658
FNUS72 KCAE 111745
FWSCAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR LEG...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
145 PM EDT SAT JUL 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 EDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AROUND THE SPOT LOCATION THIS AFTERNOON
WHICH WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN COVERAGE WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS
CURRENTLY TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST, APPROACHING THE SPOT SITE.
HEAVY RAIN, FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL GENERALLY DECREASE IN COVERAGE THIS
EVENING, ALTHOUGH SCATTERED SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO TONIGHT. EVEN
WITHOUT STORMS OVER THE SITE, EXPECT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AT
TIMES WITH SHIFTING DIRECTIONS DUE TO OUTFLOWS. ADDITIONAL STORM
DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED TOMORROW AS A FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA WITH
LIKELY GREATER COVERAGE COMPARED TO TODAY AND HEAVY RAIN, GUSTY
WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN, GENERALLY
FAVORING THE SAME TIME PERIOD.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 16 MPH.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................55 TO 59.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........61 57 68 54
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 30 30 20
TEMP............93 93 94 93
RH..............56 56 54 52
APARNT TMP (F)..105 105 106 102
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W
20 FT WIND DIR..260 250 270 260
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 4.6 3.6 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W
TRANSP WIND DIR.270 270 270 260
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 16 13
LVORI...........1 1 1 1
ADI.............58 59 57 55
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................52 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........38 41 38 33 39 49 30 19 31 40 31 25
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............93 91 87 83 81 80 79 78 77 77 76 76
RH..............54 58 65 72 77 79 82 85 88 85 87 87
APARNT TMP (F)..103 101 95 89 86 84 79 78 77 77 76 76
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W SW W W W SW W SW
20 FT WIND DIR..270 250 260 260 260 240 250 260 260 240 250 240
20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 12 11 9 8 8 8 8 9 9 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND DIR.280 250 250 270 240 240 250 260 270 250 250 260
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 8 10 9 10 9 9 9 9 9 9
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 5 6 6
ADI.............52 13 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 84 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........17 25 30 25 18 34 35 39 67 53 73 81
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC LKY LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 60 70
TEMP............75 75 77 80 85 88 91 93 93 94 92 91
RH..............90 90 88 85 75 68 62 58 56 54 58 60
APARNT TMP (F)..75 75 77 85 94 99 103 106 105 106 103 102
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND DIR..260 260 260 270 270 280 280 270 270 260 270 280
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.4 3.4 4.8 6.0 6.7 5.0 3.1 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND DIR.270 270 270 290 300 290 290 280 270 260 270 290
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 10 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 13
LVORI...........6 5 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............4 9 13 22 38 52 71 76 84 67 44 55
FORECASTER...LANDOLFI
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617219.0/CAE
.DELDT 07/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JUSTIN.LUSK@USDA.GOV,SCSRC01.DISPATCH@USDA.GOV,KEVIN.POPE@USDA.GOV,JARVIS.BROWN@USDA.GOV
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