484
FXUS62 KCAE 070104
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
904 PM EDT SAT JUN 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
DIURNAL RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. DIURNAL RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND DEEP RIDGING WILL DOMINATE THE PATTERN
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. FOLLOWING A RELATIVELY DRY
SATURDAY WITH WELL BELOW AVERAGE PWAT'S AND SURFACE DEW POINTS,
MOISTURE RETURNS WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE AREA ALONG
WITH STEADILY BUILDING HEIGHTS ON SUNDAY; 90TH PERCENTILE
HEIGHTS AND TEMPS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE PERIOD, SO
TEMPS UP AROUND 90 F ARE LIKELY EACH DAY. RAIN CHANCES HOLD OFF
UNTIL MONDAY WHEN WE REACH SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOR
DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND STORMS. DIURNAL SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED MOST DAYS NEXT WEEK WITH A FAIRLY
TYPICALLY SUMMER PATTERN IN PLACE. PWAT'S SHOULD CLIMB ABOVE
1.75" BUT WITH MOST OF THE DEEPEST MOISTURE REMAINING TO THE
WEST, QPF TOTALS ACROSS ALL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY ONLY 0.25-0.75"
WITH SOME ISOLATED AREAS HIGHER.
AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS LIKELY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR TAF PERIOD.
WITH HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUING TO STREAM OVERHEAD, FOG WILL BE
UNLIKELY TONIGHT EVEN AT FOG PRONE AGS. DESPITE SOME SHALLOW
MOISTURE INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY, RAINFALL IS
UNLIKELY DUE TO MID-LEVEL DRY AIR AND A STRONG CAPPING
INVERSION. WINDS WILL AGAIN BE FROM 5 TO 8 KTS FROM THE
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST FROM 15Z THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A SEA BREEZE MAY
PUSH IN TOWARDS THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD SHIFTING WINDS
BRIEFLY OUT OF THE SE.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE
MONDAY LEADING TO SCATTERED, MAINLY DIURNAL, SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEK.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...7
AVIATION...CJR
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