002
FNUS71 KCTP 111314
FWSCTP
SPOT FORECAST FOR CASSVILLE ROAD WILDFIRE...PADCNR ROTHROCK STATE FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
914 AM EDT WED MAR 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN STATE COLLEGE.
DISCUSSION
MULTIPLE SHOTS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE, PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO
IS POSSIBLE.
CALM WIND THIS MORNING WILL PICK UP FROM THE SOUTH AROUND 11 AM EDT.
GUSTS INTO THE MID 20S ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY AFTER WE GET SOME
BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AND AS THE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS
OCCUR.
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS UNTIL 8 OR 9 PM EDT.
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP AND THE WIND WILL PICK UP LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
THE WIND WILL BE GUSTING INTO THE 35-40 MPH RANGE AT TIMES WITH
SUSTAINED SPEEDS IN THE 15 TO 20 MPH RANGE OUT OF THE WNW. THE WIND
DECREASES THURSDAY NIGHT, BUT PICKS BACK UP AGAIN, AND LIKELY
STRONGER ON FRIDAY INTO SAT AM.
** WE WILL GIVE YOU A CALL TODAY ON THE NUMBER PROVIDED IF/WHEN
LIGHTNING, HIGH WIND GUSTS OR SUSTAINED HEAVY RAIN IS HEADED FOR
THE BURN SITE. **
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...43 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................18 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 81 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 90 89 89 89 89 89 83 78 72
WEATHER COV....... LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF THDR (%)... 20 20 20 30 30 40 40 40 30
TEMP.............. 60 63 66 66 66 66 69 71 72
RH................ 85 79 73 75 78 80 72 66 64
20 FT WIND DIR.... S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD.... 4 6 8 9 10 11 11 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST... 10 14 17 18 19 20 20 19 19
LVORI............. 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 1 1
ADI............... 18 18 18 40 40 40 81 81 81
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13 TO 16 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...31 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................26 TO 42.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)........... 74 77 79 81 83 85 87 90 92 91 90 89
WEATHER COV....... CHC LKY CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF THDR (%)... 30 30 20 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP.............. 72 71 70 69 67 66 63 61 56 51 47 43
RH................ 64 63 63 66 68 70 75 78 77 80 76 73
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W NW
20 FT WIND SPD.... 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 13 14 14 15
20 FT WIND GUST... 20 22 23 24 24 24 25 25 26 28 30 32
LVORI............. 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI............... 26 26 26 29 29 29 29 29 29 42 42 42
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 43
MPH DECREASING TO 32 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................78 TO 114.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 86 83 81 81 82 82 78 73 69 58 48 37
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP.............. 41 38 36 36 35 34 35 36 37 38 38 39
RH................ 70 70 67 61 61 61 56 52 48 44 42 39
20 FT WIND DIR.... NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD.... 15 15 15 14 14 14 13 13 12 12 11 10
20 FT WIND GUST... 33 34 34 33 31 30 30 29 28 26 24 22
LVORI............. 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............... 78 78 78 83 83 83 108 108 108 114 114 114
FORECASTER...DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...ELEANOR ELLIOTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2605428.0/CTP
.DELDT 03/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ELELLIOTT@PA.GOV
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