265  
FNUS71 KCTP 220722  
FWSCTP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 235 LETTERKENNY BURN UNITS...PA GAME COMMISSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
322 AM EDT SUN MAR 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 22.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
IN STATE COLLEGE.  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED EARLY WITH SCATTERED CLOUD  
COVERAGE NEAR THE LOCATION THROUGH THE MID-AFTERNOON HOURS. CLOUDS  
CONSIDERABLY INCREASE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS  
AHEAD OF PRECIPITATION THAT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE  
LOCATION IN THE 4PM TO 6PM TIMEFRAME. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE  
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING, WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS THE  
MAIN HAZARDS, MAINLY BETWEEN 6PM AND 9PM. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO  
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS, WITH A COLD FRONT ALLOWING FOR A POTENTIAL  
WIND SHIFT IN THIS TIMEFRAME.  
 
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY  
MORNING, WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY CONDITIONS AT THE LOCATION  
NEAR SUNRISE ON MONDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON MONDAY WILL  
REACH CLOSER TO 40%, WITH SIGNALS AS LOW AS 35% IN THE 3PM TO 6PM  
TIMEFRAME. DESPITE SLIGHTLY LOWER HUMIDITY, GUSTS ARE GENERALLY  
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH AT THE LOCATION.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 23 TO  
29 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................31 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 197 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 44 34 22 22 32 28 32 49 54  
WEATHER COV....... CHC  
WEATHER TYPE...... RW  
TSTM COV.......... CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30  
TEMP.............. 53 58 63 70 73 77 79 79 79  
RH................ 80 72 67 55 53 48 45 46 45  
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST... 10 11 12 14 16 17 17 17 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.2 3.1 4.7 5.5 6.1 5.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR... S SW SW SW SW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 12 16 15 16 17 23 26 29 26  
LVORI............. 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI............... 31 31 31 136 136 136 197 197 197  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO 15  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...34 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................7 TO 13.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%)........... 59 64 82 82 86 89 91 95 94 94 94 94  
WEATHER COV....... CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV.......... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
TEMP.............. 76 73 68 67 65 63 62 61 59 57 54 51  
RH................ 50 56 63 65 69 71 72 75 78 80 86 88  
20 FT WIND DIR.... W NW N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST... 14 12 11 11 11 11 11 12 13 13 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 2.4 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W NW NW N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 20 18 12 13 15 13 8 12 14 10 10 10  
LVORI............. 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5  
ADI............... 13 13 13 8 8 8 9 9 9 7 7 7  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 25  
TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................46 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 200 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 94 94 79 66 54 41 34 27 20 17 15 12  
WEATHER COV.......  
WEATHER TYPE......  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP.............. 48 46 45 45 45 46 47 48 50 50 51 50  
RH................ 91 89 88 81 73 65 58 54 49 46 43 42  
20 FT WIND DIR.... N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 6 7 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST... 17 18 20 20 19 18 18 18 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 1.3 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.7 6.3 6.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR... N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 14 21 22 23 25 26 28 28 28 29 29 28  
LVORI............. 5 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI............... 46 46 46 94 94 94 114 114 114 200 200 200  
 
 
FORECASTER...BEATY  
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA MCCLEESTER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606998.0/CTP  
.DELDT 03/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CLYSPADE@PA.GOV,JOMCCLEEST@PA.GOV  
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