282
FNUS72 KILM 172107
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOCR RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
507 PM EDT TUE MAR 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS WILL WEAKEN DURING THE AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE REACHES
THE EAST COAST. DESPITE GOOD MIXING HEIGHTS, THESE LIGHT WIND
SPEEDS COULD REDUCE VENTILATION AND SMOKE DISPERSION RATES.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MAX MIXING HGT......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (31715 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........2.
MAX ADI.............30.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34 62 69 80 79 74 80
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 47 49 51 52 52 53
RH..............41 39 37 35 35 35 35
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 8 7 6 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.7 3.0 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N N NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 7 6 6
STABILITY.......B C C C C C B
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............23 24 26 30 25 21 24
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.18 22 24 32 26 22 20
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...034 034 034 030 030 030 025
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO
8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (2267 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........3.
MIN ADI.............2.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........86 80 83 78 66 54 51 47 44 35 27 18
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 48 46 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 36
RH..............40 46 52 56 59 63 66 68 71 72 73 75
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 7
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............2 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.12 5 3 3 3 2 3 3 4 4 4 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...025 025 025 025 025 026 026 026 025 025 025 023
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING
LIGHT.
MAX MIXING HGT......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (32778 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........4.
MAX ADI.............39.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14 10 6 5 5 4 10 16 22 22 21 21
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST FST
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 35 36 41 47 52 55 58 60 61 60 60
RH..............79 80 79 65 53 44 40 37 35 36 37 40
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NE NE NE NE E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.1 3.6 4.1 3.8 3.5 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE N N N N N N N NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 9 9 10 9 9 8 7 7 6
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B B B B
LVORI...........4 4 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
ADI.............8 8 8 14 24 34 37 38 39 33 28 23
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 4 4 11 19 27 30 32 33 28 23 18
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...023 023 022 022 022 023 023 023 019 019 019 012
FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG/WARNER
REQUESTED BY...SEAN WESTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606126.0/ILM
.DELDT 03/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SEAN_WESTON@NPS.GOV
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