246  
FNUS72 KILM 131322  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AUSTIN RXB...NC FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
822 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS INTO THE EARLY  
PART OF THE WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES RETURN FOR SUNDAY INTO EARLY  
MONDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. DRY  
CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND FOLLOW THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT  
WEEK.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MAX MIXING HGT......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 14 MPH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (42863 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........2.  
MAX ADI.............52.  
 
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 3 1 2 3 2 1 0 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 M M M M M  
TEMP............39 45 49 52 54 55 55 55 53  
RH..............55 44 38 34 31 29 28 28 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 5 4 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.4 3.2 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 13 13 13 12 13 12 13  
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B  
LVORI...........2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............21 26 33 40 46 46 52 45 44  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.16 20 26 32 37 37 43 37 35  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...018 021 021 021 019 019 019 015 015  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...MISSING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIN MIXING HGT......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 6  
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT AFTER 3 AM BECOMING  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1177 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........5.  
MIN ADI.............2.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........3 3 3 5 5 3 3 4 4 8 4 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).M M M M M M M M M M M M  
TEMP............47 43 40 38 36 35 34 33 32 32 31 31  
RH..............39 46 55 63 71 75 77 78 80 81 82 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6 6 7 6 7 5 5 5 3 5  
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5  
ADI.............4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...015 020 020 020 024 024 024 023 023 023 022 022  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...MISSING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MAX MIXING HGT......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY  
IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9  
MPH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (28627 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........5.  
MAX ADI.............34.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........8 18 25 17 8 8 7 7 15 23 31 42  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).M M M M M M M M M M M M  
TEMP............30 31 34 42 51 56 59 60 62 62 60 57  
RH..............84 85 81 65 49 40 35 33 32 32 35 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST. 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 2.1 2.8 3.6 4.1 3.5 2.8 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S SW SW SW W SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 8 9 9  
STABILITY.......A A A A A B B B B B B B  
LVORI...........5 5 5 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............3 4 3 4 6 15 24 30 34 34 32 23  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 1 3 5 12 20 25 29 28 25 18  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...022 025 025 025 027 027 027 021 021 021 017 017  
 
 
FORECASTER...BACON  
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN SPIVEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602693.0/ILM  
.DELDT 02/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JONATHAN.SPIVEY@NCAGR.GOV  
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