364  
FNUS72 KILM 250916  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RMS HARDEE RXB...NCFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
516 AM EDT THU JUN 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JUNE 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE  
BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. VERY LIGHT SURFACE WINDS AND TRANSPORT WINDS  
MAINLY FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST ARE EXPECTED UNTIL THE SEABREEZE  
FRONT ARRIVES AROUND 5 PM. SEABREEZE WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY AND  
INCREASE TO 5-10 MPH UNTIL SUNSET. HOTTER TEMPERATURES AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX MIXING HGT......6900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT,  
THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (57991 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........7.  
MAX ADI.............70.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........15 18 18 23 28 33 41 37 62 56 57 35  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 68 72 78 83 86 88 90 91 91 91 90  
RH..............100 100 92 72 58 49 44 42 40 40 45 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N E E SE S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 7  
20 FT WIND GUST. 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.9 2.4 4.2 5.8 6.6 6.6 6.9 6.7 6.8 6.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE S S SW SE SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 6 5 3 5 5 6 7 9  
STABILITY.......A A A A A A A A B B C A  
LVORI...........7 6 4 3 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............6 6 7 22 30 33 27 37 34 42 32 70  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 2 5 17 24 27 23 30 32 39 47 58  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR  
SFC PRES (IN)...998 998 002 002 002 003 003 003 002 002 002 998  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (3440 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........8.  
MIN ADI.............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........47 43 36 37 35 18 40 26 16 33 25 36  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............89 86 83 80 77 76 75 75 74 74 73 73  
RH..............50 54 61 73 80 86 88 90 93 94 95 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 4 3 2 2 2 1  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 10 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8  
STABILITY.......E E F F F F F F F F F F  
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 8 8  
ADI.............7 8 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.48 34 20 7 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 3  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...998 998 001 001 001 004 004 004 004 004 004 004  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX MIXING HGT......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (68421 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........6.  
MAX ADI.............78.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........42 50 42 13 9 10 3 2 7 25 35 28  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 10  
TEMP............73 74 77 81 85 90 92 94 94 93 92 91  
RH..............97 94 86 73 60 50 45 41 41 42 45 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 1 2 2 3 5 6 7 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST. 1 2 3 4 5 6 9 11 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.7 4.6 5.4 5.4 4.0 3.3 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 9 8 7 7 9 10 13 13 14 16  
STABILITY.......A A A A A A A A B B B B  
LVORI...........6 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............8 7 13 18 24 33 53 69 78 60 56 66  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 4 10 14 18 26 43 56 68 51 46 54  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD FR FR FR  
SFC PRES (IN)...004 004 009 009 009 011 011 011 006 006 006 003  
 
 
FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL RHODES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2616146.0/ILM  
.DELDT 06/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL.RHODES@NCAGR.GOV,SHANE.HARDEE@NCAGR.GOV  
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