256
FXUS62 KCAE 302338
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
738 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION UPDATED FOR 00Z TAFS, OTHERWISE NO NOTABLE FORECAST
CHANGES THIS EVENING.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. WARMING TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING RAINFALL CHANCES
THROUGH THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: WARMING TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING RAINFALL CHANCES
THROUGH THE WEEK.
A WEEK FEATURING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, INCREASING SURFACE
MOISTURE, AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/STORMS IS ON TAP. A
STRONG BERMUDA SURFACE HIGH IS SET UP TO OUR EAST, WITH
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW COMMON TODAY AND TUESDAY. DEWPOINTS
ARE ONLY IN THE 50S THIS AFTERNOON BUT ARE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY
RISE AS WE GO THROUGH THE WEEK. ALL OF THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO
FORECAST TROUGHING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND WESTERN CONUS
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, HELPING TO FOSTER ANOMALOUS RIDGING
ACROSS OUR AREA FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. BY THE END OF THIS WEEK,
FORECAST HIGHS ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
LOW TO MID 60S. THIS SORT OF SETUP IS FAVORABLE FOR ONE OR
MULTIPLE INVERTED SURFACE TROUGHS TO ROTATE NORTHWESTWARD ON THE
WESTERN SIDE OF THE SURFACE HIGH AND SHOULD YIELD SCATTERED
SHOWERS/STORMS THUR/FRI/SAT OF THIS WEEK. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY & IT SHOULD YIELD MOSTLY BENEFICIAL
RAIN WHERE STORMS DO OCCUR. OTHERWISE, THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
LOOK QUIET WEATHER WISE.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED DURING THE TAF PERIOD....
SCT-BKN CLOUD DECK EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD WITH MOISTURE TRAPPED BENEATH A STRONG SUBSIDENCE
INVERSION WITH CEILINGS VARYING BETWEEN 5KFT AND 12KFT. WINDS
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS OVERNIGHT FROM
THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST BEFORE PICKING BACK UP TO AROUND 6 TO 8
KNOTS AFTER 15Z FROM THE SOUTH AS HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE
CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE THE REGION.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...SOME MORNING STRATUS IS POSSIBLE
EACH MORNING BY MID-WEEK AS MOISTURE INCREASES BUT NO NOTABLE
WEATHER SYSTEMS OR WIDESPREAD IMPACTFUL RESTRICTIONS ARE
EXPECTED UNTIL THE WEEKEND.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION...23
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