729
FNUS71 KCTP 242109
FWSCTP
SPOT FORECAST FOR WHITE SPRUCE REHAB RX...DCNR BUREAU OF STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
509 PM EDT WED APR 24 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN STATE COLLEGE.
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DISSIPATE BY SUNSET/THIS EVENING. RAIN-FREE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY.
(VERY) LOW HUMIDITY (BETWEEN 15 AND 20% MINRH) IS EXPECTED IN THE
BURN AREA ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH A POTENTIAL MINRH FLOOR AROUND
10% BASED ON THE LOW END OF THE MODEL FORECAST RANGE. THE WIND WILL
BE LIGHT AND FROM THE E UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SEASONABLY STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM DROPPING SOUTHWARD FROM CANADA.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................13 TO 26.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 8 6 3 3 6 5 6 10 10 9 9 9
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TSTM COV..........
LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP.............. 30 31 33 37 42 47 51 55 59 60 61 62
RH................ 66 63 53 46 39 32 27 22 18 18 18 17
20 FT WIND DIR.... NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD.... 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST... 6 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.4 3.1 3.9 4.8 5.5 5.9 6.1 6.3
TRANSP WIND DIR... NE NE NE E E E E NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD... 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5
LVORI............. 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI............... 13 13 13 17 17 17 25 25 25 26 26 26
HAINES INDEX...... 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 TO 5.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)........... 7 5 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TSTM COV..........
LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP.............. 59 55 51 48 45 41 39 37 35 34 33 33
RH................ 22 27 36 40 45 52 57 59 64 66 69 69
20 FT WIND DIR.... E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD.... 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST... 5 5 4 5 5 6 5 5 5 4 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 6.0 2.8 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR... NE E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD... 5 5 6 8 8 10 9 9 8 8 7 7
LVORI............. 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI............... 3 3 3 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3
HAINES INDEX...... 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 14
TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................5 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 48 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 3 3 3 6 9 12 15 18 22 21 19 18
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TSTM COV..........
LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP.............. 34 36 38 44 49 55 57 59 62 63 63 64
RH................ 69 69 67 57 50 43 40 37 33 34 34 34
20 FT WIND DIR.... E E E SE SE SE SE S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD.... 2 3 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST... 4 5 5 7 10 11 12 12 12 12 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.9 3.1 4.2 4.6 4.9 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.5
TRANSP WIND DIR... E E E SE SE S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD... 7 6 6 8 12 14 14 14 14 14 15 15
LVORI............. 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............... 5 5 5 39 39 39 43 43 43 48 48 48
HAINES INDEX...... 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...S ROBBINS, DCNR BSP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412347.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SHOROBBINS@PA.GOV
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