524
FXUS62 KCAE 220603
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
203 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR
06Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK AND INTO
THIS WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR TO JUST BELOW NORMAL.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK
AND INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR TO JUST BELOW
NORMAL.
AS HAS BEEN ADVERTISED OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS, DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK, THIS
WEEKEND, AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE PREVIOUSLY DISCUSSED
TROUGH OUT WEST SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS, AMPLIFYING DOWNSTREAM FEATURES, BEING
THE RIDGE IN THE CENTRAL CONUS AND TROUGHING ACROSS THE EAST.
THE ONLY CHANGE THIS SHOULD BRING COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS IS
SLIGHTLY LOWER TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND THIS WEEKEND, IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. AT THE SURFACE THIS WEEKEND, HIGH
PRESSURE SHOULD RIDGE DOWN FROM NEW ENGLAND WITH A TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT SO BREEZY WINDS COULD BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME CENTERED ACROSS THE CAROLINAS DURING THE
EARLY WEEK, BRINGING CONTINUED DRY WEATHER AND TEMPERATURES JUST
BELOW NORMAL. A BIT MORE UNCERTAINTY IN THE UPPER PATTERN INTO
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK IS SEEN ACROSS DETERMINISTIC/AI
GUIDANCE, BUT OVERALL, ANY CHANCE FOR RAIN REMAINS LOW.
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO RESIDE OVER THE AREA WITH LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TO CALM WINDS THROUGH SUNRISE. SOME RIVER FOG COULD
RESULT IN INTERMITTENT IFR VSBYS AT AGS AND TO A LESSER EXTENT
OGB. WINDS SHOULD PICK UP AFTER 15-16Z FROM THE NORTH AROUND 5
TO 6 KNOTS WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...MOISTURE INCREASES BACK INTO THE
AREA THIS WEEKEND. SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE IN THE
EXTENDED.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DH
AVIATION...23
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