144
FNUS71 KPHI 220653
FWSPHI
SPOT FORECAST FOR SKILLMAN RXB...NEW JERSEY FOREST FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
253 AM EDT SUN MAR 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ARRIVES LATER TODAY, PULLING A STRONG COLD
FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR TUESDAY, THEN A WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH
THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY BEFORE ANOTHER STRONG
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY
BUILDS IN FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........SOUTHEAST VEERING TO SOUTHWEST LATE THIS MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 16
TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (55600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ADI.................26 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 71 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........73 70 76 69 53 65 59 58 60 69
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0 10 10
TEMP............44 48 50 53 56 60 65 67 69 70
RH..............82 80 83 80 74 67 58 54 53 51
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 10 13 14 14 14 15 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 18 18 20 21 22 23 21 18 16
ADI.............26 30 35 41 45 49 71 61 52 43
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 24 31 39 44 50 56 47 39 32
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
RAIN OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT
EARLY IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT
LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT
INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT OVERNIGHT INCREASING
TO 80 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT
OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO 80 PERCENT DECREASING
TO 70 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM DECREASING TO 40
PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........SOUTHWEST SHIFTING TO NORTH OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 17
TO 18 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (22700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (6800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
ADI.................0 TO 32.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........78 82 88 93 91 94 96 97 94 96 96 96
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............20 30 50 60 60 50 70 80 90 80 70 40
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 50 60 60 50 70 80 90 80 70 40
TEMP............68 66 64 61 59 58 56 55 54 52 51 49
RH..............57 61 65 75 80 83 90 90 90 93 89 93
20 FT WIND DIR..S W N N NE N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12 9 8 7 8 8 9 9 10 12 13 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.3 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW N N N N N NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 10 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 17 18
ADI.............32 11 9 10 11 11 9 9 15 10 5 0
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 13 7 8 10 12 14 16 18 19 21 23
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (25200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (54400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ADI.................0 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........91 90 86 91 80 69 59 55 38 31 23 16
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............40 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10
TEMP............48 46 45 45 45 45 45 46 47 47 48 48
RH..............89 93 89 86 79 76 73 65 60 58 51 47
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 10 12 13 13 14 14 14 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 16 18 22 24 25 26 26 28 28 26
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.7 1.9 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.5 3.2 3.9 4.8 5.6 5.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 18 20 18 17 16 14 14 14 14 14
ADI.............0 0 0 M M M M M M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..25 28 30 29 29 30 35 39 43 49 54 53
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR
FORECASTER...FITZSIMMONS
REQUESTED BY...ERIC KELLY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606801.0/PHI
.DELDT 03/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ERIC.KELLY@DEP.NJ.GOV
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