251  
FNUS52 KILM 231959  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
259 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST OVERNIGHT, LIFTING  
A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE  
AREA ON SUNDAY, ACCOMPANIED BY A LINE OF SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL  
BUILD IN FOLLOWING THE FRONT, BUT COLD AIR WILL REMAIN TRAPPED WELL  
NORTH OF THE AREA. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST, MOVING  
OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATE NEXT WEEK, SETTING UP ANOTHER ROUND  
OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...HIGH  
 
NCZ105>110-241200-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-  
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,  
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,  
AND SUNSET BEACH  
259 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 20 60 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 75 42 61  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 12 G23 W 10 G20 NW 7  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 SW 13 G24 NW 9 G20 NW 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 0 3  
INVERSION 1800 64/900 1900 47/800  
DISPERSION VERY POOR EXCELLENT  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 54 75 23  
DSI 1 2  
HAINES INDEX 2 3 5 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3870 4450  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 32 NW 16  
VENTILATION RATE 123840 71200  
ADI EARLY 2 VERY POOR 50 GEN GOOD 22 FAIR 91 GOOD  
ADI LATE 8 POOR 84 GOOD 10 POOR 83 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 3 2  
MAX LVORI LATE 10 3 2 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
73 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ087-096-099-241200-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
259 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 20 60 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 75 39 60  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 11 G23 W 10 G21 NW 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 5 W 15 G25 W 7 NW 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1 3  
INVERSION 1700 63/900 1900 45/800  
DISPERSION VERY POOR GOOD  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 45 62 22  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 2 3 5 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4390 4550  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 36 NW 14  
VENTILATION RATE 158040 63700  
ADI EARLY 4 VERY POOR 39 FAIR 23 FAIR 84 GOOD  
ADI LATE 9 POOR 99 GOOD 7 POOR 76 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 2 3  
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 3 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
73 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ039-054>056-058-059-241200-  
WILLIAMSBURG-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-  
CENTRAL HORRY-NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF KINGSTREE, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,  
MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS, GREEN SEA,  
AND AYNOR  
259 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 20 70 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 52 77 43 62  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 12 G22 W 10 G20 NW 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 W 14 G23 NW 7 NW 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1 4  
INVERSION 1700 64/800 1900 49/900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR GOOD  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 46 66 23  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 2 3 5 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4290 4460  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 31 NW 13  
VENTILATION RATE 132990 57980  
ADI EARLY 2 VERY POOR 40 FAIR 21 FAIR 74 GOOD  
ADI LATE 9 POOR 84 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 68 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 3 2  
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 2 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
72 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
90 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ032-033-241200-  
FLORENCE-MARION-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLORENCE, MARION, AND MULLINS  
259 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 60 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 48 75 40 62  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 3 SW 12 G22 W 9 G20 NW 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 W 15 G24 NW 6 NW 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.06 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1 3  
INVERSION 1700 64/800 1900 46/800  
DISPERSION POOR FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 97 45 61 23  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 2 3 5 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4450 4560  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 35 NW 13  
VENTILATION RATE 155750 59280  
ADI EARLY 4 VERY POOR 47 GEN GOOD 22 FAIR 75 GOOD  
ADI LATE 9 POOR 99 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 69 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 4 3 2  
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 2 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-241200-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, AND DILLON  
259 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 60 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHOWERS NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 74 39 61  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 3 SW 12 G22 W 10 G20 NW 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 W 15 G25 W 7 NW 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2  
INVERSION CONTINUED 61/800 1900 44/800  
DISPERSION POOR GOOD  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 95 37 56 23  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 2 3 5 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4660 4770  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 36 NW 13  
VENTILATION RATE 167760 62010  
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 43 GEN GOOD 22 FAIR 72 GOOD  
ADI LATE 9 POOR 103 VERY GOOD7 POOR 69 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 4 2 2  
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 2 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
75 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
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