107
FXUS62 KCAE 062339
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
739 PM EDT MON APR 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR 00Z FORECAST.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. INCREASED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH MID WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: INCREASED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH MID WEEK.
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE INTO THE REGION EARLY
THIS WEEK WITH RH VALUES IN THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE EACH DAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY A DRY, COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST LEADING TO WIND GUSTS OF
20 TO 30 MPH. THIS COMBINATION OF DRY FUELS, A DRY AIR MASS, AND
GUSTY WINDS HEIGHTENS CONCERN FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY, MOISTURE ADVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN MINIMUM RH VALUES EACH DAY,
HELPING TO ALLEVIATE MOST OF THE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
OTHERWISE, NO IMPACTFUL WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH RAIN CHANCES BELOW SLIGHT AND TEMPERATURES WITHIN THE
NORMAL RANGE FOR THE SEASON.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
TAF PERIOD WITH AN ASSOCIATED HIGH PROBABILITY OF VFR
CONDITIONS. A DECK OF HIGH CLOUDS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT BEFORE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL
PICK BACK UP AROUND 14Z AS DAYTIME MIXING BREAKS THE INVERSION.
NORTHEAST TO EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO
AROUND 10 KNOTS, WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
DAY ON TUESDAY.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...THE CHANCE OF RESTRICTIONS IS LOW
THROUGH AT LEAST MID-WEEK.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CJR
AVIATION...ND
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