273
FXUS62 KCAE 241733
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
133 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO APPRECIABLE CHANGES TO KEY MESSAGES AS THE WEATHER REMAINS FAIRLY
QUIET THROUGH THE SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD. AVIATION
DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR 18Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. DRY WEATHER CONTINUES INTO NEXT WEEK WITH NEAR NORMAL
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY WEATHER CONTINUES INTO NEXT WEEK WITH NEAR
NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
A BIT BREEZY OUT OF THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON UNDER
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AS HIGH PRESSURE LINGERS OVER THE NORTHEAST AND A
WEAK DISTURBANCE IS POSITIONED OFFSHORE. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AS
EXPECTED WILL PROVIDE ELEVATED WINDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND, MAKING IT
FEEL COOLER BUT GUSTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH LAKE WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA AT THIS TIME. DEWPOINTS THIS AFTERNOON ARE RUNNING A BIT
LOWER THAN INITIAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTED, SO VALUES WERE KNOCKED DOWN A
FEW DEGREES TO BRING RH VALUES DOWN JUST SLIGHTLY. EXPECT DRY
WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, WITH
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AROUND SEASONAL VALUES AND HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 70S TODAY AND THE LOWER 70S ON SUNDAY. UPPER RIDGING
MOVES SLOWLY EAST DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK,
WHILE THE SURFACE HIGH RETAINS A ROBUST PRESENCE OVER THE EASTERN
SEABOARD. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES WITH
FORECAST HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S MONDAY AND TUESDAY, PERHAPS
NUDGING TOWARD THE UPPER 70S ON WEDNESDAY, WITH FAIRLY HIGH
CONFIDENCE GIVEN VERY SMALL NBM IQRS. AS IS TYPICAL DURING THIS TYPE
OF DRY AUTUMNAL PATTERN, WARM DAYS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY COOL NIGHTS
WITH NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES. VERY LOW-END
RAIN CHANCES START TO RETURN LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS
MOISTURE STARTS TO RETURN WITH A POTENTIAL SYSTEM LINGERING OFF
THE CAROLINA'S COAST LATE NEXT WEEK, BUT IT IS MORE LIKELY THE
REGION REMAINS DRY THROUGH THE END OF OCTOBER.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY AIR CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE REGION. A
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS RESULTED IN SOME GUSTY
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH MOST SEEING WINDS AROUND
10 TO 12 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 KNOTS. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
ELEVATED INTO THE EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING A BIT TO 6 TO 9
KNOTS OVERNIGHT. A STRONG LLJ WILL HELP LIMIT FOG DEVELOPMENT
TONIGHT. MORE OF THE SAME IS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY WITH WINDS
BECOMING BREEZY FROM THE NORTHEAST BY MIDMORNING. MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME POSSIBLE FEW-SCT VFR CLOUDS AT OGB
WITH ATLANTIC MOISTURE COMING ONSHORE.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 20 KNOTS EACH DAY.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EC
AVIATION...ND
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