889
FNUS71 KCTP 152128
FWSCTP
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE KNOB SP RX...DCNR STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
528 PM EDT WED APR 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 EDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN STATE COLLEGE.
DISCUSSION
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT A SHOWER WILL PASS OVER THE BURN AREA
THIS EVENING, BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH AT LEAST 8 PM.
THURSDAY IS LOOKING TO BE THE DRIEST DAY WITH MIN RH IN THE 20S
AND 30S. COMBINED WITH THE LOW RH VALUES, WIND GUSTS ABOVE 20 MPH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON MAY RESULT IN AN ELEVATED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................126 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 8 LATE
IN THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)........... 45 55 65 65 64 63 62 61 60 62 65 67
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 10 10 10 10 0 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP.............. 82 79 75 73 71 70 69 69 68 67 67 66
RH................ 43 47 52 55 59 61 63 61 61 61 63 65
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD.... 8 7 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 8 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST... 17 16 14 14 13 12 13 13 13 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 5.0 1.7 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD... 22 15 12 12 12 12 12 13 14 14 14 16
LVORI............. 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI............... 126 126 126 8 8 8 9 9 9 11 11 11
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 24
TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................22 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 207 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 65 62 60 55 51 46 32 39 43 39 42 38
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
TEMP.............. 66 65 67 69 73 75 76 78 80 81 81 82
RH................ 63 65 63 58 50 47 43 38 34 33 33 32
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD.... 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST... 13 14 14 14 17 18 18 18 18 19 19 18
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 1.2 1.2 1.3 2.3 3.3 4.5 5.2 5.4 6.0 6.5 6.6 5.7
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W W W W W W W SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD... 15 14 13 20 22 24 24 24 25 28 29 28
LVORI............. 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............... 22 22 22 127 127 127 170 170 170 207 207 207
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS LIKELY
THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH IN
THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...23 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................131 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 12 LATE
IN THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)........... 55 61 71 72 76 79 78 78 77 76 76 75
WEATHER COV....... CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV.......... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF THDR (%)... 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP.............. 79 77 75 69 66 65 63 62 61 60 60 60
RH................ 37 40 45 57 68 73 78 81 84 87 84 84
20 FT WIND DIR.... SW W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD.... 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST... 18 17 16 16 16 16 14 14 14 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 4.4 2.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR... SW W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD... 25 20 16 18 18 17 17 17 17 18 20 20
LVORI............. 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
ADI............... 131 131 131 21 21 21 12 12 12 13 13 13
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 9 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................35 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 84 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)........... 71 66 62 56 50 44 43 43 25 23 21 19
WEATHER COV....... CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV..........
CHC OF THDR (%)... 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0
TEMP.............. 59 58 59 60 63 65 67 69 71 72 73 74
RH................ 87 90 87 84 75 70 63 57 51 48 44 43
20 FT WIND DIR.... W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD.... 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST... 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)..... 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.4 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.7 5.3
TRANSP WIND DIR... W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD... 18 18 17 18 20 20 18 15 13 12 9 8
LVORI............. 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1
ADI............... 35 35 35 82 82 82 84 84 84 69 69 69
FORECASTER...DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...EMILEE EUKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2610430.2/CTP
.DELDT 04/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL EEUKER@PA.GOV
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