839  
FNUS52 KILM 190807  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
407 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2019  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BRINGING DRY  
WEATHER, BREEZY NE WINDS, AND BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE HIGH  
WILL SETTLE OVERHEAD ON SATURDAY, THEN SLIP OFFSHORE EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
THIS WILL BRING A WARMING TREND ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING MOISTURE.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE  
TYPE 1-F...DIRECTION NE...MAXIMUM WIND 26 MPH AT 1700 FT.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.  
 
NCZ105>110-200015-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-  
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,  
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,  
AND SUNSET BEACH  
407 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 78 54 80  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 7 G20 NE 6 NE 5  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 8 NE 5 NE 4  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 64/0900 1900 65/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 49 91 46  
DSI 3 2  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5670 4950  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 SE 5  
VENTILATION RATE 71730 22770  
ADI EARLY 67 GOOD 43 GEN GOOD 27 FAIR  
ADI LATE 66 GOOD 4 VERY POOR 25 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
99 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ087-096-099-200015-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
407 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 77 52 80  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 6 NE 4 NE 4  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 7 NE 4 NE 3  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 63/0900 1800 63/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 46 93 43  
DSI 3 2  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5680 4580  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 SE 3  
VENTILATION RATE 71850 15800  
ADI EARLY 68 GOOD 39 FAIR 25 FAIR  
ADI LATE 73 GOOD 2 VERY POOR 21 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-200015-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE, NORTH MYRTLE BEACH,  
GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET,  
CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS, GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
407 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 78 54 80  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 7 NE 6 NE 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 8 NE 5 E 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 63/0900 2000 64/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 47 90 49  
DSI 3 3  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 5  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5730 5180  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 10 E 7  
VENTILATION RATE 59310 35740  
ADI EARLY 58 GEN GOOD 43 GEN GOOD 39 FAIR  
ADI LATE 60 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 39 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
98 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ032-033-039-200015-  
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS, AND KINGSTREE  
407 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 78 53 80  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 6 NE 5 NE 5  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 7 NE 4 E 4  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 63/0900 1800 63/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 44 91 45  
DSI 3 3  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5620 5150  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 E 5  
VENTILATION RATE 71090 23690  
ADI EARLY 62 GOOD 40 FAIR 34 FAIR  
ADI LATE 64 GOOD 3 VERY POOR 31 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
99 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
84 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-200015-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, AND DILLON  
407 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 78 52 80  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 6 NE 5 NE 4  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 7 NE 4 NE 3  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 63/0900 1800 61/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 41 91 42  
DSI 3 2  
HAINES INDEX 4 5 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5470 4500  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 14 SE 3  
VENTILATION RATE 75490 15520  
ADI EARLY 66 GOOD 40 FAIR 24 FAIR  
ADI LATE 72 GOOD 3 VERY POOR 19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
97 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
8  
 
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