028  
FNUS71 KCTP 011357  
FWSCTP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RUSSELL TRACT...PA CPBM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
957 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MAY 03.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
IN STATE COLLEGE.  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SUNDAY WILL BE THE NEXT CHANCE FOR AN ELEVATED RISK OF FIRE  
SPREAD WITH A GUSTY WEST-NORTHWEST WIND, MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH IN  
THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S (%) AND QUICKLY DRYING FINE FUELS.  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES COULD DROP AS LOW AS THE UPPER 20S.  
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES IN THE MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO AN INCREASE IN  
FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS BY AFTERNOON.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN AREAS OF FROST EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............3 IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................54 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 178 IN  
THE AFTERNOON IN THE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 13 12 15 18 21 29 38 46 43 40 37  
WEATHER COV....... WID ARS  
WEATHER TYPE...... FST FST  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP.............. 34 36 39 43 46 49 51 53 54 55 55  
RH................ 85 79 70 55 49 44 41 38 36 35 35  
20 FT WIND DIR.... NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST... 10 10 11 13 14 16 18 18 18 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 1.8 2.3 3.7 5.1 6.6 6.8 7.1 7.4 7.2 7.0 6.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR... NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 16 18 21 22 24 24 23 23 22 21 20  
LVORI............. 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 M M M M  
ADI............... 54 54 173 173 173 178 178 178 M M M  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............MISSING.  
ADI.................MISSING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%)........... 33 28 24 29 34 39 44 48 53 50 48 45  
WEATHER COV.......  
WEATHER TYPE......  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP.............. 55 53 51 49 47 45 43 42 42 41 41 42  
RH................ 37 41 46 50 56 60 65 67 67 70 73 73  
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 6 5 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST... 13 11 8 7 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 4.8 2.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 17 14 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 12  
LVORI............. M M M M M M M M M M M M  
ADI............... M M M M M M M M M M M M  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 23  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.  
LVORI...............MISSING.  
ADI.................MISSING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)........... 47 49 51 53 55 57 56 54 53 51 50 48  
WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV..........  
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP.............. 42 44 46 48 51 54 57 59 61 63 65 65  
RH................ 76 76 73 71 68 64 59 57 56 52 50 50  
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD.... 3 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST... 10 10 11 12 14 14 16 17 18 18 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 0.9 1.1 1.2 2.1 3.1 4.0 4.5 5.1 5.6 5.1 4.6 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR... SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD... 12 12 12 13 15 16 18 21 23 23 22 22  
LVORI............. M M M M M M M M M M M M  
ADI............... M M M M M M M M M M M M  
 
 
FORECASTER...BANGHOFF  
REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2612406.0/CTP  
.DELDT 05/01/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SHANNON@SILVIXFORESTRY.COM  
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