706
FXUS62 KCAE 221725
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
125 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR
18Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK AND INTO
THIS WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR TO JUST BELOW NORMAL.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK
AND INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR TO JUST BELOW
NORMAL.
DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO
THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL BLOCKING PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE.
A RINSE AND REPEAT FORECAST IS EXPECTED WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER
MAX TEMPERATURES STARTING FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGHS
GENERALLY REACH THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. LARGE DIURNAL
TEMPERATURE SWINGS WILL CONTINUE, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS DIPPING
INTO THE 40S FOR MOST LOCATIONS EACH NIGHT. AT THE SURFACE THIS
WEEKEND, HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD RIDGE DOWN FROM NEW ENGLAND WITH
A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT, SO BREEZY WINDS COULD BE
POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK, SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME CENTERED ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS DURING THE EARLY WEEK, BRINGING CONTINUED DRY WEATHER
AND TEMPERATURES JUST BELOW NORMAL. A BIT MORE UNCERTAINTY IN
THE UPPER PATTERN INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK IS SEEN ACROSS
DETERMINISTIC/AI GUIDANCE, BUT OVERALL, ANY CHANCE FOR RAIN
REMAINS LOW.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WITH LITTLE CHANGE TO THE PATTERN THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT,
EXPECT MUCH OF THE SAME THROUGH TONIGHT. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY
CLEAR, WINDS VARIABLE AROUND 5 KTS THIS AFTERNOON, THEN LIGHT
OVERNIGHT AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER
BY MID-MORNING FRIDAY WITH SLIGHTLY BETTER MIXING. THIS COULD
BRING WINDS BACK UP TO AROUND 7-10 KTS, AND GUSTS AROUND 15 KTS
TOWARDS 14Z-15Z AT ALL LOCATIONS. AS FOR FOG, CAN NOT COMPLETELY
RULE OUT ANOTHER MORNING OF PATCHY SHALLOW GROUND FOG, BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...MOISTURE INCREASES BACK INTO THE
AREA THIS WEEKEND. SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE IN THE
EXTENDED.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ND
AVIATION...73
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