091
FNUS71 KCTP 291924
FWSCTP
SPOT FORECAST FOR TIMBER ROAD...PRIVATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
324 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2300 EDT ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN STATE COLLEGE.
DISCUSSION
IT WILL REMAIN WARM AND BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOUTHWEST
WINDS GUSTING 20 TO 30 MPH. MINRH COULD DROP TO 30% IN THE
SOUTHEAST AND LOWER RIDGE AND VALLEY DISTRICTS THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT RAINFALL ONLY AMOUNTED TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA. AN SPS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT TONIGHT
REGARDING THE ENHANCED WILD FIRE SPREAD RISK.
TONIGHT WINDS WILL DECREASE WITH TIME BECOMING MOSTLY CLAM WITH
THE OCCASIONALLY 5-10 MPH GUST FROM THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 20% THROUGHOUT THE
NIGHT.
WIDESPREAD MEASURABLE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH
A FEW STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. RAIN ON
MONDAY WILL BE MORE WIDESPREAD AND PROVIDE ADDITIONAL RELIEF TO
DRY CONDITIONS; HOWEVER, STORMS ALONG THE TRAILING COLD FRONT
MONDAY AFTERNOON COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH GUSTY WINDS OF 60+
MPH BEING THE MAIN THREAT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 TO 4.
TIME (EDT) 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)........... 78 84 86 84 88 88 92
WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 10 10 10 10 10 10 0
TEMP.............. 64 63 62 61 60 59 57
RH................ 65 65 70 75 78 78 83
20 FT WIND DIR.... SE SE SE SE SE S SE
20 FT WIND SPD.... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST... 4 2 2 2 2 2 4
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR... SW S S SW SW W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD... 6 8 8 8 7 6 6
LVORI............. 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
ADI............... 3 4 4 4 3 3 3
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING,
THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 TO 36.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 84 87 70 68 66 68 71 57 45 48 66 74
WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
TEMP.............. 55 56 56 56 59 61 64 68 71 71 72 71
RH................ 86 83 83 83 80 75 70 61 57 55 55 57
20 FT WIND DIR.... SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD.... 1 1 2 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST... 4 5 6 6 6 8 10 12 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.5 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR... SW SW SW SW S S S S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD... 7 8 8 8 9 12 13 13 15 15 14 14
LVORI............. 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 2
ADI............... 6 6 6 19 19 19 36 36 36 33 33 33
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS
LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................9 TO 13.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%)........... 76 80 74 75 74 75
WEATHER COV....... CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE...... RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP.............. 70 66 65 65 64 63
RH................ 59 70 75 75 81 87
20 FT WIND........ S 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6
20 FT WIND GUST... 14 13 14 16 17 18
MIX HGT (FT).... 1700 900 900 900 900 800
TRANSPORT WIND.... SW 13 S 12 S 14 S 15 SW 15 SW 14
LVORI............. 3 3 3 4 4 5
ADI............... 9 9 13 13 13 13
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...42 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................25 TO 58.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%)........... 75 74 80 80 93 93
WEATHER COV....... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE...... RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV.......... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF THDR (%)... 10 0 0 20 40 40
TEMP.............. 63 64 67 70 72 69
RH................ 87 87 81 76 71 76
20 FT WIND........ S 6 S 6 S 7 S 8 SW 8 SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST... 18 19 21 21 19 18
MIX HGT (FT).... 800 1000 1700 2500 3400 2300
TRANSPORT WIND.... SW 15 S 20 SW 22 SW 23 SW 23 SW 20
LVORI............. 4 4 4 3 3 3
ADI............... 25 25 46 58 58 49
FORECASTER...BOWEN
REQUESTED BY...BEN JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508401.0/CTP
.DELDT 03/29/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BENJ@RUFFEDGROUSESOCIETY.ORG
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