272
FNUS72 KILM 131222
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR 10H-3...NC WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
822 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH SUNSHINE FILTERED
THROUGH CIRRUS CLOUDS ALOFT. THIS AFTERNOON'S SEABREEZE SHOULD MOVE
ACROSS THE BURN LOCATION AROUND 5 PM, ACCOMPANIED BY A SHIFT TO SOUTH
WINDS ALONG WITH COOLER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS. A BACKDOOR COLD
FRONT WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND EASTERLY WINDS ON FRIDAY.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING.
MAX MIXING HGT......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (104694 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........4.
MAX ADI.............118.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34 31 37 52 61 58 56 62 66
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57 63 68 72 74 77 78 77 74
RH..............80 68 53 47 40 34 33 34 37
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 9 10 11 12 12 12 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 1.3 2.0 4.0 5.7 6.1 5.4 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 15 17 18 17 17 17
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B
LVORI...........4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............14 15 23 38 83 118 116 105 60
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.6 11 18 30 69 104 105 93 48
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD VGD VGD GD FR
SFC PRES (IN)...992 992 993 993 993 990 990 990 988
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (2720 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........9.
MIN ADI.............3.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........71 63 59 53 55 54 41 28 15 13 10 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............71 67 64 60 58 57 55 54 53 52 51 50
RH..............44 52 63 75 82 88 93 95 99 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW S S N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 0
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 7 6 5 5 4 3 2 2 1
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 15 15 14 13 12 10 8 7 7 8
STABILITY.......E E E E F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........2 2 2 4 4 5 6 7 9 9 9 9
ADI.............11 10 10 10 6 6 5 5 4 3 3 4
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 6 6 6 6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...988 988 992 992 992 994 994 994 994 994 994 995
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
MAX MIXING HGT......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
9 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (29653 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........8.
MAX ADI.............37.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14 20 26 26 26 26 22 17 13 15 16 18
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............49 49 49 53 58 62 64 67 69 70 70 68
RH..............100 100 100 98 86 77 70 63 58 57 58 62
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E NE NE NE NE E E E E SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST. 2 3 3 5 6 7 8 9 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.3 2.6 2.9 2.5 2.1 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE NE E E E E SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 8 9 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10
STABILITY.......A A B B B B B B B B B B
LVORI...........8 8 8 7 4 3 3 1 1 1 2 2
ADI.............8 7 8 11 12 19 26 33 37 33 28 24
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 4 8 9 15 21 27 30 26 22 18
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...995 995 999 999 999 008 008 008 006 006 006 004
FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG
REQUESTED BY...HAGEN BLAKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506333.0/ILM
.DELDT 03/13/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL HAGEN.BLAKE@NCWILDLIFE.GOV
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