182  
FNUS72 KILM 200921  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WACCAMAW RX...US WILDLAND FIRE SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
521 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON MAY 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
PATCHY FOG THROUGH 0800 THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
WINDS THROUGH 0900 BEFORE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST  
DEVELOP. SEA BREEZE WILL REACH THE SITE BETWEEN AROUND 1100  
WITH WINDS SHIFTING OUT OF THE EAST-SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST  
AND INCREASING IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON  
AND INTO THE EVENING. NO RAIN CHANCES TODAY OR TONIGHT.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS MODERATE.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG THROUGH 0800.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH WITH  
GUSTS 10 TO 15 MPH AROUND NOON.  
MAX MIXING HGT......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (35343 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........9.  
MAX ADI.............42.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........32 36 29 19 10 1 1 1 2 1 1 0  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 63 69 74 78 81 82 83 83 83 83 82  
RH..............100 100 97 82 74 67 65 62 60 57 56 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S SE S S SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 3 3 2 7 8 10 11 11 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 10 11 14 15 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.7 2.7 3.4 3.8 3.7 3.3 2.9 2.8 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW S S S SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 8 7 6 6 8 9 12 13 14  
STABILITY.......A A A A A A A B B B C C  
LVORI...........9 9 7 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............6 6 6 18 24 25 28 36 38 42 39 37  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 3 14 18 19 22 30 31 34 35 31  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...013 013 015 015 015 016 016 016 011 011 011 006  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIN MIXING HGT......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (3963 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........9.  
MIN ADI.............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........1 1 2 3 4 5 10 15 20 27 33 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............80 79 76 74 73 72 71 70 70 69 69 69  
RH..............63 66 75 84 90 94 96 97 97 98 98 99  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 10 8 7 5 5 5 5 5 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 13 12 10 9 10 10 9 8 8 8  
STABILITY.......E E E F F F F F F F F F  
LVORI...........2 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 9 9 9 9  
ADI.............10 9 8 5 5 4 5 5 4 4 4 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.31 23 8 5 5 4 5 5 4 4 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...006 006 006 006 006 008 008 008 006 006 006 005  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX MIXING HGT......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (37106 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........8.  
MAX ADI.............46.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........35 32 28 31 34 37 31 18 7 11 10 28  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............69 70 72 76 79 82 84 85 85 85 86 85  
RH..............100 99 94 84 77 70 66 62 64 63 62 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW S S S S SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 6 7 1 2 3 6 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 8 4 5 7 9 11 12 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.4 3.2 3.8 4.0 3.9 2.8 2.7 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 8 7 7 7 7 8 9 13 13 14  
STABILITY.......A A B B A A A B B B B B  
LVORI...........8 8 5 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............8 7 10 16 22 28 33 38 43 44 43 46  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 3 8 12 17 22 26 32 36 35 35 37  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...005 005 009 009 009 009 009 009 004 004 004 002  
 

 
FORECASTER...LEBO  
REQUESTED BY...ADAM MCCULLOUGH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614094.0/ILM  
.DELDT 05/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ADAM_MCCULLOUGH@FWS.GOV  
 
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