251
FNUS52 KILM 231959
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
259 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST OVERNIGHT, LIFTING
A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA ON SUNDAY, ACCOMPANIED BY A LINE OF SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FOLLOWING THE FRONT, BUT COLD AIR WILL REMAIN TRAPPED WELL
NORTH OF THE AREA. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST, MOVING
OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATE NEXT WEEK, SETTING UP ANOTHER ROUND
OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...HIGH
NCZ105>110-241200-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
259 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 20 60 0 0
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 75 42 61
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 12 G23 W 10 G20 NW 7
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 SW 13 G24 NW 9 G20 NW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0 3
INVERSION 1800 64/900 1900 47/800
DISPERSION VERY POOR EXCELLENT
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 54 75 23
DSI 1 2
HAINES INDEX 2 3 5 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3870 4450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 32 NW 16
VENTILATION RATE 123840 71200
ADI EARLY 2 VERY POOR 50 GEN GOOD 22 FAIR 91 GOOD
ADI LATE 8 POOR 84 GOOD 10 POOR 83 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 3 2
MAX LVORI LATE 10 3 2 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NCZ087-096-099-241200-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
259 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 20 60 0 0
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 75 39 60
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 11 G23 W 10 G21 NW 6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 5 W 15 G25 W 7 NW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 3
INVERSION 1700 63/900 1900 45/800
DISPERSION VERY POOR GOOD
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 45 62 22
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 2 3 5 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4390 4550
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 36 NW 14
VENTILATION RATE 158040 63700
ADI EARLY 4 VERY POOR 39 FAIR 23 FAIR 84 GOOD
ADI LATE 9 POOR 99 GOOD 7 POOR 76 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 2 3
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 3 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SCZ039-054>056-058-059-241200-
WILLIAMSBURG-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
CENTRAL HORRY-NORTHERN HORRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF KINGSTREE, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS, GREEN SEA,
AND AYNOR
259 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 20 70 0 0
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 77 43 62
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 12 G22 W 10 G20 NW 6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 W 14 G23 NW 7 NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 4
INVERSION 1700 64/800 1900 49/900
DISPERSION VERY POOR GOOD
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 46 66 23
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 2 3 5 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4290 4460
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 31 NW 13
VENTILATION RATE 132990 57980
ADI EARLY 2 VERY POOR 40 FAIR 21 FAIR 74 GOOD
ADI LATE 9 POOR 84 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 68 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 3 2
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 2 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
72 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SCZ032-033-241200-
FLORENCE-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLORENCE, MARION, AND MULLINS
259 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 60 0 0
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 48 75 40 62
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 3 SW 12 G22 W 9 G20 NW 6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 W 15 G24 NW 6 NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.06 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 3
INVERSION 1700 64/800 1900 46/800
DISPERSION POOR FAIR
MAX/MIN RH (%) 97 45 61 23
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 2 3 5 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4450 4560
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 35 NW 13
VENTILATION RATE 155750 59280
ADI EARLY 4 VERY POOR 47 GEN GOOD 22 FAIR 75 GOOD
ADI LATE 9 POOR 99 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 69 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 4 3 2
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 2 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SCZ017-023-024-241200-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, AND DILLON
259 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 60 0 0
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 74 39 61
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 3 SW 12 G22 W 10 G20 NW 6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 W 15 G25 W 7 NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
INVERSION CONTINUED 61/800 1900 44/800
DISPERSION POOR GOOD
MAX/MIN RH (%) 95 37 56 23
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 2 3 5 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4660 4770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 36 NW 13
VENTILATION RATE 167760 62010
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 43 GEN GOOD 22 FAIR 72 GOOD
ADI LATE 9 POOR 103 VERY GOOD7 POOR 69 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 4 2 2
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 2 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
75 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
III
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