468  
FNUS71 KBOX 280814  
FWSBOX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LEYDEN WMA PRESCRIBED FIRE...MASSWILDLIFE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA  
414 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON OCTOBER 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MAINLY SUNNY SKIES WITH NE WINDS 5-12 MPH. POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL  
EARLY THIS MORNING IMPROVING INTO THE "GOOD" CATEGORY AFTER 11 AM  
AS MIXING INCREASES. CAN'T RULE OUT AN OCCASIONAL GUST 15-20 MPH  
LATE MORNING-EARLY AFTERNOON. MIN RELATIVE HUMIDITY 47-50 PERCENT.  
 
PARTLY SUNNY. LIGHT NE WINDS WEDNESDAY 5-8 MPH. SLIGHTLY MORE  
MOISTURE AROUND WITH MIN RELATIVE HUMIDITY 55-60 PERCENT.  
SUFFICIENT MIXING TO BRING SMOKE DISPERSAL INTO "GOOD" CATEGORY,  
ALTHOUGH NOT AS DEEPLY MIXED AT TUESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............35.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...28.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (44700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................11 TO 38.  
CEILING (KFT).......15 INCREASING TO 20 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 13 EARLY DECREASING TO 9.0 EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 15 DECREASING TO  
10 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 20  
DECREASING TO 13 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........8 7 3 8 13 21 24 25 26 25 28  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............33 34 37 41 45 48 50 52 53 53 51  
DEWPOINT........33 33 34 36 37 37 36 36 35 35 35  
RH..............100 96 89 82 73 65 58 54 50 50 54  
HEAT INDEX (F)..28 30 32 37 41 44 47 52 53 53 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 6 6 7 8 7 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12  
SURFACE WND DIR.N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE  
SURFACE WND SPD.6 5 6 6 7 8 7 8 8 7 6  
SURFACE WND GST.9 10 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.0 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 12 15 14 15 15 14 14 13 10  
LVORI...........7 6 5 3 3 3 1 1 1 2 2  
ADI.............11 11 13 23 27 35 38 36 37 30 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 8 17 25 38 43 43 45 33 11  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...15 15 20 20 13 9.0 15 10 20 13 15  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............34.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...32.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................4 TO 8.  
CEILING (KFT).......15 INCREASING TO 20 EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING  
TO 11 DECREASING TO 9.0 DECREASING TO 8.0 EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........28 32 40 37 36 33 30 31 31 34 37 45  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 45 43 42 40 40 39 39 38 37 37 37  
DEWPOINT........35 35 35 35 35 35 35 34 34 34 33 33  
RH..............58 68 73 76 82 82 85 82 85 89 85 85  
HEAT INDEX (F)..46 41 39 38 35 35 33 33 33 32 32 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 12 13 13 13  
SURFACE WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
SURFACE WND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 7  
SURFACE WND GST.10 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 12 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N NE N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 9 10 12 13 12 12 12 12 12  
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 5 4 4 4 5 6 5 4  
ADI.............4 4 5 4 5 8 8 8 5 5 5 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 3 3 3 3 4 5 4 3 4 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...15 20 20 15 11 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.0  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
CWR.................4 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............35 INCREASING TO 37 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...30.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (34100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................1 TO 28.  
CEILING (KFT).......8.0 DECREASING TO 7.0 IN THE MORNING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 6.0 INCREASING TO 7.0 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........60 57 57 42 51 60 62 65 67 69 72 74  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 36 37 39 41 44 46 48 50 51 52 51  
DEWPOINT........33 33 33 35 36 36 37 38 38 38 37 37  
RH..............89 89 85 85 80 73 69 66 63 60 58 59  
HEAT INDEX (F)..30 30 32 36 38 41 44 47 48 51 52 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 10 10  
SURFACE WND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
SURFACE WND SPD.7 7 6 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 3 3  
SURFACE WND GST.13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.0 2.5 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 12 15 15 14 13 13 12 10 10 9  
LVORI...........5 7 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 2 2  
ADI.............8 1 13 23 28 1 1 1 1 1 23 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 7 17 25 28 32 34 33 28 22 15  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...8.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.0 6.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0  
 

 
FORECASTER...MENSCH  
REQUESTED BY...BENJAMIN MAZZEI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524596.0/BOX  
.DELDT 10/28/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BEN.MAZZEI@MASS.GOV  
 
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