179  
FNUS52 KILM 161955  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
355 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND TROUGH INLAND WILL MAINTAIN ISOLATED TO  
SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO WEDNESDAY AS A TROUGH  
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, SHOWER AND  
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE  
EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.  
 
NCZ105>110-171200-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-  
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,  
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,  
AND SUNSET BEACH  
355 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 30 0 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE TSTMS  
LAL 1 3 1 3  
MIN/MAX TEMP 76 96 77 95  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 SW 4 S 9 SW 7  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 4 S 8 SW 8 SW 10 G21  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION 1 2  
INVERSION 2000 80/0800 2100 78/0600  
DISPERSION FAIR GOOD  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 98 47 96 52  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7120 5770  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 18  
VENTILATION RATE 81880 106170  
ADI EARLY 26 FAIR 37 FAIR 49 GEN GOOD 48 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 2 VERY POOR 48 GEN GOOD 10 POOR 53 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 5 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 8 2 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-171200-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE, NORTH MYRTLE BEACH,  
GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET,  
CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS, GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
355 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 40 0 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE TSTMS  
LAL 1 3 1 3  
MIN/MAX TEMP 75 96 76 94  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 SW 4 S 9 SW 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 4 S 7 SW 7 SW 9 G20  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2  
INVERSION 2000 81/0900 2100 78/0600  
DISPERSION FAIR GOOD  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 45 96 52  
DSI 3 2  
HAINES INDEX 3 4 3 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7460 6630  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 SW 15  
VENTILATION RATE 77210 99120  
ADI EARLY 27 FAIR 34 FAIR 37 FAIR 32 FAIR  
ADI LATE 2 VERY POOR 43 GEN GOOD 8 POOR 47 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 9 5 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 10 2 7 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ087-096-099-171200-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
355 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 30 0 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE TSTMS  
LAL 1 3 1 3  
MIN/MAX TEMP 75 97 75 96  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 SW 4 S 9 SW 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 4 SW 7 S 6 SW 8  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2  
INVERSION 2000 79/0800 2100 77/0700  
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 98 41 97 46  
DSI 3 3  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7550 6690  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 SW 17  
VENTILATION RATE 104190 115400  
ADI EARLY 24 FAIR 51 GEN GOOD 49 GEN GOOD 34 FAIR  
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 66 GOOD 7 POOR 62 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 8 4 7  
MAX LVORI LATE 8 1 7 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-171200-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
355 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 40 0 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE TSTMS  
LAL 1 3 1 3  
MIN/MAX TEMP 75 97 75 96  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 4 SW 4 S 8 SW 5  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 3 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION 1 2  
INVERSION 2000 82/0900 2000 77/0700  
DISPERSION POOR FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 41 96 45  
DSI 3 3  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 4 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7740 6770  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 17  
VENTILATION RATE 97910 116780  
ADI EARLY 22 FAIR 44 GEN GOOD 51 GEN GOOD 37 FAIR  
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 55 GEN GOOD 6 VERY POOR 67 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 8 4 7  
MAX LVORI LATE 7 1 7 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
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