423
FNUS72 KILM 250958
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR ORTON CREEK RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
558 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
LIGHTER WINDS AND HIGHER HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TODAY AS CANADIAN
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFFSHORE. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THIS MORNING
SHOULD CLEAR OUT THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THIS MORNING
WILL VEER EASTERLY BETWEEN 1 PM AND 3 PM WITHOUT ANY SIGNIFICANT
INCREASE IN WIND SPEED.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS MODERATE.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
6 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10
TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (38179 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........4.
MAX ADI.............43.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........97 95 93 83 74 58 54 38 28 21 29 24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 43 44 47 52 57 60 63 65 65 65 65
RH..............78 81 80 76 69 63 59 56 54 54 55 60
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 12 11 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.6 2.4 2.1 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N N NE NE E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 15 16 17 17 17 16 15 13 10 12
STABILITY.......B B C C C C C C C C B B
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2
ADI.............14 16 12 22 28 33 43 43 43 36 28 24
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.8 9 12 18 22 25 35 36 38 31 22 19
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...030 030 033 033 033 034 034 034 030 030 030 026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIN MIXING HGT......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 6
MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1450 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........9.
MIN ADI.............2.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........32 43 37 38 27 32 37 36 29 30 22 26
WEATHER COV..... PTY
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............63 61 58 56 56 54 54 54 53 52 52 52
RH..............65 75 85 90 94 100 100 99 99 99 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.7 5 4 4 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E SE SE S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 9 8 9 7 7 7 7 6 5
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
ADI.............5 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 5 4 4 3 4 2 3 3 2 2 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...026 026 026 026 026 025 025 025 022 022 022 020
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY
IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 14 TO 15 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (33205 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........9.
MAX ADI.............41.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........29 44 60 30 20 9 8 8 7 7 6 6
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............51 51 52 57 62 67 70 71 72 72 72 71
RH..............100 100 100 91 79 71 64 60 58 56 56 59
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N W S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST. 2 2 3 4 6 8 9 10 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.2 2.7 2.2 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 3 5 5 7 8 9 10 12 14 15
STABILITY.......A A A B B B B B B C C B
LVORI...........9 9 9 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............3 4 3 5 7 18 26 33 41 35 36 32
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 1 3 6 14 21 27 33 31 30 25
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...020 020 023 023 023 023 023 023 018 018 018 013
FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN BURMESTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2607727.0/ILM
.DELDT 03/25/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NATHAN.BURMESTER@TNC.ORG
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