788
FNUS72 KILM 190907
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOCR RX THURSDAY 3/19/26...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
507 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINS LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS TODAY, GENERALLY
5 MPH OR LESS, WITH DRY WEATHER. WINDS TURN SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY ON
FRIDAY, REMAINING LIGHT. TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO MODERATE THIS
WEEKEND IN ONSHORE FLOW.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (42951 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........3.
MAX ADI.............51.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1 2 3 10 24 24 25 40 36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 46 51 55 57 60 61 62 63
RH..............69 56 46 40 36 34 34 34 34
20 FT WIND DIR..NE N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 8 8 8 7 5 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.8 2.6 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.4 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 14 13 10 10 9 9 9
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............11 26 45 50 46 51 49 48 48
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.8 21 36 41 38 43 41 41 40
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR PR FR FR FR FR
SFC PRES (IN)...023 023 026 026 026 020 020 020 013
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIN MIXING HGT......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING SHIFTING
TO THE EAST AROUND 6 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1088 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........7.
MIN ADI.............2.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........45 51 48 49 41 22 7 3 3 3 2 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............60 57 52 49 47 45 43 42 41 40 39 38
RH..............38 47 57 62 68 74 79 84 88 89 91 93
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE E SE SE S S SW SW N W NW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.3 2 2 2 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE E SE SE S S S W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 3
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 4 5 6 7 6 7
ADI.............4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.28 5 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...013 013 016 016 016 019 019 019 016 016 016 014
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND
5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
6 TO 12 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (48667 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........6.
MAX ADI.............58.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........1 8 5 5 8 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............38 38 52 64 68 71
RH..............94 94 66 45 35 33
20 FT WIND......NW 1 N 0 NE 1 E 2 SE 3 S 5
20 FT WIND GUST. 1 3 5 6
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 1400 3200 4600 4400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 3 NE 5 N 3 E 5 S 6 S 9
STABILITY.......A A A B B B
LVORI...........6 6 3 2 1 1
ADI.............3 4 6 18 31 49
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 5 15 27 42
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR
SFC PRES (IN)...30.14 30.16 30.16 30.17 30.11 30.11
FORECASTER...OLIVA
REQUESTED BY...SEAN WESTON (BURN BOSS)
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606390.0/ILM
.DELDT 03/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SEAN_WESTON@NPS.GOV,JOHN_M_WOOD@NPS.GOV,CHAD_ENNIS@NPS.GOV
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