859  
FNUS71 KCTP 201935  
FWSCTP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TRACY RIDGE...ALLEGHENY NF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
335 PM EDT MON APR 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 21.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
IN STATE COLLEGE.  
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TUESDAY WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUDS, SLIGHTLY WARMER CONDITIONS  
AND LIGHTER WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH. CONTINUED LOW RH, BOTTOMING  
OUT IN THE 30 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
 
MORE SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY INTO  
LATE WEEK, WITH THE MOST LIKELY DAY TO REMAIN DRY BEING THURSDAY.  
TEMPERATURES TREND WARMER EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH HIGHS  
GETTING BACK INTO THE 70S TO NEAR 80F.  
 
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................24 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 95 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%)........... 22 24 29 66 63  
WEATHER COV....... WIDSPD S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE...... FROST NONE NONE RNSHWR NONE  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP.............. 29 41 49 53 56  
RH................ 60 41 34 33 34  
20 FT WIND........ S 2 S 4 S 6 SW 6 SW 6  
20 FT WIND GUST... 8 11 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (FT).... 1500 2500 3600 3500 2900  
TRANSPORT WIND.... S 13 S 15 S 18 S 21 S 21  
LVORI............. 2 1 1 1 1  
ADI............... 24 69 95 95 86  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................5 TO 12.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%)........... 58 67 67 68 69 74  
WEATHER COV....... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE...... RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV.......... S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 10 20 20 20 10 10  
TEMP.............. 57 53 50 49 48 48  
RH................ 40 52 61 71 83 86  
20 FT WIND........ SW 5 S 4 S 3 S 3 S 2 S 2  
20 FT WIND GUST... 13 11 11 10 10 8  
MIX HGT (FT).... 2200 900 900 900 900 900  
TRANSPORT WIND.... S 18 S 14 S 13 S 14 SW 12 SW 10  
LVORI............. 2 2 3 3 4 5  
ADI............... 12 12 7 6 6 5  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................9 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 64 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 73 71 68 66 63 61 56 50 45 43 42 40  
WEATHER COV....... CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
TEMP.............. 48 49 50 53 56 59 61 63 65 66 66 66  
RH................ 86 83 83 77 74 69 65 60 54 50 50 48  
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST... 6 6 6 6 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.9 3.7 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR... W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 8 7 6 7 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12  
LVORI............. 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI............... 9 9 9 22 22 22 64 64 64 64 64 64  
 

 
FORECASTER...LAMBERT  
REQUESTED BY...PAUL CLEMENT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2610959.0/CTP  
.DELDT 04/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PAMACC@FIRENET.GOV,PAUL.CLEMENT@USDA.GOV  
 
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