831
FXUS62 KCAE 070539
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
139 AM EDT MON SEP 7 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. NOT AS HOT OR AS STORMY FOR LABOR DAY. TEMPERATURES AND
RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AS THE WEEK GOES ON.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1. NOT AS HOT OR AS STORMY FOR LABOR DAY. TEMPERATURES
AND RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AS THE WEEK GOES ON.
AFTER AN ACTIVE WEEKEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE FA, LABOR DAY LOOKS
MORE TRANQUIL. THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS PUSHES TO OUR EAST TODAY
IN RESPONSE TO BUILDING RIDGING OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS.
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS SHOULD PROMOTE DRIER AIR AND LOWER DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH FORECAST HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. THE
BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MIDLANDS AND CSRA,
DROPPING QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET AS LOWER PWATS INFILTRATE THE CWA
FROM THE NORTHEAST AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SAGS SOUTH INTO
THE REGION. WITH UPPER RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOW RAIN CHANCES. THE PATTERN
SHIFTS LATER THIS WEEK WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MORE LIKELY DURING THE THURSDAY TO SATURDAY TIMEFRAME AS UPPER
RIDGING BREAKS DOWN.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
INCREASING CONFIDENCE IN CIG RESTRICTIONS DUE TO STRATUS AS A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHIFTS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING SOME LINGERING CONVECTIVE DEBRIS HIGH
CLOUDS AND SOME LOWER CLOUDS FORMING ACROSS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MIDLANDS. HI-RES GUIDANCE IS CONTINUING TO
HINT AT STRATUS DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID
MORNING BEFORE CONDITIONS IMPROVE BACK TO VFR THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AT AROUND 5 KNOTS SHOULD DEVELOP
AFTER 09Z AND SHIFT TO MORE EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS AFTER
15Z. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY
FOCUSED ACROSS THE CSRA SO WILL INCLUDE A PROB30 AT AGS/DNL.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...DIURNAL STORM CHANCES CONTINUE INTO
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...7
AVIATION...23
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