254  
FNUS52 KILM 220647  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
247 AM EDT TUE SEP 22 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT, WITH ELEVATED RAIN  
CHANCES TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER, NO SIGNIFICANT DROUGHT  
RELIEF IS ANTICIPATED. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW NORMAL FOR THE  
END OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.  
 
NCZ105>110-222000-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-  
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,  
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,  
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH  
247 AM EDT TUE SEP 22 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 40  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 50 50 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 85 67 82  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 74 100 75  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4 N 9 G19  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) E 5 NE 5 NE 10 G21  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.08 0.08  
PRECIP DURATION 4 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING 11 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 75/0900 1900 70/0600  
DISPERSION FAIR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 2900 3200  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) E 14 NE 18  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 40600 57600  
ADI EARLY 33 FAIR 8 POOR 37 FAIR  
ADI LATE 39 FAIR 11 POOR 45 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 8 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 8 4  
MIN VSBY EARLY 5 RAIN 6 RAIN 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C E D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM  
RH 90 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
82 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ087-096-099-222000-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
247 AM EDT TUE SEP 22 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 30  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 50 50 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 89 67 80  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 61 100 75  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 8 G19  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) E 4 NE 4 NE 10 G23  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.15 0.06  
PRECIP DURATION 3 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING 6 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 4 AM CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 74/0900 1900 69/0600  
DISPERSION POOR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3700 3100  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) E 12 NE 18  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 44400 55800  
ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 6 VERY POOR 35 FAIR  
ADI LATE 40 FAIR 9 POOR 43 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 9 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 4  
MIN VSBY EARLY 3 RAIN 6 RAIN 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 6 RAIN 7  
TURNER STABILITY C F D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
89 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
80 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
82 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.  
 

 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-222000-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,  
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, RED HILL, LORIS, AND AYNOR  
247 AM EDT TUE SEP 22 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 40 40  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 50 40 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 87 67 81  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 71 100 74  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 7 G17  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) E 5 NE 4 NE 9 G18  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.09 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION 4 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING 2 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 4 AM CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 77/1000 1900 69/0600  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3100 3500  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) E 12 NE 15  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 37200 52500  
ADI EARLY 26 FAIR 6 VERY POOR 32 FAIR  
ADI LATE 34 FAIR 8 POOR 39 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 9 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 4  
MIN VSBY EARLY 4 RAIN 6 RAIN 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C F D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM  
RH 90 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
80 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-222000-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
247 AM EDT TUE SEP 22 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 20  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 50 50 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 88 66 81  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 61 100 74  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 6 G17  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) E 4 LGT/VAR NE 9 G20  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.24 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING 2 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 4 AM CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 75/0900 1900 68/0600  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4000 3400  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) E 10 NE 16  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 40000 54400  
ADI EARLY 33 FAIR 6 VERY POOR 30 FAIR  
ADI LATE 41 GEN GOOD 8 POOR 40 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 9 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 4  
MIN VSBY EARLY 4 RAIN 6 RAIN 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 6 RAIN 7  
TURNER STABILITY C F D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
90 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
80 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759  
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...III  
 
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