913  
FNUS71 KPHI 301157  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SWARTSWOOD RXB...NEW JERSEY FOREST FIRE SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
757 AM EDT SUN MAR 30 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF  
SUNDAY. THIS FRONT FINALLY LIFTS BACK TO THE NORTHEAST ONCE AND  
FOR ALL SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY, BEFORE A MORE POWERFUL  
FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT.  
HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE A MORE ACTIVE  
WEATHER PATTERN ARRIVES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT  
WEEKEND.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (19800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................16 TO 21.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........94 93 91 92 90 88 86 83 77 81  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 20  
TEMP............41 43 44 46 48 50 51 51 51 51  
RH..............92 89 89 86 80 77 77 80 80 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 9 9 10 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 9 9 9 9 9 10 9  
ADI.............17 17 16 16 16 17 18 19 21 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 11 11 13 14 15 17 18 20 15  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
AND A CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
8 TO 12 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5700 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................3 TO 13.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........77 83 85 85 87 87 87 85 85 86 88 91  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG RNF RNF RNF RNF RNF RNF RNF RNF RNF RNF  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 50  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 50  
TEMP............51 51 51 51 50 49 49 49 50 50 51 52  
RH..............80 80 77 80 83 89 89 93 93 93 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 13 14 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 9 9 8 9 9 7 8 9 12  
ADI.............13 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 9 11 8 7 6 7 7 6 7 7 9  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN  
THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING THEN RAIN SHOWERS BECOME LIKELY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................30-40 PERCENT IN THE MORNING, INCREASING TO  
60 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING  
TO 90 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........RAPID WIND SHIFTS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
BUT OTHERWISE NONE EXPECTED.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 23  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (43500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................8 TO 46.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........91 92 92 87 84 89 87 85 83 85 87 88  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RNF RNF RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC  
CWR.............40 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 60 60 60 90  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 60 60 60 90  
TEMP............54 56 58 61 64 65 66 68 69 69 68 68  
RH..............93 93 93 84 78 78 78 73 73 73 76 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 9 10 12 10 10 10 10 9 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 18 23 25 25 25 24 24 23 21 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 16 20 22 21 21 23 23 21 20 17  
ADI.............8 17 22 32 38 38 38 46 45 39 33 27  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 11 15 25 32 34 34 44 41 34 27 20  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...AKL  
REQUESTED BY...KEN LUNDEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2508411.0/PHI  
.DELDT 03/30/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KENNETH.LUNDEN@DEP.NJ.GOV  
 
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