019
FNUS71 KCTP 142227
FWSCTP
SPOT FORECAST FOR CURVE BRUSH FIRE...BLAIR CO 911
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
627 PM EDT TUE APR 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN STATE COLLEGE.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA NOW, AND WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. A FEW STRONGER WIND GUSTS AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE. WINDS OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL GUST
20-30 MPH FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON.
LOCATIONS IN SOUTH CENTRAL PA COULD SEE A CONTINUED ELEVATED RISK
FOR WILDFIRE SPREAD, PARTICULARLY IF CONVECTION WEAKENS OR
DISSIPATES BEFORE MAKING IT INTO THIS AREA EACH DAY. MIN RH
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE 30S TO LOW 40S PCT EACH
AFTERNOON. THURSDAY IS LOOKING TO BE THE DRIEST DAY WITH MIN RH
IN THE UPPER 20S PCT POSSIBLE.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING,
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...44 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................11 TO 23.
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)........... 60 38 51 48 54 66 74 64 55 52 65
WEATHER COV....... LKY SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF THDR (%)... 40 0 10 30 20 20 20 20 10 10 10
TEMP.............. 74 72 69 67 66 65 65 64 64 64 63
RH................ 53 57 66 70 75 78 78 81 81 78 84
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD.... 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST... 21 19 18 18 17 17 17 17 18 18 19
LVORI............. 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
ADI............... 23 23 13 13 13 13 13 13 11 11 11
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................0 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 60 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 71 78 65 68 60 41 47 37 40 53 55 48
WEATHER COV....... CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... SCH
CHC OF THDR (%)... 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20
TEMP.............. 64 64 65 68 70 72 74 76 79 80 80 81
RH................ 78 81 78 70 68 64 57 56 50 47 47 46
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD.... 9 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST... 20 21 22 23 25 25 24 22 21 21 20 20
LVORI............. 4 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1
ADI............... 11 11 11 0 0 0 57 57 57 60 60 60
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING THEN 21 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
EVENING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................16 TO 50.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)........... 55 51 51 46 64 58 61 64 67 72 76 81
WEATHER COV....... CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF THDR (%)... 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP.............. 79 77 75 72 71 69 68 67 66 66 65 65
RH................ 47 52 56 59 61 66 68 70 73 73 73 73
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD.... 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST... 18 18 16 14 14 14 14 14 14 16 16 17
LVORI............. 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI............... 50 50 50 16 16 16 20 20 20 18 18 18
FORECASTER...DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...D SMITHBOWER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2610357.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DSMITHBOWER@BLAIRCOUNTYPA.GOV
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