414
FNUS51 KCTP 271919
FWFCTP
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
219 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2022
DISCUSSION
PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE PASSES ACROSS NORTHWESTERN PA. THERE MAY ALSO BE A
FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER, MAINLY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL PA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF AND WINDS WILL
BECOME GUSTY TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA. A FEW
LINGERING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY MORNING OVER THE ALLEGHENY
PLATEAU. OTHERWISE, EXPECT DRY WEATHER MONDAY WITH LESS WIND THAN
TONIGHT, BUT STILL BREEZY. DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY
BEFORE RAIN ARRIVES TUE NIGHT INTO WED.
PAZ004-005-010-280915-
WARREN-MCKEAN-ELK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WARREN, BRADFORD, ST. MARYS, AND RIDGWAY
219 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2022
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (+2) 41 (-8) 26 45
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+21) 69 (+4) 95 62
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 5 G16 LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 11 G25 NW 5 G14 LGT/VAR S 7 G16
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.01 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1560 2400 850 2090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 25 NW 14 SW 5 S 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 34320 28800 3400 22990
DISPERSION 5 5 1 5
DSI 1 1
SUNSHINE HOURS 1 3
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 3 2 3 3
MAX ADI EARLY 33 FAIR 35 FAIR 3 VERY POOR 19 GEN POOR
MAX ADI LATE 29 FAIR 31 FAIR 2 VERY POOR 25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 5 3 6 3
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ006-011-012-280915-
POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF COUDERSPORT, EMPORIUM, AND RENOVO
219 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2022
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (+2) 43 (-3) 27 44
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+23) 65 (+7) 93 61
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 7 G19 LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 11 G26 NW 6 G17 LGT/VAR S 6 G16
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 800 2770 810 2130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 NW 18 W 2 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 10400 44320 1620 21300
DISPERSION 1 5 1 5
DSI 1 1
SUNSHINE HOURS 1 3
LAL 16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 3 2 3 4
MAX ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 40 FAIR 7 POOR 15 GEN POOR
MAX ADI LATE 28 FAIR 41 GEN GOOD 2 VERY POOR 22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 4 3 6 3
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ017-018-280915-
CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DUBOIS, CLEARFIELD, AND PHILIPSBURG
219 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2022
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (+4) 44 (-5) 27 45
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+20) 67 (-1) 94 63
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 8 G20 LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 14 G30 NW 7 G17 LGT/VAR SE 7 G16
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1340 2810 720 2160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 NW 21 W 2 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24120 50580 1440 21600
DISPERSION 2 5 1 5
DSI 1 1
SUNSHINE HOURS 1 3
LAL 16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 3 2 3 3
MAX ADI EARLY 35 FAIR 46 GEN GOOD 8 POOR 16 GEN POOR
MAX ADI LATE 31 FAIR 46 GEN GOOD 2 VERY POOR 22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 4 3 6 3
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ024-033-280915-
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSTOWN AND SOMERSET
219 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2022
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (0) 42 (-11) 31 46
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+19) 75 (+11) 97 66
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 9 G23 LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 18 G35 NW 8 G21 LGT/VAR SE 7 G16
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1730 2370 790 1920
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 35 NW 21 SW 3 S 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 51900 42660 2370 21120
DISPERSION 5 5 1 5
DSI 1 1
SUNSHINE HOURS 1 3
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 3 2 3 3
MAX ADI EARLY 45 GEN GOOD 43 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 18 GEN POOR
MAX ADI LATE 39 FAIR 43 GEN GOOD 2 VERY POOR 23 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 6 7
MAX LVORI LATE 4 4 7 3
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ034-035-280915-
BEDFORD-FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BEDFORD AND MCCONNELLSBURG
219 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2022
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (+2) 48 (-2) 30 47
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+24) 61 (-2) 94 62
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 9 G21 LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 12 G32 NW 7 G19 LGT/VAR SE 6 G14
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1080 3240 400 2560
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 NW 24 W 1 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 16200 68040 400 25600
DISPERSION 2 5 1 5
DSI 1 1
SUNSHINE HOURS 3 3
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 3 2 4 3
MAX ADI EARLY 32 FAIR 57 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 18 GEN POOR
MAX ADI LATE 31 FAIR 57 GEN GOOD 1 VERY POOR 25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 3 3 6 3
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ037-041-042-280915-
TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MANSFIELD, WELLSBORO, TROUT RUN,
AND LAPORTE
219 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2022
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (+3) 42 (-2) 25 42
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+21) 70 (+9) 93 63
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 8 G20 LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 10 G26 NW 7 G18 LGT/VAR S 5 G15
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 3 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 650 2700 750 2180
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 NW 18 W 2 S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 8450 43200 1500 19620
DISPERSION 1 5 1 5
DSI 1 1
SUNSHINE HOURS 1 3
LAL >25 STRIKES NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 3 2 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 25 FAIR 44 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 13 GEN POOR
MAX ADI LATE 26 FAIR 43 GEN GOOD 2 VERY POOR 21 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 4 3 6 3
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ019-025>028-045-049-050-280915-
SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOUTHERN CLINTON-
UNION-SNYDER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF STATE COLLEGE, ALTOONA, HUNTINGDON,
MOUNT UNION, LEWISTOWN, MIFFLINTOWN, LOCK HAVEN, LEWISBURG,
AND SELINSGROVE
219 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2022
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (+6) 48 (+1) 28 46
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+17) 63 (-6) 95 61
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 8 G20 LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 10 G27 NW 7 G17 LGT/VAR S 5 G14
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 500 3390 500 2630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 NW 23 W 1 S 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 4500 67800 500 21040
DISPERSION 1 5 1 5
DSI 1 1
SUNSHINE HOURS 3 3
LAL 16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 3 2 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 27 FAIR 53 GEN GOOD 10 POOR 14 GEN POOR
MAX ADI LATE 27 FAIR 56 GEN GOOD 2 VERY POOR 21 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 4 5 7
MAX LVORI LATE 4 3 7 3
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ046-051>053-058-280915-
SOUTHERN LYCOMING-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WILLIAMSPORT, DANVILLE, SUNBURY,
SHAMOKIN, BLOOMSBURG, BERWICK, AND POTTSVILLE
219 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2022
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (+7) 48 (+1) 26 46
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+15) 63 (-2) 95 59
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 7 G20 LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 8 G22 NW 6 G19 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 520 3340 630 2740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 NW 22 W 2 S 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 4680 63460 1260 16440
DISPERSION 1 5 1 5
DSI 1 1
SUNSHINE HOURS 3 4
LAL >25 STRIKES NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 19 GEN POOR 54 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 10 POOR
MAX ADI LATE 23 FAIR 54 GEN GOOD 2 VERY POOR 17 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 4 5 7
MAX LVORI LATE 5 3 7 3
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ057-059-065-066-280915-
DAUPHIN-LEBANON-YORK-LANCASTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HARRISBURG, HERSHEY, LEBANON, YORK,
AND LANCASTER
219 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2022
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (+7) 52 (-1) 29 48
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+15) 63 (-5) 93 60
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 9 G21 LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 10 G24 NW 8 G20 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 9 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 650 3780 330 2860
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 NW 24 NW 3 S 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 7800 79380 990 14300
DISPERSION 1 5 1 5
DSI 2 1
SUNSHINE HOURS 5 5
LAL 16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 22 FAIR 65 GOOD 12 POOR 9 POOR
MAX ADI LATE 23 FAIR 65 GOOD 3 VERY POOR 14 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 5 3 6 3
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
PAZ036-056-063-064-280915-
FRANKLIN-PERRY-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CHAMBERSBURG, NEWPORT, CARLISLE,
AND GETTYSBURG
219 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2022
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (+7) 50 (0) 29 48
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+16) 61 (-5) 94 60
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 9 G20 LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 9 G23 NW 7 G18 LGT/VAR S 5 G13
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 680 3760 310 2950
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 NW 23 NW 2 S 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 8160 75200 620 23600
DISPERSION 1 5 1 5
DSI 2 1
SUNSHINE HOURS 4 4
LAL 16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4 4
MAX ADI EARLY 23 FAIR 63 GOOD 11 POOR 13 GEN POOR
MAX ADI LATE 25 FAIR 61 GOOD 2 VERY POOR 20 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 5 7
MAX LVORI LATE 4 3 6 3
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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