168  
FNUS72 KILM 091540  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN SWAMP RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
1140 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY BEFORE A  
SEA BREEZE EVENTUALLY REACHES THE SITE AROUND OR AFTER 5PM, WITH  
A SOUTHERLY WIND SHIFT TAKING PLACE ACROSS IT. A MOIST LOWER  
ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO PREVENT DEW POINTS FROM DROPPING  
SUBSTANTIALLY THIS AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED BRIEF SHOWER CANNOT BE  
RULED OUT ALONG THE SEA BREEZE, BUT MOST OF THE DAY WILL BE DRY.  
 
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS MODERATE.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX MIXING HGT......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (35065 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........3.  
MAX ADI.............43.  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........47 32 20 20 22 24  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 75 77 78 78 77  
RH..............77 70 62 59 59 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 5 6 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.3 3.9 3.7 3.0 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 8 9 12 12  
STABILITY.......B B B B B B  
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............18 23 38 41 43 34  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.14 19 32 34 35 27  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...008 008 004 004 004 001  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE  
IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIN MIXING HGT......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (2538 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........9.  
MIN ADI.............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........10 12 13 22 32 42 38 40 44 54 64 63  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 71 67 65 63 62 62 61 61 60 59 59  
RH..............64 76 86 92 94 94 94 94 95 96 95 98  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 8 10 12 10 10 10 9 8 8  
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F  
LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 9  
ADI.............4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.15 8 4 4 5 6 5 4 4 3 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...001 001 002 002 002 008 008 008 010 010 010 010  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX MIXING HGT......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (61632 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........8.  
MAX ADI.............54.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........56 67 71 66 66 64 51 50 52 53 26 28  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG RNF RNF RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............59 58 58 61 66 70 74 77 79 79 79 78  
RH..............99 98 97 94 85 75 68 62 58 58 58 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 4 6 6 7 7 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 2.1 3.3 4.5 3.4 2.4 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 8 8 9 13 14 14 13 14  
STABILITY.......B B B B B B C B C C B B  
LVORI...........8 8 8 6 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............6 6 6 6 9 10 23 51 54 47 39 25  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 2 2 3 7 8 19 42 62 47 31 19  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD FR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...010 010 013 013 013 017 017 017 013 013 013 009  
 
 
FORECASTER...WEINER  
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN BURMESTER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605188.0/ILM  
.DELDT 03/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NATHAN.BURMESTER@TNC.ORG  
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