970  
FNUS72 KILM 171012  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HURRICANE FLORENCE...BLADEN COUNTY EOC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
612 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE WILL MOVE STEADILY NORTHWARD TOWARD  
THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH TODAY, BEFORE MOVING OFF TO THE EAST,  
EXITING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON TUESDAY. AS THE REMNANT  
LOW EXITS THE COAST IT WILL DRAG A TRAILING FRONT ACROSS THE  
CAROLINAS LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH DRY HIGH PRESSURE TO  
FOLLOW. A DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED MID TO LATE WEEK, BUT RIVER  
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE  
DAY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY  
FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........89 87 85 84 82 81 80 80 80 79 79  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............75 75 77 79 81 82 83 84 84 83 82  
RH..............97 96 90 86 82 80 78 78 78 80 82  
CHC PCPN (%)....70 70 70 60 60 60 60 50 50 60 60  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.8 8 8 8 9 10 10 11 11 11 10  
SURFACE WND GST. 10 12 14 15 16 16 16 16 15  
APARNT TMP (F)..75 75 77 79 86 89 91 93 93 91 90  
VSBY (SM)........00 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...ZOUZIAS  
REQUESTED BY...INCIDENT COMMANDER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 1815863.0/ILM  
.DELDT 09/17/18  
.EMAIL DKRAFT@CHOCTAWNATION.COM  
 
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