454  
FNUS71 KCTP 191204  
FWSCTP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD MOUNTAIN RX...DCNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
804 AM EDT TUE MAY 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 19.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
IN STATE COLLEGE.  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
VERY WARM TODAY WITH A MIX OF CLOUDS AND SUN. HIGH TEMPERATURES  
THIS AFTERNOON WILL APPROACH 90 DEGREES. THERE IS A 20 TO 30  
PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON,  
PARTICULARLY AFTER 2 PM. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 10  
TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.  
 
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
ON WEDNESDAY. A NOTICEABLE COOLDOWN IS EXPECTED THURSDAY INTO  
MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND ALONG WITH PERIODS OF RAIN.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 25 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...21 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................13 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 140 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 55 55 55 56 56 56 56 56 56 57  
WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV.......... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP.............. 71 73 77 80 82 84 86 86 87 84  
RH................ 71 66 58 52 49 44 42 43 42 46  
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 5 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST... 7 10 14 17 18 20 19 19 19 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.9 1.6 2.8 3.8 4.8 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.0 4.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 12 15 20 23 25 25 25 24 22 22  
LVORI............. 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI............... 13 105 105 105 140 140 140 117 117 117  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................8 TO 25.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%)........... 54 51 48 48 49 50 50 51 52 55 58 61  
WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV.......... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP.............. 84 82 78 76 74 72 71 70 69 67 67 66  
RH................ 48 51 58 62 66 68 71 71 73 78 75 78  
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST... 18 14 13 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 3.3 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR... SW SW SW SW W W SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 18 15 12 12 12 12 13 14 12 12 10 10  
LVORI............. 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4  
ADI............... 25 25 25 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...33 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................37 TO 57.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 64 67 70 74 79 83 82 80 79 74 70 65  
WEATHER COV....... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV.......... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 10 20 20 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 0  
TEMP.............. 65 67 68 70 74 75 76 73 72 72 70 70  
RH................ 84 78 78 73 66 64 60 64 64 59 57 53  
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST... 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.8 1.0 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 10 12 15 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16  
LVORI............. 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI............... 37 37 37 57 57 57 55 55 55 54 54 54  
 
 
FORECASTER...BAUCO  
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SWIFT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614014.0/CTP  
.DELDT 05/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SCSWIFT@PA.GOV  
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