSI 0 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 5 4 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
SUNDAY
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN  
THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
77 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ024-033-210915-  
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSTOWN AND SOMERSET  
232 PM EST THU FEB 20 2020  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE FLURRIES NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 10 (-8) 32 (+4) 20 43  
RH % (24H TREND) 80 (-8) 24 (-18) 54 17  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 6 W 12 G24  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 8 W 8 G17 W 8 G20 W 11 G24  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1630 2380 260 2030  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 15 NW 12 W 16 W 23  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 18070 27130 2780 44680  
DISPERSION 5 5 2 5  
DSI 0 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 5 5 4 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID  
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE  
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ019-025>028-034>036-210915-  
SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON-  
FRANKLIN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF STATE COLLEGE, ALTOONA, HUNTINGDON,  
MOUNT UNION, LEWISTOWN, MIFFLINTOWN, BEDFORD, MCCONNELLSBURG,  
AND CHAMBERSBURG  
232 PM EST THU FEB 20 2020  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE FLURRIES NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 14 (-9) 36 (+2) 22 49  
RH % (24H TREND) 73 (-15) 20 (-9) 60 16  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 6 W 8 G20  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) N 7 W 7 W 6 W 9 G20  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1110 3010 180 2580  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 14 W 12 W 9 W 21  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 2040 33800 280 50290  
DISPERSION 2 5 1 5  
DSI 0 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 5 4 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
SUNDAY
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID  
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS  
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ037-041-042-210915-  
TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MANSFIELD, WELLSBORO, TROUT RUN,  
AND LAPORTE  
232 PM EST THU FEB 20 2020  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE FLURRIES NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 8 (-7) 32 (+7) 18 41  
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (-4) 23 (-13) 64 31  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 5 W 9 G18  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 6 W 7 W 6 W 9 G18  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM  
PRECIP END 1 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 250 2740 180 3020  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 8 W 12 W 10 W 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 450 32260 770 51600  
DISPERSION 1 5 1 5  
DSI 0 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 5 4 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
SUNDAY
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.  
MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM  
RH 83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ045-046-049>053-058-210915-  
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-  
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LOCK HAVEN, WILLIAMSPORT, LEWISBURG,  
SELINSGROVE, DANVILLE, SUNBURY, SHAMOKIN, BLOOMSBURG, BERWICK,  
AND POTTSVILLE  
232 PM EST THU FEB 20 2020  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE FLURRIES NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 14 (-8) 36 (+3) 20 46  
RH % (24H TREND) 74 (-18) 22 (-7) 68 24  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 5 W 6  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 6 W 5 LGT/VAR W 8  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1100 2860 130 3080  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 W 9 W 6 W 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 990 27760 310 51530  
DISPERSION 1 5 1 5  
DSI 0 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
SUNDAY
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.  
MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID  
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ056-057-059-063>066-210915-  
PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NEWPORT, HARRISBURG, HERSHEY, LEBANON,  
CARLISLE, GETTYSBURG, YORK, AND LANCASTER  
232 PM EST THU FEB 20 2020  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE FLURRIES NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 17 (-10) 37 (-1) 22 50  
RH % (24H TREND) 70 (-11) 21 (-7) 62 18  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 7 G18 W 6 G17  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) N 6 G17 NW 6 LGT/VAR W 7 G17  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 160 3490 50 2710  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 NW 10 W 6 W 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 1120 38550 240 44340  
DISPERSION 1 5 1 5  
DSI 0 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 5 4 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
SUNDAY
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM  
RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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