901  
FNUS72 KCAE 201348  
FWSCAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LCRD C-307 BB1 & BB2...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC  
948 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON OCTOBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
TUESDAY WILL BE A DRY DAY WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE DAY BETWEEN  
5-10 MPH WITH A COUPLE ISOLATED GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE LATE MORNING  
TO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. CONFIDENCE IN DIRECTION IS HIGH BUT CONFIDENCE IN THE  
GUSTS ARE LOW. A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE, THOUGH IT WILL BE WARMER  
TUESDAY THAN TODAY AND WITH SLIGHTLY MORE MOISTURE. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED  
TO BE NEAR 30% DURING THE AFTERNOON. A DRY COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS BETWEEN 10PM  
TUESDAY AND 1AM WEDNESDAY, TURNING WINDS OUT OF THE WEST BEHIND IT, A COUPLE GUSTS TOWARD  
20 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE BEFORE BECOMING LIGHTER INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.  
WEDNESDAY WILL BE COOLER, BUT DRY BEHIND THE FRONT WITH 5-10 MPH WINDS OUT OF THE WEST.  
WINDS COULD TREND A BIT MORE NORTHWESTERLY THUS CONFIDENCE IN DIRECTION IS MEDIUM AT THIS TIME.  
ANOTHER LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED GUSTS JUST SHY OF 20 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AS MINIMUM RH  
VALUES ARE BETWEEN 25-30%.  
 
THE REST OF THE WEEK LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY BEFORE THE NEXT CHANCE  
OF RAIN MAY MOVE IN. MINIMUM RH VALUES BETWEEN 25-30% THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ARE LIKELY BEFORE  
INCREASING ABOVE 30% SATURDAY WITH INCREASING MOISTURE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT BOTH  
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME, NO DRY COLD FRONTS ARE EXPECTED TO PASS AFTER TUESDAY NIGHT.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 79 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........0 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 58 66 71 75 77 78 79 78  
RH..............77 62 50 42 36 33 33 34 36  
APARNT TMP (F)..49 58 66 71 75 77 78 79 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND DIR..210 220 230 230 230 230 230 230 230  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 10 13 14 15 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.0 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.3 3.8 4.1 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND DIR.230 240 240 240 240 240 240 250 250  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 14 15 15 15 16 16 16  
LVORI...........4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............8 14 31 44 53 61 74 79 76  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................53 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........4 7 9 11 14 16 12 9 5 3 2 0  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 73 69 67 65 63 62 61 60 58 57 55  
RH..............39 44 51 54 60 65 67 70 72 77 80 83  
APARNT TMP (F)..76 73 69 67 65 63 62 61 60 58 57 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND DIR..230 220 220 230 250 260 270 280 290 290 290 290  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW W W  
TRANSP WIND DIR.250 240 230 240 270 280 290 300 300 300 290 290  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9  
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5  
ADI.............53 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 16 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 64 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 2 3 2 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 51 52 56 61 66 69 71 72 73 73 72  
RH..............86 86 80 69 56 47 40 35 33 30 30 31  
APARNT TMP (F)..53 51 52 56 61 66 69 71 72 73 73 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND DIR..290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 280 280  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 12 12 13 14 15 16 17 17 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND DIR.290 280 280 280 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 13 14 15 16 16 16 16 15  
LVORI...........6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............4 10 10 13 30 46 61 59 62 64 64 57  
 
 
FORECASTER...HICKOK  
REQUESTED BY...JAMIE ATKINS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2523944.0/CAE  
.DELDT 10/20/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES.ATKINS@USDA.GOV  
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