905
FXUS62 KCAE 060516
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
116 AM EDT SAT JUN 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
DIURNAL RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. DIURNAL RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND DEEP RIDGING WILL DOMINATE THE PATTERN
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. FOLLOWING A RELATIVELY DRY
SATURDAY WITH WELL BELOW AVERAGE PWAT'S AND SURFACE DEW POINTS,
MOISTURE RETURNS WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE AREA ALONG
WITH STEADILY BUILDING HEIGHTS ON SUNDAY; 90TH PERCENTILE
HEIGHTS AND TEMPS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE PERIOD, SO
TEMPS UP AROUND 90 F ARE LIKELY EACH DAY. RAIN CHANCES HOLD OFF
UNTIL MONDAY WHEN WE REACH SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOR
DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND STORMS. DIURNAL SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED MOST DAYS NEXT WEEK WITH A FAIRLY
TYPICALLY SUMMER PATTERN IN PLACE. PWAT'S SHOULD CLIMB ABOVE
1.75" BUT WITH MOST OF THE DEEPEST MOISTURE REMAINING TO THE
WEST, QPF TOTALS ACROSS ALL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY ONLY 0.25-0.75"
WITH SOME ISOLATED AREAS HIGHER.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
APART FROM THE POTENTIAL FOR SHALLOW GROUND FOG AT AGS, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
A DRY AIR MASS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL HINDER FOG DEVELOPMENT
AGAIN TONIGHT. HOWEVER RIVER FOG COULD DEVELOP EARLY THIS
MORNING AT AGS. THERE WILL BE A FEW HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE REGION
TONIGHT FURTHER REDUCING THE CONFIDENCE IN ANY FOG DEVELOPMENT.
IF FOG DEVELOPS AT AGS, EXPECT BRIEF AND PERIODIC VISIBILITY
RESTRICTIONS FROM SHALLOW FOG BETWEEN 07Z TO 10Z, POSSIBLY EVEN
UNTIL 12Z.
WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH SUNRISE, THEN EXPECT SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 KTS BY LATE MORNING, RESULTING IN
CONDITIONS VERY SIMILAR TO THOSE OBSERVED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS. DRY AIR WILL PRECLUDE ANY AFTERNOON SHOWERS.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...MOISTURE INCREASES EARLY NEXT WEEK
LEADING TO SCATTERED, MAINLY DIURNAL, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION...CAL
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