506
FXUS62 KCAE 061757
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
157 PM EDT MON APR 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NOW THAT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THIS WEEKEND HAVE BEEN RECORDED,
WE HAVE GREATER CONFIDENCE IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ON WEDNESDAY. AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR 18Z FORECAST.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. INCREASED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH MID WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: INCREASED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH MID WEEK.
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE INTO THE REGION EARLY
THIS WEEK WITH RH VALUES IN THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE EACH DAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY A DRY, COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST LEADING TO WIND GUSTS OF
20 TO 30 MPH. THIS COMBINATION OF DRY FUELS, A DRY AIR MASS, AND
GUSTY WINDS HEIGHTENS CONCERN FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY, MOISTURE ADVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN MINIMUM RH VALUES EACH DAY,
HELPING TO ALLEVIATE MOST OF THE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
OTHERWISE, NO IMPACTFUL WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH RAIN CHANCES BELOW SLIGHT AND TEMPERATURES WITHIN THE
NORMAL RANGE FOR THE SEASON.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE REGION WITH
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS DIMINISHING WITH SUNSET. A
BLANKET OF HIGH CLOUDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT BEFORE
SHIFTING EAST LATER TUESDAY MORNING. WINDS SHOULD PICK BACK UP
BY 14Z AS THE INVERSION MIXES OUT AND NORTHEASTERLY WINDS SHOULD
PICK UP TO AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH SOME GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...THE CHANCE OF RESTRICTIONS IS LOW
THROUGH AT LEAST MID-WEEK.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CJR
AVIATION...23
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