469
FNUS72 KCAE 220851
FWSCAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR LCRD C-307 BB1 & BB2...USDA FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
451 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH VERY
DRY HIGH PRESSURE FILLING IN BEHIND TUESDAY'S FRONT. WINDS REMAIN
ELEVATED EARLY THIS MORNING, 6-10 MPH OUT OF THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AND WILL SHIFT WESTERLY BY LATE MORNING. WINDS GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON
FROM 1-5PM OF 18-22 MPH ARE EXPECTED, WITH SUSTAINED 10-12 MPH.
MINIMUM RH'S WILL FALL DOWN TO AROUND 25% DURING THE 1-5PM WINDOW AS
WELL, POSSIBLY BELOW 25% PERIODICALLY. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN WIND
DIRECTION, WITH WINDS THIS AFTERNOON OUT OF THE WEST (280-290
DEGREES).
RAIN CHANCES REMAIN VERY LOW THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY WITH WINDS
NOTABLY WEAKER THAN TODAY (GUSTS LESS THAN 20 MPH EACH DAY) AND
TURNING MORE NORTHERLY ON FRIDAY. A BACKDOOR FRONT LOOKS POSSIBLE
ON SUNDAY, PUSHING DOWN FROM THE NORTHEAST.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 73 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 7 9 3 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............54 52 52 54 62 66 69 71 72 72 73 73
RH..............95 92 88 85 57 42 36 29 27 28 26 26
APARNT TMP (F)..54 52 52 54 62 66 69 71 72 72 73 73
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND DIR..290 290 280 280 280 280 280 280 290 290 290 290
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 13 15 15 16 18 18 17 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.6 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND DIR.280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 13 15 16 17 20 20 20 20
LVORI...........8 6 5 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............4 10 10 11 23 49 66 61 71 73 73 73
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 TO 33.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 1 2 1 1 0 1 2 3 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 67 61 58 56 55 54 53 51 49 48 47
RH..............28 33 41 44 53 55 55 57 61 63 63 64
APARNT TMP (F)..71 67 61 58 56 55 54 53 50 47 46 46
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND DIR..290 280 290 290 290 290 300 300 300 310 310 320
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 14 15 14 14 13 12 10 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND DIR.280 280 280 280 290 290 280 300 300 310 310 310
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 12 10 10 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 8
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............33 8 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 68 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........0 1 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............47 46 45 49 56 64 69 71 72 74 75 74
RH..............66 66 67 66 53 40 34 32 31 30 30 31
APARNT TMP (F)..45 46 45 49 56 64 69 71 72 74 75 74
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N NW NW NW W W W W W
20 FT WIND DIR..320 330 340 340 330 320 310 280 270 270 270 270
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 6 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.2 3.7 4.3 4.6 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW W W
TRANSP WIND DIR.340 330 330 340 330 320 320 310 300 300 290 290
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 6 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 13
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............4 8 7 6 8 16 26 36 47 59 68 65
FORECASTER...GROPP
REQUESTED BY...JAMIE ATKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523944.2/CAE
.DELDT 10/22/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAMES.ATKINS@USDA.GOV
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