691
FXUS62 KCAE 230500
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
100 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR 06Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK AND INTO
THIS WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK
AND INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE EXPECTED TO THE OVERALL WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS DUE TO A
PERSISTENT UPPER-LEVEL BLOCKING PATTERN. DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE
WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES NEAR SEASONAL VALUES, THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S, THROUGH THE WEEKEND. UPPER RIDGING MOVES SLOWLY EAST
AND MAY BREAK DOWN DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT
WEEK RESULTING SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES WITH FORECAST HIGHS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. AS IS TYPICAL DURING THIS TYPE OF
AUTUMNAL PATTERN, WARM DAYS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY COOL NIGHTS WITH
NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES, THOUGH VALUES
SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK. THE ONE CAVEAT TO A
PERFECT WEEKEND WILL BE BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS CAUSED BY AN
INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW
ENGLAND. AT THE MOMENT, WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.
AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
SKIES REMAIN CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER BY MID- MORNING FRIDAY WITH
SLIGHTLY BETTER MIXING LEADING TO HIGHER WIND GUSTS. THIS COULD
BRING WINDS BACK UP TO AROUND 7-10 KTS, AND GUSTS AROUND 15 KTS
TOWARDS 14Z-16Z AT ALL LOCATIONS AND CONTINUE IN THE AFTERNOON.
AS FOR FOG, CAN NOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT ANOTHER MORNING OF
PATCHY SHALLOW GROUND FOG, BUT NO SIGNIFICANT RESTRICTIONS
EXPECTED AS IT REMAINS TOO DRY NEAR THE SURFACE.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...A BIT MORE MOISTURE INCREASES THIS
WEEKEND POSSIBLY LEADING TO AREAS OF PATCHY FOG; ESPECIALLY WITH
LOCATIONS NEAR BODIES OF WATER. HOWEVER, LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
STILL MAY NOT BE ENOUGH AS CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN DEVELOPMENT OF
PATCHY FOG.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...7
AVIATION...NS
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