907  
FNUS72 KILM 181818  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ESCA_19MAR...DOD ARMY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
218 PM EDT WED MAR 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINS LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS AND A DRY  
AIR MASS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO  
MODERATE THIS WEEKEND IN ONSHORE FLOW. MODEST MOISTURE RECOVERY  
IS LIKELY THIS WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MAX MIXING HGT......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (40887 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........3.  
MAX ADI.............49.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 2 5 13 13 12 21 22 24  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............45 48 51 53 54 54 55 55 55  
RH..............68 58 48 46 46 47 47 48 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 8 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 12 12 11 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.3 2.2 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE NE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 18 16 15 13 10 12 10  
STABILITY.......C C C C C C C B B  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2  
ADI.............32 38 49 46 45 38 28 32 26  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.25 30 41 40 41 34 24 25 21  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR FR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...025 025 028 028 028 024 024 024 017  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (2053 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........5.  
MIN ADI.............2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........25 29 51 41 33 24 22 20 16 13 9 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 54 53 52 50 49 48 48 48 47 47 47  
RH..............52 55 58 61 64 66 69 72 77 79 80 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E NE NE NE NE N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.1 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 5 5  
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F  
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5  
ADI.............4 4 4 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 2 2  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.14 8 5 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...017 017 018 018 018 021 021 021 018 018 018 015  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO  
7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX MIXING HGT......1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (15016 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........5.  
MAX ADI.............19.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........6 6 6 5 15 10 8 5 3 7 12 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 47 48 50 53 56 58 60 60 61 61 61  
RH..............83 84 82 75 66 60 58 57 57 56 56 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE NE E E SE SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE NE E E SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B B B B  
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............6 6 7 8 13 19 19 19 19 18 17 16  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 3 3 6 10 15 15 15 15 14 13 12  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...015 015 018 018 018 019 019 019 017 017 017 012  
 

 
FORECASTER...BACON  
REQUESTED BY...K CRAWFORD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606344.0/ILM  
.DELDT 03/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TRENT.K.CRAWFORD.CIV@ARMY.MIL  
 
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