193
FXUS62 KCAE 231706
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
106 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR 18Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. DRY WEATHER CONTINUES INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH NEAR NORMAL
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY WEATHER CONTINUES INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH
NEAR NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE EXPECTED TO THE OVERALL PATTERN
ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. AN UPPER- LEVEL
BLOCKING PATTERN CONTINUES TO DOMINATE BRINGING DRY AND
SEASONAL CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES ALOFT HAVE COOLED SLIGHTLY
TODAY AND INTO THIS WEEKEND RESULTING IN MAX TEMPS A BIT LOWER
THAN WHAT WE SAW EARLIER IN THE WEEK, WITH HIGHS REACHING THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO
QUICKLY TIGHTEN TONIGHT AS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW
ENGLAND DIVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST AND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
BEGINS TO ORGANIZE JUST EAST OF THE BAHAMAS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
AN UPTICK IN WINDS AND BREEZY NORTHEAST CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF
THE WEEKEND. AT THE MOMENT, WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.
UPPER RIDGING MOVES SLOWLY EAST AND MAY BREAK DOWN DURING THE
EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK RESULTING SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES WITH FORECAST HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. AS IS
TYPICAL DURING THIS TYPE OF AUTUMNAL PATTERN, WARM DAYS WILL BE
FOLLOWED BY COOL NIGHTS WITH NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY AIR CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE FORECAST. THE
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC HAS BEEN REINFORCED OVER
THE LAST DAY OR SO, RESULTING IN A BIT BREEZIER CONDITIONS TODAY
THAN WE HAVE NOTED THE PAST FEW. THIS IS LIKELY TO OCCUR AGAIN
ON SATURDAY AS A STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET DEVELOPS TONIGHT. THIS
SHOULD MIX OUT BETWEEN 14Z AND 18Z SATURDAY, WITH BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS SUGGESTING EASTERLY GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE AT
TIMES LATE SATURDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE, THIS FORECAST IS
PREDICTABLY VFR.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...A BIT MORE MOISTURE INCREASES THIS
WEEKEND POSSIBLY LEADING TO AREAS OF PATCHY FOG; ESPECIALLY WITH
LOCATIONS NEAR BODIES OF WATER.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ND
AVIATION...PL
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