691  
FNUS52 KILM 191942  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
342 PM EDT FRI OCT 19 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL SHIFT OFF  
THE COAST WITH WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR RETURNING SATURDAY.  
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT  
FOLLOWED BY CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE, BRINGING SOME OF THE COLDEST  
WEATHER SO FAR THIS SEASON EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW PRESSURE MOVING  
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST SHOULD SPREAD CLOUDS AND RAIN NORTHWARD  
INTO THE CAROLINAS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW  
 
NCZ105>110-201145-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-  
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,  
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,  
AND SUNSET BEACH  
342 PM EDT FRI OCT 19 2018  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 40 40 0  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 62 80 48 63  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 4 SW 6 W 9 NW 12 G29  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 W 10 NW 11 G20 N 11 G27  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1  
INVERSION 2000 71/0900 NONE NONE  
DISPERSION FAIR GOOD  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 94 62 86 33  
DSI 2 3  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4130 5050  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 23 N 20  
VENTILATION RATE 94990 101000  
ADI EARLY 26 FAIR 37 FAIR 53 GEN GOOD 97 GOOD  
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 66 GOOD 34 FAIR 70 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 4 2  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 3 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 74 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ087-096-099-201145-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
342 PM EDT FRI OCT 19 2018  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 40 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 61 79 47 62  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 4 SW 7 W 8 N 10 G21  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 4 W 10 NW 10 N 10 G23  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 2 0  
INVERSION 2000 66/0800 NONE NONE  
DISPERSION POOR GOOD  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 93 63 85 34  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4240 4880  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 22 N 16  
VENTILATION RATE 93280 78080  
ADI EARLY 26 FAIR 35 FAIR 47 GEN GOOD 100 GOOD  
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 61 GOOD 13 GEN POOR 62 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 6 4 2  
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 3 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 77 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
80 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN  
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-201145-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE, NORTH MYRTLE BEACH,  
GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET,  
CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS, GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
342 PM EDT FRI OCT 19 2018  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 40 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 62 81 49 63  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 3 SW 7 W 9 N 12 G29  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 3 W 11 NW 11 N 11 G27  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1 0  
INVERSION 2000 68/0900 NONE NONE  
DISPERSION POOR EXCELLENT  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 98 59 83 34  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4430 4470  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 25 N 20  
VENTILATION RATE 110750 89400  
ADI EARLY 19 GEN POOR 47 GEN GOOD 61 GOOD 89 GOOD  
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 74 GOOD 41 GEN GOOD 67 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 8 4 2  
MAX LVORI LATE 7 1 3 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 74 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH  
94 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
77 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ032-033-039-201145-  
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS, AND KINGSTREE  
342 PM EDT FRI OCT 19 2018  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 30 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 62 81 47 62  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 3 SW 7 W 8 N 10 G21  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 3 W 11 NW 10 N 10 G23  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1 0  
INVERSION 2000 66/0900 NONE NONE  
DISPERSION VERY POOR GOOD  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 60 86 33  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4450 4360  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 26 N 17  
VENTILATION RATE 115700 74120  
ADI EARLY 18 GEN POOR 40 FAIR 45 GEN GOOD 75 GOOD  
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 77 GOOD 38 FAIR 59 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 4 3  
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 3 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
94 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
79 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN  
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-201145-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, AND DILLON  
342 PM EDT FRI OCT 19 2018  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 40 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 60 79 46 61  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 4 SW 7 W 8 N 10 G21  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 4 W 10 NW 10 N 9 G23  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 2  
INVERSION 2000 66/0900 NONE NONE  
DISPERSION POOR GOOD  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 95 61 89 34  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 5 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4110 4540  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 20 N 15  
VENTILATION RATE 82200 68100  
ADI EARLY 18 GEN POOR 39 FAIR 37 FAIR 90 GOOD  
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 63 GOOD 14 GEN POOR 54 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 4 3  
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 3 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 77 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
84 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
8  
 
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