931  
FNUS51 KCTP 110827  
FWFCTP  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA  
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WEAK AND MOISTURE STARVED COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTHEAST  
ACROSS THE DISTRICT DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS  
TODAY, ACCOMPANIED BY A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF CLOUDS. THERE  
WILL LIKELY BE A NARROW, BROKEN BAND OF SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT  
WITH THE DURATION OF INDIVIDUAL SHOWERS BEING JUST 5 TO 10  
MINUTES. A RUMBLE OF THUNDER IS POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS.  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE  
AND BECOME CENTERED OVERHEAD THIS WEEKEND. DEEP, VERTICAL MIXING  
OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS EXPECTED AND DEWPOINTS WILL MORE THAN  
LIKELY DROP BELOW MODEL/NUMERICAL GUIDANCE.  
 
MINIMUM RH VALUES ON FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WILL GENERALLY BE IN  
THE 30S OR EVEN UPPER 20S.  
 
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AGAIN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK  
WITH UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNING TO CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.  
 
PAZ004-005-010-112115-  
WARREN-MCKEAN-ELK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WARREN, BRADFORD, ST. MARYS, AND RIDGWAY  
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 77 (-2) 46 (-7) 75  
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (-11) 100 (+2) 34  
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 7 G15 LGT/VAR N 6 G13  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM  
PRECIP END 5 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5660 410 6210  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 17 N 8 N 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 84900 2870 86940  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 2 2  
SUNSHINE HOURS 10 14  
LAL 9-15 STRIKES NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
MAX ADI EARLY 27 FAIR 12 POOR 59 GEN GOOD  
MAX ADI LATE 73 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 71 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 4 9  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 9 1  
 
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
PAZ006-011-012-112115-  
POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF COUDERSPORT, EMPORIUM, AND RENOVO  
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 80 (0) 47 (-8) 77  
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (-11) 100 (+5) 31  
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 6 G15 LGT/VAR N 6 G16  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5880 480 6780  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 17 N 9 N 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 88200 3840 94920  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 2 2  
SUNSHINE HOURS 10 13  
LAL 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
MAX ADI EARLY 25 FAIR 10 POOR 65 GOOD  
MAX ADI LATE 77 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 75 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 3 8  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 1  
 
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
PAZ037-041-042-112115-  
TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MANSFIELD, WELLSBORO, TROUT RUN,  
AND LAPORTE  
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 80 (0) 49 (-8) 75  
RH % (24H TREND) 41 (-10) 100 (+9) 34  
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 G15  
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 5 G14 N 5 G14 N 8 G16  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6020 490 6650  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 16 N 12 N 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 84280 4900 99750  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 2 2  
SUNSHINE HOURS 10 13  
LAL 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
MAX ADI EARLY 19 GEN POOR 12 POOR 71 GOOD  
MAX ADI LATE 71 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 80 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 8  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 1  
 
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
PAZ017-018-112115-  
CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DUBOIS, CLEARFIELD, AND PHILIPSBURG  
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 79 (-1) 49 (-8) 76  
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (-20) 100 (+3) 33  
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 7 G16 NW 5 G14 N 6 G13  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5780 420 6840  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 20 N 8 N 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 98260 2940 95760  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 2 2  
SUNSHINE HOURS 10 14  
LAL 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
MAX ADI EARLY 22 FAIR 12 POOR 62 GOOD  
MAX ADI LATE 85 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 75 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 3 9  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 1  
 
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
PAZ024-033-112115-  
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSTOWN AND SOMERSET  
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (-1) 49 (-11) 73  
RH % (24H TREND) 46 (-29) 100 (+4) 40  
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 7 G17 NW 5 G15 N 6 G14  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4750 350 6280  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 18 N 6 N 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 76000 1750 87920  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 1 1  
SUNSHINE HOURS 8 13  
LAL 16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
MAX ADI EARLY 27 FAIR 24 FAIR 56 GEN GOOD  
MAX ADI LATE 54 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 71 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 4 9  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 8 1  
 
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
PAZ019-025>028-112115-  
SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF STATE COLLEGE, ALTOONA, HUNTINGDON,  
MOUNT UNION, LEWISTOWN, AND MIFFLINTOWN  
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (+2) 51 (-11) 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-25) 100 (+7) 33  
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 6 G15 NW 5 G14 N 6 G13  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6480 470 7160  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 15 N 9 N 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 84240 3760 100240  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 2 2  
SUNSHINE HOURS 9 13  
LAL 16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
MAX ADI EARLY 28 FAIR 24 FAIR 66 GOOD  
MAX ADI LATE 78 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 77 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 7  
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 1  
 
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
PAZ034-035-112115-  
BEDFORD-FULTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BEDFORD AND MCCONNELLSBURG  
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 82 (0) 54 (-10) 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 39 (-27) 97 (+3) 37  
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 6 G16 NW 5 G14 N 6 G14  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5990 420 6960  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 16 N 9 N 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 83860 3360 97440  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 2 2  
SUNSHINE HOURS 8 12  
LAL 16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 4  
MAX ADI EARLY 55 GEN GOOD 25 FAIR 65 GOOD  
MAX ADI LATE 70 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 75 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 5 1  
 
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
PAZ045-046-112115-  
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LOCK HAVEN AND WILLIAMSPORT  
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (0) 52 (-9) 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-13) 100 (+10) 31  
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 5 G14  
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 8 G16  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6140 540 6900  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 10 N 9 N 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55260 4320 103500  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 2 2  
SUNSHINE HOURS 10 13  
LAL 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
MAX ADI EARLY 18 GEN POOR 10 POOR 73 GOOD  
MAX ADI LATE 69 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 79 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 8  
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 1  
 
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
PAZ049>053-058-112115-  
UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LEWISBURG, SELINSGROVE, DANVILLE,  
SUNBURY, SHAMOKIN, BLOOMSBURG, BERWICK, AND POTTSVILLE  
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 85 (+2) 54 (-10) 80  
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (-20) 100 (+12) 32  
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 5 G16  
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 7 G16  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6460 460 6870  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 9 N 9 N 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 51680 3680 103050  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 2 2  
SUNSHINE HOURS 9 13  
LAL 16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKESNO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 5  
MAX ADI EARLY 23 FAIR 9 POOR 72 GOOD  
MAX ADI LATE 45 GEN GOOD 7 POOR 81 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 7  
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 1  
 
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-112115-  
FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CHAMBERSBURG, NEWPORT, HARRISBURG,  
HERSHEY, LEBANON, CARLISLE, GETTYSBURG, YORK, AND LANCASTER  
427 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 85 (0) 58 (-9) 80  
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (-28) 94 (+1) 35  
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 G15  
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 5 G12 LGT/VAR N 7 G15  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 0  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6520 490 7140  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 10 N 12 N 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 58680 4900 107100  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 2 2  
SUNSHINE HOURS 7 11  
LAL 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 5  
MAX ADI EARLY 36 FAIR 11 POOR 70 GOOD  
MAX ADI LATE 50 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 81 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 3 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 2 4 1  
 
REMARKS: ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID  
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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