462  
FNUS52 KILM 090612  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
212 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE GEORGIA COAST TONIGHT ALONG A  
STALLED COLD FRONT. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH LATE THIS WEEK GUSTY  
WINDS AND COASTAL RAIN ARE EXPECTED ALONG WITH COOLER  
TEMPERATURES. DRY WEATHER AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE  
EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.  
 
NCZ105>110-091915-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-  
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,  
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,  
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH  
212 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 74 57 74  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 48 82 60  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NE 10 G22 NE 10 G25 NE 11 G23  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NE 11 G23 NE 10 G24 NE 11 G23  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 61/0600 1900 60/0800  
DISPERSION EXCELLENT  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4700 3800  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NE 20 NE 23  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 94000 87400  
ADI EARLY 59 GEN GOOD 21 FAIR 54 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 73 GOOD 19 GEN POOR 63 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 3 3  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C D D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 50 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
72 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
94 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NCZ087-096-099-091915-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
212 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 74 56 74  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 39 79 51  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NE 9 G20 NE 8 G19 NE 9 G19  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NE 9 G21 NE 8 G19 NE 9 G20  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 60/0600 1900 57/0600  
DISPERSION GOOD  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 5100 3900  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NE 20 NE 21  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 102000 81900  
ADI EARLY 65 GOOD 15 GEN POOR 46 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 81 GOOD 19 GEN POOR 56 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 3  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C E D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH  
93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM  
RH 97 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-091915-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,  
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS,  
GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
212 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 30  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 73 57 74  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 49 85 64  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NE 10 G23 NE 9 G24 NE 11 G25  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NE 11 G21 NE 10 G25 NE 11 G24  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.05  
PRECIP DURATION 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 61/0600 1900 59/0600  
DISPERSION EXCELLENT  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4300 3300  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NE 20 NE 25  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 86000 82500  
ADI EARLY 50 GEN GOOD 19 GEN POOR 50 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 58 GEN GOOD 20 GEN POOR 60 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 3 3  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY D D D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM  
RH 96 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
68 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-091915-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
212 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 73 54 73  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 39 81 52  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) NE 9 G19 NE 8 G18 NE 10 G19  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) NE 10 G20 NE 8 G19 NE 10 G20  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 60/0600 1900 57/0600  
DISPERSION GOOD  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4700 3900  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NE 20 NE 21  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 94000 81900  
ADI EARLY 56 GEN GOOD 19 GEN POOR 48 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 74 GOOD 19 GEN POOR 56 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 3  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C D D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM  
RH 94 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
96 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
84 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.  
 
 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759  
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 
 
 
FORECASTER...TRA  
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