756  
FNUS71 KCTP 151637  
FWSCTP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE KNOB SP RX...DCNR STATE PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
1237 PM EDT WED APR 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON APRIL 15.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
IN STATE COLLEGE.  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT A SHOWER WILL PASS OVER THE BURN AREA  
THIS EVENING, BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH AT LEAST 6 PM. RH  
WILL CONTINUE TO DIP INTO THE LOWER 40S AND PERHAPS UPPER 30S DURING  
THE 3-4PM TIME FRAME.  
 
THURSDAY IS LOOKING TO BE THE DRIEST DAY WITH MIN RH IN THE 20S  
AND 30S. COMBINED WITH THE LOW RH VALUES, WIND GUSTS ABOVE 20 MPH  
THURSDAY AFTERNOON MAY RESULT IN AN ELEVATED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 24 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................76.  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 24 35  
WEATHER COV.......  
WEATHER TYPE......  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 10  
TEMP.............. 83 83  
RH................ 43 42  
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST... 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 5.4 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 24 22  
LVORI............. 1 1  
ADI............... 76 76  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH EARLY  
IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................82 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 8 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%)........... 45 55 65 65 64 63 62 61 60 62 65 67  
WEATHER COV.......  
WEATHER TYPE......  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 10 10 10 10 0 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP.............. 82 79 75 73 71 70 69 69 68 67 67 66  
RH................ 42 47 52 56 59 63 62 62 61 61 63 65  
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 8 7 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 8 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST... 17 16 14 14 13 12 13 13 13 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 3.7 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 18 13 13 13 13 12 9 10 13 15 14 14  
LVORI............. 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI............... 82 82 82 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 24  
TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................22 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 194 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 65 62 60 55 51 46 32 39 43 39 42 38  
WEATHER COV.......  
WEATHER TYPE......  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10  
TEMP.............. 66 65 67 69 73 75 76 78 80 81 81 82  
RH................ 63 64 64 59 51 48 45 40 35 34 34 33  
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST... 13 14 14 14 17 18 18 18 18 19 19 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 1.1 1.0 1.2 2.3 3.5 4.6 5.2 5.7 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 15 14 14 18 20 21 22 23 24 24 25 25  
LVORI............. 3 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI............... 22 22 22 112 112 112 167 167 167 194 194 194  
 
 
FORECASTER...DANGELO  
REQUESTED BY...EMILEE EUKER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2610430.1/CTP  
.DELDT 04/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL EEUKER@PA.GOV  
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