914  
FNUS52 KILM 191207  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
807 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY. RAIN CHANCES  
RETURN TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. FOLLOWING A COLD FRONT  
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE  
REGION FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.  
 
NCZ105>110-200415-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-  
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,  
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,  
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH  
807 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 88 65 87  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 33 95 52  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4 N 4  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR SE 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 73/0900 1900 70/0800  
DISPERSION POOR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 5700 3900  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) W 12 SE 10  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 68400 39000  
ADI EARLY 33 FAIR 9 POOR 29 FAIR  
ADI LATE 66 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 34 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY A F B  
 
REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE PRESENT.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 50 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND  
90. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 40 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
77 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
80 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ087-096-099-200415-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
807 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 30  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 88 65 88  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 33 94 50  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 4  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 4 LGT/VAR E 4  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 73/0900 1900 69/0800  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 5400 4300  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) W 13 S 12  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 70200 51600  
ADI EARLY 34 FAIR 9 POOR 24 FAIR  
ADI LATE 78 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 39 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY A F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 40 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
76 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
78 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM  
RH 82 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-200415-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,  
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS,  
GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
807 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 30  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 88 67 90  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 39 98 53  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR S 4 LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) S 5 LGT/VAR SE 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 75/0900 1900 76/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 5800 4700  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) W 9 S 12  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 52200 56400  
ADI EARLY 22 FAIR 7 POOR 25 FAIR  
ADI LATE 57 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 40 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 7  
MAX LVORI LATE 2 8 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY A F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
92 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND  
90. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM  
RH 87 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-200415-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
807 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 30  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 88 67 91  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 38 96 49  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) W 4 LGT/VAR S 4  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 74/0900 1900 75/1000  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
DSI 2 3  
MIXING HGT (FT) 5200 4900  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) W 9 SW 12  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 46800 58800  
ADI EARLY 29 FAIR 8 POOR 24 FAIR  
ADI LATE 60 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 52 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY A F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 40 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND  
90. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM  
RH 78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM  
RH 87 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759  
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...21  
 
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