914
FXUS62 KCAE 250016
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
816 PM EDT THU SEP 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES. AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR
00Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. COOLER BUT DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY RETURN TO NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL VALUES
NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: COOLER BUT DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO THE
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY RETURN TO NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL
VALUES NEXT WEEK.
RAIN SHOWERS HAVE LARGELY COME TO AN END AT THIS POINT, THOUGH A
FEW PATCHY SPOTS OF DRIZZLE COULD STILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
COMING HOURS. AFTER THIS, MOSTLY DRY, BUT CLOUDY CONDITIONS
LIKELY PERSIST OVERNIGHT AS THE WEDGE REMAINS IN PLACE, THOUGH
DRIER AIR SHOULD START TO WORK IN WITH WEAK CAA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD BRING COOLER LOW TEMPERATURES THAT MOS
GUIDANCE CONSISTENTLY HAS INDICATED SHOULD BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW
TO MID 50S! SOUTHERN SPOTS COULD BE A TAD WARMER.
A PLEASANT FIRST WEEKEND OF AUTUMN IS EXPECTED AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES INTO THE REGION AND THE WEDGE COMPLETELY ERODES. MODELS
CURRENTLY HAVE THE WEDGE RETREATING FROM OUR AREA EARLY FRIDAY,
THOUGH GUIDANCE TENDS TO HANDLE THE PROGRESSION OF SUCH EVENTS
POORLY. AS SUCH, WOULD EXPECT THE START OF FRIDAY TO REMAIN ON
THE COOLER AND CLOUDIER SIDE. AFTER THAT, MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND
DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL WITH HIGHS REBOUNDING EACH DAY AND
TRENDING CLOSER TO NORMAL AND EVENTUALLY ABOVE NORMAL. MAX
TEMPS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL REACH THE MID TO UPPER 70S AND
LOWER 80S, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS GENERALLY IN THE LOWER 50S. CAA
WILL HELP DIP DEWPOINTS INTO THE 40S AND 50S, MAKING IT FEEL
BEAUTIFUL FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LOOKING AHEAD, DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WARM BACK INTO THE MID-80S BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK AS THE PATTERN LOOKS TO EVOLVE TOWARD SOMETHING MORE DAMP.
HOWEVER, DETAILS REMAIN UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD.
CLEARING BEING OBSERVED OVER NORTH CAROLINA AS DRIER LOW LEVEL
AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE CAROLINAS AND GEORGIA TONIGHT.
EXPECT IMPROVEMENT IN CEILINGS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS
MVFR CEILINGS GIVES WAY TO VFR CEILINGS (AROUND 4KFT) AND THEN
FINALLY TO CLEAR SKIES BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. MAY BE A BIT
MORE PESSIMISTIC WITH THE CLEARING THEN SOME OF THE GUIDANCE BUT
GUIDANCE DOES TEND TO BREAK UP THE WEDGE A BIT EARLY. BREEZY
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW AS LOW
PRESSURE DEEPENS OFF THE COAST WITH CLEAR SKIES CONTINUING
THROUGH THE DAY.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...7/DH
AVIATION...96
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