128
FXUS62 KCAE 090035
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
835 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR 00Z TAF.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. A TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH INCREASING
MOISTURE AND WARMING TEMPERATURES DURING THE MID TO LATE WEEK
PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: A TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE AND WARMING TEMPERATURES DURING THE MID TO
LATE WEEK PERIOD.
FOR THE REST OF MONDAY, A FEW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
CSRA BUT OTHERWISE CAPPING REMAINS STRONG ENOUGH TO MITIGATE
MOST CONVECTION. THE PLUME OF HIGHER PWAT'S SHIFTS EAST BY
TUESDAY AND YIELDS HIGHER RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.
SCATTERED DAYTIME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED
EACH DAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH A FAIRLY TYPICALLY
SUMMER PATTERN IN PLACE. WITH THE RIDGE IN OUR VICINITY,
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS UNLIKELY. WHILE PWAT'S SHOULD CLIMB
ABOVE 1.75", QPF TOTALS ACROSS ALL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY ONLY
0.25-0.75" WITH SOME ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN AREAS THAT SEE
REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE COMBINATION OF HEAT AND
HUMIDITY COULD RESULT IN OUR FIRST DAYS OF HEAT INDEX VALUES AT
OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, THOUGH STILL BELOW
HEAT PRODUCT CRITERIA.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
BRIEF RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING.
SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS EVENING WITH A LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL STREAM OVER THE
TERMINALS THROUGH TONIGHT. WITH LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE,
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF
RESTRICTIONS NEAR SUNRISE, WITH MOST LIKELY RESTRICTIONS BEING
MVFR. FOR NOW HAVE INCLUDED SCT015 AT ALL TERMINALS TO ACCOUNT
FOR THIS POSSIBILITY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF AGS WHICH HAVE
INCLUDED A TEMPO MVFR VISIBILITY DUE TO ITS MORE FOG PRONE
NATURE. ANY LOW CLOUDS OR FOG WILL DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE WITH SCATTERED CUMULUS AROUND 6KFT AND WINDS OUT OF THE
SSE.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...ISOLATED, MAINLY DIURNAL, SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...7/42
AVIATION...96
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