979
FNUS71 KCTP 161152
FWSCTP
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE KNOB SP RX...DCNR STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
752 AM EDT THU APR 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN STATE COLLEGE.
DISCUSSION
THE DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED TO DIP EVEN LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST AS DRIER AIR MIXES DOWN FROM ALOFT. MIN RH VALUES LIKELY
FALLING TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT, AND POSSIBLY AS LOW AS THE
LOWER 20S. WINDS FROM THE S TO SW WILL GUST 20-25 MPH.
THE WIND AND DRY AIR WILL RESULT IN AN ELEVATED RISK OF WILDFIRE
SPREAD THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BUT WE EXPECT THE CONDITIONS
WILL NOT BE CRITICAL ENOUGH TO WARRANT A RED FLAG WARNING.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
NORTHWESTERN PA IN THE AFTERNOON, WEAKENING AS THEY MOVE SOUTH
AND EAST TOWARDS THE BURN AREA, REACHING YOUR LOCATION AROUND
SUNSET.
FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE A LESS ACTIVE DAY IN TERMS OF
THUNDERSTORMS, WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST. MIN RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 10 PCT HIGHER
THAN TODAY, TEMPS WILL BE COOLER (BUT STILL ABOVE AVERAGE), AND
WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8.
TIME (EDT) 5AM
SKY (%)........... 72
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0
TEMP.............. 65
RH................ 68
20 FT WIND DIR.... W
20 FT WIND SPD.... 3
20 FT WIND GUST... 6
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR... W
TRANSP WIND SPD... 12
LVORI............. 3
ADI............... 8
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 22 TO
29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................16 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 213 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 70 63 49 47 44 56 53 41 34 32 43 52
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
TEMP.............. 65 65 67 69 72 75 77 79 79 81 82 80
RH................ 70 68 63 58 52 47 42 38 36 33 32 34
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD.... 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST... 8 10 10 13 14 16 18 18 19 19 19 19
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 1.1 1.1 1.2 2.1 3.7 5.0 5.4 5.9 6.4 6.8 7.0 6.9
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W W W W W W SW SW W SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD... 10 10 10 15 22 24 25 26 28 28 28 29
LVORI............. 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............... 16 16 16 139 139 139 194 194 194 213 213 213
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH IN
THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................137 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 10 LATE
IN THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)........... 52 61 72 76 76 74 64 64 64 59 63 56
WEATHER COV....... SCH CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF THDR (%)... 10 10 20 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP.............. 79 77 71 69 67 65 64 63 62 61 60 60
RH................ 37 43 56 61 66 72 74 76 79 80 82 81
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD.... 10 10 10 8 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST... 18 18 16 16 16 14 13 13 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 4.6 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD... 25 18 21 16 13 16 15 13 14 15 16 16
LVORI............. 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
ADI............... 137 137 137 14 14 14 10 10 10 11 11 11
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................37 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 91 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 62 47 58 38 40 42 35 35 19 18 17 16
WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0
TEMP.............. 59 58 60 60 62 64 66 69 71 72 74 74
RH................ 84 89 84 84 78 70 65 57 53 49 44 43
20 FT WIND DIR.... W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD.... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST... 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 11
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 1.4 1.5 1.9 2.8 2.9 3.7 4.5 5.1 5.4 5.3 4.8 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD... 17 17 20 21 20 18 17 15 14 13 10 9
LVORI............. 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1
ADI............... 37 37 37 88 88 88 91 91 91 75 75 75
FORECASTER...DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...EMILEE EUKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2610430.4/CTP
.DELDT 04/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL EEUKER@PA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page