383
FNUS72 KILM 162317
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR DARLINGTON COUNTY LANDFILL FIRE...DARLINGTON COUNTY EMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
717 PM EDT MON SEP 16 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
PERIODIC SHOWERS, WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE THIS EVENING,
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS FURTHER INLAND
ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUE. DRIER CONDITIONS SHOULD
THEN RETURN MID TO LATE WEEK.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
NIGHT. SHOWERS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 24
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH
AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN MIXING HGT......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 21 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 15
TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHEAST 14 TO 16 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (9418 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........8.
MIN ADI.............6.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........91 90 91 92 92 92 92 93 93 93 93
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............66 66 67 67 67 67 67 67 66 66 66
RH..............99 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE E E E SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 13 10 8 8 7 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.24 22 21 20 17 15 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE E E E SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.29 25 24 21 18 17 17 15 16 16 14
STABILITY.......D D D D D D D E E E F
LVORI...........4 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 8
ADI.............26 23 22 19 16 15 15 10 11 11 6
HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.32 23 22 18 15 14 14 11 12 11 9
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...969 962 962 962 961 961 961 960 960 960 964
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MAX MIXING HGT......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (34536 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........8.
MAX ADI.............28.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........90 87 85 83 82 81 80 78 77 73 68 63
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66 66 66 67 69 70 71 73 73 74 75 75
RH..............100 100 100 96 94 92 89 86 86 84 83 83
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 10 10 10 12 13 13 12 11 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 13 14 13 13 12 12 12 12 10 10
STABILITY.......F C C C D D D D D D D D
LVORI...........8 7 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
ADI.............6 11 14 23 22 24 24 26 28 28 25 25
HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.9 9 12 18 21 25 27 31 35 35 31 31
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...964 964 971 971 971 974 974 974 974 974 974 972
FORECASTER...HOEHLER
REQUESTED BY...MOLLY ODOM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422468.3/ILM
.DELDT 09/16/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MODOM@DARCOEMS.NET
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