750
FXUS62 KCAE 261033
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
633 AM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR 12Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THIS WEEK WITH GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPERATURES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THIS WEEK WITH GRADUALLY
WARMING TEMPERATURES.
NO CHANGE IN THE OVERALL FORECAST THINKING WITH THE EXTENDED
DRY PERIOD CONTINUING, AND LIKELY PERSISTING THROUGH THE END OF
OCTOBER. UPPER RIDGE WILL SLOWLY TRANSLATE EAST THROUGH THE WEEK
AND FLATTEN OUT BY THURSDAY, WHILE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE NORTHEAST AND RIDGES SOUTH ACROSS THE
EASTERN SEABOARD. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES EACH DAY WITH FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE GIVEN VERY
SMALL NBM IQRS. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS IS MONDAY NIGHT WHEN THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S TO
LOWER 40S, MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF I-20, RESULTING IN PATCHY
FROST IN NORMALLY COLD LOCATIONS. THE THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR
WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO CONSIDER A FROST ADVISORY AT THIS TIME, BUT
THE DAY SHIFT WILL REEVALUATE FOR THE NEXT FORECAST PACKAGE.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT A CONTINUATION OF WARM DAYS AND COOL NIGHTS
THIS WEEK. TEMPERATURES MAY REACH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL VALUES
BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE PATTERN STARTS TO SHOW SOME SIGNS
OF BREAKING DOWN WITH THE FIRST CHANCE OF RAIN ARRIVING NEAR THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BE SITUATED OVER THE REGION PROVIDING
DRY AND FAIR WEATHER. SOME HIGHER CLOUDS MAY MOVE OVER THE
TERMINALS TOWARD 00Z BUT OTHERWISE NO CIG/VIS CONCERNS DURING
THIS FORECAST. LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS PICK UP TO
AROUND 7-10 KNOTS WITH SOME INTERMITTENT GUSTS AROUND 15 KNOTS
AFTER 15Z BEFORE SUBSIDING AGAIN WITH SUNSET. NO FOG IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT DUE TO DRY CONDITIONS.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT AVIATION CONCERNS.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...7
AVIATION...23
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