874
FXUS62 KCAE 240007
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
807 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR 00Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. DRY WEATHER CONTINUES INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY WEATHER CONTINUES INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH
NEAR NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
NO NOTABLE CHANGES ARE EXPECTED TO THE OVERALL PATTERN ACROSS
THE REGION INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER- LEVEL
BLOCKING PATTERN CONTINUES TO DOMINATE BRINGING DRY AND SEASONAL
CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES ALOFT HAVE COOLED SLIGHTLY TODAY AND
INTO THIS WEEKEND RESULTING IN MAX TEMPS A BIT LOWER THAN WHAT
WE SAW EARLIER IN THE WEEK, WITH HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO QUICKLY TIGHTEN
TONIGHT AS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND DIVES INTO
THE SOUTHEAST AND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS TO ORGANIZE JUST
EAST OF THE BAHAMAS. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN UPTICK IN WINDS AND
BREEZY NORTHEAST CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. AT THE
MOMENT, WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW LAKE WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED. UPPER RIDGING
MOVES SLOWLY EAST AND MAY BREAK DOWN DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE
PORTION OF NEXT WEEK RESULTING SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES WITH
FORECAST HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. AS IS TYPICAL DURING
THIS TYPE OF DRY AUTUMNAL PATTERN, WARM DAYS WILL BE FOLLOWED
BY COOL NIGHTS WITH NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES.
RAIN CHANCES START TO RETURN TO THE PICTURE TOWARDS THE END OF
NEXT WEEK, BUT WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SPECIFICS YET.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY AIR CONTINUE IN THE REGION. A REINFORCED
HIGH OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC WILL CAUSE GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS.
CALM AND CLEAR CONDITIONS TONIGHT WITH INCREASING WINDS ON
SATURDAY AS A STRONG LOW- LEVEL JET DEVELOPS TONIGHT.
UNFAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD KEEP MOST SITES FREE OF
FOG; ALTHOUGH OGB MAY SEE IMMINENT SHALLOW PATCHY FOG AROUND
SUNRISE AS TRENDS HAVE SHOWN THE LAST TWO NIGHTS. THE LLJ
SHOULD MIX OUT BETWEEN 14Z AND 18Z SATURDAY, WITH BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS SUGGESTING EASTERLY GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE AT
TIMES LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS PERSIST.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...A BIT MORE MOISTURE INCREASES THIS
WEEKEND POSSIBLY LEADING TO AREAS OF PATCHY FOG; ESPECIALLY
NEARS BODIES OF WATER.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION...NS
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