931
FNUS51 KCTP 110827
FWFCTP
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022
DISCUSSION
A WEAK AND MOISTURE STARVED COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE DISTRICT DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS
TODAY, ACCOMPANIED BY A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF CLOUDS. THERE
WILL LIKELY BE A NARROW, BROKEN BAND OF SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT
WITH THE DURATION OF INDIVIDUAL SHOWERS BEING JUST 5 TO 10
MINUTES. A RUMBLE OF THUNDER IS POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
AND BECOME CENTERED OVERHEAD THIS WEEKEND. DEEP, VERTICAL MIXING
OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS EXPECTED AND DEWPOINTS WILL MORE THAN
LIKELY DROP BELOW MODEL/NUMERICAL GUIDANCE.
MINIMUM RH VALUES ON FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE 30S OR EVEN UPPER 20S.
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AGAIN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
WITH UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNING TO CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.
PAZ004-005-010-112115-
WARREN-MCKEAN-ELK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WARREN, BRADFORD, ST. MARYS, AND RIDGWAY
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 77 (-2) 46 (-7) 75
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (-11) 100 (+2) 34
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 7 G15 LGT/VAR N 6 G13
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END 5 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5660 410 6210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 17 N 8 N 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 84900 2870 86940
DISPERSION 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
SUNSHINE HOURS 10 14
LAL 9-15 STRIKES NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 27 FAIR 12 POOR 59 GEN GOOD
MAX ADI LATE 73 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 71 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 4 9
MAX LVORI LATE 1 9 1
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ006-011-012-112115-
POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF COUDERSPORT, EMPORIUM, AND RENOVO
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 80 (0) 47 (-8) 77
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (-11) 100 (+5) 31
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 6 G15 LGT/VAR N 6 G16
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5880 480 6780
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 17 N 9 N 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 88200 3840 94920
DISPERSION 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
SUNSHINE HOURS 10 13
LAL 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 25 FAIR 10 POOR 65 GOOD
MAX ADI LATE 77 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 75 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 3 8
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 1
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ037-041-042-112115-
TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MANSFIELD, WELLSBORO, TROUT RUN,
AND LAPORTE
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 80 (0) 49 (-8) 75
RH % (24H TREND) 41 (-10) 100 (+9) 34
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 G15
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 5 G14 N 5 G14 N 8 G16
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6020 490 6650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 16 N 12 N 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 84280 4900 99750
DISPERSION 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
SUNSHINE HOURS 10 13
LAL 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 19 GEN POOR 12 POOR 71 GOOD
MAX ADI LATE 71 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 80 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 8
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 1
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ017-018-112115-
CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DUBOIS, CLEARFIELD, AND PHILIPSBURG
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 79 (-1) 49 (-8) 76
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (-20) 100 (+3) 33
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 7 G16 NW 5 G14 N 6 G13
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5780 420 6840
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 20 N 8 N 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 98260 2940 95760
DISPERSION 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
SUNSHINE HOURS 10 14
LAL 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 22 FAIR 12 POOR 62 GOOD
MAX ADI LATE 85 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 75 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 3 9
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 1
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ024-033-112115-
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSTOWN AND SOMERSET
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (-1) 49 (-11) 73
RH % (24H TREND) 46 (-29) 100 (+4) 40
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 7 G17 NW 5 G15 N 6 G14
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4750 350 6280
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 18 N 6 N 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 76000 1750 87920
DISPERSION 5 1 5
DSI 1 1
SUNSHINE HOURS 8 13
LAL 16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 27 FAIR 24 FAIR 56 GEN GOOD
MAX ADI LATE 54 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 71 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 4 9
MAX LVORI LATE 1 8 1
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ019-025>028-112115-
SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF STATE COLLEGE, ALTOONA, HUNTINGDON,
MOUNT UNION, LEWISTOWN, AND MIFFLINTOWN
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (+2) 51 (-11) 79
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-25) 100 (+7) 33
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 6 G15 NW 5 G14 N 6 G13
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6480 470 7160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 15 N 9 N 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 84240 3760 100240
DISPERSION 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
SUNSHINE HOURS 9 13
LAL 16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 28 FAIR 24 FAIR 66 GOOD
MAX ADI LATE 78 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 77 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 7
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 1
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ034-035-112115-
BEDFORD-FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BEDFORD AND MCCONNELLSBURG
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 82 (0) 54 (-10) 78
RH % (24H TREND) 39 (-27) 97 (+3) 37
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 6 G16 NW 5 G14 N 6 G14
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5990 420 6960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 16 N 9 N 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 83860 3360 97440
DISPERSION 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
SUNSHINE HOURS 8 12
LAL 16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 5 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 55 GEN GOOD 25 FAIR 65 GOOD
MAX ADI LATE 70 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 75 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 1 5 1
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ045-046-112115-
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LOCK HAVEN AND WILLIAMSPORT
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (0) 52 (-9) 79
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-13) 100 (+10) 31
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 5 G14
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 8 G16
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6140 540 6900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 10 N 9 N 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55260 4320 103500
DISPERSION 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
SUNSHINE HOURS 10 13
LAL 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 18 GEN POOR 10 POOR 73 GOOD
MAX ADI LATE 69 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 79 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 8
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 1
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ049>053-058-112115-
UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LEWISBURG, SELINSGROVE, DANVILLE,
SUNBURY, SHAMOKIN, BLOOMSBURG, BERWICK, AND POTTSVILLE
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 85 (+2) 54 (-10) 80
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (-20) 100 (+12) 32
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 5 G16
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 7 G16
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6460 460 6870
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 9 N 9 N 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 51680 3680 103050
DISPERSION 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
SUNSHINE HOURS 9 13
LAL 16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 4 5
MAX ADI EARLY 23 FAIR 9 POOR 72 GOOD
MAX ADI LATE 45 GEN GOOD 7 POOR 81 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 7
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 1
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-112115-
FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CHAMBERSBURG, NEWPORT, HARRISBURG,
HERSHEY, LEBANON, CARLISLE, GETTYSBURG, YORK, AND LANCASTER
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 85 (0) 58 (-9) 80
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (-28) 94 (+1) 35
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 G15
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 5 G12 LGT/VAR N 7 G15
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6520 490 7140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 10 N 12 N 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 58680 4900 107100
DISPERSION 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
SUNSHINE HOURS 7 11
LAL 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 5 4 5
MAX ADI EARLY 36 FAIR 11 POOR 70 GOOD
MAX ADI LATE 50 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 81 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 2 4 1
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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