420  
FNUS71 KCTP 111400  
FWSCTP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR MOUNTAIN RX UNIT...DCNR- BUREAU OF FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
1000 AM EDT MON MAY 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2000 EDT ON MAY 11.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
IN STATE COLLEGE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SUNNY START THIS MORNING GIVES WAY TO A PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY  
AFTERNOON. SKIES CLEAR TONIGHT SETTING UP A COLD/FROSTY START  
TUESDAY. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW FOLLOWED BY  
INCREASING CLOUDS WITH RAIN LIKELY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO  
WEDNESDAY.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................4 TO 8.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%)........... 28 29 21 18 11 4 7 7 3 5  
WEATHER COV....... ARS ARS WID WID WID WID WID  
WEATHER TYPE...... FST FST FST FST FST FST FST  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP.............. 45 43 40 38 36 35 33 33 32 31  
RH................ 55 57 64 67 72 75 82 82 81 85  
20 FT WIND DIR.... N N N N NW NW N NW NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST... 13 11 10 10 8 7 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR... N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 12 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7  
LVORI............. 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5  
ADI............... 8 7 7 7 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 68 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 6 6 3 2 2 1 4 5 3 9 35 28  
WEATHER COV....... WID WID WID  
WEATHER TYPE...... FST FST FST  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP.............. 31 33 37 40 45 49 51 53 56 57 58 59  
RH................ 85 82 75 64 53 46 44 41 38 37 34 33  
20 FT WIND DIR.... NW NW N N N NW W W W SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST... 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.4 0.4 1.0 2.7 3.7 4.6 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR... N NW N NW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 7 6 6 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9  
LVORI............. 4 4 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI............... 7 7 7 40 40 40 59 59 59 68 68 68  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................6 TO 12.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%)........... 55 78 85 99 95 90 91 93 94 93 91 90  
WEATHER COV....... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0  
TEMP.............. 57 55 53 50 48 47 46 45 45 44 44 45  
RH................ 37 43 48 54 58 63 68 70 73 76 79 76  
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW S SW S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 10  
20 FT WIND GUST... 8 7 7 8 8 10 11 13 14 17 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 4.2 2.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR... SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 9 8 8 8 9 9 10 13 14 14 13 13  
LVORI............. 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4  
ADI............... 6 6 6 6 6 6 12 12 12 12 12 12  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...26 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............4 IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................19 TO 33 IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 91 91 92 92 92 92 94 96 98 98 98 98  
WEATHER COV....... LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV.......... CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30 30  
TEMP.............. 45 45 46 47 48 49 50 52 53 54 55 55  
RH................ 79 82 83 86 86 89 89 86 83 83 80 80  
20 FT WIND DIR.... S S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 11 12 12 12 11 10 10 9 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST... 19 20 21 21 21 20 20 20 19 18 18 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR... S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 14 14 15 16 18 20 20 18 18 18 17 17  
LVORI............. 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 M M M M  
ADI............... 19 19 19 33 33 33 33 33 33 M M M  
 

 
FORECASTER...STEINBUGL  
REQUESTED BY...GREG KOERNIG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613317.0/CTP  
.DELDT 05/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SABEARINGE@PA.GOV,TBREININGE@PA.GOV,GREGREESE@PA.GOV,ERBUTTERS@PA.GOV,GKOERNIG@PA.GOV  
 
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