286  
FNUS72 KGSP 111114  
FWSGSP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONGCREEK WOODLANDS...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC  
714 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MOSTLY DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS UPPER  
LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION. INCREASING MOISTURE AND  
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR DIURNALLY  
DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER  
THE WEEKEND.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (22800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................19.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........25000 DECREASING TO 4500 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....8.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........17 12 19 25 31 34 36 39  
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO SCT  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO SCT  
TEMP............79 85 87 89 91 90 90 90  
RH..............72 61 55 50 47 47 46 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 3.2 4.4 5.6 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............10 16 20 23 25 26 28 28  
VRATE KT-FT/10007 11 15 18 20 21 22 23  
CEILING (HFT)...250 45 45 50 50 50 60 60  
VISIBILITY (SM).8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................11.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........6000 INCREASING TO 25000 OVERNIGHT.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....7 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........36 34 31 23 15 7 6 6 5 4 4 3  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW FOG  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH  
TEMP............88 85 80 77 75 74 72 72 71 69 69 69  
RH..............50 55 66 73 77 80 83 84 85 88 88 88  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE NE N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 2.8 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5  
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6  
ADI.............21 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/100016 9 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
CEILING (HFT)...60 60 60 60 60 60 250 250 250 250 250 250  
VISIBILITY (SM).9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7 5  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 6 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (20100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................14 INCREASING TO 22 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........35000 IN THE MORNING, DECREASING TO 8000 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....4 INCREASING TO 7 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 3 4 6 8 11 13 15 17 20 24 28  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............68 67 69 73 79 84 87 89 89 90 90 89  
RH..............89 91 87 76 64 54 48 46 44 43 43 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N NE NE E SE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 5 6 5 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.5 2.8 4.0 4.9 5.7 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N NE NE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............2 5 5 10 18 25 27 26 16 22 22 24  
VRATE KT-FT/10001 1 1 6 13 19 20 20 20 18 18 19  
CEILING (HFT)...250 250 250 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 80 80  
VISIBILITY (SM).4 5 7 8 9 10 10 10 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...JUSTIN LANE  
REQUESTED BY...WES BENTLEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1915274.0/GSP  
.DELDT 09/11/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
 
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