856  
FNUS52 KILM 151733  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
133 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
COOLER AIR WILL FOLLOW A DRY COLD FRONT TONIGHT THROUGH THE END  
OF THE WEEK. WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN THIS WEEKEND AS HIGH  
PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD, WITH LOW RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY NIGHT  
ASSOCIATED WITH A SECOND COLD FRONT.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.  
 
NCZ105>110-160645-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-  
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,  
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,  
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH  
133 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 51 70 43 68  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 98 41 77 37  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 N 4 N 5  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR N 7 LGT/VAR N 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1800 57/0900 1900 49/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR POOR  
DSI 2 1  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3700 4000  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 20 N 16  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 74000 64000  
ADI EARLY 6 VERY POOR 52 GEN GOOD 6 VERY POOR 59 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 6 VERY POOR 69 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 73 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 5 3 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 7 1 3 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY F C F B  
 
REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE PRESENT.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
80 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
90 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH  
82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ087-096-099-160645-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
133 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 71 43 69  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 95 38 80 36  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1800 57/0900 1900 49/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR VERY POOR  
DSI 2 1  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3900 4000  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 17 N 10  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 66300 40000  
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 55 GEN GOOD 6 VERY POOR 48 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 6 VERY POOR 75 GOOD 4 VERY POOR 64 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 3 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 6 1 3 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY F B F B  
 
REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE PRESENT.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
94 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
83 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-160645-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,  
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS,  
GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
133 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 53 71 44 68  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 96 47 82 43  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 LGT/VAR N 4  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1900 59/0900 1900 51/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR VERY POOR  
DSI 2 1  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3700 3900  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 16 N 13  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 59200 50700  
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 38 FAIR 5 VERY POOR 42 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 66 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 56 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 5 3 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 7 1 3 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY F B F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
84 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
94 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-160645-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
133 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
MIN/MAX TEMP 53 72 44 69  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 94 42 85 39  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1800 58/0900 1800 49/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR VERY POOR  
DSI 2 1  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3900 4000  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 15 N 8  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 58500 32000  
ADI EARLY 4 VERY POOR 44 GEN GOOD 5 VERY POOR 37 FAIR  
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 65 GOOD 4 VERY POOR 45 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 5 3 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 6 1 4 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY F B F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
89 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
96 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759  
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...VAO  
 
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